Author Topic: How committed is the community to bitsharesX as opposed to the next "DAC"?  (Read 19924 times)

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Offline fussyhands

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Any BitShares Y DAC would honor BitShares X so buying BTSX is getting a cut in any other DACs that leverage that technology.   

Of course BitShares Y would have new features funded by new capital and thus likely dilute BTSX holders when upgrading but BTSX would continue on its own. 

So betting on BTSX is betting on all DACs derived from it (to some extent).

Developers own a lot of BTSX so they have reason to see it grow.

This seems very nebulous to me.  What does it mean that they would honor BTSX?

More importantly, as I just wrote in another message "The value of the coin is only secondarily related to technology, and primarily related to how many other people have adopted it, and therefore how useful it is for transactions.  I don't want to invest in a coin whose developers are *planning* to dilute its network effects by creating competitors."

The reason Bitcoin is so valuable right now despite its inferior technology is because it has experienced radically more adoption than any of its competitors, and that makes it about a zillion times more useful (and as the front runner, people are betting that it will continue to experience more adoption).  What can I use a ripple/litcoin/bitshareX for in the real world?  Basically nothing.  But I can buy actual stuff with Bitcoin.  Will litecoin ever experience mainstream adoption?  I doubt it.  It basically does nothing that Bitcoin doesn't already do, so people will just use Bitcoin instead.  Bitshare X *does* do something that Bitcoin doesn't already do, so it has a chance of widespread adoption, but not if it's community is going to release a stream of competitors that dilute it's network effects.

Offline toast

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Are you familiar with the snapshot concept? BM addressed above how btsx holder value is preserved even if a successor is announced

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Offline fussyhands

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  It makes it sound like bitsharesX is just a one particular set of DACs, but that the core developers and perhaps the community are not committed to working towards bitsharesX becoming the main way of moving money around, making mobile retail payments, etc.

I am curious how did you get to that conclusion?
-Was it from the fact that the whole dev team is working well more than 8h a day on it, and in my observation 6 (and quite likely 7) days a week.
-Was it from to fact that some of that team have promising DAC's of their own, that are left for later, while BTSX is rapidly developed.
-Is it due to versions coming every 2 to 4 days.
-was it due to the fact that new features (and significantly new) are coming at least once a week.

It's partly due to the fact that as a newbie, it's *extremely* hard to understand how all these DACs fit together and it isn't explained anywhere.  I think there should be an investment page on the wiki that lays it all out.

At any rate, if I'm investing in BitShares X it's because I am hoping that it will become the leading cryptocurrency, and that as the most widely used cryptocurrency it will have the greatest utility through network effects, and that this will drive demand, and the price will rise dramatically due to pairing increasing demand and fixed supply.

But if the plan is to create BitShares Y, BitShares Z, etc. then why will BitShares X be valuable?  For one, dramatic increases in price depend on fixed supply, so creating new coins with similar mind share will spread the demand.  Secondly, for long term success a coin needs to benefit from economic network effects.  That is why people are betting on Bitcoin even though it's technology is inferior.  The value of the coin is only secondarily related to technology, and primarily related to how many other people have adopted it, and therefore how useful it is for transactions.  I don't want to invest in a coin whose developers are *planning* to dilute its network effects by creating competitors.

Does that answer you question?  I understand that the community is working hard on BitsharesX right now.  But is the plan to make a succession of competitors?  If so, the future of BitsharesX looks bleak compared to Bitcoin...

Offline nomoreheroes7

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  It makes it sound like bitsharesX is just a one particular set of DACs, but that the core developers and perhaps the community are not committed to working towards bitsharesX becoming the main way of moving money around, making mobile retail payments, etc.

I am curious how did you get to that conclusion?
-Was it from the fact that the whole dev team is working well more than 8h a day on it, and in my observation 6 (and quite likely 7) days a week.
-Was it from to fact that some of that team have promising DAC's of their own, that are left for later, while BTSX is rapidly developed.
-Is it due to versions coming every 2 to 4 days.
-was it due to the fact that new features (and significantly new) are coming at least once a week.

I understand where he's coming from. A team entirely committed to making one thing great (BTSX) is better than a team diluted to many different projects. I personally have seen more commitment to the BTSX DAC and feel it has greater potential, so that is where I'm mostly invested. I did grab around $150 worth of AGS a couple months back, though, just in case some really nice DACs come along...but mostly I'm sticking to BTSX.

Offline xeroc

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I am curious how did you get to that conclusion?
-Was it from the fact that the whole dev team is working well more than 8h a day on it, and in my observation 6 (and quite likely 7) days a week.
-Was it from to fact that some of that team have promising DAC's of their own, that are left for later, while BTSX is rapidly developed.
-Is it due to versions coming every 2 to 4 days.
-was it due to the fact that new features (and significantly new) are coming at least once a week.
Nice way to remind all of us how grateful we can be of our dev team (and the community, how is available 24/7 to answer questions in the forum!)

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Offline tonyk

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  It makes it sound like bitsharesX is just a one particular set of DACs, but that the core developers and perhaps the community are not committed to working towards bitsharesX becoming the main way of moving money around, making mobile retail payments, etc.

I am curious how did you get to that conclusion?
-Was it from the fact that the whole dev team is working well more than 8h a day on it, and in my observation 6 (and quite likely 7) days a week.
-Was it from to fact that some of that team have promising DAC's of their own, that are left for later, while BTSX is rapidly developed.
-Is it due to versions coming every 2 to 4 days.
-was it due to the fact that new features (and significantly new) are coming at least once a week.
Lack of arbitrage is the problem, isn't it. And this 'should' solves it.

Offline matt608

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I'd be curious to see replies to this too.  I've just bought more BTSX and decided against buying PTS as right now it would involve keeping up with and understanding every single dac released, though I will continue to investigate them and may change my mind. 

It seems to me that a decentralized exchange for bitassets in the form of bit-currencies (bitUSD etc), bit-commodities (bitGLD etc) and even potentially a stock market (bitGOOG etc) is a huge prospect. PTS seems like a separate thing, smaller, cool and requiring an equally large time-investment to understand them all.

I'm still not sure whether DACs released to PTS holders benefit BTSX holders...

Offline bytemaster

Any BitShares Y DAC would honor BitShares X so buying BTSX is getting a cut in any other DACs that leverage that technology.   

Of course BitShares Y would have new features funded by new capital and thus likely dilute BTSX holders when upgrading but BTSX would continue on its own. 

So betting on BTSX is betting on all DACs derived from it (to some extent).

Developers own a lot of BTSX so they have reason to see it grow.
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Offline fussyhands

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I'm still wrapping my mind around the whole bitshares thing, and trying to decide if it makes sense to invest.

I see a lot of technological innovation that I'm excited about in bitsharesX (faster confirmation times, more secure network, no wasted energy mining, account names, greater anonymity, etc.) and I am encourage by its rapid ascent.

However, I'm confused by the whole DAC and protoshares thing.  It makes it sound like bitsharesX is just a one particular set of DACs, but that the core developers and perhaps the community are not committed to working towards bitsharesX becoming the main way of moving money around, making mobile retail payments, etc.

From an investing perspective this is concerning.  A cryptocoin is only worth as much as its mind-share and momentum.  Bitcoin's market cap is 100x bitshareX's because of its first mover advantage, and the hope that a cryptocoin could replace some of the antiquated financial infrastructure we are currently stuck with.  People are building the infrastructure necessary to get Bitcoin at ATMs, pay at retail establishments with Bitcoin, integrate Bitcoin seamlessly into e-commerce channels, etc.  Very little of this kind of work is being done for any altcoin, but an altcoin with a sufficiently superior technology might have a shot at making it to the mainstream.

bitsharesX seems like it might bring enough technological improvement to have a shot.  But if the core developers and community are going to move on to bitsharesY (a hypothetical new DAC) in a year then bitsharesX doesn't seem like a good bet.

Is bitsharesX the one to bet on, or should I wait for bitsharesY?  Does my concern make any sense?  Am I totally misunderstanding something important?