Author Topic: Not everyone is selling at a loss  (Read 7019 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
Guys, I believe Volker means to buy borrow bitUSD to buy bitBTC, using the bought bitBTC as collateral, i.e. trading on margin as at bitfinex. e.g. Have $100, borrow $300, buy $400 of bitBTC, $400 of bitBTC serves as collateral on the $300 borrowing.

Yes.

Offline starspirit

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 948
  • Financial markets pro over 20 years
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: starspirit
Guys, I believe Volker means to buy borrow bitUSD to buy bitBTC, using the bought bitBTC as collateral, i.e. trading on margin as at bitfinex. e.g. Have $100, borrow $300, buy $400 of bitBTC, $400 of bitBTC serves as collateral on the $300 borrowing.
« Last Edit: April 14, 2015, 04:30:25 am by starspirit »

Offline arhag

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1214
    • View Profile
    • My posts on Steem
  • BitShares: arhag
  • GitHub: arhag
The system would automatically liquidate my position if it fell below a certain level where I wouldn't be able to pay my lender back. It is what Bitfinex does.

Right, that is the margin trading that you are asking for. I agree we should have that. It is (almost) as simple as taking the current BitAsset system, tweaking the margin limit from its current 200% (actually I think it is still technically 150%) to any percentage greater than 100% defined by the BitAsset creator, not putting any initial collateral requirements on shorting BitAssets, and instead of having the short expire 30 days after it is created, all shorts and corresponding BitAssets created between time (T0 + k*T) and time (T0 + (k+1)*T) should expire at time (T0 + (k+1)*T) for all non-negative integers k, where T0 is the time the BitAsset was created and T is parameter defined by the BitAsset creator at the time the BitAsset is created.

But in that case you wouldn't "borrow BitUSD with BitUSD as collateral", you would borrow one asset type with another asset type as collateral. For example, you borrow BitUSD with BTS as collateral. It wouldn't make sense to borrow asset A with asset A as collateral. Since the collateral amount would have to be greater than the debt (otherwise it would automatically be margin called and liquidated) it means the person putting up the collateral already has enough of the asset borrowed to not need to borrow it. And since they are the same asset, the collateral provider doesn't get to potentially profit from any price changes like they could if the asset borrowed was different than the collateral asset.
« Last Edit: April 14, 2015, 04:05:37 am by arhag »

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
Today I have zero use for BitShares. Let me lend bitUSD to traders on bitshares at 20% annually and I will put $20,000 into bitUSD tomorrow. Let me borrow bitUSD against my bitUSD collateral to buy bitBTC and I will stop using Bitfinex tomorrow.

I don't understand. You want to borrow BitUSD on a BitUSD collateral? How does that make sense?

Are you asking to borrow money from the blockchain that is not more than 100% collateralized? That's a big no no. The blockchain has no ability to force you to pay. The blockchain cannot sue you in court if you refuse to pay your debt. The only thing a blockchain can do is seize the digital assets on the blockchain that you lock up as collateral to back your debt.

Similarly, you can lend BitUSD to other people who do not collateralize their loans (I am not talking about margin trading which is possible with simple tweaks to the BitAsset rules) but when your counterparty is an anonymous person, there isn't much you can do if they refuse to pay the debt. Who are you going to sue? The most you would be able to rely on is hurting the reputation of their pseudonymous identity. No big deal, they just make another one. Until we have identity verification on the blockchain, uncollateralized lending is not interesting.

The system would automatically liquidate my position if it fell below a certain level where I wouldn't be able to pay my lender back. It is what Bitfinex does.

Offline arhag

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1214
    • View Profile
    • My posts on Steem
  • BitShares: arhag
  • GitHub: arhag
Today I have zero use for BitShares. Let me lend bitUSD to traders on bitshares at 20% annually and I will put $20,000 into bitUSD tomorrow. Let me borrow bitUSD against my bitUSD collateral to buy bitBTC and I will stop using Bitfinex tomorrow.

I don't understand. You want to borrow BitUSD on a BitUSD collateral? How does that make sense?

Are you asking to borrow money from the blockchain that is not more than 100% collateralized? That's a big no no. The blockchain has no ability to force you to pay. The blockchain cannot sue you in court if you refuse to pay your debt. The only thing a blockchain can do is seize the digital assets on the blockchain that you lock up as collateral to back your debt.

Similarly, you can lend BitUSD to other people who do not collateralize their loans (I am not talking about margin trading which is possible with simple tweaks to the BitAsset rules) but when your counterparty is an anonymous person, there isn't much you can do if they refuse to pay the debt. Who are you going to sue? The most you would be able to rely on is hurting the reputation of their pseudonymous identity. No big deal, they just make another one. Until we have identity verification on the blockchain, uncollateralized lending is not interesting.

Offline oldman

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 556
    • View Profile
When I first started looking at BitShares, the delegate system struck me as both genius and poorly implemented. Proof-of-work mining is a waste, but so is DPOS if there's no mechanism for tracking delegate performance. Yunbi was supposedly working on a wallet and then it turns out that they weren't working on anything at all. This sort of inaction should be detected and dealt with within 1 week's time. It shouldn't take months to realize that the system is paying two 100% delegates for nothing. There's very little demand for bitUSD or any BitShares services right now, so it seems silly to counter with "inflation is low much lower than bitcoin/litecoin/etc." Any inflation hurts when demand is near zero. BitShares price is a simple function of supply vs. demand. bitUSD is not very useful and using it to buy alpaca socks without volatility is not a killer app. Make BitShares the ultimate trading platform by adding margin long trading, lending markets and more bitAssets and there will be millions of dollars worth of daily trade in
bitCNY:________
bitBTC: ________
bitUSD:________
and BTS:________ trading pairs.

Today I have zero use for BitShares. Let me lend bitUSD to traders on bitshares at 20% annually and I will put $20,000 into bitUSD tomorrow. Let me borrow bitUSD against my bitUSD collateral to buy bitBTC and I will stop using Bitfinex tomorrow.

Offline cube

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1404
  • Bit by bit, we will get there!
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: bitcube
Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

800k each day is huge.  BTS needs to survive this onslaught till the end of the 2-year vest.


The vesting shares are far bigger and are murdering the price.  Especially because most of it went to people who are pissed off at Bitshares, like the DNS buyers who got screwed. 

Yes. Lesson learnt.  Don't screw people.  If you do, they will come back to haunt you.

« Last Edit: April 13, 2015, 09:31:26 am by cube »
ID: bitcube
bitcube is a dedicated witness and committe member. Please vote for bitcube.

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
When I first started looking at BitShares, the delegate system struck me as both genius and poorly implemented. Proof-of-work mining is a waste, but so is DPOS if there's no mechanism for tracking delegate performance. Yunbi was supposedly working on a wallet and then it turns out that they weren't working on anything at all. This sort of inaction should be detected and dealt with within 1 week's time. It shouldn't take months to realize that the system is paying two 100% delegates for nothing. There's very little demand for bitUSD or any BitShares services right now, so it seems silly to counter with "inflation is low much lower than bitcoin/litecoin/etc." Any inflation hurts when demand is near zero. BitShares price is a simple function of supply vs. demand. bitUSD is not very useful and using it to buy alpaca socks without volatility is not a killer app. Make BitShares the ultimate trading platform by adding margin long trading, lending markets and more bitAssets and there will be millions of dollars worth of daily trade in
bitCNY:________
bitBTC: ________
bitUSD:________
and BTS:________ trading pairs.

Today I have zero use for BitShares. Let me lend bitUSD to traders on bitshares at 20% annually and I will put $20,000 into bitUSD tomorrow. Let me borrow bitUSD against my bitUSD collateral to buy bitBTC and I will stop using Bitfinex tomorrow.




« Last Edit: April 13, 2015, 04:13:27 am by Volker »

Offline Frodo

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 351
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: frodo
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

Speaking of cooked numbers, it is more like 120k BTS per day we are talking about, not 800k.

But I guess that doesn't matter to you anyway. Just some stupid numbers, have nothing to say.

TonyK was right about the number .....
120K is just the delegate part ...
the rest is from the unlock balance from the PTS/DNS/VOTE/AGS allocation which was vest in for 2 years in a liner manner .

Ah yes, I forgot about those. I think OP refered just to delegate pay though.
And we can only speculate how much of these are actually getting sold regularly.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2015, 09:44:11 pm by Frodo »

Offline oldman

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 556
    • View Profile
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

Speaking of cooked numbers, it is more like 120k BTS per day we are talking about, not 800k.

But I guess that doesn't matter to you anyway. Just some stupid numbers, have nothing to say.

TonyK was right about the number .....
120K is just the delegate part ...
the rest is from the unlock balance from the PTS/DNS/VOTE/AGS allocation which was vest in for 2 years in a liner manner .

The delegate pay isnt a big deal.

The vesting shares are far bigger and are murdering the price.  Especially because most of it went to people who are pissed off at Bitshares, like the DNS buyers who got screwed.  Give a bunch of free shares of your crypto to the people that hate you, great strategy!  I wonder why the price is going down?

Every share sold is bought...

Offline Ander

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3506
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Ander
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

Speaking of cooked numbers, it is more like 120k BTS per day we are talking about, not 800k.

But I guess that doesn't matter to you anyway. Just some stupid numbers, have nothing to say.

TonyK was right about the number .....
120K is just the delegate part ...
the rest is from the unlock balance from the PTS/DNS/VOTE/AGS allocation which was vest in for 2 years in a liner manner .

The delegate pay isnt a big deal.

The vesting shares are far bigger and are murdering the price.  Especially because most of it went to people who are pissed off at Bitshares, like the DNS buyers who got screwed.  Give a bunch of free shares of your crypto to the people that hate you, great strategy!  I wonder why the price is going down?
https://metaexchange.info | Bitcoin<->Altcoin exchange | Instant | Safe | Low spreads

Offline CalabiYau


I am sure Dan alone could pretty much name his price and move to work with just about any company interested in Blockchain tech for a very very handsome sum.  It literally blows my mind that people actually complain about paying the dev team when they are basically working for free when all is said and done. 

Can't give enough respect and they deserve as much as we can give imho...

Fully agree  +5%

Offline btswildpig

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1424
    • View Profile
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

Speaking of cooked numbers, it is more like 120k BTS per day we are talking about, not 800k.

But I guess that doesn't matter to you anyway. Just some stupid numbers, have nothing to say.

TonyK was right about the number .....
120K is just the delegate part ...
the rest is from the unlock balance from the PTS/DNS/VOTE/AGS allocation which was vest in for 2 years in a liner manner .
这个是私人账号,表达的一切言论均不代表任何团队和任何人。This is my personal account , anything I said with this account will be my opinion alone and has nothing to do with any group.

Offline Frodo

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 351
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: frodo
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....

Speaking of cooked numbers, it is more like 120k BTS per day we are talking about, not 800k.

But I guess that doesn't matter to you anyway. Just some stupid numbers, have nothing to say.

EDIT: You are right, if you count vesting balances.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2015, 09:41:36 pm by Frodo »

Offline btswildpig

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1424
    • View Profile
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

Actually .... There are new buyers these days . Several people I knew who were bashing BitShares for nearly half a year suddenly saying good things about BitShares on social media ......  I bet they have bought in ....
这个是私人账号,表达的一切言论均不代表任何团队和任何人。This is my personal account , anything I said with this account will be my opinion alone and has nothing to do with any group.

zerosum

  • Guest
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

I see... 'feed them cake' logic....

Anyway at exactly 0 adoption... 800K new BTS coming to existence every day having exactly no new buyers  might be a very small percentage of some number but still remain 800K new BTS every morning ready to be dumped...

PS
I do not get to whom you think you are guys selling this crap, guys. New comers? Sure, all they need is to be fed cooked numbers....
« Last Edit: March 26, 2015, 05:49:42 pm by tonyk2 »

Offline fuzzy

These folks aren't:

http://bitsharesblocks.com/delegates

Piling on... on top of dilution being on the order of 1% of the total volume, a 3% delegate is making ~$20 a month (barely enough for a VPS) and 100% delegates (who are supposed to be full-time developers) are making $700-800 a month.

So yes, when you include the time invested, they are probably also selling at a loss

Has anyone looked into outsourcing some of the bull work to freelancers in Vietnam/Phil/SE Asia?

$700/month can rent some surprising talent in those areas - opendesk etc.

Not sure if this is worth pursuing but it's a thought.

You won't find serious development talent in Asia for 800 per month. They flock to Shanghai, HK, Tokyo. $800 per month is a joke salary for an experienced developer, even in Shenzhen. So BTS is probably best off hiring diehard BTS supporters (as it is).

I am sure Dan alone could pretty much name his price and move to work with just about any company interested in Blockchain tech for a very very handsome sum.  It literally blows my mind that people actually complain about paying the dev team when they are basically working for free when all is said and done. 

Can't give enough respect and they deserve as much as we can give imho...
WhaleShares==DKP; BitShares is our Community! 
ShareBits and WhaleShares = Love :D

Offline bytemaster

Some people mined at valuations lower than the current one and are still profitable.
For the latest updates checkout my blog: http://bytemaster.bitshares.org
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract between myself and anyone else.   These are merely my opinions and I reserve the right to change them at any time.

Offline Ander

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3506
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Ander
Any paid delegate who is selling put in work to get those shares, at a below market rate for their services.  So in a way they are also selling at a loss. 
https://metaexchange.info | Bitcoin<->Altcoin exchange | Instant | Safe | Low spreads

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
These folks aren't:

http://bitsharesblocks.com/delegates

Piling on... on top of dilution being on the order of 1% of the total volume, a 3% delegate is making ~$20 a month (barely enough for a VPS) and 100% delegates (who are supposed to be full-time developers) are making $700-800 a month.

So yes, when you include the time invested, they are probably also selling at a loss

Has anyone looked into outsourcing some of the bull work to freelancers in Vietnam/Phil/SE Asia?

$700/month can rent some surprising talent in those areas - opendesk etc.

Not sure if this is worth pursuing but it's a thought.

You won't find serious development talent in Asia for 800 per month. They flock to Shanghai, HK, Tokyo. $800 per month is a joke salary for an experienced developer, even in Shenzhen. So BTS is probably best off hiring diehard BTS supporters (as it is).

Offline testz

...
$700/month can rent some surprising talent in those areas - opendesk etc.

Not sure if this is worth pursuing but it's a thought.

Yes, at $700/month ($17,5/hour) you can rent some surprising talent at opendesk for one week, and will wait 3 weeks for next rent?

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
Very good responses in this thread. Dilution is not the problem. But I'm a bit disappointed to hear that it's not the problem.

1) If dilution were the problem, it could be easily fixed.

2) If oversupply is not the problem, that means that demand is the issue.

3) Lack of demand means a failure to attract investment and use of bitAssets.

4) Cryptocurrency in general is in a long-term bear market. However, Bitcoin, Ripple, Darkcoin, and others have moved up and away from their 6 month lows. In some cases they are double or nearly double their 6 month lows. Therefore BTS, is performing significantly worse than its peers, even with organized, self-funded marketing and development delegates.

In your opinions, is this just an amazing buying opportunity?
« Last Edit: March 26, 2015, 04:46:46 pm by Volker »

Offline oldman

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 556
    • View Profile
These folks aren't:

http://bitsharesblocks.com/delegates

Piling on... on top of dilution being on the order of 1% of the total volume, a 3% delegate is making ~$20 a month (barely enough for a VPS) and 100% delegates (who are supposed to be full-time developers) are making $700-800 a month.

So yes, when you include the time invested, they are probably also selling at a loss

Has anyone looked into outsourcing some of the bull work to freelancers in Vietnam/Phil/SE Asia?

$700/month can rent some surprising talent in those areas - opendesk etc.

Not sure if this is worth pursuing but it's a thought.

Offline btswildpig

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 1424
    • View Profile
No one says if you have profit you must sell .
No one says if you lost money , you can't sell .

In the end ..... you can't predict who is selling and who is not .
Maybe a guy who earned 10X profit won't sell , and a guy who lost 90% of his investment still sells .
这个是私人账号,表达的一切言论均不代表任何团队和任何人。This is my personal account , anything I said with this account will be my opinion alone and has nothing to do with any group.

Offline maqifrnswa

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 661
    • View Profile
These folks aren't:

http://bitsharesblocks.com/delegates

Piling on... on top of dilution being on the order of 1% of the total volume, a 3% delegate is making ~$20 a month (barely enough for a VPS) and 100% delegates (who are supposed to be full-time developers) are making $700-800 a month.

So yes, when you include the time invested, they are probably also selling at a loss
maintains an Ubuntu PPA: https://launchpad.net/~showard314/+archive/ubuntu/bitshares [15% delegate] wallet_account_set_approval maqifrnswa true [50% delegate] wallet_account_set_approval delegate1.maqifrnswa true

Offline Frodo

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 351
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: frodo
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

As far as dilution...it barely registers as dilution and most all of it is going to "pay" people who could make far more if they simply stepped away from the project and chose to another job over

As for the merger...I still think it was a mistake.  There really is no reason I can see why the separate chains could not have competed, built up their own separate dev teams using their delegate slots to build onto the broader ecosystem in a way that lifts all boats. 

Just having 5 DACs that are powered by BitShares in the top 20 on Coinmarketcap would have been huge advertising.  And there would have been nothing (to my knowledge) that would have kept BitSharesX from later on hiring devs to implement DNS and Vote features into its structure just like BitShares currently has done.  In fact, by the time BitSharesX had matured to that level, DNS and Vote would have already done most of the hard work, so implementing the code on other chains would have likely required far less in terms of time, energy and manpower.  Alternatively, the same could be said for Vote, DNS, and a number of other chains.  Just ask BitShares PLAY and PTS...I know for a fact that they saved a good bit of time incorporating the main BitShares chains' work. 

The merger was a case of making a decision without really getting the feedback from the community before doing so.  I had reservations, but held them back at the time because I didn't want to make things worse.  More and more though I find myself realizing that the community keeping relatively silent about these types of decisions has caused more harm than good.  I suspect that if the PR initiative goes the wrong direction, the merger decision will not be our last headache. 

However, even with those hiccups...BitShares and the ecosystem that is growing from it (of course, with a few growing pains) is still a beautiful thing.   

I'm not trying to argue that the merger was absolutely necessary. But I still think that the implications of it are widely overestimated. It has advantages and disadvantages but imo both ways have the potential to bring us to our goal.

This has all been extensively discussed. My point is just that its influence on the project is probably overrated, just like the dilution.

Offline fuzzy

Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1

As far as dilution...it barely registers as dilution and most all of it is going to "pay" people who could make far more if they simply stepped away from the project and chose to another job over

As for the merger...I still think it was a mistake.  There really is no reason I can see why the separate chains could not have competed, built up their own separate dev teams using their delegate slots to build onto the broader ecosystem in a way that lifts all boats. 

Just having 5 DACs that are powered by BitShares in the top 20 on Coinmarketcap would have been huge advertising.  And there would have been nothing (to my knowledge) that would have kept BitSharesX from later on hiring devs to implement DNS and Vote features into its structure just like BitShares currently has done.  In fact, by the time BitSharesX had matured to that level, DNS and Vote would have already done most of the hard work, so implementing the code on other chains would have likely required far less in terms of time, energy and manpower.  Alternatively, the same could be said for Vote, DNS, and a number of other chains.  Just ask BitShares PLAY and PTS...I know for a fact that they saved a good bit of time incorporating the main BitShares chains' work. 

The merger was a case of making a decision without really getting the feedback from the community before doing so.  I had reservations, but held them back at the time because I didn't want to make things worse.  More and more though I find myself realizing that the community keeping relatively silent about these types of decisions has caused more harm than good.  I suspect that if the PR initiative goes the wrong direction, the merger decision will not be our last headache. 

However, even with those hiccups...BitShares and the ecosystem that is growing from it (of course, with a few growing pains) is still a beautiful thing.   
WhaleShares==DKP; BitShares is our Community! 
ShareBits and WhaleShares = Love :D

Offline bytemaster

Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.
+1
For the latest updates checkout my blog: http://bytemaster.bitshares.org
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract between myself and anyone else.   These are merely my opinions and I reserve the right to change them at any time.

Offline Frodo

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 351
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: frodo
Dilution is massively overrated by most people. Mostly irrational fear. Let's look at the numbers for a second here:

Current annualized inflation is about 1.451%. At a market cap of 16 million that amounts to ~ $232k worth of BTS each year. That's merely ~ $636 daily. (Assuming that every delegate immediately sells all BTS.)

Now let's take a look at cmc. Currently we have 24h volume of over $40k. And that is on the low side, we often have $100k+. At $40k daily volume about 1.59% of volume could be caused by delegates selling off BTS. At $100k volume just 0.636%.


I hope people stop blaming dilution and the merger for everything that isn't going according to plan.

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker
Some people argue that this must be the bottom because "everyone is selling at a loss." My point is that not everyone is selling at a loss.

Offline fav

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4278
  • No Pain, No Gain
    • View Profile
    • Follow Me!
  • BitShares: fav

Offline Volker

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 62
    • View Profile
  • BitShares: Volker