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Messages - James212

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226
Interesting note.  The Boston Federal Reserve, in an article today on Coindesk agreed with BitShares stating that Bitcoin Mining is flawed

http://www.coindesk.com/boston-fed-bitcoin-revolutionize-payments/        ....see section "mining process flawed" half way through the article

227
Informative and engaging video. +5%
Is Brian still resigning as head of marketing? I think we have found a replacement.
What the ... ??!  ??? ???

Well there was this discussion a month ago now:
https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=6845.0
I am sure you know my post counter .. I do know about this thread .. and I do know about the ongoing discussions .. but I do believe you are mixing things up ...
brian has not "resigned" .. he founded an own company for the purpose of marketing bitshares ... not just btsX .. and as far as I know noone from the community is paying a penny for that .. so how come you dare speaking like this?

honest question: do you even know what Brian is doing all-day long?

It's I3s and DSLs decision to hire a marketing guy .. if you don't like it .. hire an own one

FYI Brian hired me.

 +5%

228
General Discussion / Re: BTSX Valuation based upon standard P/E ratio of 20.
« on: September 16, 2014, 12:53:08 am »
is there an animated video in the works aimed at explaining bitassets? similar to - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaY_KIsouTY ..

I hope they are working on a slicker more modern looking version!

229
General Discussion / Re: BTSX Valuation based upon standard P/E ratio of 20.
« on: September 16, 2014, 12:50:29 am »
When attempting to value a company one of the primary metrics that can be used is the earnings per share and the resulting P/E ratio.   You can view BitShares systems as companies that earn revenue from transaction fees and have expenses paid to people providing resources to the company.

I have put together a basic chart that shows the earnings BTSX would see at various transaction rates and trading volumes and then assumes an industry average 20 P/E ratio to derive an expected market cap valuation for the network.


Based upon these numbers the valuation of BitShares X with 1 transaction per second and $500K volume per day on the internal exchange is $62 million dollars.   However, if the internal exchange volume reaches similar levels to the external exchanges today, then the expected transaction rate would yield a valuation of $300 million dollars.    Once the exchange volume hits $10 million per day, the resulting transaction volume of 10 transactions per second the valuation would be about $700 million dollars.   

These valuations are based entirely on P/E ratios which are clearly not sufficient for valuing a crypto-currency.   Bitcoin for example has huge negative earnings, a transaction rate of less than 5 TPS and a valuation over $5 billion.     Using Bitcoin as a metric we could claim that a network is worth about $1 billion per TPS.    The vast majority of Bitcoin transaction volume occurs on exchanges, with BTSX many of the on-exchange trades will move onto the protocol itself and thus BTSX should have on-network transaction volumes equal to Bitcoin in a much shorter period of time.


The assumed P/E ratio of 20 implies a 5% ROI; however, most banks these days give depositors less than 1% ROI.   If BTSX is able to maintain its peg by backing bitUSD with BTSX and can share the transaction fees with bitUSD holders, then the demand for bitUSD will be enormous.   Due to the collateral system that requires effectively 3x the value of all bitUSD deposits to be held as collateral in BTSX, we can estimate the value of BTSX to be about 3x the demand for USD deposits at 5% ROI.   Considering the vast sums of money currently tied up in low-yield treasuries, savings accounts, etc the demand for bitUSD will be enormous. 

Of course, the more bitUSD that is created and “held” without corresponding transaction volume, the lower the ROI will become until supply equals demand. 

All of this is to say that the fundamentals on BTSX are very strong when analyzed like a traditional business and even stronger when compared to other crypto-currency systems on the market.

It all depends on time to market and other difficult to predict factors. If Bitshares X can market BitUSD effectively so people know about it and tell their friends then the opportunity for 5% yield could perhaps go viral. How do you engineer taking BitUSD viral?

You also have many competitors who will copy or try to copy BitUSD so it's a matter of quickly rolling out the features while also always continuosly adding new features. It is likely that the competitors will achieve feature parity in a short amount of time which means any particular set of features which look like they would bring in enormous demand today might not be as novel in a few months.

So for September 2014 BitUSD is quite novel and BitUSD with 5% is even more novel. The question is will the Bitshares platform win the innovation arms race? I see it as an innovation arms race and I tend to invest in the companies which have a 6 month lead in that arms race. If Bitshares can maintain their innovation lead then there will always be new investors who will want to invest in the most innovative technology.

There will be forks, clones, and other communities which attempt to copy the innovations from Bitshares and what matters is the rate at which team Bitshares pushes out new innovations. This way people who just copy and paste cannot keep up because the newest ideas will always come from the main chain.

tl;dr

Make Bitshares X as contagious and sticky as you can.

Agreed.  What also matters is the rate of adoption.  This will depend on marketing, which should be rolling at full steam by the end of Sept at the latest(?), and the critically important positioning of the product in the eyes of the mass market.   

230
General Discussion / Re: [ANN] OFFICIAL KeyID/DNS DAC Genesis block v 0.1
« on: September 11, 2014, 08:24:11 pm »
How do you get on this list?

You either had a founder ID, or you had a registered delegate.

I will likely grab registered delegate list again, so if you create btsx account and registered delegate you'd be on then.

edit - It will be some time before I grab the delegate list again.  Likely right before Toast wants to make official live run.  So even if you register a delegate, don't expect it to necessarily show up in minor revisions.

to be clear, is this a list of the Keyhotee founders?  If so "The Angel Wave Project" founder ID is not appearing on the list.  Can you please double check this.  Thanks. 

Modify:  PS, Never mind, found it on the second pass!  :-) 

231
I've decided I'm going to remove the 0% trading fees and replace it with 10% interest. I will clarify exactly where the interest comes from so it won't sound too good to be true. Thoughts?

EDIT: Anyone know what the official BitShares font is? The one in the logo?

 +5% ....................only please make sure there are some solid projections to support the 10% number.   As I recall, the "10%" figure is simply coming from a quick calculation done by BM who stated that bitUSD earned $1,800 for each of the first two weeks of operation.   I think whatever the interest rate is, it needs to be based on a more extensive calculation (forecast) since these are extraordinary (but true) numbers we are stating. 

232
Methodx I like your poster 8).

How about a section about how BTSX holders receive dividends instead of 10%/year inflation.

I want to put that in the infographic but can I really claim 10% yield/interest? It'll end up being whatever the exchange takes in as fees, which could be anything.
Right, I would avoid anything that (a) can not be kept for sure or (b) is too good to be true. That always turns on the "Scam" alarm in my head.

If we could have some confidence that BitsharesX would get a close enough proximity to 10% I'd use it, its a great hook.  However, I don't think we have enough history to go that far out on a lim.  Maybe say something like "as much as 10%"  or " at least X% more than transitional legacy banks"  <--- just throwing out ideas.     By the way has anyone at Bitshares done a back of the envelope analysis of what they interest payments could be.  We probably can use that to back up the stated rate.   
BM calculated that it could roughly be 10% p.a.

Maybe it is just that I am not american. Where I live people (incl. me) are super critical if something too good to be true comes around the corner. Most broad claims are made by scams.

In the US everyone believes in endless opportunities without trade ofs for everyone. That is not like that everywhere in the world. IMO such a mind set suits the marketing industry perfectly because ppl feel uplifted if they are on the forefront of society's progress (which is indicated by the degree of novelty and amount of things/technology you own).
Big corporations can get away with polluting the planet (everyone's resources: air, a stable climate, rivers etc.) simply by stating that there will be technical solutions in the future and ppl believe it. 

I have nothing against this culture (as long as it does not harm everyone around the plant), just saying that broad claims are not received everywhere with the same optimism.

God, this has gotten a bit of track but you know where I am coming from ;)

The fact is that Bitshares itself is too good to be true for most people.(even bitcoin).  What the crypto movement is attempting to do is to take the trillions of dollars sucked up by the global banking system in fees, HF trading etc and redistribute that value to the market.  There are huge benefits there.  No way to deny it.    So if the Bitshares "interest" program projects a yield of 10% (this still needs to be verified with some solid calculations), I don't think we would say its less just because 10% sounds extraordinary.  Therefore if the forecast confirms the higher interest rate this is just proves what we here already know..... the DAC business is far more efficiency than a similar legacy company.    With all that said, I do think we should consider using  qualifiers such as "approximately"  "as much as"  "between X% and X%" etc.     Again, lets not make grandiose claims.  Lets get some solid estimates. 

233
General Discussion / Re: Fee Flow / Yield Infor Graphic
« on: September 10, 2014, 12:39:32 pm »
Should we start calling the "rainy day fund" the "rewards fund"?
*confirmed*
"rainy day fund" sucks ..

but I am unaware of a community consensus about the new name

Rewards Fund is good.

I'd prefer "Dividends Fund" ..... to me "Rewards" gives the connotation of a cheep marketing trick (used by many credit cards) as opposed to benefits generated from solid business results. 
(( though I would still vote for calling the receiving side of the dividends, "Interest".  It is much better for marketing. ))

234
Great. I think more and more people will be willing to hold bitCNY in China

If bitCNY has a yield >2% demand may well take the community by surprise.

Has anyone been able to do rough projections of approximately what the yield of the various assets would be?

235
Methodx I like your poster 8).

How about a section about how BTSX holders receive dividends instead of 10%/year inflation.

I want to put that in the infographic but can I really claim 10% yield/interest? It'll end up being whatever the exchange takes in as fees, which could be anything.
Right, I would avoid anything that (a) can not be kept for sure or (b) is too good to be true. That always turns on the "Scam" alarm in my head.

If we could have some confidence that BitsharesX would get a close enough proximity to 10% I'd use it, its a great hook.  However, I don't think we have enough history to go that far out on a lim.  Maybe say something like "as much as 10%"  or " at least X% more than transitional legacy banks"  <--- just throwing out ideas.     By the way has anyone at Bitshares done a back of the envelope analysis of what they interest payments could be.  We probably can use that to back up the stated rate.     

236
General Discussion / Re: When will short function work?
« on: September 09, 2014, 09:03:00 pm »
Still no word on when the feature will be working again? See plenty of shorts that I'd like to be on the other side of but attempting to buy them just leaves my order hanging indefinitely.

Check the newly release version 4.13 I believe it is fixed in that one. 

237
my friend just made this.  He lifted some stuff, and added a piece of text.  We will be doing more additions.



Suggestions:

Section 1) Open a digital currency ( or money??) / asset account and earn interest on EVERYTHING you hold.  - no bank needed -. <--- or " no bank required"(???)

Section 3)
-"a non-hackable decentralized digital-asset exchange"

- Replace "anonymous".  with " private

-"a stable form of digital ( or crypto depending on audience) currency tied to real- world assets "...( or real world value??.). the stability of gold with the flexibility of digital money"
<---- ( or crypto???)

238


Hey did you noticed this here?

Hey, cas. I noticed on the side where 'the bank wins', the last point says "interes" instead of "interest".

Hey guys, I'm sorry I'm just coming to you now, but I just found this thread today and think I may have some useful suggestion (take what you like, leave the rest :-)

1) on the heading, i would add the word "Interest" after "5%" (or dividend(??)...though I like interest better- more universal)   Also would change "anything" to "everything"
2) on the second statement I would leave it at: "Bitshares is the first Decentralized Autonomous Company that allows you to speculate on any asset imaginable and pays interest (dividends on all you asset holdings)" <--- full stop.  at this point it is not important to explain how it is able to pay these divides 
3) In line 3 remove the word Lots as we are trying to distinguish ourselves as being better than a bank we do not want to drive home the similarities that much.  --"We are similar to your local bank in that Bitshares"   ...........(images below) 
4)To me the final section is the most important and should be presented vertically in one complete section across the entire page.  Its funning that the most important bullet points discussing the benefits of bitshares on using the smallest fonts!   make them bigger.  Also  I would lay it out something like this:

"We are similar to your local bank in that Bitshares...........(images below)"   
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOWEVER BITSHARES IS COMPLETELY FOCUSED ON BENEFITING CUSTOMERS

- Profits are paid as dividends to shareholders- (you), instead of spent uselessly on personnel lobbying and construction
- etc
-ect
ect


*one thing regarding section 4) however you decide to lay it out, consider putting the "good" points to the left and the "bad" (traditional banking) points to the right. 

239

Methodx, great job.   A few suggestions: I would change the word "Anonymous" to "Private".  It gives a more positive connotation and less ominous/aggressive.     To me "Private" is the simple natural state of being,  while being "Anonymous" denotes and active tempt to evade.   Also Keeping in mind that the intention is for this message to reach the largest amount of people, I would suggest keeping the terminology a bit more universal:   Changing the word "Crypto" to "Digital Currency"  and "Blockchain" to "Public Ledger" would help in this objective IMHO.     

Then again, if this is just for the Crypto Community, strike my last two suggestions.


PS: on point #3, suggest to change "price stability with derivative assets" to "price stable derivative assets"
      on point #4, "Near 0% fees"  is kind of confusing.  Is it zero fees or not zero fees?

All great points James!

Here is my thinking: we are the innovators and we need to get the early adopters on board. So the language should be targeted at "hot buttons" specific to early adopters (i.e. bitcoin people). We're still a few years away from targeting the early majority.

I'll make the other changes you suggest.

Question: What should I say in place of 0% fees? The copywriter in me likes the "0%" lol.

Hi Mehtodx, regarding the 0% fees comment.  I am not sure the of the actual fact of fees on Bitshares, but I am assuming the fees are not 0%, since it says "Near Zero" on the ad.  I think the "Near 0%" is not as clear as we'd want to be and would suggest something more like:   " "The efficiency of the network allows for a whopping XX% reduction (savings) on trading fees when compared to most popular trading platforms"  or  "at an average fee rate of XX per trade, fees are practically nonexistent"    <--- this is just some general ideas that you can work with if you find useful. 

Let me know if I can help further.   

240
Where: http://www.reddit.com/r/bitcoinmarkets/

When: 12pm UTC -05:00

We will be answering questions, I will be giving out BTSX and helping users get accounts registered.
\


Is this a webinar, or just a forum?

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