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Messages - biophil

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766
I'm ok with much lower bidder/dividend ratio, decreasing bid minimum (both w.r.t. % difference like you said and also absolute total (relative to total supply)).

Quote
If you think this is interesting, I'll put a little more thought into it and design a bidder-payout-function that works.
Would love it!

All right, I'll see what I can put together.

767
General Discussion / Re: March Newsletter
« on: March 24, 2014, 01:25:43 pm »
While our engineers have been putting together software for
Keyhotee and BitSharesX.

softwares

Since both Keyhotee and BitsharesX are different entities.

No, software reads better in the singular. Nobody ever says "softwares."

Sent from my SCH-S720C using Tapatalk 2


768
I'm going from the explanation of the auction mechanism that's given in the video; correct me if something has changed or I've missed some details.

For people unfamiliar with the proposed auction, it goes something like this: money from the opening bid is burned as dividends. Then the next bid is split into 3 parts:
1) The amount of the previous bid is returned to the previous high bidder.
2) 50% of the remaining amount is also returned to the previous high bidder.
3) The rest is burned as dividends.
I assume that the point of this is that it attracts people who like a good gamble, and that gamblers will create bidding frenzies that raise the price way up. Unfortunately, this auction mechanism has a lot of problems.

I'd like to write this up more formally, but alas, I'm not going to have time to do that for the next couple weeks. So here are a couple casual observations:
1. The only rational opening bid is 0 (or the minimum initial bid). If I bid minimum, then I maximize my potential revenue from the next bidder. As a result, the maximum profit for shareholders is only 50% of the total auction revenue.
2. There is no explicit incentive to place high bids, because at every stage, the lower I bid, either the less I pay for the domain name (because I am the winner) or the more profit I make from the next bidder. The only situation where it makes sense to bid higher than the minimum is when it's a high-profile auction with a low price and I'm afraid that if I only bid minimum, 100 other people also will, so I try to outbid them at this stage. This will make low-profile or end-stage auctions crawl along at a snail's pace.
3. Bidders have an explicit incentive to lie about how much they value the name. There are two kinds of bidders: a) the kind who wants to win, and b) the kind who doesn't care about the name, but just wants to make a quick buck bidding.
4. This mechanism creates all kinds of opportunities to game the system, and this can cost shareholders a lot of money. Example: I value "biophil.p2p" at 1000 DNS, but I'd obviously love to get away with paying less. So I start the auction at 0, and then the very next block, I enter a bid of 1500 DNS from another address. Notice that now, I've only paid 750 (because my first address got half the bid increase), but anybody who wants in now has to pay at least 1500. How is this good for shareholders? I would have been willing to pay 1000, but because the mechanism is so easy to game, I've essentially stolen 250 from the shareholders by a tiny bit of cleverness.

Some of these problems go away if you move to an ebay-style sequential 2nd-price auction, because then everybody's best move (dominant strategy) is to report their value truthfully. 2nd-price auctions have their faults also; if you really want to keep this system of paying bidders back for their bids, would you please consider decreasing the 50% part? You could change this to 10%; then shareholders get 90% of the total revenue, and the gaming-attack I talked about in 4 is much less profitable for the attacker. The attack is still possible, but it doesn't hurt anybody very much. Even 10% is an incentive for speculators and gamblers to come try to create bidding frenzies.

Another idea: condition each bidder's payout by how much larger his bid was than the previous bidder. Example: The bid is at 10. If I bid 11, and then the next guy bids 12, I get 0.5 profit. You could change this to one where if I only bid 11 (which corresponds to a 10% increase), then the most profit I can make is 5% of the next bid increment. But say I bid 15 (a 50% increase): now I'll get 25% of the next bid increment. My numbers don't work (the payout function has to be sublinear), but you get the idea. Now, I'm explicitly incentivized to bid more than the minimum bid at each stage. If you think this is interesting, I'll put a little more thought into it and design a bidder-payout-function that works.

That was a mouthful.

TL;DR: 50% bidder-payout is ripping the shareholders off.

769
KeyID / How are bid collisions resolved?
« on: March 23, 2014, 06:04:00 pm »
Let's say bitcoin.p2p is being auctioned, and the current price is 10 DNS. For the sake of argument, let's assume that the minimum bid increment is 10%, so the lowest possible bid in the auction is 11 DNS. So I come along, and I have no interest in owning bitcoin.p2p, but I want to get a piece of the auction pie, so I enter a bid. To maximize the amount that I earn from whoever outbids me, I enter the minimum bid, 11. Then someone comes along and outbids me (the next minimum bid is 12.1), I take my 5% earnings, and go home happy. But what if a lot of people do this?

My guess is that minimum bids will be pretty common near the end of an auction, as lots of people enter the minimum bid to maximize their payoff. Which one of these people actually gets their bid entered in the auction? Will bid timestamps be accurate enough to ensure fairness?


770
Technical Support / Re: wallet
« on: March 21, 2014, 08:19:21 pm »
They look like they could be mis-spelled Italian words for "re-formatted" and "new."

771
KeyID / Re: DNS-Pinky-Promise Bounties
« on: March 21, 2014, 08:07:13 pm »
Can someone give a go at explaining it more simply since I have failed twice now?

Challenge accepted.

The AGS funds contain about 10% of the total PTS in existence. When BitShares DNS is launched, these PTS (just like all PTS) will generate some shares in BitShares DNS (about 5% of the total DNS supply). These DNS-shares will still belong to AGS, which means their purpose is to fund DAC development. Clear so far? Short version: AGS will control a large number of DNS-shares.

If you help develop BitShares DNS, your name (or whatever identifying information you like) will go in toast's magic spreadsheet, and when BitShares DNS launches, you will be rewarded a portion of the DNS shares that are controlled by AGS.

TL;DR: if you help develop BitSharesDNS, you will be paid in DNS-shares.

772
KeyID / Re: DNS-Pinky-Promise Bounties
« on: March 21, 2014, 05:36:16 pm »
so when is the bitshare dns snapshot going to be taken?

I think they're doing the snapshot when they have a pretty-close-to-releaseable product.

773
Polls which dont require the participants to use actual money are worth nothing

Aw lighten up, it's just a fun toy. :) Sure, some people will be naive enough to think that the results are really meaningful, but I think most people on the forum are intelligent enough to understand the results for what they are.

774
Technical Support / Re: wallet
« on: March 21, 2014, 03:36:07 pm »
You reformatted your hard drive and lost your wallet?

Do you have a wallet backup?

775
We've had a lot of discussions about XTS price, and someone made a poll that gave us the "ask" side of an order book. Here's the "bid" side.

Note that I'm asking for the highest price you'd pay. You should answer "yes" to this question: If I came up to you and offered you a bitshare at the price you entered plus one dollar, would you refuse it?

776
General Discussion / Re: Dividends?
« on: March 21, 2014, 12:53:52 pm »
There is no explicit "stock split". You just have a bigger fraction after the rest is destroyed.

Bytemaster has suggested just displaying things as shares-of-the-whole so people don't get confused.

Bytemaster did say something about a stock split, but he's actually referencing an idea that currencydebt brought up. I don't think bytemaster himself ever actually said there will be splits.

But I'm curious - would a split be hard to implement? It seems like it shouldn't be hard: say, once a month, just increase all balances proportionally by the amount that would bring the XTS supply back to 4M. I'm worried that dividends-as-destroyed-fees will be too opaque for most people; splits like this would help alleviate confusion.

There's a lot of psychology in this - it's like how your average joe actually prefers to get a tax refund at the end of the year rather than just pay less taxes throughout the year. It's not rational, but rational isn't the point. I think that if it's not too technically challenging to do the split, it would really help people "get it."

777
General Discussion / Re: Bitshare roughly estimated at $100
« on: March 20, 2014, 11:48:40 pm »
Luckybit, I have about 140 XTS waiting for me in the genesis block. What would you pay for them? Seriously, if I could sell you my XTS, would you pay $100 each? If not $100, I'm curious what number. I'm serious, I'm not baiting you. :)

Since you're pretty bullish, your offer would give us a nice rough guess of an upper bound for the opening price of XTS.

Also, if you actually are willing to pay $100, we should try to make that happen. :)

Sent from my SCH-S720C using Tapatalk 2


778
General Discussion / Re: Saxo bank CEO?
« on: March 20, 2014, 10:42:27 pm »
Just read the article on Coindesk about the Saxo bank CEO.

He's apparently libertarian leaning and fairly positive about Bitcoin.

http://www.coindesk.com/danish-investment-bank-owner-bitcoin-exploration/
Cool.  +5%

779
General Discussion / Re: The competition is mounting
« on: March 20, 2014, 06:17:34 pm »
Just a friendly PSA: Counterparty (XCP) just started beta-testing their new "counterwallet" thing https://testnet.counterwallet.co/#, a web wallet that will take XCP from being a crappy alpha-quality command-line hacker gizmo to being the world's best trustless IOU and betting platform.
It's not trustless. They don't even allow for collateral. If they backed issuance by collateral so people who buy the token don't have to worry about being scammed or people not redeeming then it could work.

What I meant was that their distributed exchange is completely trustless, but of course you have to trust an asset issuer that their asset is what they say it is. Are you implying that BitShares ME will have trustless collateral?

780
General Discussion / Re: Emerging Narratives
« on: March 20, 2014, 02:17:03 pm »
I like it. Might I provide a few critiques:

Out beyond the "three-mile" limit of their
shores is traditionally viewed as international waters.
Wikipedia says it's 12 nautical miles http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Territorial_waters, but maybe "three-mile" has connotations I'm not aware of.

But what of the etherial constructs of cryptospace?
Feels very odd to mention anything reminiscent of Ethereum...

In Free Space, your wealth is all in your head.
This is a cool concept, but it sounds exactly like you're saying "your wealth is all imaginary," which may not be the message you're trying to convey.

Just thought I'd be "that guy" and come out swinging with the pedantic criticism. :)

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