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BitShares X Status Update

Started by bytemaster, January 02, 2014, 07:41:36 PM

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megadeth92

Account: jdroa92

bytemaster

Quote from: cob on January 04, 2014, 06:21:53 PM
Yeah, eventually there needs to be a free market mecanism in place to replace the "hardcoded 5%"

Yes, I agree.  I will setup a prediction market to predict what the interest rate should be. 
For the latest updates checkout my blog: [url="http://bytemaster.bitshares.org"]http://bytemaster.bitshares.org[/url]
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract between myself and anyone else.   These are merely my opinions and I reserve the right to change them at any time.

cob

Yeah, eventually there needs to be a free market mecanism in place to replace the "hardcoded 5%"
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract between myself and anyone else.   These are merely my opinions and I reserve the right to change them at any time.

toast

Remember that interest (returns) rates are not hard-coded, it's the various fees that are. We should be looking at what the fees around the world are for short-selling, inactivity, etc, not what kinds of returns you can get
Do not use this post as information for making any important decisions. The only agreements I ever make are informal and non-binding. Take the same precautions as when dealing with a compromised account, scammer, sockpuppet, etc.

MrJeans

Quote from: ruletheworld on January 04, 2014, 02:29:19 PM
Quote from: MrJeans on January 04, 2014, 02:14:06 PM
Quote from: coolspeed on January 04, 2014, 12:32:00 PM
Quote from: bytemaster on January 03, 2014, 10:09:30 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:46:47 PM
Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

Yes

Why the 5% should be hard-coded? And how can we reach the consensus that 5% is not too much?
5% may even be too little.

It would be a payoff.

What % fee is reasonable to charge someone to short a currency. (5% is rather cheap compared to the fees you would pay to other services to short order.) But here we need to get allot of people to short order so we can lend bitAssets into existence. So theres the first payoff.

Next we need to make a reasonable return for clients who want to store their money in as bitassets for the 5% return.

Here 5% may be too low. I am able to get between 4.9 and 8% annual return at my national bank's super safe, backed up, conservative money market account that doesnt require new understanding of technology or to stomach perceived risk.

That's not the right perspective to look at this, IMO. Different asset classes have different interest rates. I doubt USD money markets would give you 8% return. I also doubt any bank in the world would give you 5% interest on gold deposits, denominated in gold. Bitcoin too, should have a very low interest rate, if at all, in the free market.

Also, 5% isn't much when you put a collateral against which you're loaning money. The cheapest brokerages, for instance, let you borrow USD at less than 1% against your stock portfolio.

From a saver's perspective, this seems like a good deal. I am not so sure about this from the speculator's perspective. The open market, with all its flaws, might yield better results.

I am not sure how this could be made better though. Can interest rates themselves be floating, as in market determined by some mechanism?
This is a tough one. The 4.9 to 8% are the actual performance figures from a South African national bank for its money market fund.

So for a South African holding their rands in a real world bank would be more attractive.

I know that Chinese banks offer very little in terms of decent return savings accounts, so there is allot of potential there.

Given all the different situations in different countries it is very difficult to select an appropriate interest rate for a global bank.

ruletheworld

Quote from: MrJeans on January 04, 2014, 02:14:06 PM
Quote from: coolspeed on January 04, 2014, 12:32:00 PM
Quote from: bytemaster on January 03, 2014, 10:09:30 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:46:47 PM
Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

Yes

Why the 5% should be hard-coded? And how can we reach the consensus that 5% is not too much?
5% may even be too little.

It would be a payoff.

What % fee is reasonable to charge someone to short a currency. (5% is rather cheap compared to the fees you would pay to other services to short order.) But here we need to get allot of people to short order so we can lend bitAssets into existence. So theres the first payoff.

Next we need to make a reasonable return for clients who want to store their money in as bitassets for the 5% return.

Here 5% may be too low. I am able to get between 4.9 and 8% annual return at my national bank's super safe, backed up, conservative money market account that doesnt require new understanding of technology or to stomach perceived risk.

That's not the right perspective to look at this, IMO. Different asset classes have different interest rates. I doubt USD money markets would give you 8% return. I also doubt any bank in the world would give you 5% interest on gold deposits, denominated in gold. Bitcoin too, should have a very low interest rate, if at all, in the free market.

Also, 5% isn't much when you put a collateral against which you're loaning money. The cheapest brokerages, for instance, let you borrow USD at less than 1% against your stock portfolio.

From a saver's perspective, this seems like a good deal. I am not so sure about this from the speculator's perspective. The open market, with all its flaws, might yield better results.

I am not sure how this could be made better though. Can interest rates themselves be floating, as in market determined by some mechanism?
PTS: PYRqARWMGQ1PeZvjJM6iWJxf2ouwYcueHF
BTC: 1NeRoAKp137GTDUEBaonbu5BUGPN17Xw5n
[url="http://btcgeek.com"]http://btcgeek.com[/url]

MrJeans

Quote from: coolspeed on January 04, 2014, 12:32:00 PM
Quote from: bytemaster on January 03, 2014, 10:09:30 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:46:47 PM
Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

Yes

Why the 5% should be hard-coded? And how can we reach the consensus that 5% is not too much?
5% may even be too little.

It would be a payoff.

What % fee is reasonable to charge someone to short a currency. (5% is rather cheap compared to the fees you would pay to other services to short order.) But here we need to get allot of people to short order so we can lend bitAssets into existence. So theres the first payoff.

Next we need to make a reasonable return for clients who want to store their money in as bitassets for the 5% return.

Here 5% may be too low. I am able to get between 4.9 and 8% annual return at my national bank's super safe, backed up, conservative money market account that doesnt require new understanding of technology or to stomach perceived risk.

coolspeed

Quote from: bytemaster on January 03, 2014, 10:09:30 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:46:47 PM
Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

Yes

Why the 5% should be hard-coded? And how can we reach the consensus that 5% is not too much?
Please vote for  delegate.coolspeed    dac.coolspeed
BTS account: coolspeed
Sina Weibo:@coolspeed

bytemaster

Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:46:47 PM
Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

Yes
For the latest updates checkout my blog: [url="http://bytemaster.bitshares.org"]http://bytemaster.bitshares.org[/url]
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract between myself and anyone else.   These are merely my opinions and I reserve the right to change them at any time.

smiley35

Quote from: toast on January 03, 2014, 09:42:51 PM
Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.

That is awesome.

One more question. That is 5% a year right?

toast

Quote from: smiley35 on January 03, 2014, 09:25:28 PM
Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

You can short against any asset, 5% may not be so unreasonable if you think USD will fall against oil/bts/btc/gold/silver. That said, I think you have a point given how much of an emphasis on currencies there is in the current root chain plan.
Do not use this post as information for making any important decisions. The only agreements I ever make are informal and non-binding. Take the same precautions as when dealing with a compromised account, scammer, sockpuppet, etc.

smiley35

Why would anybody short fiat at a 5% tax? It may be that volatile in the future but that seems crazy right now. If no one shorts it how is bitusd created?

MrJeans

Quote from: arcke on January 03, 2014, 07:45:53 PM
Quote from: MrJeans on January 03, 2014, 06:44:38 PM
I am not understanding number 8

8) AGS and PTS will be used to initialize all BTS chains each trading in a subset of assets.  Therefore, AGS and PTS is more valuable than owning a single BTS chain.  They get you rights to all chains.

Could someone please explain this or point me to a thread that explains this.

Thanks

I think this works because every BitShares-chain is a separate DAC which will stick to the social contract and give shares to AGS and PTS holders.

Ok thanks, I get it now. Your post helped and I had to read number 8 over a few times haha

arcke

Quote from: MrJeans on January 03, 2014, 06:44:38 PM
I am not understanding number 8

8) AGS and PTS will be used to initialize all BTS chains each trading in a subset of assets.  Therefore, AGS and PTS is more valuable than owning a single BTS chain.  They get you rights to all chains.

Could someone please explain this or point me to a thread that explains this.

Thanks

I think this works because every BitShares-chain is a separate DAC which will stick to the social contract and give shares to AGS and PTS holders.
OpenPGP: 0x22d7e9cc35375665
PTS - PawnbhoiXhmkrKJEPAsCiwkpP81nRXJGTD
Diaspora profile - [url="https://pod.orkz.net/u/arcke"]https://pod.orkz.net/u/arcke[/url]

MrJeans

I am not understanding number 8

8) AGS and PTS will be used to initialize all BTS chains each trading in a subset of assets.  Therefore, AGS and PTS is more valuable than owning a single BTS chain.  They get you rights to all chains.

Could someone please explain this or point me to a thread that explains this.

Thanks