BitShares Forum
Main => General Discussion => Topic started by: MktDirector on August 22, 2014, 06:15:45 am
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THIS CONTEST IS NOW CLOSED! Check back the day we pass litecoin! B
So there's a lot of talk "around the watercooler" here this week, as I'm sure you can guess. With BitSharesX $50 million to litecoin's $158 million, it looks like we're already 1/3rd of the way to another historic milestone. This is faster than even we had anticipated, so it begs the question: What date do we pass litecoin in market cap?
I'd like to make this fun, so I'm gonna put some money in the pot. Well, not money, something better....BTSX. I'll tip 10,000 BTSX to whoever comes the closest to guessing the correct date. You don't have to get the actual date, just be the closest. So it's not open ended, let's limit this to only the responses posted here by midnight, Aug 24th.
So, what date (and time - in case we need to do a tie breaker) does BitSharesX sit at the right hand of the almighty Bitcoin in the #2 spot? And better yet, what are the reasons you guessed that date? Should be interesting. Good luck.
B
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My guess is 7PM GMT on August 27th 2014. I would guess August 25th, but I think we will have to deal with profit taking on the ride up from individuals that are just along for the ride. More power to them.
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So there's a lot of talk "around the watercooler" here this week, as I'm sure you can guess. With BitSharesX $50 million to litecoin's $158 million, it looks like we're already 1/3rd of the way to another historic milestone. This is faster than even we had anticipated, so it begs the question: What date do we pass litecoin in market cap?
I'd like to make this fun, so I'm gonna put some money in the pot. Well, not money, something better....BTSX. I'll tip 10,000 BTSX to whoever comes the closest to guessing the correct date. You don't have to get the actual date, just be the closest. So it's not open ended, let's limit this to only the responses posted here by midnight, Aug 24th.
So, what date does BitSharesX sit at the right hand of the almighty Bitcoin in the #2 spot? And better yet, what are the reasons you guessed that date? Should be interesting. Good luck.
B
September 5th 2014.
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guessing one week, because the universe hates me and probably won't let me see another payday before it happens.
friday august 29th. 11PM EST if necessary for a tiebreaker.
can I amend my guess?
Friday August 22nd.
that's right. today. 4PM EST
changing my guess again since the deadline is the 24th :P
but if you don't want to accept it that's cool.
friday august 29th. 11PM EST as originally stated.
we might have surpassed litecoin today but the engine ran out of steam.
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LTC is shriveling at very moment BTS is in bloom. It's writing on the wall. Pencil me in for Saturday, August 30, 2014 as the day BitsharesX surpasses litecoin in marketcap.
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November 11th, 2014 12:00 MST
In flanders field, row on row we count the LTC......
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6th of September 19:35
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september 6, 6:00 am eastern time (newyork).
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I love how I put $50 million in the post, go to the bathroom, grab a snack, come back 15 minutes later and it's now $61 million. (insert expletives here)
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September 18th - 17:45 EST
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i love it that you're giving away 10,000 btsx. :D
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August 23 @ 11:00pm GMT.
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August 30th, 15:30pm PST
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7.august 2015; 05.30 GMT
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August 28th Midday GMT.
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Sept.3 at 07:35 GMT 2014
Edited to add year 2014 and 0 in front of 7:35
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28th Nov 2014 :)
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August 25th 6:00 AM GMT
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September 19 @ 19:19 GMT
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August 24 @ 12:00pm GMT
EDIT: That's this year, 2014
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7.august 2015; 05.30 GMT
I'm not trying to be a dick, but you realize its august 22nd right now right?
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7.august 2015; 05.30 GMT
I'm not trying to be a dick, but you realize its august 22nd right now right?
think thats why he put 2015
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7.august 2015; 05.30 GMT
I'm not trying to be a dick, but you realize its august 22nd right now right?
think thats why he put 2015
Lol. So I am a dick. thanks for pointing it out.
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October 1st 2014 08:00 GMT
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August 28, 2AM EDT
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September 2nd, 3am GMT
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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I think I posted it at least 2 time already in this forum:
Monday, 08/25/2014
23:20:05 GMT (11:20pm)
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11 / 11 / 2014 -- at 11hours
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8/25 @ 11am PST
If I win, please send:
5000k to Econtalk or charity of Russ Roberts choice
5000k to LTB or charity of ABL's choice
Edit: Added time zone
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(http://i.imgur.com/jQFtmP4.png)
Maybe we should change it from +5% to +106%? Just sayin.
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so ... community consesus is en of august .. I guess we can try peg on that :)
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29th of Aug 2014 1 pm GMT
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26th of Aug 2014 3 am GMT
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2014/11/21 11:00 GMT
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25th of August 7 am GMT
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26th August 8pm GMT time
IM SO EXCITED! :D :D :D :D :D :D
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHZY9CtEjiQ
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Dec 12 2014 07:00 GMT+8 8)
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Sept.6 at 07:35 GMT 2014
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September 12, 2014 at 0:00 GMT
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September 18
It seems that lots of people will start researching about bitshares the next days, it will take some time until they do their research, in 3 weeks I predict that we will leave ltc behind us(if it has the same marketcap as today and they don't start pumping it again) our market cap will continue to rise and break the 1b in 2-3 months(wishfull thinking :D)
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21 September 2014 16.00 UTC ... I can not imagine that it will happen earlier! We will see some normal swings to both directions. I would not be pleased if we get there sooner... better later than sooner so BTSX get's more stable....
hey but wait...my second thoughts tells me maybe it's better to get there sooner to give motives to more investors/speculators to buy bitUSDs.... ;)
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17 Sept 2014 at 17:17 GMT :P :P
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31 August 2014 at 19:00 GMT
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7 Sept 2014 at 07:20 GMT
:P
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October 1st. 2014 8:30PM Timezone :+8.
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25 Agu 2014 at 12:30 GMT
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09/01/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
That's one week after the market functions being launched officially.
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09/10/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8 中国大妈来了。。 :-[ :-[ :-[
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I'll guess whatever the average of the two medians of these are :P
Just kidding, the answer is obviously 9/11 4:20 AM HAST (Hawaii Honolulu) time zone.
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sang August 30th, 15:30pm PST
madawc 7.august 2015; 05.30 GMT
cygnify August 28th Midday GMT.
onceuponatime Sept.3 at 07:35 GMT 2014
liquidstorm 28th Nov 2014
robigo August 25th 6:00 AM GMT
alphabar September 19 @ 19:19 GMT
donkeypong August 24 @ 12:00pm GMT
jackie October 1st 2014 08:00 GMT
currencydebt August 28, 2AM EDT
boombastic September 2nd, 3am GMT
theonion Monday, 08/25/2014 23:20:05 GMT (11:20pm)
infovortice2013 11 / 11 / 2014 -- at 11hours
bobmaloney 8/25 @ 11am PST
betax 29th of Aug 2014 1 pm GMT
rock57 26th of Aug 2014 3 am GMT
marx 2014/11/21 11:00 GMT
cryptocoinrank.com 25th of August 7 am GMT
mrjeans 26th August 8pm GMT time
jwiz168 Dec 12 2014 07:00 GMT+8
cusknee Sept.6 at 07:35 GMT 2014
bitcoiners September 12, 2014 at 0:00 GMT
chryspano September 18
liondani 21 September 2014 16.00 UTC
bobohuy 17 Sept 2014 at 17:17 GMT
mf-tzo 31 August 2014 for Litecoin
tx072 7 Sept 2014 at 07:20 GMT
masking October 1st. 2014 8:30PM Timezone :+8.
jojomaster 25 Agu 2014 at 12:30 GMT
heyd 09/01/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
wan3646886 09/10/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
clains 9/11 4:20 AM HAST
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9/2/2014 6AM GMT .
btsx is a revolution DAC.
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well, I guess it is 09/015/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8, after the market is ready and work well.
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08/29/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8 大的新闻媒体报道！直接与btc一比高下！
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31 Agu 2014 at 15:30 GMT
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30 Sept 2014 at 16:03 GMT
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09/01/2014 09:00:00 UTC+8 :D :D :D
i hope i can hold all my btsx in that time.
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5 Sept 2014 at 12:25 GMT for LTC low as 3 USD
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May 14, 2015 UTC+8....
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I guess that was on August 28, 2014 8:8
bts；luo
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27th Aug 2014 01:30 GMT
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September 26th 2014, 3 am, GMT
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Dec 24 2014 23:00 GMT+8
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06 Oct 2014 06:00 UTC
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09/07/2014 21:00:00
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11/11/2014 11:11:11 PM for sures. :o
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"Remember, remember, the fifth of November..." ;D
Quite fitting for the 1st birthday of the release of ProtoShares!
I say 2014-11-05 at 17:00UTC
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I say it'll happen coming thursday 28th of august 8:pm UTC!
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September 3rd 6:00am.
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26 August 2014 for Litecoin UTC+8 +5% +5% +5%
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October 9th
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Septempter 22th, 8:00 a.m. （UTC+8)
A month after DNS, VOTE snaptshot, I just guess.
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september 30th.16.pm（UTC+8).2014 。in china,september is a gold mouth,so it is +5%,haha.my wallet adress is： btc38-btsx-sobo-72722 memo：65780
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October 1st. 10 GMT ;)(10:00,2014.10.01)
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I guess it's August 30th 23:01 PM. just radom guessing~
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I have updated with the exact time get ready...
31 August 2014 at 19:00 GMT
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September 10, `6AM EST
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25th of August 4:30 am GMT
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10/03/2014 8:00:00 UTC+8
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6th september. 3:23am GMT !
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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September 10th - 12:00EST :P
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09/15/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
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lol. thread's getting crazy now.
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9/22/14 10 am est 8)
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My guess is 7PM GMT on August 29th 2014. but I think we will have to deal with profit taking on the ride up from individuals that are just along for the ride. More power to them.
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August 28th 11:00 GMT
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2014 Aug 29st 21:00:00 UTC+8
because it's Friday night :)
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5th of September 00:00 GMT +0
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August 27th, 1am EST. Why so soon? Because when it looks like there is money to be made, people are crazy!
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10/10/2014 00:00:00 UTC+8
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September 3rd 2014 UTC+8
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1PM GMT on September 7th 2014
I know this day would be sooner or later, It's my lucky day.
btsx id:bim
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11/11/2014 8:00:00 UTC+8
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Can someone put together a scatter plot?
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December 2nd 2014 (say around 5PM UTC)
Not easy to beat, but there was a peak in altcoin prices last year around December, and BTSX has more potential than LTC.
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10/20/2014 00:30:00 UTC+8 (My birthday)
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08/30/2014 8:05:00 UTC+8
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So there's a lot of talk "around the watercooler" here this week, as I'm sure you can guess. With BitSharesX $50 million to litecoin's $158 million, it looks like we're already 1/3rd of the way to another historic milestone. This is faster than even we had anticipated, so it begs the question: What date do we pass litecoin in market cap?
I'd like to make this fun, so I'm gonna put some money in the pot. Well, not money, something better....BTSX. I'll tip 10,000 BTSX to whoever comes the closest to guessing the correct date. You don't have to get the actual date, just be the closest. So it's not open ended, let's limit this to only the responses posted here by midnight, Aug 24th.
So, what date does BitSharesX sit at the right hand of the almighty Bitcoin in the #2 spot? And better yet, what are the reasons you guessed that date? Should be interesting. Good luck.
B
September 5th 2014.
Remember, remember, the 5th of September (close enough!)....That would be awesome.
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September 4th, 7:30PM, Eastern Time Zone
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November 28th, 15:01 UTC
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September 10th 17:00 UTC
BTSX: sean520
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September 5th 2014 16:29 UTC
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September 29 7am EST.
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September 22th 18:00 UTC
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August 31st at 21:45 UTC
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09/08/2014 22:45:30 UTC+8
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November 5th, 2014, 6pm EST
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September 15th 16:00 UTC time
I think it'll take a few weeks to gain so much marketcap. But also I think litecoin is near the end of the road, being a copy paste clone of Bitcoin with a 2.5min block time and scrypt mining algorithm, and NOTHING else going for it, development is very much dead too.
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8.25 8:00 am UTC
before the bitUSD marketing ready.
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October 9th, 20:00 UTC
I'd guess the current rally will crash until marketing kicks into high gear and we start bringing in huge swathes of outsiders.
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28/08 11:00 am UTC
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September 15th at around midnight (Eastern Time). Why? Because that's when Lehman Brothers collapsed triggering a chain of events which would eventually make bitcoin/bitshares an attractive alternative :P :P
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28. august 10pm gmt +1
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Do we get more than one guess.. I shall resist the temptation to spam all options..
12th Nov 2014 22:01::01 GMT
This follows from wondering that for BTCX to continue its current rise directly to that point v LTC in the space of weeks, relative to what we know about the crowd effect, seems unlikely (+5% *40) . I'd expect that some of the BTCX will fall back if only that people choose to spend into whatever options are made available. LongTrollCoin perhaps will slip again in that time making it easier to catch (another +5% *30). BTCX has a good chance of maintaining momentum though as people hesitate to get their heads around it. Also, I like this contest as it's a simple statement of confidence that it will happen - and why not, LTC not really offering anything to match.
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November 9, 2014 14:00 EST
my reason is based on the current pattern of the volumes of btsx and ltc prices. Also intuition.
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september 7th 4am California time.
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10th of September
Because it's a good day, that's why!
4am CEST
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17 Sept. 8 pm
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11/11/2014 11:11:11 PM for sures. :o
What time zone?
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11/11/2014 11:11:11 PM for sures. :o
What time zone?
UTC. Was hoping slip in on the downlow and pick them all haha.
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P.M. 18:00, 2014/10/02, CST
It's my wife's birthday, and I just want to make it special.
Don't fly up so fast, please. LOL
;)
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09/26/2014 8:00:00 UTC
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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September 4th 16:00 UTC
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december 20th 2014
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November 1 2014 08:00 GMT :)
Send here
account: btercom
memo: bter3fb7c9m15352
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Isn't there a DAC for this game? Too many posts to sift through.
I guess September 5 6pm Eastern.
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december 20th 2014
Needs time and time zone added in case of more than one person gussing same day. (Closest to exact time wins)
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the time will be11:00 EST, 18-09-2014 with following reasons:
1. the current LTC marketcap is equal with 3 times of BTSX
2. the price of LTC was being down 2 USD per month in the past several months and it will reach 3 USD one months later.
3. there are so many goods news about BTSX in the next month. These two things will meet a cross 25 days later while the price of BTSX will grow from 0.3 usd to 0.5 usd, which is a vital threshold because of two reasons:
(a). 10 times growing since the lowest price 28-07-2014.
(b). half usd is a important psychological point for most of shareholders.
4. 18-09-2014 is a birthday of someone.
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12/12/2014 12:00PM UTC
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29 august 2014
22 GMT
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11/01/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
follow BTC
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October 10 2014
0600 GMT
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April 1st, 2015
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Sept 21 15:00 EST
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21st September 10h00 GMT+2
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October 29, 2014 7pm EST
lets go #2!
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October 27 2014 at 12:00 AM
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I guess I better check every post to make sure nobody had picked my date before I did !!! :-)
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Nov 11, 2014 GMT
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Guess I'll Take Sept 11th 13:53:30.500 EST : :D
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With the current marketing, never
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September 3rd, 2014 11:27 AM EST
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September 13rd, 2014 7:45 AM EST
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Guess I should have thought this one through more so it would be easier to see all the results. Anyone want to offer to plot all these guesses in some kind of visual way, (maybe on a timeline chart) once the contest is over? That way we can see what the overall results are and of course pick the right person when the time comes.
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31/10/2014 21:00:00 UTC+8
btsx id: jackyw
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Guess I should have thought this one through more so it would be easier to see all the results. Anyone want to offer to plot all these guesses in some kind of visual way, (maybe on a timeline chart) once the contest is over? That way we can see what the overall results are and of course pick the right person when the time comes.
Another option is just to wait until the event occurs and then go back and search the thread for the correct guess(es) of the date. If there are more than one, you check the time as well.
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September 3th - 08:08 EST
BTSX61hJn1M6HLqSSwGDsmTxdBGgsgaShs7dwhSJ6HTNSdaC3m85b2
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My guess will be September 20th, ~8:30EST
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December 23rd, 2014 23 :59 GMT+0
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December 12, 2014 20:00 GMT+0
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August 31'st 11:30 P.M. West Coast California time.
:) This is moving pretty fast
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I reckon Sun Sep 21st : 19:00 GMT+8...
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December 1, 2014 00:00 GMT+0.
I hope that right now! :P :P :P :P
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I am betting on the Sept 11th 13:45:35.500 EST
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It's somehow interesting to see where people are from as they tend to use their home time zone :)
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2014/10/21 11:00 GMT
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15. October 2014 08.00 GMT - no rational reasoning ;)
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UTC 2014-10-17 00:00:00
Cuz BTS needs time to collect eye-balls. :)
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UTC 2014-10-17 00:00:00
Cuz BTS needs time to collect eye-balls. :)
I've edited my post. So I think make a copy without editing may help.
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(sorry if someone already shared this)
woot https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitsharesx-crosses-litecoin-market-cap-before-sept-14th/
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I think the date will be 28-09-2014, (GMT+8) 20:00, the reason is I trust it.
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27/08/1014 4pm GMT
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Nice post,
i add 500 BTSX to the prize pool :D
my date : 15 november 2014 , 22:00 GMT
edit , my ID : mahprod
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March 15, 2015 - 7pm EST
The Ides of March
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The 10th of november 2014 08:01 GMT
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10th of September 2014, 04:20 PM GMT
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Mai 1, 2015
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September 4, 2014
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my guess is September 4th at 12 noon. gmt
dead center in the middle of my wife's birthday.
:D
pay btsx to : erick
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Adding Time zone will be nice :)
Thank you sir, I fixed it . :-* :o
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21/09/2014 13:00 GMT :)
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2014-11-15T23:59:59Z - random guess
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Oct. 9th
12pm UTC
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Oct. 17,2014 18:00 EST
pay to "pan2pan"
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September 11th!
The reason being that it'll take a couple of weeks for bitAssets to become stable and reach equilibrium. Once that happens bitAssets will act as reserves further stabilizing the market as volume increases and transaction fees burn. Users will see the benefits of holding bitLTC rather than LTC and LTC will fall against BTSX.
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November 5, 2014, 11:00 AM GMT
(http://tiwibzone.tiwib.netdna-cdn.com/images/guy-fawkes-mask.jpg)
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Midday, October 7th.
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Hi and thanks for this amazing contest.
So, here's my guess:
I'd say October 19th, 2014, at 5:26 a.m. PST. It is my lucky number for this contest. ;)
Namaste :)
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09/09/2014 11:00 UTC ;D
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September 14th, 2014 at 7pm Mountain Standard Time
It will surpass Litecoin in such a short time frame because of the exponential nature of technology. Adoption of BitsharesX will be at an exponential rate as we catch up to Bitcoin.
Kind of how Asian GDP has risen exponentially as they catch up to the USA's GDP.
BitsharesX is a superior technology when compared to anything else currently in existance. As a result, all rational people will gravitate towards BitsharesX as will their capital.
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10,000 BTSX UP FOR GRABS: On what date do we pass Litecoin?
« on: August 22, 2014, 06:15:45 AM »
"I'd like to make this fun, so I'm gonna put some money in the pot. Well, not money, something better....BTSX. I'll tip 10,000 BTSX to whoever comes the closest to guessing the correct date. You don't have to get the actual date, just be the closest. So it's not open ended, let's limit this to only the responses posted here by midnight, Aug 24th. "
MktDirector
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OMG, we are rallying again. Wished I'd picked tomorrow to knock off Litecoin. Sell walls on Bter are practically non-existent.
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Midnight where? Its still August 24 in the west coast of usa.
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And it's unclear how midnight is interpreted:
http://english.stackexchange.com/questions/6459/how-should-midnight-on-be-interpreted
In case it's not over yet: October 6, 2014 10 p.m. EST.
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That's why most of us listed a time zone. Deadline? I say go for it until it's midnight on the International Date Line!
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Thursday, August 28, 2014, 15:00 UTC
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The time and date is in the header of your posts. It is over.
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That's not what it said in the post. It just said midnight.
Guess he meant last opportunity to post was August 23, 2014 11:59:59
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Just post it, then. Brian started the thread and is handing out the money, so let him decide.
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I'm gonna say September 17, 2014 we will surpass litecoin! Hope I win!
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Thank you to everyone who submitted before the deadline! Amazingly we're almost already halfway there. Check back after we get to #2. B
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Midday, October 7th.
Meant GMT time.
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September 4, 2014
Sorry, Fixed: 2PM GMT
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You guys realize that at the current rate we will surpass the $100m in a few hours?
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We just surpassed Litecoin in volume.
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This thread is already looking like ancient history, we're moving so fast.... $108 Million and counting....b