We got great coverage about our Prediction Market feature.... and that is bad thing, because our prediction market is terrible.
(http://i.imgur.com/pdLETbU.png) (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENxBmyswSuo)
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENxBmyswSuo
Our core developer spent 20 minutes describing how this works... and as people say in youtube coments:
(http://i.imgur.com/ZbScJHT.png)
This is obvious that no one would spent this amount of time to investigate how this works... and if someone will not be sure, simply will be too afraid to use it.
Amanda also didn't decide create her own prediction market smartcion... i guess... mostly because of price. I am sure, that if that would cost her only let say 100 BTS, she would create that asset.
My thoughts:
- short selling is too complicated for average Joe. I would like to just have to buttons - [BET A] or [BET not A]
- prediction smartcoins should be cheaper. Why? Because very often they will be live only... for example one week (because next football match is in next sunday). Right now there is no way to reuse those smartcoins after they are "decided".
Having "feature" like that makes us more harm than profit. Don't believe me? Go to youtube and read people comments.
I am not writing this because I want to complain. I am writing this because I believe that together we can design better look and feel for that feature.
I thought that this cannot be so easily simplify. The reason why I thought that is the fact that on normal betting site people are betting against
bookmaker. The problem is... that on blockchain people bet against each other. So, there is not way of defining two values which can be used for those two buttons. Right?
Not really..
Of course we always will have a chicken and egg problem, but if order book is not empty, we should have equivalent of "best price" button on coinbase.
(http://i.imgur.com/ZUEjZTJ.png)
This buttons should use taker strategy, and should check what price they can offer for specific amount of money. Actually we already have something similar implemented. Where?
(http://i.imgur.com/3KLNsKt.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/F0pjoTF.png)
(http://i.imgur.com/WEwVzhs.png)
The problem with empty books should be handled by PM smartcoin issuer. Yes, he should be a bookmaker, and some people even understand that:
(http://i.imgur.com/CbPmeOz.png)