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Messages - okidoki

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46
General Discussion / Re: Interest on BitUSD - A Proposal for Review
« on: September 06, 2014, 02:42:32 pm »
What about the original idea of shorters paying interest to the longs - is that lo longer workable? I always thought that was nice and simple because you could charge a fixed amount from shorters relative to how long the short position was open for.

Yeah... I thought this as well... why not fix 5% interest from shorters?
What also could be done is a combination of both.... so the sales pitch would be 5% fix + x% variable...

For now I would just love to be able to install 0.4.12 on windows 8.1 or linux. Windows returns an error that it cannot be run and linux does not compile...

47
Yes sorry, I'm new to trading, thanks for explanation, I used arbitrage wrong.

It doesn't help establish peg though. If there are 10x more people that want to short than want to own BitAssets then it will trade below the peg.

Edit: Unless you do what they do now. Even better if they introduce interest to attract demand for owning BitAssets

No problem,  this is why THIS inefficient market trades below the peg, if it was the other way round it would trade above. But please guys... do not kill this project by banning the market, like you are doing now. It is soooo unnecessary. This project proved to work last week. I was really excited! Now I can only pray that bytemaster wakes up. If everybody shows him that he is wrong by governing the market, than I have hope he strips this shit regulation out of the code again and makes us all multi-millionaires.

48
The only problem is, that by halting the market bytemaster is making the shareprice go down... which is shitty for investors... I know that bytemaster is brilliant in many ways... I am simply disappointed that he thinks regulation helps to make the market move where he wants it to be...

I think your stuff is wrong.

The problem is there are consistently more shorts than longs.

So at 0.9 you weren't underpaying for a BitUSD you were paying the likely average price even 3 months from now.

Traders would not make it trade closer to the peg they would only tighten up that $0.85-0.95 trading range

Introducing the price feed that limits shorts (or a collateral system) does help the peg.

The problem is that there is very little demand @1-1  (I.e a dead market hence the need for interest.)

Sorry oasis... it does not work like this... I can make money if I buy at 0.85. Because doing the arbitrage costs money... especially in a still illiquid market. the more liquid it gets, the less it costs me, the less spread is needed, until it is exactly 1:1 in a superliquid market with small bid/ask spreads and low exchange commissions. But if you do not allow the market to start working you kill it like now.

The market worked just fine in the beginning... but by putting in these childish regulations now you do not have a market anymore, until you get rid of this government/regulation stuff... The good thing is that bytemaster, our governor, can simply get rid of this regulation stuff and make the market free again. If he does not do it, he will kill this project he worked so hard for.

Yes before you could make money buying @ 0.85 and selling at 0.95 even up to 1-1, so there were trading & arbitrage opportunities but because of the big orange wall on the right and the small green wall on the left, BitAssets will trade below the peg for a long time and if the peg isn't established then the system may not work.

In the new current system you can still make money by arbitrage, because it only limits shorting below the peg I think? But people can still buy and sell at different prices once BitUSD is created.

I agree that it creates a very small market now but I don't think old way was solution.
Solution is offering interest at 1-1 then many buyers, big market.


This is not arbitrage, this is speculation. By arbitrage I mean to buy bitUSD and immediately buy bitshares-x for these bitUSD on an exchange. Ending up with more bitshares-x instantly. That is why I am a proponent of BTSX:bitUSD market on Bter.com in order to make this process more efficient and let arbitrage costs come down. Liquidity will only come to these markets if you can earn money... with a 1:1 peg, no arbitrage is possible only speculation, where you buy today and hope that in a week the price goes up to sell it again. In arbitrage you do it in 5 minutes across several pairs at the moment, which costs money and gives you bad prices because of missing liquidity in between, so that is why there is/was a gap. As these costs are not accounted for at the moment there is no market at the moment, until bytemaster changes his mind.

49
The only problem is, that by halting the market bytemaster is making the shareprice go down... which is shitty for investors... I know that bytemaster is brilliant in many ways... I am simply disappointed that he thinks regulation helps to make the market move where he wants it to be...

I dont believe he is doing it due to regulation.  I think it may have just been a development error, this is trial and error remember.  I would like to hear his opinion, ill message him, and can some people do the same or get him to answer please.

He IS the regulator. No government forces him. He is the the governor of bitshares-x. Guys, please wake up and let us go back to free markets. PLEASE!

50
You want to short USD? Nobody is stopping you! Enter your short below the peg is now equivalent to entering a stop order. When the market rate hits your short price, you'll get your coveted short position.

Sent from my SCH-S720C using Tapatalk 2

What I see is there is no market rate if orders overlap like what I saw yesterday and today in the screenshots here... The market rate is not the 1:1 peg with prices provided by delegates, but for what people are trying to pay for it. By halting the market like now you do not help the project. WE NEED VOLUME! And you will not get it if you do not allow people to trade at the prices they are willing to pay.

51
The only problem is, that by halting the market bytemaster is making the shareprice go down... which is shitty for investors... I know that bytemaster is brilliant in many ways... I am simply disappointed that he thinks regulation helps to make the market move where he wants it to be...

I think your stuff is wrong.

The problem is there are consistently more shorts than longs.

So at 0.9 you weren't underpaying for a BitUSD you were paying the likely average price even 3 months from now.

Traders would not make it trade closer to the peg they would only tighten up that $0.85-0.95 trading range

Introducing the price feed that limits shorts (or a collateral system) does help the peg.

The problem is that there is very little demand @1-1  (I.e a dead market hence the need for interest.)

Sorry oasis... it does not work like this... I can make money if I buy at 0.85. Because doing the arbitrage costs money... especially in a still illiquid market. the more liquid it gets, the less it costs me, the less spread is needed, until it is exactly 1:1 in a superliquid market with small bid/ask spreads and low exchange commissions. But if you do not allow the market to start working you kill it like now.

The market worked just fine in the beginning... but by putting in these childish regulations now you do not have a market anymore, until you get rid of this government/regulation stuff... The good thing is that bytemaster, our governor, can simply get rid of this regulation stuff and make the market free again. If he does not do it, he will kill this project he worked so hard for.

52
The only problem is, that by halting the market bytemaster is making the shareprice go down... which is shitty for investors... I know that bytemaster is brilliant in many ways... I am simply disappointed that he thinks regulation helps to make the market move where he wants it to be...

53
their is money to be had if people short  look in the 33-35 btsx/bitUSD range their a a few orders for a couple of g's.

I do agree though the market is dead now. Not sure if we need more incentive to make bitUSD have more value(interest?) or a better matching system. I think it's the matching system.
In the picture below the buy is willing to pay 31.55 btsx per bitUSD and the seller is only wanting 28.5715 btsx per bitUSD.......Someone tell me I am reading this wrong so I will feel better :'(


I said that all along... Government regulation kills the markets, but Bytemaster did not even respond... now we have this regulation-sh...t implemented and we see the results... no market whatsoever and everybody frustrated stopping putting orders. Please get rid of this regulation and let the market be free again... I hope that now not even more regulations will be passed, like force converting of some of the bitsharesx holdings to bitlongs and bitshorts... This would mean forcefully crashing the value of this endeavour... Just let the market participants freely trade and make arbitrage profits. PPPLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEAAASSEEEEEEEEEE!!!

Sir okidoki , what are you referring to as government regulation?  How has Bytemaster complied with the regulation and killed the market.  Moreso it is probably a function of GUI development and coding backend, not government regulation.

Will you please next type use bold, or blue, red is hard on the eyes.

Great post though  +5%

In this case Bytemaster is playing the regulator/government, he and his team have established that the system does not clear orders at another free market price which the market wants to give it... He is forcing that only orders are cleared at a price established by the delegates. So he basically has eliminated arbitrage profits, effectively banning the market makers. I thought than in this cryptoworld we had free market people? It is absolutely fine for a market to trade the bitUSD at other prices below or above the 1:1. If you buy any other asset bitGLD, the market should treat a bitUSD as 1 USD. If the price differs they can earn money with the bitGLD position (if bitGLD rises)+ Arbitrage profits for the bitUSD, because the price of bitUSD is determined by the price of bitshares... if someone does ignore this they stand to loose money, and someone else to earn something.

If I cannot earn money buying bitUSD cheap <1 USD, 1 will not buy it. That simple. So that is why the volume has halted... But I think sooner or later bytemaster will understand it. Perhaps it takes 2 weeks of a dead market, but ultimately he will see that the market was a lot more vivid before he put regulations in place.

54
Here is something BTSX HODLers need to understand. If the peg doesn't work your BTSX is worthless. So everyone has vested interest in providing liquidity to make the peg as close as possible. Simple as that.

Please do not be so obsessed with an instant 1:1 peg. Market makers have to enter... and they will only enter if there is money to be made... for this the bitUSD:USD exchange rate has to be different at the beginning... you have to give this time...

55
their is money to be had if people short  look in the 33-35 btsx/bitUSD range their a a few orders for a couple of g's.

I do agree though the market is dead now. Not sure if we need more incentive to make bitUSD have more value(interest?) or a better matching system. I think it's the matching system.
In the picture below the buy is willing to pay 31.55 btsx per bitUSD and the seller is only wanting 28.5715 btsx per bitUSD.......Someone tell me I am reading this wrong so I will feel better :'(


I said that all along... Government regulation kills the markets, but Bytemaster did not even respond... now we have this regulation-sh...t implemented and we see the results... no market whatsoever and everybody frustrated stopping putting orders. Please get rid of this regulation and let the market be free again... I hope that now not even more regulations will be passed, like force converting of some of the bitsharesx holdings to bitlongs and bitshorts... This would mean forcefully crashing the value of this endeavour... Just let the market participants freely trade and make arbitrage profits. PPPLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEAAASSEEEEEEEEEE!!!


56
General Discussion / Re: Support BitUSD Price by Forced Covering at a Profit
« on: September 01, 2014, 12:47:45 am »
So this discussion is mostly focused on "how do we make a peg work in a thin market".

...without thinning the market more :-)

Yes, please do not complicate this market with lots of regulations and profit limits for arbitrages, and strange policies like only people who are long bitUSD can short for the same amount... If I had a position and saw it forcefully closed I would say: "What shit is this??@!" Also if I have to be long and short at the same time, I do not enter the market at all. You eliminate all the profit!!

Also market feeds do not reflect sudden -50% to +90% price moves of the value of BitShares X!!

Let the people make their bets and introduce another market on Bter in order to increment the transparency of the market and let the arbitrage work. PLEASE!!! This will help the market to be attractive for traders and give it more and more liquidity. You have to give it some time....

57
My first impression is this is totally unnecessary.  Bob knows he has to buy back that dollar sometime, and there will be a lot of Bobs.  Alice knows if bob runs out of collateral he is forced to buy it back at fair price.

It also gives too much power to the price feed.  I wouldn't use the price feed for anything other than eliminating new shorts below the feed price.

Agreed... this is too much power for the price feed. Also one has to take into mind that the price feed will not be updated each second... so if there is a sudden drop n the price of bitsharesx the whole market gets screwed up.

Please let the market move freely. Let people allow to make money with arbitrage. If there is no money to be made with arbitrage than people will not look at that market.

Government solutions and regulation never work. Even if it sounds reasonable at first sight.

What would be great is having an BTSX:bitUSD market at bter.com. This way arbitrage would get a lot easier. One can buy bitUSD in the bitasharesx client and then sell it on bter for more bitshares and repeat this until prices are the same. The people who buy the bitUSD at bter can sell them for USD. Other people could arbitrage selling bitsharesX for USD and buying the bitUSD necessary for buying shares if the bitUSD price for the shares is lower...

58
Please do not make this a "government" controlled market. With this you would destroy any arbitrage opportunities.

Please read this:
http://www.reddit.com/r/BitShares/comments/2exj8j/why_i_am_really_positive_surprised_how_well_the/

I also think that there should be several bitUSD markets at different interest rates (1%,2%,3%,4%,5%,10% and 20%). I perhaps do not save at one bank which pays me 0.1%, but going to another bank which pays me 15% I perhaps would save in USD... So just create the markets and let the markets decide and earn money with arbitrage.

I know that in the short run this would split the few buyers to different interest rates, but I surely would not hold bitUSD at 5% interest.... instead I would prefer to do arbitrage. But I will not do arbitrage if the total volume is 10 USD.

Hell, this would be really interesting if I think about it... a bitUSD without interest should equal more or less 1 USD (as in the normal USD the interest is zero forever), at 5% it should be percentagewise higher that a USD until the market expects the USD to have 5% as well of interest... if they expect it in 1 year to be 5% and stay like this forever than the bitUSD5 would cost now 1.05, any price below would create arbitrage opportunities.

But perhaps creating additional markets would be too complicated for the normal user... perhaps better to stay with one market and the fixed rate. I just want to say that an USD which pays 1% interest is not the same like a USD which pays 5% or 10% interest, and where this price has to be paid by the shorter, he cares as well.

So really... please focus on bug fixes and leave the bitUSD market (or any other market on bitshares-x) alone... you would kill the conecept if you do any intervention... and surely therefor you will loose investors in bitshares-X which will depress the price of the shares.

59
Please focus on fixing bugs first, give the system time to mature.

Limiting the downside to 90% will inhibit price discovery and free markets.

I believe Bitshares is supposed to operate as a free market, without any outside interference. This scheme will create a feeling of a Bitshares central bank that is monitoring and controlling the system.

What will help the system grow will be making arbitrage easier. If there is easy creation of arbitrage bots and automated market makers, then this should work.

Many financial brokers offer CFD, cash for difference instruments, which operate exactly like the bitassets, except the brokers act as a market maker in them, and uses underlying financial markets to hedge the instruments. If we make hedging easy, then automated market makers and arbitrage bots should fulfill that role.

Apologize for lack of understanding and knowledge, been casually following this forum, and do hold BTSX.

Against this suggestion.

I agree with this too, but i also understand the anxiety that if we miss the opportunity make people believe that 1 bitusd = 1 usd then it might be lost for ever. Is it worth discussing this proposal as a plan b to be implemented only if near parity is not reached by xx/xx/xxxx or if the bitusd falls below xx usd? Just having it in place and tested, ready to go at a moments notice could help them aline.

If it falls too low than do your arbitrage and make money on the spot or let someone else do it... if money can be made somebody will do it at some point... earnings have just to be interesting enough. I do not see a death spiral between bitUSD going lower and bitsharesX-price falling as a consequence until both are 0 :D

60
Please do not make this a "government" controlled market. With this you would destroy any arbitrage opportunities.

Please read this:
http://www.reddit.com/r/BitShares/comments/2exj8j/why_i_am_really_positive_surprised_how_well_the/

I also think that there should be several bitUSD markets at different interest rates (1%,2%,3%,4%,5%,10% and 20%). I perhaps do not save at one bank which pays me 0.1%, but going to another bank which pays me 15% I perhaps would save in USD... So just create the markets and let the markets decide and earn money with arbitrage.

I know that in the short run this would split the few buyers to different interest rates, but I surely would not hold bitUSD at 5% interest.... instead I would prefer to do arbitrage. But I will not do arbitrage if the total volume is 10 USD.

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