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Messages - bitcrab

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451
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: Proxy: xeroc
« on: August 09, 2019, 02:52:53 am »
hi, Fabian,

I hope you can support to reduce bitUSD MCR to 1.5 based on careful consideration.

bitUSD is ill, we need to find ways to help it to recover.

Dr. Brown has already published his first paper about smartcoin mechanism, although the research is based on a simple model, it give some conclusion that it make sense to set MCR<1.53 to incentivize smartcoin supply.

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=28823.0

the risk of undercollateralization is very limited, especially when bitUSD is already under GS protection.

set USD MCR=1.5 and keep CNY MCR=1.6 will also attract capital from CNY market to USD market to help bitUSD to recover.

please support for a more prosperous ecosystem. thanks!


452
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: August 09, 2019, 12:59:12 am »
@bitcrab: When we allow MCR of 1.5, we should also introduce a margin call fee of 0.1% to make the ecosystem more sustainable!
The 0.1% fee doesn't hurt anybody, but makes a huge difference on the income side.

We should also consider we have no interest rate for the borrower compared to Maker/DAI.

I feel it's reasonable to charge the same market fee in margin call trading, but seems that need change in core code?

that's another topic and need another BSIP.


453
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: August 08, 2019, 08:21:30 am »
Support on basis of https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=28823.0, and settings of other crypto-collaterized stablecoins.

Thanks, I feel it's better to set bitUSD first, when more borrowing happen and make USD market active enough, then set bitCNY and bitEUR also.

bitUSD is ill and bitCNY is healthy at the moment, we need to attract some capital from CNY market to USD market.

I don't think now we need to pay much attention on smartcoins other than these 3, anyway if anyone want to do the same setting, he can also do that following BSIP59, I'll support.

454
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: August 08, 2019, 07:33:34 am »
every voter, I beg you to support this proposal.


455
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: August 07, 2019, 05:16:31 pm »
I suggest voters to read Doctor Brown's paper to get some deeper understanding on the necessity of this change.
https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=28823.0

456
have gone through the paper without checking exactly the derivation of the formulas, just try to find what sense does the conclusion make.

it seems:

it make sense to set MCR<1.53, to make the optimal collateral ratio "snaps" to the right.

while MCR<1.53, then either MSSR=1.01 or 1.005 make little difference.

anyway, as the conclusion based on a simple model, so we need to consider more factors to evaluate the effect while changing these parameters.

It depends on what you're trying to do, and you're right - more study is needed.

If your goal is to incentivize low collateral ratios (more borrowing), then you need to set MCR low enough (in the paper, less than 1.53) to get that to happen.

However, low collateral ratios intrinsically increase the risk of undercollateralization, which is something that should probably be avoided.

On the one hand, low MCR should lead to tighter pegging; on the other hand, low MCR should lead to more risk of undercollateralization. This suggests that there is a tradeoff between tight pegging and solvency, which needs to be studied further.

For the research, we're starting to work up more-expressive models that should help capture these tradeoffs more clearly.

Yes, I believe we need to incentivize more USD borrowing at this moment, that's why I suggest to change USD MCR to 1.5, unfortunately it hasn't gotten enough support.

Another factor is that with GS protection, we have minimized the pain of undercollateralization, in recent past we have watched that both bitCNY and bitUSD have experienced GS protection,  with no obvious impact to the market.

457
General Discussion / Re: Thoughts on new OMO fund
« on: August 07, 2019, 03:05:01 pm »
The new OMO Fund should have imo 4 accounts which would be splitted into  USD,CNY,EUR,USDT .
Focus should be on bitUSD and bitCNY with bigger focus on bitUSD.
The fourth account for USDT should be funded once the big bad debt from bitUSD disappears.
USDT should be offered 1:1 against bitUSD with a (0.2% growth margin).
By creating a liquid USDT/BitUSD market on DEX we hopefully will support bitshares prices on CEX'es via arbitrage with the strong inhouse demand we have here on DEX(it should also close the current big spreads on other major assets).Price manipulation on CEX would be more difficult and any downtrend on CEX could be decreased with the help of the liquidity on DEX.
BTS prices of 3% above the DEX feed prices (CEX) are happening very often which would support prices on CEX when a liquid bitUSD/USDT market on DEX exist.

I don't think USDT should be involved.
actually we are running a bot for arbitrage in BTS/GDEX.USDT between DEX and binance, there's not so much trading opportunity and do not make big sense.
the new fund should focus on BTS/smartcoin trading, and currently, it should ignore BTS/CNY pair and focus on BTS/USD pair, maybe also BTS/EUR pair.

what shall we learn from previous OMO fund?
I admit that as the key organizer of the previous OMO fund I have some unfeasible idea at that moment, I have hoped that OMO can provide a strong sustain to BTS price, but the market told that no one can counter with extreme market trend, even you have hundreds of millions of BTS.

another key factor is that, at that moment, smartcoin rules is not robust enough to resist shorting attack. that's why I tried my best to push GS protection and MSSR&MCR reduction after the disaster.

458
中文 (Chinese) / Re: CTS 去掉全局黑天鹅测试
« on: August 07, 2019, 02:25:56 am »
黑天鹅保护的实质,就是承认并接受smartcoin可能会贬值的事实并在此基础上寻求对市场影响最小以及能以最小代价复苏的路径。

黑天鹅保护发生时,正是smartcoin极度短缺的时候,不在合理,可能的范围保持供应量,难道任由供应量萎缩吗?

价格锁定在1元,市场价跌到0.5,smartcoin背后的抵押物不足以支撑其实际价值,贬值是随时都可能发生的。

几次实践没有发生贬值,只能说市场形势还不够恶劣,也可以说黑天鹅防护对市场形势的进一步恶化有不错的抵御作用。

459
have gone through the paper without checking exactly the derivation of the formulas, just try to find what sense does the conclusion make.

it seems:

it make sense to set MCR<1.53, to make the optimal collateral ratio "snaps" to the right.

while MCR<1.53, then either MSSR=1.01 or 1.005 make little difference.

anyway, as the conclusion based on a simple model, so we need to consider more factors to evaluate the effect while changing these parameters.


460
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 黑天鹅保护机制下的怪现象
« on: August 05, 2019, 03:27:59 am »
有话就说,有屁就放。

461
看了一些,还没看完。太多微积分公式,比较烧脑。

我愿意支持,无论对币价有没有作用。

462
对喂价不满,给出证据,贴到https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=28383.0 让投票人选择。

别就知道跟泼妇一样整天骂街。

463
Okay. To have a precise statement. Do you mean A) or B) from below?

A) The BitShares account "still" pays the expenses? Background: On the blockchain, BTS with an equivalent value (at the time of transfers) of 130k bitUSD have been paid out already to "still".
B) The BitShares account "worker63fundholder" pays the expenses?

Furthermore, is there a budget overview of this worker somewhere? It has specifically asked for an equivalent value of 90k bitUSD, so the time when payments in BTS happen is very crucial. Sorry for the annoyance. How much equivalent value in bitUSD was already used from this worker in your opinion? Might be that this issue reduces to plain accounting, I simply don't understand it atm.

up to now the 147k CNY for 1st Devcon was paid by myself personally, without getting any fund from still or this worker.

jademont and I have talked about this with still several months ago, he rejected to provide more detail of the worker expense and just told us to get needed fund from what was left from the worker.

so one choice is to pay this 147k CNY to me from the left fund of the worker, as the expense detail is clear and is in plan of BTS Greater China Representative, and at the same time we will continue to request still to provide more clarification of the other expenses. although we are not 100% sure we can get this done.

464
Before talking about this worker, please wrap up the DevCon worker by itself. It is not clear how this deficit came to be since the funds of the DevCon worker are not accounted for, or at least I don't understand how yet.

Now on this worker:
It is a good example of reporting and escrow intent gone wrong.

There is no public information available how much funds have been spent on what. Just looking on the blockchain, BTS with an equivalent value (at the time of transfers) of 130k bitUSD have been paid out, which exceeds the asked for budget. This has been done with no clarification on the increased spendings whatsoever, or even reporting what the money has been spent on. On top of that, the escrow that was publicly communicated was only for show. The worker owner still had access to the owner key of the escrow account, and made use of it.

I don't see at the moment how funds of this worker can be re-used without calling a vote of the community. If funds are to be returned, return it by burning and not to committee.

I feel there is some misunderstanding, the above account table is for the 1st DevCon in 2018, there is no worker for it, there is a worker for the 2rd DevCon in 2019.

Ah, I totally missed the "1st" .... apologies. It does not change the remainder of my comment, in particular the last sentence.
it's not "re-use", it's that the expense was in the plan and already happened however the payment from this worker is not done yet.


465
General Discussion / Re: New BSIP:GS protection via core code
« on: July 30, 2019, 06:49:52 am »
the draft BSIP is updated. https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/issues/179

please comment if you have any further thoughts.

if no big update is needed, I hope the BSIP can be soon finished and put on poll voting.


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