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Messages - cylonmaker2053

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136
General Discussion / Re: Liquidity Pool Discussion
« on: March 07, 2016, 06:47:37 pm »
I think a 20% spread on fixed settlement ranges would be OK but not on the spread in which we subsidized liquidity. If the spread was very much wider than 0.99 - 1.01 the majority of the time, I don't think BitUSD would be very appealing to the man on the street but I also agree with experimenting and adjusting results. (If we have a liquidity pool and there is excess demand at 1.01 we would either raise the interest to attract more BitUSD to the pool like the implementation in the OP or raise it to 1.02 and so on. You could also have daily limits.)

Regards the yield, the poll was for diluting BTS at a rate of 2% a year for 6 months. (Or as some prefer to say, using 30% of the  daily worker budget https://bitshares.org/technology/stakeholder-approved-project-funding/ ) Of course you could yield harvest and provided total BitUSD was < 1/2 CAP of BTS your return would be greater than the % BTS was being diluted, so basically it's a cost every sharholder can at least mitigate. 

Quote
wow, $120k in yield payments to bitUSD short sellers in 6 months?

Not to short seller but to BitUSD yield or a combo of BitUSD yield and BitUSD shorts.
(If we added yield we would also probably lower forced settlement which would also be a positive for shorts.)

gotcha, cool thx for the clarifications. i'd support experimenting with BOTH yield to short sellers, as well as yield to smartcoin holders; perhaps implementing the experiments sequentially to learn more. a simultaneous experiment would make it difficult to disentangle the effects.

137
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

I, too, am in favor of limiting this to a 6-month trial.  I propose targeting it 75% to BitUSD, 20% BitCNY and 5% BitEur, with a goal of creating the equivalent of at least $1M in total BitAssets.  Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

So we get people to move funds onto the DEX, they become more frequent users of the DEX, and create BitAssets propelling us to worldwide fiat-pegged leaders, which will garner greater overall attention for Bitshares in general and our smartcoins in particular.  Not to mention new users that might be attracted by the yield to buy and hold smartcoins.

On the liquidity front, we can launch this in conjunction with liquidity pools that any of these new users and new BitAsset creators/holders can voluntarily participate in.  This can be incentivized by the Nasdaq-style market maker liquidity rewards program (to be developed separately, discussed on another thread), which of course any liquidity provider can participate in (and which UIA issuers can use with their own funds to incentivize liquidity in the markets for their own assets). 

If we require generation of more liquidity, the rewards can be increased as necessary.  Conversely, as liquidity grows, the rewards can be diminished and directed to other BitAsset  markets such as BitGOLD, BitSILVER, BitOIL, BitAAPL, etc. 

These are just some suggestions and starting points for further discussion, including how some of the pieces of the puzzle might fit together.  Thoughts @Empirical1.2, @cylonmaker2053?  Anyone else with constructive input?

all really good points. only other thing i'd add is that my gut tells me it'd be better to start with an experiment with one smartcoin, whichever has the highest 3-month moving average volume, or something like that.

138
General Discussion / Re: Liquidity Pool Discussion
« on: March 07, 2016, 06:02:15 pm »
i'm also in the market making business for our USD, BTC, and SILVER markets and so i'm viewing these ideas from that perspective.

#1 we have a natural supply limit to any smartcoin, which is some function of excess BTS people are willing to lock up in collateral for that particular smartcoin. there's also an upper bound based purely on exchange rate and amount of BTS required per unit of that smartcoin. 1 million bitUSD is far too large a number. we're probably looking at more like 100,000 bitUSD at current BTS valuation and amount people are willing to tie up in collateral.

#2 juicy spreads are what induce liquidity providers to enter markets. in absence of any support/intervention, simply observing spreads shows us what kind of risk/reward market makers imply for our assets. artificially narrowing this spread (albeit by fixing settlement ranges and thereby reducing some risk) could easily induce market makers to leave the DEX.

that said, i am in support of some upper and lower range for settlement, as suggested by @JonnyBitcoin in other threads. the range would be something like 20% for starters, though, not 2%. further, everything we try ought to be on a limited experimental basis for a single smartcoin. derive measurable hypotheses, test over a limited range, then advance policies that are proven (conditionally) to work. never stop experimenting...
Good points.
Glad to see we have one more market maker.
By the way what's you opinion about the "Subsidizing Market Liquidity" idea in this post?  https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21544.105.html

these were my comments on that thread: https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21544.msg280555.html#msg280555

i like the concept, but think a sliding scale should weight more strongly the closer the open order is to either settlement, maybe midpoint btw bid/ask, or maybe even whatever is closest to (or was the) last trade.

139
General Discussion / Re: Liquidity Pool Discussion
« on: March 07, 2016, 06:00:02 pm »
i'm also in the market making business for our USD, BTC, and SILVER markets and so i'm viewing these ideas from that perspective.

#1 we have a natural supply limit to any smartcoin, which is some function of excess BTS people are willing to lock up in collateral for that particular smartcoin. there's also an upper bound based purely on exchange rate and amount of BTS required per unit of that smartcoin. 1 million bitUSD is far too large a number. we're probably looking at more like 100,000 bitUSD at current BTS valuation and amount people are willing to tie up in collateral.


If we implement the BitUSD yield trial you are in favour of we should see a substantial increase in BitUSD creation. (The trial would pay out circa $120 000 in yield over the following 6 months, which would be the equivalent of 10% p.a on $1.2 million BitUSD for those 6 months, so I believe we'll see at least that amount created.)

#2 juicy spreads are what induce liquidity providers to enter markets. in absence of any support/intervention, simply observing spreads shows us what kind of risk/reward market makers imply for our assets. artificially narrowing this spread (albeit by fixing settlement ranges and thereby reducing some risk) could easily induce market makers to leave the DEX.

I agree that some fixed settlement ranges on either side of the peg but quite far away to reduce some risk would be a positive. (Forced settlement at 1-1 for example actually discourages shorts/liquidity imo.)

However I believe narrowing spreads combined with partially subsidized returns will attract market makers. NuBits for example artificially narrows the spread but pays circa 0.2% a day for a set amount of liquidity on each exchange. The Buy/Sell walls you see on CCDEK for example 'appear' to be achieved for $40 a day.

http://cybnate.github.io/index-liquidbits.html
https://www.ccedk.com/nbt-usd

I imagine we can do the same at a wider spread and achieve similar results. I have messaged the creator of the pool mentioned in the OP and invited him to this thread to hopefully learn more about that and the cost.

wow, $120k in yield payments to bitUSD short sellers in 6 months? is that just an estimate of what 2% APR on borrowed funds would entail? i thought the proposed experiment was 2%?

interesting point re: NuBits. still, i'd rather start with wider upper and lower bounds around a single smartcoin to experiment; something like 20% spread would be a good starting point IMO, but i'm a fan of experimenting and adjusting based on results.


140
General Discussion / Re: Potential BitShares Road Map for 2016
« on: March 07, 2016, 05:54:06 pm »
Thanks @Akado to list the current major projects for Bitshares.

Please also add the Liquidity discussion to the list too. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21597.0/all.html
maybe @xeroc could help @Empirical1.2 to set up a BSIP?

I think we must decide very soon which projects really can bring us forward. We should not spend our worker funds on simple assumptions or fancy techy proof of concept projects. We do not need to fund a prediction market today, we also do not need a ethereum virtual machine yet. We need to promote the features we have today. Why don´t we focus on our competitive trading fees and price stable crypto currencies?

I suggest we spend a fair amount of the worker funds for real marketing and promoting our features today´s. That could include taking BTS of the major exchanges and promote BitUsd instead. What if Polo traders could store their trading profits of eth etc. in bitusd instead of btc? I think that could be very interesting for crypto only exchanges like polo.

We also need a project to promote BitShares to major exchanges. Why not focusing on bringing BitUSD to Bitfinex, Kraken, BTC38? Every Fiat on-ramp will help us.

i tend to agree with @Chris4210 on the point that we need to be promoting current capabilities. that's not to say that i think we should simultaneously halt tech dev, but perhaps shift some % of resources from new R&D to marketing. i'd recommend allocating about 20% of our budget to marketing, 80% to the usual worker project mix that includes docs, Web, and features. start there, see how things evolve, and iterate as it makes sense.
You're officially announcing that the referral program is a failed design. Why use worker funds to do marketing?

referrals only be one type of marketing. why not consider our budget like any other business --part would go to SG&A, R&D, and part of the former would be a diversified marketing strategy.

141
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

what about economics makes you recommend against this experiment? i'm personally about indifferent on this hypothesis, but usually ere on the side of experimentation.

142
General Discussion / Re: Liquidity Pool Discussion
« on: March 07, 2016, 04:20:20 pm »
i'm also in the market making business for our USD, BTC, and SILVER markets and so i'm viewing these ideas from that perspective.

#1 we have a natural supply limit to any smartcoin, which is some function of excess BTS people are willing to lock up in collateral for that particular smartcoin. there's also an upper bound based purely on exchange rate and amount of BTS required per unit of that smartcoin. 1 million bitUSD is far too large a number. we're probably looking at more like 100,000 bitUSD at current BTS valuation and amount people are willing to tie up in collateral.

#2 juicy spreads are what induce liquidity providers to enter markets. in absence of any support/intervention, simply observing spreads shows us what kind of risk/reward market makers imply for our assets. artificially narrowing this spread (albeit by fixing settlement ranges and thereby reducing some risk) could easily induce market makers to leave the DEX.

that said, i am in support of some upper and lower range for settlement, as suggested by @JonnyBitcoin in other threads. the range would be something like 20% for starters, though, not 2%. further, everything we try ought to be on a limited experimental basis for a single smartcoin. derive measurable hypotheses, test over a limited range, then advance policies that are proven (conditionally) to work. never stop experimenting...

143
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

144
awesome, i'll try to attend, but look forward to the recorded session if not...

145
General Discussion / Re: Potential BitShares Road Map for 2016
« on: March 07, 2016, 04:04:31 pm »
Thanks @Akado to list the current major projects for Bitshares.

Please also add the Liquidity discussion to the list too. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21597.0/all.html
maybe @xeroc could help @Empirical1.2 to set up a BSIP?

I think we must decide very soon which projects really can bring us forward. We should not spend our worker funds on simple assumptions or fancy techy proof of concept projects. We do not need to fund a prediction market today, we also do not need a ethereum virtual machine yet. We need to promote the features we have today. Why don´t we focus on our competitive trading fees and price stable crypto currencies?

I suggest we spend a fair amount of the worker funds for real marketing and promoting our features today´s. That could include taking BTS of the major exchanges and promote BitUsd instead. What if Polo traders could store their trading profits of eth etc. in bitusd instead of btc? I think that could be very interesting for crypto only exchanges like polo.

We also need a project to promote BitShares to major exchanges. Why not focusing on bringing BitUSD to Bitfinex, Kraken, BTC38? Every Fiat on-ramp will help us.

i tend to agree with @Chris4210 on the point that we need to be promoting current capabilities. that's not to say that i think we should simultaneously halt tech dev, but perhaps shift some % of resources from new R&D to marketing. i'd recommend allocating about 20% of our budget to marketing, 80% to the usual worker project mix that includes docs, Web, and features. start there, see how things evolve, and iterate as it makes sense.

146
General Discussion / Re: Marketing plan for Bitshares 2.1
« on: March 07, 2016, 03:57:08 pm »
I am not a Marketer, this is why I work with Chris4210. He is out there every single day guys shaking hands with Executives from billion dollar corporations, flying to Amsterdam and other events (his parents paid the way for him thusfar, but cannot continue that forever!), organizing Meetups, tweeting and doing everything a successful Marketer can do with no income.
 
I can get a successful team of Marketers together, but REAL Marketers cost money. As you know, I do not hire Americans or other high priced labor, I know that sounds bad, but this is one reason why I can build so much stuff so fast. I will get us a Marketing team now that will blow the doors off any other out there.
 
As Chris said, it's time to get LOUD. I/we need your support for it though...

i agree in bringing on professional marketing support, but recommend not outright excluding potentially valuable/innovative/efficient help from North America :)

often in life, you get what you pay for. Americans may be expensive, but they're also likely some of the best innovators in a wide range of professions, including marketing. i'm more interested in ROI / value maximization, rather than cost minimization.

147
General Discussion / Re: Marketing plan for Bitshares 2.1
« on: March 07, 2016, 03:54:20 pm »
I am not a Marketer, this is why I work with Chris4210. He is out there every single day guys shaking hands with Executives from billion dollar corporations, flying to Amsterdam and other events (his parents paid the way for him thusfar, but cannot continue that forever!), organizing Meetups, tweeting and doing everything a successful Marketer can do with no income.
 
I can get a successful team of Marketers together, but REAL Marketers cost money. As you know, I do not hire Americans or other high priced labor, I know that sounds bad, but this is one reason why I can build so much stuff so fast. I will get us a Marketing team now that will blow the doors off any other out there.
 
As Chris said, it's time to get LOUD. I/we need your support for it though...

Fuck marketers. Become a marketer for yourself. It is not a rocket science.

marketing is part science and part art, but certainly a ton of value can be added by professionals. i'd be in favor of hiring professional marketing support, maybe someone from our community overseeing an outsourced team.

my recommendation is to target traders and those marketing their own trading strategies. get them on-board by showing them referral potential by promoting markets on our DEX.

148
General Discussion / Re: DEX is having delay issues
« on: March 07, 2016, 12:54:47 am »
You can try changing the api source for your wallet.  Just click the options button, and then click the wss://bitshares.openledger.info/ws and select one of the other two servers.  Theres one from dacplay, and one that I run as a backup. 

I have also noticed that when I am using some of my accounts the wallet is much less responsive.  Its beyond my technical ability to solve, but I suppose I should compile a list of what accounts seem to cause the wallet to slow down.

sweet, thank you very much! ideally, whatever was slowing down the other connection could be fixed, but the change works well for me now. appreciate the help!

149
General Discussion / DEX is having delay issues
« on: March 07, 2016, 12:15:00 am »
Has anyone else been having issues trading on the DEX? I'm using Firefox and have had delay issues for some time now, some times are worse than others; today has been miserable, though, which is why I'm finally posting specifically about this.

The issue is that when I go to any of the markets and try to place Buy or Sell orders, or even cancel outdated orders, nothing happens. I click whatever icon i need for the task and nothing happens. Several minutes later (or sometimes not at all bc i get too frustrated and close out of the window) i get the transaction confirmation window, but it's too late and the transaction has timed out.

Is this happening to anyone else? Does anyone have a clue why this would be happening? It's really cramping my trading volume, which means it is likely affecting others and hitting our core competency. This even happened while introducing a friend to Bitshares last week, leaving him with a poor impression, unfortunately.

i've tried closing and reopening the window, refreshing, and also just waiting it out.

150
General Discussion / Re: Ethereum price discussion
« on: March 05, 2016, 11:33:26 pm »
Guess we should create a ETH MPA soon.

that'd be great, so we can easily short ETH (not that i'm an ETH hater)

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