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General Discussion / Re: Proof of stake represents unbiased value proposition?
« on: November 28, 2014, 04:18:40 pm »This assumes they're mining regardless of cost. The price is set by anticipated usefulness, and miners will only mine if that anticipated usefulness exceeds the cost of mining.
If the anticipated usefulness drops after they've mined some, they may sell at a loss to reduce their losses.
I see what you mean. In that case they're incentivised to take a loss 'now' to mitigate risk of holding and losing more... But the price is still bound to oscillate around the mining cost.
True, but not because mining cost determines price but price determines mining profitability and therefore difficulty.
A price drop for a GPU minable coin will result in miners switching to other coins. This leads to difficulty adjustment which makes it again profitable to mine. So regardless of actual price mining will always be exactly above break even. (from a purely economical standpoint; very similar to a Nash equilibrium) But as you see that doesn't mean that mining pushes the price up.
It get's more complicated once you have specialized hardware. So if BTC drops miners won't stop mining (as long as price is high enough to pay more than electricity cost) because they have to pay for their ASICs. Hence in this scenario it is very well possible that price is quite a bit lower than the price at which mining is break even. Which means, as Bytemaster said, they sell at a loss longterm.