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Messages - klosure

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61
This is delusional.
Is that the core of your argument?

62
We may not need to pay 2M for a deal.
I agree but for a different reason. We won't end up paying 2M because other actors will be interested in taking a stake in BTER as well. BTER founders themselves certainly won't want to be completely out, and they must have investors, not to mention risk takers in the crypto community at large. What matters is that the IPO itself be done as a Bitshares DAC.

If we could work out a good deal with Bter, perhaps in the region of a few hundred BTCs to entice the thief to return funds.
This time the thief won't return the funds. Last time, the money stollen was in NXT and BTER was the only exchange with actual liquidity and had stopped operations, so the hacker had no way of converting his loot to fiat. If you followed what happened, he traded 85% of his NXT stash for a couple hundred BTCs and then stopped. The reason for that is obvious: after giving back 85% of the NXT, BTER was going to resume operations, and NXT would survive, so the hacker would be able to launder his remaining 15% stash later on.  This time around, the hacker is holding the most liquid crypto around, and has a wide variety of tools to launder the funds and many outlets to cash out. He has no incentrive to return the funds unless he gets doxxed.
So it's safer to assume that BTER won't get back the funds, and is going to go belly up. We should start thinking what that means for Bitshares, and act before it's too late.

we could get licenses to put up an on/off ramp, bter's user base, its 2-year experiences in exchange running, its good reputation with the Chinese community.  We need a good business dev (Gentso1) to start the negotiation though.
Exactly. BTER is very valuable and 2M isn't that much money in fact. Coinbase has raised 78M in their last round of fund raising, and you would have a hard time finding an established exchange that doesn't raise funds to the tune of millions.

63
Ok we are now short one on/off ramp, a rather large one, but there are more, and more are in the works as we speak.
That on/off ramp is 50% of our customer base. You have just no idea how badly this will hurt the demand for bit assets and BTS. Our market cap will drop by much more than 2M if BTER goes belly up.

2 million to buy a huge user base. You still think this will be a huge user base after this?
If BTER is put under decentralized dac-based management and cold wallet access moved to delegate controlled multisign, this will be a first in crypto history and I would be very surprised if the user base doesn't actually become bigger.

For marketing and PR we would hit most crypto news sites for sure. But is this the kind of marketing an PR we need?
Yes. 100 times Yes. Bitshares has been a marketing non-event since inception. We direly need to start to exist as something news worthy in the mind of our target customer base. Yes this will cost 20x Brian Page's yearly salary, but this will do 1000x time the effect all at once. It's not even speculation: by owning BTER, you effectively have all the altcoin community as a userbase and they'll keeping hearing about Bitshares every time they login to BTER.

We are sending out an message that a decentralised exchange fully depends on central exchanges to operate.
No, we are sending the message that we are a big player capable of acquiring companies, and have an influence in the real world. Being decentralized doesn't mean being completely cut from the real world. That's autism, not decentralization.

Seriously the reality check is on your end.
We shall see.
Hint: there is a reason why NXT almost considered a rollback last time BTER got hacked and strayed involve until a solution was found.

We have to take our losses and move on, without BTER. Nobody will care if BTER is run by a DAC, except this community.
Right, none of the thousands of altcoiners who have balances in BTER will appreciate to find out that they haven't lost their balance after all, and none of them will be interested to know that the cold wallets are becoming multisign and management is transparent, and none of the news outlet will relay that. We must definitely live in a very different reality.

64
BTER's user base is priceless.
Every altcoiner worth his salt has a BTER account and is using BTER on a regular basis.
BTER's user base is Bitshares target consummer base, it's captive and desperatly hoping for someone to step forward and save the day. This is a once in a life time opportunity to make a bold move, single handedly take over our target market and come across as heroes.

65
Created a thread to discuss this further. Please post your replies there and let's keep this thread to discuss the evolution of the situation at BTER.
https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=14311.0

66
Really? Who in their right minds would want to invest in BTER?
BTER is done for, this is their final blow.

Reviving BTER for BTS purposes, is gonna hurt BTS even more.

 +5% Yeah... worst idea ever. A decentralized exchange buys a failed centralized exchange because...?
Because it would become completely irrelevant without an on/off-ramp to the real world.
Because 2M USD to buy a huge user base is a very good deal.
Because that would be the best marketing and PR movement ever in crypto history.

Bitshares will fail if BTER fails.
Mark my words.

It's not like if Bitshares was visible and widely sought after out there.  Time to awake people. If you are not deeply concerned about the implications of BTER's situation for the future of Bitshares a reality check is overdue.

67
Creating a new thread to discuss this opportunity.

BTER is going to fail if not recapitalized ugently. The consequences for BitShares would be dire.
But we can save it by creating a BTER DAC and doing a crowdsale of its stake. The benefits for Bitshares are enormous. See discussion below.

Their business is potentially worth much more than 7170 BTC and they would have no problem raising that much from a VC. 2M USD is pocket change for a VC. As a long time partner of BTER Bitshares is in a great position to close a deal first but we shouldn't ruin that opportunity by making a low ball offer.

A share dilution to support shorting 7170 bitBTC won't even affect the BTS price since the created BTS will be immediately locked in as collateral so it won't inflate the money supply.

It will need a 10% inflation at the current prices. the main issue though would be about running it. Will we be getting competent delegates to run it? BitShares is a decentralized movement and running an exchange directly doesn't seem to fit well, especially since we believe that if we are successful we won't need actual centralized exchanges.

How much of licensing they have anyway? CNY is possible through tradebts, and I doubt Bter has any USD licenses.
We can create a new DAC with 1:1 mapping of stake to real shares of the BTER company, which means that one unit of BTER stake entitles to the dividends of one unit of real BTER company shares and to one vote at the board. Thanks to that mapping, you can keep running BTER as a normal company and progressively DACify the management process as the ecosystem and management tools gets more mature. Meanwhile the shareholders can elect delegates to represent the DAC at BTER board.

Recapitalization of BTER can then be done without a share dilution. We can just organize a crowd sale of BTER shares so interested parties can invest in BTER. That way Bitshares isn't directly affected by the acquisition but still gets the benefits of having a large on/off-ramp tighly integrated in the eco-system. Holders of balances at BTER can elect to participate to the crowdsale at preferential rate and redeem BTER stake in lieue of their currency balance. This would help reducing further the pressure of the loss.

That would be a very exciting opportunity and it would feel very reassuring for BTER users to know that the exchange is now operated under tight control from a Bitshares DAC and cold wallets are controlled by delegates using multisig. For Bitshares the benefit is enormous as we can make bitAssets a central element of the trading books and ensure that bitAsset markets are getting always more liquidity until the point where the peg is so tight that we can start accepting 1:1 deposit / withdrawal between BTER balances and corresponding BitAssets.

68
Their business is potentially worth much more than 7170 BTC and they would have no problem raising that much from a VC. 2M USD is pocket change for a VC. As a long time partner of BTER Bitshares is in a great position to close a deal first but we shouldn't ruin that opportunity by making a low ball offer.

A share dilution to support shorting 7170 bitBTC won't even affect the BTS price since the created BTS will be immediately locked in as collateral so it won't inflate the money supply.

It will need a 10% inflation at the current prices. the main issue though would be about running it. Will we be getting competent delegates to run it? BitShares is a decentralized movement and running an exchange directly doesn't seem to fit well, especially since we believe that if we are successful we won't need actual centralized exchanges.

How much of licensing they have anyway? CNY is possible through tradebts, and I doubt Bter has any USD licenses.
We can create a new DAC with 1:1 mapping of stake to real shares of the BTER company, which means that one unit of BTER stake entitles to the dividends of one unit of real BTER company shares and to one vote at the board. Thanks to that mapping, you can keep running BTER as a normal company and progressively DACify the management process as the ecosystem and management tools gets more mature. Meanwhile the shareholders can elect delegates to represent the DAC at BTER board.

Recapitalization of BTER can then be done without a share dilution. We can just organize a crowd sale of BTER shares so interested parties can invest in BTER. That way Bitshares isn't directly affected by the acquisition but still gets the benefits of having a large on/off-ramp tighly integrated in the eco-system. Holders of balances at BTER can elect to participate to the crowdsale at preferential rate and redeem BTER stake in lieue of their currency balance. This would help reducing further the pressure of the loss.

That would be a very exciting opportunity and it would feel very reassuring for BTER users to know that the exchange is now operated under tight control from a Bitshares DAC and cold wallets are controlled by delegates using multisig. For Bitshares the benefit is enormous as we can make bitAssets a central element of the trading books and ensure that bitAsset markets are getting always more liquidity until the point where the peg is so tight that we can start accepting 1:1 deposit / withdrawal between BTER balances and corresponding BitAssets.

69
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 16, 2015, 06:27:16 am »
Why can't we bail out bter? Buy it completely as our onramp/offramp channel?

I'm guessing that would be very expensive...
7170 BTCs minus reserves if any. But then future profits could be paid as dividends to shareholders to compensate for the massive sharedilution that would be necessary to bail out BTER.
Not sure how willing shareholders would be to do such acquisition. Personnaly I would throw a bunch of money in support of the price if this happens as Bitshares would suddenly become a major player in the crypto space and it would get a very positive image for saving the day.

It won't be a 7170 BTC bailout, that money is gone. What they can expect is some compensation. Maybe they are offered some assets in lieu which entitles them to a portion of the income.

One benefit for us would be the snapshot/vested balance issue.
Their business is potentially worth much more than 7170 BTC and they would have no problem raising that much from a VC. 2M USD is pocket change for a VC. As a long time partner of BTER Bitshares is in a great position to close a deal first but we shouldn't ruin that opportunity by making a low ball offer.

70
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 16, 2015, 06:08:43 am »
Why can't we bail out bter? Buy it completely as our onramp/offramp channel?

I'm guessing that would be very expensive...
7170 BTCs minus reserves if any. But then future profits could be paid as dividends to shareholders to compensate for the massive sharedilution that would be necessary to bail out BTER.
Not sure how willing shareholders would be to do such acquisition. Personnaly I would throw a bunch of money in support of the price if this happens as Bitshares would suddenly become a major player in the crypto space and it would get a very positive image for saving the day.

71
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 16, 2015, 05:52:43 am »
You can just hold the bitAssets you want for as long as you want until you decide to cash out or trade again. Most people, however, don't see it that way. They immediately think that just because bitshares is mentioned, it's propaganda and we're trying to make them invest. They really don't need to. People need to understand they can be safe without ever having to risk investing in bitshares.
Ripple has been struggling with the very same perception problem since inception and it seems that it's a hard problem: people keep missing the forest for the tree and keep focalizing on XRP distribution although the Ripple community is putting the stress on *using* Ripple as exchange as opposed to investing in XRP. The Bitcoin community in particular seems to have a very very short attention span and a severe tentency to overreact and refuse to reassess beliefs so changing perception is near impossible.

72
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 07:13:16 pm »
The only two rational explanations I can see are that the transaction of 7k+ was generated and signed offline, or the private key of the cold wallet was leaked by the cold wallet operator and the balance withdrawn.
The 7k+ transaction wasn't a pre-generated and pre-sigend transaction: it's using the 5BTC return output of the last 100 BTC top up transaction as input, so it was generated and signed after the last 100 BTC transaction was broadcast.
http://www.walletexplorer.com/txid/f5b0363f03e1ed8bb812c135361ea93590c831ce9f13a3750be1b93575baccc6

73
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:59:39 pm »


btw, why do you have a new account?

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=11871.msg185151#msg185151

My favourite number is 888 so I ended Empirical1.1 after 888 posts.
This leaves you exposed to impersonnification as we will now assume that Empirical1.X has to be you.
You should pre-generate Empirical1.3, 1.4 etc. to thwart that attack.

74
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:55:47 pm »
you would expect that only a few select people would have access to the cold wallet given that production staff (actually most likely a script) can top-up by broadcasting pre-generated and pre-signed transactions.

Actually it is a script that sent these two 100 BTC top-up transactions. If you look at the timestamps of these transactions, both were received by the node who minted the block at 2015-02-14 04:25:56, which means that they were broadcasted at the same time. Unlikely to be the deed of a human operator.
http://www.walletexplorer.com/txid/f6a3cd44800621cbab9cdee7132e4aab47e35142421ed5985614527fc0ad33fe
http://www.walletexplorer.com/txid/4a700f46a583d585683381c019645da326eafa4767c3f21069f179895daee5b3

edit: as it turns out, this is the blocktime, so these transactions could still have been manually sent.

75
General Discussion / Re: Bter suspended
« on: February 15, 2015, 06:44:28 pm »
Something puzzles me in the history of Bter cold wallet transaction
http://www.walletexplorer.com/wallet/Bter.com-cold

The withdrawals from the cold wallet are all 100 BTC withdrawals with only a few very rare exceptions, all sent to the same hot wallet address. This does very much look like pre-generated pre-signed offline transactions being broadcasted as needed, save for the eventual custom offline transactions. The two transactions that happened at the time where the cold wallet was alledged to be compromised are most certainly pre-generated pre-signed transactions because to top-up 200 BTC, they didn't send a 200 BTC tx but two standard 100 BTC transactions exactly like all other transactions made in the last month.

Now, If that's the case and Bter was indeed broadcasting pre-generated pre-signed offline transactions to top-up the hot wallet, how did the cold wallet get compromised? The only two rational explanations I can see are that the transaction of 7k+ was generated and signed offline, or the private key of the cold wallet was leaked by the cold wallet operator and the balance withdrawn. Either way, looks very much like an insider job and it should be easy to find the culprit as you would expect that only a few select people would have access to the cold wallet given that production staff (actually most likely a script) can top-up by broadcasting pre-generated and pre-signed transactions.

Even more puzzling is the fact that the hot wallet wasn't actually emptied. As of now, it still has a balance of 0.01860446 BTC. Sounds very congruant with other round number withdrawals.

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