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Messages - JonnyB

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331
General Discussion / Re: Trustless, Decentralized Bond Market Draft
« on: February 29, 2016, 07:44:37 am »
Sidechain should be implemented first, before Bond market.

Bond market is feature which will be used by tiny fraction of bitshares users. Sidechain is something which could actually bring thousands of new users which will not have to worry any longer about security of traiding their REAL bitcoins on exchange.

With 100% bitcoin collateral, this will instantly boost all BTC:XYZ markets.

Moreover... there are other exchanges which has bondmarkers. There are none exchange/cryptocurrency which has such feature like sidechain. This should be our top priority which will move Bitshares to all frontpages of services about bitcoin.

Yeah I totally agree with this. Bond market isn't a priority and Bytemaster even said in the previous hangout it is unviable until we have deep liquid markets. Sidechain for BTC would help this alot.

I really think our only focus as a community right now should be liquidity.

332

Settlement has nothing to do with liquidity (in core smartcoins like USD, EUR, CNY, etc..) IMHO

maybe I misunderstand what you're saying.
Settlement has everything to do with liquidity.  That's its only purpose. 
It guarantees up to 2% (or whatever it's set to) of daily smartcoin supply is liquid at the settlement price.

It is in effect a standing order to buy that smartcoin. (with 24 hr delay)
sure .. for that direction there is everything fine and we do have 2% of supply in instant buy orders for smartcoins ..
the liquidity issues are on the other side .. no one wants to sell his smartcoins .. not even for a 5-10% premium (depending on the actual asset) ..
simply because we don't have a big on/off ramp for bitassets ..

Forced settlement is guaranteed buy side liquidity at the peg.

I think we need some sort of guaranteed sell side liquidity at the peg+10%. This would have to come from the rerserve pool imo.

One of the benefits of @Empirical1.2's idea is that yield can be directed not only to BitUSD longs, but also to BitUSD shorts.  Also, it stands to reason that a subset of the people buying BitAssets for yield would also be interested in participating in a liquidity pool to gain additional yield.  Funds from such a pool can then be used in conjunction with funds from the reserve pool to create liquidity on both sides of the peg.
What about BMS concerns about being long and short at the same time. It artificially increases supply but not liqidity? Also there's no need for reserve pool subsidies of the buy side because of forced settlement.

Increasing BitUSD supply via yield harvesting is still a positive imo because...
 
- It removes BTS supply from centralized exchanges
- Converts many BTS holders in Smartcoin holders (the product we are trying to bootstrap)
- Converts many BTS holders into longer term yield seeking holders vs. speculators http://bytemaster.github.io/article/2016/01/04/The-Benefits-of-Proof-of-Work/
- Makes us the Crypto USD market leader by value and numbers of holders thereby making us the most lucrative market for merchants.
>70% of BTC is illiquid and hasn't moved in >6 months, but the number of holders and value of their holdings is the most lucrative crypto market and has attracted over 100 000 merchants. This utility increases liquidity and usage. http://www.ofnumbers.com/2014/11/22/approximately-70-of-all-bitcoins-have-not-moved-in-6-or-more-months/
(Whereas why would a lot of merchants want to make the effort to offer their product and services in a much smaller market with fewer users? Let's become the USD crypto market leader fast.)

Nearly all other promotions and developments cause the BTS price to fall in the short term in the hopes of creating demand in the future, dilution for yield should increase the BTS price (via increase BitUSD (BTS) demand in the short and medium term) https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21641.0.html

Incentivizing liquidity, incurs a constant cost but not necessarily constant net new demand for BTS. (Without yield many seek crypto USD only temporarily during BTC/Crypto declines.) By offering yield we will bootstrap BitUSD (in a way that should actually increase the value of BTS from the outset and be a cost that can be mitigated by shareholders if they engage in the network beneficial behaviour of yield harvesting.) 

So personally I think we should offer dilution for yield during the growth phase of the DEX as well as conservative liquidity subsidies.

I think this method may help but will likely be too expensive. It doesn't guarantee liquidity either. I much prefer the idea of providing guaranteed sell side liquidity at feed +20% funded by the reserve pool.

333

Settlement has nothing to do with liquidity (in core smartcoins like USD, EUR, CNY, etc..) IMHO

maybe I misunderstand what you're saying.
Settlement has everything to do with liquidity.  That's its only purpose. 
It guarantees up to 2% (or whatever it's set to) of daily smartcoin supply is liquid at the settlement price.

It is in effect a standing order to buy that smartcoin. (with 24 hr delay)
sure .. for that direction there is everything fine and we do have 2% of supply in instant buy orders for smartcoins ..
the liquidity issues are on the other side .. no one wants to sell his smartcoins .. not even for a 5-10% premium (depending on the actual asset) ..
simply because we don't have a big on/off ramp for bitassets ..

Forced settlement is guaranteed buy side liquidity at the peg.

I think we need some sort of guaranteed sell side liquidity at the peg+10%. This would have to come from the rerserve pool imo.

One of the benefits of @Empirical1.2's idea is that yield can be directed not only to BitUSD longs, but also to BitUSD shorts.  Also, it stands to reason that a subset of the people buying BitAssets for yield would also be interested in participating in a liquidity pool to gain additional yield.  Funds from such a pool can then be used in conjunction with funds from the reserve pool to create liquidity on both sides of the peg.
What about BMS concerns about being long and short at the same time. It artificially increases supply but not liqidity? Also there's no need for reserve pool subsidies of the buy side because of forced settlement.

334
I reached out to the owner of the proper bitshares accounts for fb and twitter.

www.twitter.com/bitshares

and

facebook.com/bitshares

He wants $3000 for both of them. It's alot of money but it's something I really think the community should own if we are to be taken seriously.
who the accounts should officially be controlled by is another issue to be decided if we do acquire them.

I'm sure I can barter with him and bring the price down more.

Please do not make contact with the owner as he will think there is stronger demand and may push the price higher.

335
General Discussion / Re: Trustless, Decentralized Bond Market Draft
« on: February 28, 2016, 07:18:25 pm »
This is to enable collateralized margin trading, not unsecured debt.

I suppose this is a new type of debt:

Unsecured debt

Secured debt.

And now.....Cryptographically secured debt

336
General Discussion / Re: Trustless, Decentralized Bond Market Draft
« on: February 28, 2016, 05:37:31 pm »
The challenge is to create a bond market where lenders can earn interest while being 100% protected against default by the borrowers. This means that at all times the blockchain must be able to cover all loans on the market.

Why 100% default protection to lenders? why not mimic traditional bond markets where lenders assume risk for payment? Interest income should come from bearing risk IMO, a necessary condition for circumspection and functioning markets.

you can already do this with UIAs, just issue a token called CYCLON100USDBOND
then issue it to who ever lends you 100 BITUSD and pay them an agreed amount of interest. the market will decide your credit worthiness.

337

Settlement has nothing to do with liquidity (in core smartcoins like USD, EUR, CNY, etc..) IMHO

maybe I misunderstand what you're saying.
Settlement has everything to do with liquidity.  That's its only purpose. 
It guarantees up to 2% (or whatever it's set to) of daily smartcoin supply is liquid at the settlement price.

It is in effect a standing order to buy that smartcoin. (with 24 hr delay)
sure .. for that direction there is everything fine and we do have 2% of supply in instant buy orders for smartcoins ..
the liquidity issues are on the other side .. no one wants to sell his smartcoins .. not even for a 5-10% premium (depending on the actual asset) ..
simply because we don't have a big on/off ramp for bitassets ..

Forced settlement is guaranteed buy side liquidity at the peg.

I think we need some sort of guaranteed sell side liquidity at the peg+10%. This would have to come from the rerserve pool imo.

excellent idea, but maybe widen that spread bc we'd be forcing a 10% range where we tend to have much higher spreads in all of our markets. spreads are a source of profit for market makers and needed to bear risk, but of course risk to those traders drops significantly with a ceiling settlement option. purely a subjective guess, but i'd say 20% for starters...maybe roll it out for a single market (USD-BTS) as a test case?

I agree, we should try this on USD:BTS  market first at +20%

338

Settlement has nothing to do with liquidity (in core smartcoins like USD, EUR, CNY, etc..) IMHO

maybe I misunderstand what you're saying.
Settlement has everything to do with liquidity.  That's its only purpose. 
It guarantees up to 2% (or whatever it's set to) of daily smartcoin supply is liquid at the settlement price.

It is in effect a standing order to buy that smartcoin. (with 24 hr delay)
sure .. for that direction there is everything fine and we do have 2% of supply in instant buy orders for smartcoins ..
the liquidity issues are on the other side .. no one wants to sell his smartcoins .. not even for a 5-10% premium (depending on the actual asset) ..
simply because we don't have a big on/off ramp for bitassets ..

Forced settlement is guaranteed buy side liquidity at the peg.

I think we need some sort of guaranteed sell side liquidity at the peg+10%. This would have to come from the rerserve pool imo.

339
Meta / Re: Remove Partners Sections from Home
« on: February 28, 2016, 01:58:01 pm »
 +5%

340
General Discussion / Re: London Meetup
« on: February 28, 2016, 01:56:41 pm »
I'll be in London the weekend of the 11th but I guess that's a bit short notice.

Im away that weekend :-\

I'll be in london at the weekend of the 23/24 of April. Would like to see some of you. 

I can do that - anyone else?

should be, remind me nearer the time

341
General Discussion / Re: Marketing plan for Bitshares 2.1
« on: February 28, 2016, 09:02:22 am »
I agreee with stealth and free fees it's definitely enough to be calling it 2.1

342
Gonna be trading like a high frequency bot on Monday.

343
General Discussion / Re: Liquidity idea
« on: February 25, 2016, 07:17:57 pm »
Keep all UIAs.
What I'm saying is we need a master USD smartcoin for fiat.
Use the master as a base smartcoin to create all other fiat smartcoins from.

These other sub smartcoins would hold value in euros or yen etc but couldn't be traded only used to hold value.
They would need to be turned back to BitUSD if you want to do trading.

these sub smartcoins would work by transfering bitusd in to a special EUR wallet which uses a CFD behind the scenes to keep the the value correct by either adding or subtracting Bitusd.

I'm a bit slow with these things.

Lets say I have 1215 BitUSD & I put it into a special Gold wallet because I want to be long 1 ounce of Gold.

Gold then increases by 300% vs. USD.

Where does the additional $2400 come from to pay me my gains. Who loses on that trade?

The blockchain/reserve pool would have to cover these costs. 
But lets get some perspective. For every winning trade there will be a similar number of losing trades which would offset losses and may even make profit.
I think should only be for fiat currencies.
Another way of offsetting any losses would be to charge a 1% fee when users choose to lock their Bitusd to another fiat currency.
Another way to offset this proposed systems excessive long USD position might with prediction markets.

Why do no real world companies offer this exact service unless their exposure is hedged?...

Imo the closest we can come to offering this service is something like my 'Simple Smartcoin Account' approach.. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21507.0.html

The real world example that does exactly this would be IG index (the worlds largest spreadbetting company )

Andrew Bole, Risk director at IG index

As counterparty to thousands of spread trades every day, from small punts to large trading positions, IG Index has to manage a significant amount of market risk. But hedging every spread trade as it is placed is not practical.

There are two ways around this problem. First, in highly active markets, many of the spread bets cancel each other out. "If it's a very busy market, you will have a lot of two-way business, which is ideal. We are just acting as another market-maker," says Bole.

However, in less liquid markets, such as spread bets on single stocks, IG Index cannot rely on investors taking both sides of the market. Instead, it hedges its exposure using futures on the underlying stock.


Yeah I was referring to spread betting companies. From the same article you quoted...

Quote
However, in less liquid markets, such as spread bets on single stocks, IG Index cannot rely on investors taking both sides of the market. Instead, it hedges its exposure using futures on the underlying stock. This is simple in principle, but the introduction of foreign exchange risk increases the complexity - a UK client might trade an overseas equity index but would expect payment in sterling. "The key part is working out what the underlying equivalent is (within our exposure model), and then you can use the tools available within the normal financial markets," Bole explains.

Keeping an eye on IG's exposure, the risk committee uses an approach that would be familiar to any fund manager - employing limits on individual underlyings, sectors of the markets and countries, in what Bole calls a hierarchy of exposure.

"If all your clients were long, you could arguably be inside your limits, but you could have massive exposure to the UK stock market as a whole. So, in that case, you would hedge on futures on the index. Or, if you are concentrated in a banking sector, you can review that sector - so you're building up a much better portfolio picture," he says.

They have a very complex risk management model to hedge their exposure wherever it's not easily cancelled out and presumably very few of our markets would be liquid and evenly matched at the beginning.

I like the idea of simple Smartcoin accounts but I think we'd have to incentivize others to put up collateral and then let market participants decide if they're happy with it. If we allowed BTS to be the loser if we were over-exposed/not properly hedged then we put BTS at serious risk imo.

For fiat currencies I think it would be fine maybe not for more volatile assets though.
If we were only long dollar and short all other fiat I can't see it being very costly.



344
General Discussion / whatarebitshares.com
« on: February 25, 2016, 03:06:15 am »
I made a video explaining the basics of bitshares in away that might attract normal bitcoiners.

i've hosted it at whatarebitshares.com

i need to tidy up the script and get someone with a better voice than myself to do it.

345
I'm not sure I understand.

Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?

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