🌏XBTS Dex & DeFi

[EuropaSH]

WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: NOVEMBER 9–13
Greetings, traders! 👋

A critical inflation week is here. US CPI drops Tuesday, and Bitcoin is sitting right on the 200-day moving average - the level that decides whether this correction becomes a full-blown downtrend.

All times in UTC for our global community.

💵WHY BTC ISN'T BOUNCING: THE MACRO BACKDROP

Democrats won both chambers. Markets are pricing in stricter crypto regulation, and Senate Democrat Richard Blumenthal has already demanded documents from Binance, Tether, and World Liberty Financial by January 4, 2027.

NFP came in hot. October payrolls rose +165K vs. consensus +65K. Unemployment fell to 4.1%. This reinforced expectations that the Fed stays hawkish - markets now price ~77% odds of a December hike . Higher rates = pressure on risk assets.

The technical line that matters: $73,170. This is the 200-day moving average. BTC hasn't closed below it since August 18. A confirmed break below signals a shift to a bearish long-term trend. Above it, the correction remains within a normal range.

📅 MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9
🇨🇳 01:30 UTC - China CPI (Oct)

📅 TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10 - US CPI DAY 🔥
🌐 Digital Asset Summit 2026 - London (Nov 10-11). Institutional focus on custody, tokenization, and MiCA regulation.
🇺🇸 13:30 UTC - US CPI (Oct) - Consensus: +0.3% MoM headline, +0.2% core. This is the key data point before the December FOMC.

📅 WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11
🇩🇪 07:00 UTC - Germany CPI (Oct Final)
🇪🇺 09:45 UTC - ECB President Lagarde speech

📅 THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12
🇬🇧 07:00 UTC - UK GDP (Q3 Prelim)
🇪🇺 09:00 UTC - ECB Monthly Report
🇺🇸 13:30 UTC - Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
🇺🇸 15:00 UTC - US Existing Home Sales (Oct)
🔓 PUMP unlock - ~9.17B tokens (~$38.0M)

📅 FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13 — PPI + OPTIONS EXPIRY
🇺🇸 13:30 UTC - US PPI (Oct) - Consensus: +0.4% MoM
📊 08:00 UTC - Deribit Options Expiry - BTC OI ~$89.5M, P/C ratio 1.25 (put-heavy)

📊 POLYMARKET BTC PRICE OUTLOOK
Real money on Polymarket (>$82M volume) prices BTC hitting these levels before 2027:

🔹 $70,000 - 52% chance (downside test)
🔹 $90,000 - 24% chance
🔹 $100,000 - 9% chance

November contracts: 81% chance of touching $77,500, 56% for $80,000, and 61% for $72,500.

Kalshi year-end settlement: $75K-$79,999 leads at 17.6%, followed closely by $70K-$74,999 at 17.5%.

⚡️ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week
1️⃣ US CPI (Tue) - With December hike odds at ~77%, a hot core print could cement tightening. A soft print might offer relief, but sticky services inflation remains the risk .
2️⃣ $73,170 - The 200-Day MA - The single most important level on the chart. A daily close below confirms a trend shift. Watch it closely.
3️⃣ Options Expiry (Fri) - BTC OI is put-heavy (P/C 1.25), suggesting hedging demand. Max pain positioning can still create volatility.

Stay sharp. CPI and the 200-day MA decide the next move.


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi https://xbts.io
Dex NEW https://trade.xbts.io
Dex Classic https://ex.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

⚡️ Flash loans: borrow without collateral.
On XBTS Lending Hub, you can borrow assets and repay in the same transaction. No collateral needed.

Use cases:
🔄 Triangular arbitrage
⚖️ Rebalancing positions
💸 Paying network fees
🔁 Refinancing old loans
🤝Lenders earn fees on every loan.

Try it 👉 https://trade.xbts.io/credit-offers

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Dex NEW https://trade.xbts.io
Dex Classic https://ex.xbts.io
DeFi Classic https://app.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: OCTOBER 5 - 11
Greetings, traders! 👋

Q4 is off to a strong start. BTC is holding above $85K after softer jobs data, and markets are pricing in a lower chance of an October Fed hike. This week brings FOMC Minutes, PPI data, and the TOKEN2049 summit in Singapore.

All times in UTC for our global community.

📅 MONDAY, OCTOBER 5
🇺🇸 13:45 UTC - US Services & Composite PMI (Sept Final)
🇺🇸 14:00 UTC - ISM Services PMI (Sept)
🔓 Ethena unlock - ~171.88M tokens (~$41.5M), 3.77% of supply

📊 BTC at ~$86,000, up 1.1% on the day after touching $86,995. Softer US jobs data (only 29K new payrolls, unemployment 4.2%) pushed October Fed hike odds from ~70% to ~14%.

📅 TUESDAY, OCTOBER 6
🇦🇺 04:30 UTC - RBA Rate Decision
🇪🇺 09:00 UTC - EU Retail Sales (Aug)
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - US Trade Balance (Aug)

📅 WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 7:  TOKEN2049 + FOMC MINUTES
🚀 TOKEN2049 Singapore (Oct 7-8) - Asia's flagship crypto event
🇺🇸 14:30 UTC - US Crude Oil Inventories
🇺🇸 18:00 UTC - FOMC Minutes: Markets will parse for clues on the Fed's next move

📅 THURSDAY, OCTOBER 8
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
🇺🇸 20:30 UTC - Fed Balance Sheet

📅 FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9
🇺🇸 14:00 UTC - Michigan Inflation Expectations (Oct Prelim)

📅 SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10
🔓 Babylon  unlock - ~136M tokens (~$47.6M)

📊 POLYMARKET BTC PRICE OUTLOOK
Real money on Polymarket prices BTC hitting these levels before the end of October:

🔹 $90,000 — 60% chance
🔹 $80,000 downside — 49.5% chance
Key context: Settlement occurs if BTC merely touches these levels on a 1-minute candle on Binance . This creates a narrow battlefield where $85K-$90K is the primary resistance zone, while $80K-$82K is the key support battle line.

Longer-term view (year-end): Polymarket traders give BTC a 69% chance of hitting $85K, 49% for $90K, and 29% for $100K by Dec 31.

⚡️ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week
1️⃣ FOMC Minutes (Wed): After the softer jobs data, markets want confirmation on the Fed's stance. Any hawkish signal could pressure risk assets .
2️⃣ TOKEN2049 (Wed-Thu): Singapore's biggest crypto event. Potential announcements could move sentiment across the market.
3️⃣ Technical Levels - BTC is consolidating between $84K-$87K. A daily close above $87K targets $89K-$90K; a break below $82K exposes $80K.

Stay sharp. FOMC Minutes and TOKEN2049 set the tone.


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi https://xbts.io
Dex NEW https://trade.xbts.io
Dex Classic https://ex.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

BTC is back above $80,000 🚀

After absorbing the CLARITY Act failure and the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, Bitcoin refused to break down. That resilience speaks volumes.

Key levels:

🔹 Resistance: $82,000-$82,800 - the defining threshold. A clean break opens $86,000 → $90,000.
🔹 Support: $77,000-$78,000 - short-term defense. Below that, $74,000-$75,000 is the line in the sand.
📊 The $81,000-$86,000 zone holds significant supply from holders who bought higher and may sell into strength.

What's driving the move:

📈 ETF flows reversed positive: $159.5M net inflow on Sept 17, ending two days of heavy outflows.
📈 Analyst consensus turned bullish: 112 analysts now show a BUY consensus on the monthly timeframe, with short-term readings at STRONG BUY.
📈 Market sentiment improving: Fear & Greed Index at 56-57, moving from neutral into greed territory.

The risk to watch:

⚠️ Leverage is rebuilding fast. Open interest has already climbed back above its 180-day average to $9.6B. Rapid re-leveraging can set up another cascade if momentum stalls.
⚠️ Spot demand remains weak. Retail investors are still selling into strength. A sustainable rally needs genuine spot buying, not just derivatives.

Bottom line:

The $80K reclaim is encouraging, but $82,000 is the real test. Bulls need to turn this level from resistance into support before $90K becomes realistic.
If ETF inflows continue and leverage stays controlled, the path to $90K opens. If not, expect another range-bound chop. 



XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Dex NEW https://trade.xbts.io
Dex Classic https://ex.xbts.io
DeFi Classic https://app.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

SMARTHOLDER STAKING Regular Payouts Report for the period from September 1 - September 15, 2026

💼Multiply your cryptocurrencies, no matter what the crypto market does!

📊Lock your STH for 1/3/6/12 months and earn a share of trading fees from our decentralized exchange.
⚪️ Fee Source: 50% of all XBTS DEX trading fees.
🗓 Payout Schedule: 1st and 15th of every month.

💵 Receive BTC, ETH, USDT & 20+ cryptos. Rewards are paid in all cryptos traded on XBTS DEX.
Your share depends on your stake vs total pool.

🔒 Secure & Transparent: BitShares-based vesting transactions.
👍After the lock period ends - unlock your STH coins and do whatever you want with them.

📊 Earn Passive Income with Smart Staking
Explore https://xbts.io/staking


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

XBTS DEX just got a major upgrade 🚀

v2.18.19 is live — and the mobile experience is on another level now.

📱 Mobile:
• New bottom nav: Trade · Wallet · DeFi · Earn · Menu
• Built-in numeric keypad for Price/Amount - the OS keyboard never covers your field again 😤
• PIN unlock + Biometric login (Face ID / Touch ID / fingerprint) via WebAuthn PRF - PIN encrypted on-device
• Bottom sheets for Transfer, Order Review & PIN unlock
• Transfer: big amount input, 25/50/75/MAX chips, recent recipients, one-tap TX ID copy
• Quick % buttons in the order form
• Swipe between Wallet / Orders / Activity

💻 Desktop:
• App renamed to XBTSDEX in Start menu / installer

⚙️ All platforms:
• ✅ Fixed memo encryption for accounts where memo key = active key - gateway withdrawals no longer show "**"
• ✅ Auto update detection: "New version available - tap to update" toast, instant service worker activation, anti-stale-cache headers
• ✅ Account registration: name rules validation + "password saved" confirmation
• ✅ Referral program - Become a Lifetime Member and earn on every trade

Update now👇
https://github.com/XBTS/xbts-ui-releases/releases/tag/2.18.19


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

SMARTHOLDER STAKING Regular Payouts Report for the period from July 15 to August 1, 2026

💼Multiply your cryptocurrencies, no matter what the crypto market does!

📊Lock your STH for 1/3/6/12 months and earn a share of trading fees from our decentralized exchange.
⚪️ Fee Source: 50% of all XBTS DEX trading fees.
🗓 Payout Schedule: 1st and 15th of every month.

💵 Receive BTC, ETH, USDT & 20+ cryptos. Rewards are paid in all cryptos traded on XBTS DEX.
Your share depends on your stake vs total pool.

🔒 Secure & Transparent: BitShares-based vesting transactions.
👍After the lock period ends - unlock your STH coins and do whatever you want with them.

📊 Earn Passive Income with Smart Staking
Explore https://xbts.io/staking


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

WEEKLY MACRO & CRYPTO DIGEST: JULY 27–31

Greetings, traders! 👋

The most packed week of the month is here: FOMC decision, US/EU/Germany GDP trifecta, $2.5B in BTC options targeting $72K, and FTX's $900M distribution. Here's everything on the radar.

All times in UTC for our global community.👇

📅 MONDAY, July 27
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - US Durable Goods Orders (June Prelim)
Business spending snapshot - key for Q2 GDP expectations.

📅 TUESDAY, July 28
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - US Trade Balance (June)
🇺🇸 14:00 UTC - US CB Consumer Confidence (July)
⛓️ Zcash Ironwood Hard Fork - Activates at block 3,428,143
Seals the vulnerable Orchard shielded pool after a 4-year bug discovery. Funds can only exit through a cryptographic "turnstile" - any counterfeit ZEC gets permanently trapped.

📅 WEDNESDAY, July 29 - FOMC DAY 🔥
🇺🇸 14:30 UTC - US Crude Oil Inventories
🇺🇸 18:00 UTC - FOMC Interest Rate Decision
Expected to hold at 3.50%-3.75%, but markets now price ~35% odds of a hike - up from just 10% a week ago. Oil spike (Brent above $96) and geopolitical tensions are fueling inflation fears.
🇺🇸 18:30 UTC - FOMC Press Conference with Chair Kevin Warsh
All eyes on his tone. Some Fed officials are now split on inflation risk.

📅 THURSDAY, July 30 - GDP Triple-Header Day 🇺🇸🇪🇺🇩🇪
🇩🇪 08:00 UTC - Germany GDP (Q2 Prelim)
🇪🇺 09:00 UTC - EU GDP (Q2 Prelim)
🇬🇧 11:00 UTC - Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
🇩🇪 12:00 UTC - Germany CPI (July Prelim)
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - US GDP (Q2 Advance Estimate)
Expected slowdown. Atlanta Fed tracking ~1.3% annualized.
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - Core PCE Price Index (June)
Fed's favorite inflation gauge — any deviation could shift rate expectations.
🇺🇸 12:30 UTC - Initial Jobless Claims (Weekly)
🇺🇸 14:00 UTC - US Pending Home Sales (June)


📅 FRIDAY, July 31 - Options Expiry & FTX Payouts 📊💰
🇨🇳 01:30 UTC - China PMIs (Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing/Composite) - July
🇪🇺 09:00 UTC -  EU CPI (July Prelim)
🇺🇸 15:00 UTC - Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (July Final)
📊 08:00 UTC - Weekly BTC & ETH Options Expiry + $2.5B in BTC call spreads targeting $72K expire today
Traders bought 20,000 contracts of the $70K call and sold 20,000 of the $72K call. Maximum payout hits if BTC reaches $72K by Friday.
💰 FTX Fifth Distribution Starts - ~$900M to creditors
Recovery rates: smaller creditors get 120%, U.S. and international creditors get 105%. This cash could rotate back into crypto.

⚡️ What XBTS DEX Is Watching This Week

1️⃣ FOMC Decision (Wed) - The main event. A hawkish hold or surprise hike could trigger sharp BTC moves. Current odds: 35% hike, 65% hold.
2️⃣ GDP Trifecta (Thu) - US, EU, and Germany all release Q2 GDP. The broadest macro picture of the week.
3️⃣ $2.5B BTC Options Expiry (Fri) - 20K contracts targeting $ 72K. If BTC fails to reach $70K, these options expire worthless, potentially removing bullish gamma support.
4️⃣ FTX $900M Distribution (Fri) - Fifth payout round. Could inject fresh liquidity into crypto markets.

Stay sharp. Trade smart.
📊 https://xbts.io
Trade decentralized.



XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

THE NEW XBTS IS LIVE!

📊 Today, we are proud to unveil the brand-new XBTS.IO website – your all-in-one gateway to decentralized trading.
We've rebuilt the entire website from the ground up. It's smoother, faster, and gives you a clear view of the powerful ecosystem we've been building.
Check it out for yourself: 👉 https://xbts.io/

What's inside?
✅ Revamped website: A clean, user-friendly design that makes navigating the world of XBTS DEX easier than ever.
✅ Cross-Chain Assets & Gateways: Live status of every coin and cross-chain gateway available on XBTS DEX → https://xbts.io/assets
✅ SmartHolder Staking: Earn passive income in top cryptocurrencies, paid twice a month → https://xbts.io/staking
✅ Free Trading Bots: Automate your strategy with our built-in grid bot at zero cost → https://xbts.io/grid-bot
✅ Listing: List Your Token on XBTS DEX → https://xbts.io/listing
✅ FAQ: Find answers to common questions about XBTS DEX, trading, security, and DeFi features → https://xbts.io/faq

✅ Trading Hub: Access our fully on-chain DEX with 200+ pairs, 3-second blocks, and ultra-low fees.
✅ Lending Hub: Manage flash loans and collateralized loans all in one place. 
✅ Liquidity Pools: Supply liquidity and earn a cut of every trade.
Start trading: https://trade.xbts.io

We're keeping our promise: All the vintage interfaces remain active.
You will always have the freedom to choose how you trade. 💚

This is just the beginning. Web4 platform update is coming, and with it, a new era for XBTS and BitShares.

Explore the new site https://xbts.io/, share your thoughts, and get ready for more.

Trade freely. Trade decentralized.


XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

XBTS DEX: Toncoin (XBTSX.TON) Rebranded to Gram (XBTSX.GRAM)
We have officially completed the rebranding of Toncoin (XBTSX.TON) → Gram (XBTSX.GRAM) at a 1:1 ratio.

What's changed:
✅ All existing TON balances were automatically swapped to GRAM (1:1). No action needed from your side.
✅ Spot trading for GRAM pairs is NOW LIVE - including GRAM/USDT, GRAM/USDC, and more.
✅ Deposits and withdrawals for GRAM are fully open.

🚫 IMPORTANT: XBTS DEX no longer supports deposits or withdrawals under the old ticker - XBTSX.TON.
Please use only XBTSX.GRAM for all transactions going forward.
Update your addresses, trade, withdraw, deposit - everything is ready.


👉  https://trade.xbts.io
XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

Friday green. And it's getting greener. 🌿
💵 BTC is pushing toward $64,500 as we wrap up the week - currently sitting at $64,273, up about 3% after reclaiming $63K and testing this key resistance zone.

What's driving the move?
📜 Regulatory optimism - US Crypto Clarity Act draft could land next week.
🏦 Swift is rolling out a blockchain ledger with 17 global banks, including HSBC, UBS, and Wells Fargo.
🐋 Whales accumulating while retail sits out = historically a bullish setup.

The key level to watch:
↗️BTC is now at the $64,000-$65,000 resistance zone = this is the big one.
➕A clean break above $65,000 could open the path to $68,000.
➖Rejection here and we might see a pullback toward $62,000.

A few things:
📊 $1.75B in BTC and ETH options expired today - max pain at $62K
🔻 ETF outflows still happening - $149M left in the last 24 hours

Have a green weekend, fam. ☀️

Trade faster. Trade privately. Trade with confidence.
👉 https://trade.xbts.io

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

📊 XBTS – Decentralized by Design. Powered by Privacy.
We've just launched a MAJOR UI UPGRADE!

New UI at trade.xbts.io featuring:
🔹 Trade - spot market with deep liquidity
🔹 Free trading bots - automate your strategies
🔹 DeFi platform - full decentralized ecosystem
🔹 Provide liquidity -  earn fees from AMM pools
🔹 Farm & stake - passive income made easy
🔹 Credit offers - on-chain collateralized lending

✅ Optimized & Blazing-Fast Performance

Trade faster. Trade privately. Trade with confidence.
👉 https://trade.xbts.io

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

🤖 Grid Bot - EXCLUSIVE to XBTS!
We're thrilled to launch the XBTS Grid Automaton - a next-gen trading bot available to EVERY trader. For free!

Choose your strategy:
🏔 Mountain - for stable, established markets
⚖️ Neutral - balanced for steady swings
🏞 Valley - for volatile markets

How it works:
On every fill, the bot rebalances your portfolio and leans into the deficit asset:
• Quote-heavy (more USDT) → bigger BUYs
• Base-heavy (more BTS) → bigger SELLs

All clamped to your fund caps and balances. Safe and Automated.

Why trade with XBTS Grid Bot?
✅ Completely FREE - no subscriptions
✅ All Cryptos - pick your strategy
✅ One-click grid setup + live visualizer
✅ Realized PnL tracking + CSV export
✅ Available to EVERYONE - right now

The Grid Bot is based on DEXBot2 and has been rebuilt and enhanced, now available exclusively in the XBTS trading interface. Big thanks to @bench1 for the support!

👉Grid bot: https://trade.xbts.io/bot
Put your assets to work🚀

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
New UI https://trade.xbts.io
DEX https://ex.xbts.io
DeFi https://app.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

BIG NEWS: A NEW ERA STARTS WITH A NEW COLOR. 🎨
Hey, XBTS community! 👋
We're kicking off the countdown to the MAJOR platform update with the first visible change. And it's not just cosmetic - it's a statement.

We've updated our signature color. 🔵➡️🟢
This vibrant turquoise isn't just a fresh coat of paint. It symbolizes our shift toward a smoother, more fluid, and user-friendly experience - exactly what you'll see in the upcoming all-in-one interface.

What's coming? 🛠
We are building a single powerful hub for:
✅ Spot Trading
✅ DeFi Pools
✅ Staking
✅ Trading Bots
✅ Simplified Support Tickets

Plus, a completely redesigned official website to match.
And here's the best part: We are keeping all the old interfaces active. You'll always have the freedom to choose how you trade. 💚

The XBTS evolution starts now.
More announcements are on the way.

💬 Join the discussion: https://t.me/xbtsio  
🌐Preview the  new interface: https://trade.xbts.io

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Web https://xbts.io
DEX https://ex.xbts.io
DeFi https://app.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!

[EuropaSH]

SMARTHOLDER STAKING Regular Blockchain Payouts Report for the period from May 1 to  June 1, 2026
➡️XBTS Staking https://app.xbts.io/#/smartholder

💎Multiply your cryptocurrencies, no matter what the crypto market does!

Lock your $STH for 1/3/6/12 months and earn a share of trading fees from our decentralized exchange.
📊 Fee Source: 50% of all XBTS DEX trading fees.
🗓 Payout Schedule: 1st and 15th of every month.

💰 Receive BTC, ETH, USDT & 20+ cryptos. Rewards are paid in all tokens traded on the exchange.
🔄Your share depends on your stake vs total pool.

🔒 Secure & Transparent: BitShares-based vesting transactions.
💸After the lock period ends - unlock your STH and do whatever you want with them👍

💵Earn Passive Income with Smart Staking!

FAQ https://app.xbts.io/#/faq

XBTS Cross-Chain Dex & DeFi
Web https://xbts.io
DEX https://ex.xbts.io
DeFi https://app.xbts.io
Safely! Instantly! Simply!