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Messages - Empirical1.1

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241
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 24, 2014, 09:21:56 pm »
Quote
This is getting nuts. I am starting to doubt my investment.

You are not the only one...This community used to be united...We used to have one goal and now we start dividing and competing... We have lost many early supporters and we create confusions all the time to new and old investors...

We better do something about that quickly or else we WILL become like the rest of the shitcoins out there and once we go down that road and get stigmatised like another coin that got pumped for 1 week after 1 year of waiting and dumped thereafter, then there is no coming back no matter how great BTS could have been...

Now this is the time to start building confidence again people...

Just wait 2-3 days and let the developers take some time off from the heat. Then we make a thread demanding that bitshares delegates only test on a BTS-sharedrop-only testnet. We can also ask for the official newsletter not to mention PTS (like the Chinese already did) and ask for the PTS forum to be removed. This situation can easily be fixed and isn't a big deal, there's no need to panic.

I think the underlying reason why people are freaking out in this thread has nothing to do with PTS, but is caused by frustration with the lack of marketing and low market cap.

The situation with PTS can easily be solved. The developers will listen to us, their stakeholders, just like they have always done.

Marketing will start in January, and it's gonna be good. EUR and USD Gateways will be coming too.

Don't panic.
+5%
However I do hope that decisions like PTS censorship will be voted for on the blockchain. And not just by the guys who are active on this forum.

I seriously don't understand what all the fuzz is about. PTS is the first (crypto) share drop token (created by III) and pretty damn effective at it. If anything the PTS succes, should be a motivation for BTS holders.

 +5% for deciding things on the blockchain not just loud forum voices.

242
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 24, 2014, 08:46:31 pm »
This is getting nuts. I am starting to doubt my investment.

It's all about perspective...

You could also say BTS is the 4th largest crypto in the world. Despite not even releasing  1.0 yet, having very little marketing to date and despite having a lot of big PR snafus in the last few months.
Currently a lot of development is going on and that's despite hardly any of the delegate positions being filled... BTS could be a formidable, unstoppable DAC once it gets off the blocks again.

I have a much lower % investment in BTS, than some other DACs but a much higher $ amount.

So I'm bullish on BTS though not as much as I was on BTSX early Oct, I was happy to bet the farm on that for the next 12 months.

I think it's important to hedge your bets & it's fairly cheap to do so. I'm uncertain whether the community is better served by pushing out every competitor DAC or attempting to keep a greater BitShares brand together in some form.

Bitshares has already cornered the bitasset market. We have 1 million bitUSD and decent liquidity. There is zero chance PTS will be able to threaten us in this area. Their lack inflation means they have no means to advertise the products to real users, and they will only ever appeal to investors who think there's a bigger chance it will get sharedropped on than BTS (which admittedly our own developers have now set a really bad precedent for - but we will be able to fix that easily).

Once we start getting gateways after 1.0 you'll see there's no chance they will catch up as a trading DAC.

That's like saying Bitcoin has a $3 Billion CAP and a monopoly position and they can never be threatened. I agree it's unlikely though especially if BTS retains BM.

Regards advertising their products, I've already offered them my BitAsset video, http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iygIMZL-H-8 instead rebranded for PTS for free if they considered adding BitAssets. That's my first video in 6 years, they will get better and I'd happily create a package of videos and commercials for them to cover all markets. Not much in the grand scheme of things but the point is people will work for less/free for projects they're more ideologically aligned too or were as to get a bigger % in for cheaper, so I wouldn't write  them off completely.

BitReserve realising their business model is pretty weak and they'd do better forking BTSX and directing their business and marketing talents towards building something like that concurrently & creating synergies with their current model is a bigger threat though imo.

243
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 24, 2014, 08:23:03 pm »
The jury is also still out   on whether people want an all bells and whistles blockchain to store value or just a robust BitAsset focused, limited changes blockchain backed by a no inflation crypto-currency. In which case PTS may mainly just need to add BitAssets in the future.

Well look at that. First, DPOS PTS is just an update to the POW PTS, nothing more. Then we are just interested in it because it is a non-inflationary store of value (but still gets to benefit off the technological development of BitShares paid for by dilution of BTS). And, now there is talks of perhaps adding BitAssets as well?

Your post perfectly shows what happens when we fork the community into a different token. No matter what people claim, human greed will always cause us to compete with one another. It is inevitable. People need to realize this and not just assume that PTS will aspire to nothing more than a small non-threatening sharedrop token that provides advertising for BitShares. Same goes for Sparkle by the way.

You are absolutely right about every DAC being a threat. If BitShares Music is a 'hit' it's possible that their BitAsset will easily surpass BTS and they could add more and take that market. Same goes for BitShares PLAY. As far as I know, whereas BTS still has to rebuild a lot of bridges to regain faith in the Chinese community who are far and away the biggest supporters, PLAY's reputation is still intact and they have a Chinese lead developer, so it's possible it will become very popular and displace BTS in other areas.

The consolidating network effect idea sounded plausible at merger time and I still think it was critical to have BM focused on one thing. (Him leaving BTSX would have crushed it imo and VOTE has low/no short term value, so BitShares could have been finished.) However I think BTSX is stronger on it's own blockchain, I think DNS is probably stronger on it's own blockchain too. I think BTS will struggle to define and market itself compared to bespoke blockchains and businesses.

So I don't think the solution is to chase off every other DPOS business but rather try get a stake in them as was the original plan. Create synergies where possible and cannabilise each other where not, hedge your bets. The only thing is that BM makes up such a big chunk of the value that him moving to another DAC, which you've correctly said, could be a potential competitor would crush whatever DAC BM was leaving unless he waited till it was at a much later stage of development, hence the need for one main BM focused BTS in that sense.

244
General Discussion / Re: How to lure top devs into being hired by BitShares
« on: December 24, 2014, 07:57:56 pm »
I think BitShares is probably more in need of a really good business consultant at this stage.

It could also use a good, general, guiding business plan. 

If BTS gets the PR & vision right though, I think there will be a lot of cachet and kudos associated with being a known delegate that will help attract development talent for less than market value too.

245
General Discussion / Re: 2 new video's on bitAssets and shorts
« on: December 24, 2014, 07:42:15 pm »
Even though I use the client semi-often, this video really reminded me how awesome BitAssets are.
The speed and fluency with which you can trade on a decentralised blockchain from an account you can set up with so little hassle is just an incredible achievement. It's really the best thing since sliced bread.

246
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 24, 2014, 07:26:12 pm »


If you are going to announce a DAC distribution for something you think the market will give a reasonable value, then you can be reasonably confident that a <$5 million DAC will respond positively to the news vs. a large DAC who's overall value may not move noticeably.

Devs can also acquire a larger % long term stake for less by share dropping on a lower stake coin.

Therefore it's very likely some developers will continue to sharedrop on DAC supportive lower CAP coins too. PTS will be the market leader in that price range as it has proven to be a market acceptable sharedrop token.

This is true.  But it's basically arguing that because PTS is easily manipulated, it's a good sharedrop target becasue Devs can sneak in a higher allocation to themselves using the insider info about the drop.  If the investor population was educated about this, dropping on PTS would be seen as blatent manipulation and a dishonest move.  As you say BTS price is less effected by sharedrop announcements so it forces dev honesty in terms of how much they will get themselves. 

The bigger the market cap, the less important the insider info is.  In future drops devs wont be able to get away with low market cap drops without having to undergo the scrutiny of why they chose to drop on a coin so easily manipulated.

Maybe we should demand that our delegates only use a new 100% BTS sharedropped testnet for testing. They do work for us after all. 3rd party devs are free to use whichever testnet they prefer then, the current PTS/AGS testnet already exists and won't go away.

 +5% 

And agreed with politeness + not being pitch forky. 

Disagreements must be encouraged to be shared and discussed, in order to prevent centralisation in thinking.  We are the roots of the BitShares tree, we must extend out far in different directions to build a firm foundation for healthy growth, dependency on any leaders is a weakness.  Diversity within an ecosystem is strength.  We don't want to create competing DACs, but we do want ideas to compete within BTS.

Good analysis. Medium to long term, I'm sure PTS will hope to have a much high value though.
So it gets to be the sharedrop choice because it's been so far and because it currently has the advantages I mentioned and then in future even as it's value grows it keeps that position as it's now the de facto DAC savvy sharedrop token.

Whereas the last PTS was a hollow vessel, slow as hell POW, PTS will be a profitable no inflation DPOS with it's own leaders, principles and vision.  So the Sharedrops will be an advertisement that brings in potential new customers and it can hopefully also become a valuable crypto-currency in its own right.

As the no.2 DPOS like LiteCoin or Stellar it may get to track BTS's success and if BTS fails for reasons other than technical, PTS may have a chance of replacing BTS. (At $200 million CAP BTSX would have had a respectable budget just from fees and once the key development is done over the next 24 months that may be sufficient to maintain a competitive, profitable blockchain. The jury is also still out   on whether people want an all bells and whistles blockchain to store value or just a robust BitAsset focused, limited changes blockchain backed by a no inflation crypto-currency. In which case PTS may mainly just need to add BitAssets in the future.)

247
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 24, 2014, 06:05:07 pm »
Well said rune. It's pretty shocking to me that the devs still haven't realized just how bad of an idea sharedropping DVS to them really was. What can you do except vote against it I guess, but I doubt that'll have an impact at this point.

Sometimes it truly does feel like the devs don't have the full interests of BTS in mind...as matt608 put it, they're freelancing to help competitor chains -- PTS in this instance.

What a joke.

Oh, I missed that they gave DevShares to PTS. I own a lot of PTS for other reasons, so I'm biased for it. But yes that was an obviously poor business decision that DVS dropped to PTS.

If it wasn't for the Chinese PR team, BTS could already be much more seriously impaired as a viable business and this just gives them one more problem.

@arhag, they're rebranding to drop the BitShares at least, and changing the name possibly to protons  but still keeping the PTS ticker.

http://pts.cubeconnex.com/index.php?topic=109.0

248
General Discussion / Re: Brian Page (MktDirector) Is Moving On
« on: December 24, 2014, 07:11:23 am »
I expect 2015 will bring more opportunity to engage media as their curiousity rises.

It will be funny if we need to get Brian Page back for that part. IMHO, handling media was one of his strong points.

maybe i am doing Brian wrong, but with which evidence do you say this? If this is the case, i think it would not needed for him to stepping down. We would already have seen good interviews in none Bitcoin related magazines with Dan etc. . And don't come with 1.0 . Ethereum get this kind of thing without much that is function.

Maybe he means he comes across well.  I think Brian is very personable. I would have like to see him presenting some short simple videos this last year. I think Max does a great job explaining things too, probably better as he seems to understand everything more.

His much did he get paid?

A lot. $100k and I think I heard he had an assistant at one point too plus I assume he still gets BTS bonus payments as the CAP increases. It would be great if NullStreet had a few more crumbs to work with, they've been working with only a couple of bucks up to now.

249
General Discussion / Re: Delegates Should Have a Business Plan
« on: December 24, 2014, 06:55:51 am »
I definitely agree with delegates having better business plans but I don't think I'm necessarily a fan of trying to monetize everything. Even though I'm very dilution conservative, I think the user experience is critical & I think it would be far more beneficial if our top sites, light and mobile wallets were  generally free from unnecessary advertising and fees kept competitively low. It would even be nice if there were some over-arching branding elements so that interacting with BTS would seem more like a seamless, cohesive, professional experience than how users currently interact with Bitcoin imo.

250
Just let me publish a feed for all the entries on coinmarketcap...

Its a simple formula, really:

BTS = 10*(BTC = 100*(XRP = 1000*(LTC = ...

 8)

Congratulations Stan, you're the fourth winner in the 10 * 5 BITUSD Christmas give away.
PM me your BTS account and I'll send you your price.

Your amusement is reward enough for me!   :) 
Please send my winnings to your favorite project on NullStreet.

Great, your generosity is truly in the Christmas spirit.
It seems another familiar name, is thereby the winner.

Congrats Empirical1.1, thanks for what you've done on your recent project.

Thanks, unfortunately I cannot accept your award, while currently using BitShares branding my video/s may not ultimately be released under BTS. You will find a lot of worthy winners at NullStreet though. A lot of people doing selfless, valuable work there.

251
General Discussion / Re: 2 new video's on bitAssets and shorts
« on: December 24, 2014, 03:12:24 am »
 +5% Great

252
General Discussion / Re: Baby Bo was born yesterday
« on: December 24, 2014, 02:54:23 am »
Congrats!  :)

253
General Discussion / Re: PTS - the insane gift that keeps on giving!
« on: December 23, 2014, 11:11:42 pm »
I own PTS as I really like the concept of a no inflation crypto-currency even though I expect PTS will struggle without direct funding and support.

I don't know how many independent 3rd parties will want to drop on either, but from a cynical perspective, whenever  a developer announces a sharedrop allocation they have a form of inside information, and therefore an opportunity to profit.

If you are going to announce a DAC distribution for something you think the market will give a reasonable value, then you can be reasonably confident that a <$5 million DAC will respond positively to the news vs. a large DAC who's overall value may not move noticeably.

Devs can also acquire a larger % long term stake for less by share dropping on a lower stake coin.

Therefore it's very likely some developers will continue to sharedrop on DAC supportive lower CAP coins too. PTS will be the market leader in that price range as it has proven to be a market acceptable sharedrop token.

254
Would BitShares be in a better position if the time, effort & $250 000+ spent on VOTE these last few months had been directed at developing BitAssets further?

255
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 19, 2014, 12:49:02 am »
Are we going to be overtaken by Stellar too?

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