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Messages - Empirical1.2

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1276
We have a group of extremely talented & loyal developers already working on BitShares. We need those guys to continue doing their amazing work. They're not politicians and getting 4/5 multiple delegate seats is hard and would not be popular right now.

How do we provide our current core developers with a competitive salary & some future certainty going forward?
 

1277
    Thanks everybody for the feedback so far!

    The way we approach everything in live is pretty simple: Do no harm. And treat others as you would like to be treated.

    One thing I have learned is to change my position if my position has a known logical flaw or does harm.

    Before I continue I would like to point out how hardcoded delegate voting works on our thin client. At no point does anybody but the users have access to his private keys. The light client does transaction building in two ways: 1) for single signature transactions everything is build in the client. The Angular app would preset those delegates on each transaction. 2) for future multisig transactions the server builds the transaction with the vote pre-set, then sends the build transaction to the client, which then signs the transaction with his private key. The client can independently verify whether the transaction is OK. The server is in this setup only a relay and can never actually change any transaction as the blockchain would not accept such a forged transaction.

    So far what I have gathered from this discussion:
    • There is a considerable number of people against the hardcoded proposal.
    • I believe that there is a serious problem with the Nash Equilibrium of the DPOS voting system
    .
    • The proposed fundraiser is in libertarian terms all OK. It is a voluntary trade and risk taking by all invloved parties, and all parties are individuals rather than collectives. Furthermore a public good is created and payed for by the public without the public taking any coerced risk.
    • The people against hardcoded delegates voiced concerns initially based on the potentially exposed flaw in the DPOS voting scheme, but then dismissed this very problem as invalid

    From my perspective, the reasoning behind being against hardcoded delegates has still not been explained by the people who are against it.

    As I said, we can do the fundraiser differently, but people who are so vehemently against this approach need to please argue why it is so bad. Can somebody please explain to me what the core problem is?

    My problem is that because the problem with hardcoding hasn't been defined by anybody of the people against, I am unable to formulate an alternative fundraiser approach. I feel like a physician being told by some of the community to do an operation without knowing what the illness is...

The problem with hard-coded delegates is similar to Bitcoin mining pools. Because hashers are lazy and want the best/most consistent returns they transfer their power to pools, this centralizes & gives control of Bitcoin to people who may not have the best intentions.

In our case users/voters are lazy and want the best/easiest product and may transfer their power to the 'wallet pools', this would centralize BitShares & give control of BitShares to people who may not have the best intentions.

With Bitcoin their lack of decentralisation hamstrings their value despite being the market leader and in our case it would be seriously damaging to the BTS price.

So while the libertarian free market can create a solution such as yours our free market response to protect the BTS share price would be to take back control of the forum and treat Moonstone like an infected wallet and warn people accordingly. Thereby maintaining market confidence that we are committed to remaining sufficiently decentralised and around delegates who are voluntarily selected.

In terms of the problems of voter apathy and incentivising projects like yours...

The solution to voter apathy is reward or punishment. The 5% annual fee in the original whitepaper for not voting, which while unpopular would have mostly addressed the issue, was part of the original design & would also have been infinitely more popular than dilution. Combined with transaction fees at a higher CAP, it would have given us comparable funding. (Unfortunately this is out of the question now that we already have a dilution tax, only voter incentives are now an option.)

The solution to attracting third parties to do projects like this besides voluntary delegate positions is transaction fees. Perhaps we need to decide on a standard transaction fee and give a percentage back to whichever third party generated the transaction. (With the understanding that if they ever introduced hard-coded delegates they would be treated as a serious and immediate threat to BitShares.)

I also think the blockchain can enter into longer term agreements of up to a year, even though the shareholders of tomorrow will not be the shareholders of today.

Why? Being able to attract talented developers and significant projects is extremely valuable to BTS. If a delegate pre-stated their work was conditional on a 6 month contract, even though their work might be finished sooner and we agreed & elected them on that basis but shareholders of tomorrow fired him, then unless those BTS shareholders had a very good reason, they wouldn't be able to attract other significant projects and developers as the blockchain's word would count for very little.



1278
I voted yes.

There's definitely value in sharedropping some initial amount to a wide, supportive, target demographic.

Part of the value of a DAC comes from being sufficiently decentralised & sharedropping is a great way to do that.

However once the DAC has already established a value, I'm not a big fan of dropping more shares as all the evidence points to it generally creating downward pressure at that point in the crypto space.

With a product like BitAssets though it could be different & I don't mind small highly targeted BitAsset Drops if the results are closely monitored and analysed before expanding it.

1279
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:54:53 pm »


btw, why do you have a new account?

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=11871.msg185151#msg185151

My favourite number is 888 so I ended Empirical1.1 after 888 posts.

but your first one only has 885?! https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2288  must be the cause of the hack!
:p

Yeah I noticed that :( I think I've lost the password for that one otherwise I'd actually get it back up to 888. Some months ago when they updated the forum/something some people lost a few posts but it was left on 888 originally.

1280
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:48:14 pm »

1281
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:12:21 pm »
Where did you get that?

If you read my post above you'll see there was some glitch that incorrectly credited me with BTS & BitUSD on Fri that I noticed on Sat. I doubt I was the only one and I imagine the strange dump of BTS on Bter on Fri was probably related to that glitch/hack.

It seems to me that the hacker sold any free BTS they got and ran off with the BTC.  The dump was like 3 million BTS, followed by a few more 200k dumps.  At most probably 5M BTS.  Bter probably can cover that, or at least fulfill 95%.

Unless there is a ~50M BTS tranfer on our blockchain yesterday, the BTS should be fine, or alternately almost all of it fine. 

Can anyone see a transaction like that?

How do you know the hacker got any BTS? sounds like the hacker was just targeting BTC, and waiting for BTER to make a transfer from cold wallet, and as soon as BTER did the transfer, the hacker was able to empty their cold wallet and run off. Doesn't seem the hacker got any BTS

I agree.  Empirical said they stole BTS.  I dont think they did, or at most stole only a small amount.

Well I don't know if the hacker got BTS but recipients of the glitch probably did.

In my case I logged on to deposit and sell BTS for BTC and was surprised to see I already had my regular BTS trading size on my account. So I sold it for BTC. I then saw a very large BitUSD balance that I knew wasn't mine, tested to see with a small amount whether it was withdrawable, sent that amount back to Bter. Then emailed their support and our guys about the issue & told Bter I could easily replace the BTS I had incorrectly sold. (I also keep an XCP balance on Bter that covered that amount anyway.)

Then this all happened, so it seemed like glitch and hack are related but maybe not.

1282
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 04:59:17 pm »
Where did you get that?

If you read my post above you'll see there was some glitch that incorrectly credited me with BTS & BitUSD on Fri that I noticed on Sat. I doubt I was the only one and I imagine the strange dump of BTS on Bter on Fri was probably related to that glitch/hack.

1283
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 04:49:36 pm »
I can't believe how many people there are supporting rollbacks (even if it's targeted rollbacks to a small set of transactions) in this thread. It completely undermines the blockchain.


Its not BTS, its their BTC.  We should all be okay.

Good, let's hope so. But we should still be vigilant. Eventually it will happen to us as long as we keep using centralized exchanges.

Light wallets with exchange functionality can't come soon enough. And then we also need decentralized-ish (where counterparty risk is only a subset of the delegates) BTC gateways/bridges.

They definitely lost BTS too.

1284
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 04:43:08 pm »
Holy shit, really bter?  Your cold wallet?


Thank god its not BTS.  "Withdrawals of the unaffected coins will be arranged later". 

If they dont get it back they are insolvent.  If they pay the 720 bounty and manage to get it back somehow they are probably solvent, like after the NXT hack, but I dont trust them anymore.

I'm just heading home but the short version is that on Fri afternoon I was credited/re-credited with BTS & BitUSD on Bter that wasn't mine but was related to amounts I'd deposited in the past. I noticed this on Sat &
wrote a message to Bter and a couple of our developers about the issue. Everything else seems to have transpired since.
 

1285
 +5% Great that he mentions BitUSD & BitShares by name, he seems open to a lot of 2.0 projects.

I'm noticing BitUSD & other options get discussed by name a lot more when I look on Reddit too, most recently in the medical marijuana thread where a lot of people are realising Crypto-USD could be more suited to a lot of business applications. http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2vk981/medical_marijuana_industry_pouring_millions_into/

The more we strongly brand ourselves the better. Looking forward to having a few more good BitUSD titled discussion and explainer videos.

1286
Bitusd is does not solve the problem anymore than the dollar does. Government can track/freeze funds at Coinbase level. Sure, you could be sneaky about, but you couldn't be anymore sneaky about it then you can with the dollar.

My statement will be true until the dollar is replaced. Even then, it may hold true. Depends on who adopts bitusd. If you could persuade a whole community to adopt it then it would be a solution.

Has anybody ever tried to coordinate a large group of people to move to an area and use only crypto? Business people, teachers, tradesmen, ect.., it would only take one community to change the world.
Their problem is not tracking and freezing though. Their problem is that the banks refused to serve them. They keep the cash and have to hire guards to keep it safe amongst other costs. It is kind of hard to pay cash to someone 1000 miles away without the banks. Both of those are solved with BTC...BTS ads to this the lack of volatility.

Ok. Customer comes in and buys drugs with cash/credit card. How do they convert that to bts? Bank > Coinbase > btc > bitusd. Clearly, bitusd does not solve the problem.

Now, let's assume the whole community adopts bitusd. Customer comes in and buys drugs with bitusd......that's it because the company can pay employees with bitusd who can then buy groceries with bitusd. No bank needed. Bitusd solves the problem.

Again, the only way bitusd solves the problem is if the whole community adopts it.

Once the light wallet and one step on ramp is out then Pot would be an excellent target market -- also once we have created the Lwallet and on ramp, what might be good strategy here for initiating cross-community demand? I have heard some say incentivize merchants who then pass the incentives to the consumer and employees (although IME promotions don't work well this way at the retail level as the retailer tends to keep the dollars for themselves if recieved upfront)

1step, 1000 steps. Both can be regulated the same. If a conversion to or from cash has to happen then it is not a real solution. There would still be a lot of red tape.

Can't they accept BitUSD as payment from customers. Now they have a dollar stable asset without the holding costs. If they need to pay bills they can covert BitUSD to BTC at bter.


Yes they can! However, this requires adoption as I previously suggested. The drug store may do a few sales this way, but the majority will still be cash/credit since these are legitimate businesses. It does not make bitusd a solution. If anything, it is added headache.

For it to be a solution the whole ecosystem needs to accept. This is why I suggested it.

If you truly want a business to use bitusd without adoption then you're going to need to add some better incentives, or find a business that wants to push adoption to its community. Either way, bitusd is not a solution until it is mass accepted with no conversions.

I guess my hang up is that we keep calling it a solution for a business. Right now it is a burden. Businesses who choose to accept are opportunities for bitshares holders; not businesses.

I hope that somebody rich changes this!!!!

They could also just accept BTC and convert that to BitUSD. May easily be worth it depending on a cost comparison. No BitUSD adoption required. 

Over 100 000 businesses accept Bitcoin even though it makes up a small % of their overall sales. The difference between paying 1% to BitPay vs. 3% to Visa makes it worth the hassle so to for these guys the 1% BTC to BitUSD conversion cost may be worth the hassle depending on their cash holding costs. Especially if BitUSD pays a bit of a yield too.


1287
Bitusd is does not solve the problem anymore than the dollar does. Government can track/freeze funds at Coinbase level. Sure, you could be sneaky about, but you couldn't be anymore sneaky about it then you can with the dollar.

My statement will be true until the dollar is replaced. Even then, it may hold true. Depends on who adopts bitusd. If you could persuade a whole community to adopt it then it would be a solution.

Has anybody ever tried to coordinate a large group of people to move to an area and use only crypto? Business people, teachers, tradesmen, ect.., it would only take one community to change the world.
Their problem is not tracking and freezing though. Their problem is that the banks refused to serve them. They keep the cash and have to hire guards to keep it safe amongst other costs. It is kind of hard to pay cash to someone 1000 miles away without the banks. Both of those are solved with BTC...BTS ads to this the lack of volatility.

Ok. Customer comes in and buys drugs with cash/credit card. How do they convert that to bts? Bank > Coinbase > btc > bitusd. Clearly, bitusd does not solve the problem.

Now, let's assume the whole community adopts bitusd. Customer comes in and buys drugs with bitusd......that's it because the company can pay employees with bitusd who can then buy groceries with bitusd. No bank needed. Bitusd solves the problem.

Again, the only way bitusd solves the problem is if the whole community adopts it.

Once the light wallet and one step on ramp is out then Pot would be an excellent target market -- also once we have created the Lwallet and on ramp, what might be good strategy here for initiating cross-community demand? I have heard some say incentivize merchants who then pass the incentives to the consumer and employees (although IME promotions don't work well this way at the retail level as the retailer tends to keep the dollars for themselves if recieved upfront)

1step, 1000 steps. Both can be regulated the same. If a conversion to or from cash has to happen then it is not a real solution. There would still be a lot of red tape.

Can't they accept BitUSD as payment from customers. Now they have a dollar stable asset without the holding costs. If they need to pay bills they can covert BitUSD to BTC at bter.


1288
General Discussion / Re: The Bitshares SUPERbull thread
« on: February 12, 2015, 11:44:36 pm »
superbull bullshit.

Yes I remember this obvious pump :) Ander thought it could be real, alas no.

ohh 1.2

I almost missed that one.

Congrats on 2 * 888 !!!

 :)

1289
General Discussion / Re: The Bitshares SUPERbull thread
« on: February 12, 2015, 11:30:34 pm »
superbull bullshit.

Yes I remember this obvious pump :) Ander thought it could be real, alas no.

1290
General Discussion / Re: Simple Binary Prediction Market Discussion
« on: February 12, 2015, 11:12:51 am »
If both parties have equal amount of collateral tied up you could force them to settle quicker by applying demurrage to the collateral. The longer they wait the less they will get back at the time where they close the bet position. Demurrage rate could be applied in different proportion based on the VWAP of the last price on the market. Since all the honest betters will have settled earlier the VWAP will be difficult to manipulate. For instance, if demurrage rate is 2% per day and the vwap is 0.9, the loser will bear 0.9*2=1.8% demurrage whereas the winner will bear only 0.1*2=0.2% demurrage. In this condition, the loser is better off settling quickly.

Whatever the specific way this is inplemented, the counter-incentive of waiting should always be higher than the incentive of waiting so that the equilibrium will form on (tell the truth,settle early).
+5% .
This is clever. I'm scary participating this though.

If you were willing to make decisions based on the VWAP then couldn't the blockchain hold the collateral &
settle at 1 or 0 based on that? (With a short interim period where you could look to delegates for intervention if VWAP produced the wrong result.)

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