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Messages - GaltReport

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376
I think early on it will be helpful for feeds to be published every 4 hours.  The market is still thin and 4 hours is a lot of time with the volatility of BTSX.


I updated mine to every 4 hours and only if changed by more than 5% from previous update.

I updated mine to every 4 hours (and adjusted the fee  ;) )

I think we need tighter tolerances to enforce the peg better.   Update if changed by more than 1%.  Right now shorts are selling at 3% above.

I update it regardless every 4 hours.  Is that okay?

377
General Discussion / Re: The Market Peg Works!
« on: September 04, 2014, 05:33:25 pm »
Mabye we should emphazise that the feed really only affects shorts and margin calls

participants trading bitUSD back and forth can chose whatever price they want!!

Very good idea.

378
General Discussion / Re: The Market Peg Works!
« on: September 04, 2014, 05:28:29 pm »
 +5% Sounds like a plan!!

379
I think early on it will be helpful for feeds to be published every 4 hours.  The market is still thin and 4 hours is a lot of time with the volatility of BTSX.


I updated mine to every 4 hours and only if changed by more than 5% from previous update.

I updated mine to every 4 hours (and adjusted the fee  ;) )

380
I set mine to only run every 12 hours. Maybe that's not frequently enough for the market. The original plan was for every 24 hours.
it would be not frenquently enough if all delegates published the fees the exact same time every 12 hours!
So I think it's ok, knowing the publish time differs for many reasons between delegates...

I think early on it will be helpful for feeds to be published every 4 hours.  The market is still thin and 4 hours is a lot of time with the volatility of BTSX.

Any plan to eliminate fees for publishing price feeds?

381
General Discussion / Re: 0.4.11 Release Candidate 2 Testing
« on: September 04, 2014, 11:25:56 am »
Windows 64 bit version was just posted by DAC Sun Limited...

https://github.com/dacsunlimited/bitsharesx/releases


This version should be significantly faster than the 32 bit version, but may have new undiscovered crashes.  Please test.

I get error: "The application was unable to start correctly..." for 64-bit version.


Ditto:



Same issue for me too, is their going to be another build released soon or should we just go back to using the old version?

32 Bit Version worked for me.

382
General Discussion / Re: When will there be interest on BitAssets?
« on: September 04, 2014, 01:25:42 am »
Interest is extremely hard to implement in an explicit manner because accounts are heavily divided and payment periods are continuous. 

A BitAsset can be defined any way that is easily calculated.  The challenge is "what interest rate should we set"?   

If you set a "fixed interest rate" then it is possible for the interest to be "too high". 

Imagine a BitAsset that paid interest equal to 25% of the growth of BTSX but had a floor pegged to the dollar.  It can "lock in" the gains on a daily basis.     

So you buy $100,000 USD + 25% of BTSX growth...
BTSX doubles....   your USD investment is now worth $125,000 
BTSX halves... your USD investment is still worth $100,000

By sharing the "upside potential" with the USD holders you create huge demand.

Now once again this is price fixing ratio of profit sharing... so could have other side effects. 

Would you buy an asset that was "pegged" to daily BTSX upside growth with the shorts taking all of the downside risk?

Yes, as long as I can sell it.  ;)

383
General Discussion / Re: 0.4.11 Release Candidate 2 Testing
« on: September 04, 2014, 12:08:23 am »
Windows 64 bit version was just posted by DAC Sun Limited...

https://github.com/dacsunlimited/bitsharesx/releases


This version should be significantly faster than the 32 bit version, but may have new undiscovered crashes.  Please test.

I get error: "The application was unable to start correctly..." for 64-bit version.

384
Okay.  July 21, 2014 I see price of .00002125 BTC from coinmarketcap.com 180 day chart. From coindesk.com I see a BTC price of $620 on that day so I think it comes out to $.013175 per BTSX.

Best I can do for now.

Edit:  Even lower the next day, July 22, 2014: .00001598 BTC and BTC $618 for $.00987564 per BTSX.

385
Depending on what day you made an AGS donation, you got a different price.  If you donated the week before the snapshot, you paid a much higher price.  If you mined PTS in the first week, you paid a lower cost.  My unscientific estimate is that the average is closer to .01
+5%

386

I believe the average person 'bought' the initial shares for less than $0.005

I doubt it. Closer to $0.01 average for initial shares.

Can you provide some justification for this, which everyone will accept as fact?

He is correct.  It was about $.01 or less.  I had no initial shares so I had to buy.

Think that would hold up if I added that to wikipedia? "The opening prices of "bitsharesX was less than $.01, and we know this because GaltReport claimed it, and he knows because he didn't get any genesis shares so he had to buy afterwords."

Where are you guys getting these numbers?

Brent

I will leave it at that. :) 

Maybe someone else can provide wikipedia quotes for you.

387

I believe the average person 'bought' the initial shares for less than $0.005

I doubt it. Closer to $0.01 average for initial shares.

Can you provide some justification for this, which everyone will accept as fact?

He is correct.  It was about $.01 or less.  I had no initial shares so I had to buy.

388

Through most if Bitcoin's history, it increased in value an order of magnitude in price 7 times, and all but one of those was in almost exactly 6 months.

See this historical graph:

http://canonizer.com/topic.asp/154/2

I'm assuming the reason it has stopped this progression is because of Bitcoin 2.0, primarily BitsharesX.

And it seems that Bitshares is taking up this 10 times increase every 6 months where Bitcoin left off.

After all, most of us purchased our Genesis block Bitshares at around $0.005 per share right?  And the first bubble easily made it past $0.05 in about 6 months time.

My prediction is that it will hit $0.50 per share in less than 6 months, and that this rate will continue for some time.  Anyone have any arguments for a different view?

Also, just as I've been predicting, the price of Bitshares would be depressed until the Either sale ended, many people taking their 10 times profit and rolling into Either.  Now that is over, the price looks like it is starting to move again.

Bolded part is quite plausible.  I compared the graphs for bitcoin and bitshares the last 30 days.  bitcoin starts dropping about a week before bitshares started it's climb.

389
General Discussion / Re: Failure to peg currencies to USD?
« on: September 03, 2014, 06:06:18 pm »
Can someone explain to me how and why BitUSD will work, with no "government" controlling things, while it seems to me nothing like this has ever worked before, without huge expenses, and a very powerful government making centrally controlled decisions, in the past?

quick explanation of the peg is that if there was a lot of liquidity, and the overwhelming consensus was that one bitUSD was worth one USD, then anyone that trades at a value off of the peg will lose money to the party that is returning to the peg. This is because deviation creates instant arbitrage opportunities. Consensus is formed when there are reasons (e.g. merchants, traders, exchange markets) why one bitUSD should be worth one USD.

Right now the BitUSD:USD link is missing/not strong, so developers are injecting that link with the new shorting rules. However, these rules remove the "exchange" (price discovery) component from bitsharesx and leaves it more like a "bank" (stable supply of value). At this early stage, stable USD:BitUSD value is probably more important to the technology than a fully decentralized exchange. BTSX:USD, BTSX:BTC, and BTSX:CNY price discovery is left to external exchanges which are then reflected by the internal market.

I think the next innovations in bitsharesx will be in the areas of market making - either by building it into the blockchain some how or by some 3rd party finding a way to externally peg USD:BitUSD (and make money while doing it). At some point, we want price discovery to occur ON bitsharesx markets, and not on an external exchange that gets injected INTO bitsharesx.

 +5%  +5%  +5%

390
General Discussion / Re: Failure to peg currencies to USD?
« on: September 03, 2014, 06:02:02 pm »
So...


1) People are too in debt to spend money because for the last 20 years banks have given our credit like candy
2) To encourage people to spend more they're going to increase interest rates making that debt much more expensive.
3) Wait...what is number three?

3) Global economic collapse, massive new wars/enemies and further implementation of homeland "security" to "protect us" as well as forced medication/vaccination also to "protect us" from new pandemics, disagreeing with the government/authorities and any other inadvertent lapses into critical thinking. They are going to go all out. Expect it

Nah, just kidding.  It will be great.

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