BitShares Forum
Other => Graveyard => BitShares AGS => Topic started by: sumantso on January 14, 2014, 01:23:17 am
-
UPDATE: Seems like people are still sending in late and they are missing the deadline. To reiterate, if you definitely want to send today do so atleast 40 minutes in advance. Otherwise you run the risk of the donations getting credited the next day. Which is fine except that if there is a lot of leftover transactions the next day will see more donations and you will get less AGS.
The transactions list below here http://www1.agsexplorer.com/ is very useful. Shows how much donations couldn't reach in time. Today was the best day in this regard - 10+ BTC confirmed just after deadline :)
This is the biggest deadline miss - the last highest was some 7 BTC on 6th Jan which resulted in donation jumping from 45 BTC to 54 BTC the next day. I guess we may see a big jump today.
I have been donating each day after 2/3rds of the day has passed. The amount depends on the BTC already donated by that time. I skipped donating on 4th (faulty explorer caused under reporting of BTC) and 7th (late deposit from previous day).
Is this the best investment strategy? I think it is. Lets consider the 2 scenarios:
1> Already not much donated by my donation time. I then donate more than average as I expect bargain hunters to jump in later. If those transactions clear then I get the average; but if those get stuck (happened twice by now) then I get a bargain.
2> Already much donated. This usually happens if their is slippage from previous day. In that case I donate less than average as I expect a lot of investors have divided their BTC and investing a fixed amount daily.
Anybody else has a better strategy? Would love to know. Also, for how many days are you planning? 2months? 3 months?
In anycase, if you are sniping in at the end, give yourselves 40 minutes for the transaction to confirm. If it misses not only you lose the bargain price, you also end up at a higher price the next day.
EDIT: I realise posting this may have skewed how the investment goes so the strategy may end up useless. I guess the only thing you can take from this post is don't try to get in at the last minute (though I would love another day like today).
-
Yeah, that was fun watching this morning :)
I usually donate about 1 or 2 hours before midnight GMT when I'm having breakfast.
-
As expected, its already 39 BTC donations today. I assumed this dude (https://blockchain.info/address/1PKztBuJghnBnA7baWUqencPKxjCLLiLgH) would invest 5 BTC today, but seems he went 10 BTC today.
The 'correct' BTC donation/day for the last few days seem to be around 45-46 BTC. Lets see if it can break 50 today.
Btw, this one (https://blockchain.info/address/1PQjUdLcMT6Q9wrsymB2zmPsDK8BDkNCPQ) is donating a fixed 10 BTC everyday (you can track it back) and so doesn't seem too interesting from our investment PoV. I do wonder how many days he plans to donate though. If its more than 100 days then it means almost a million dollars!
-
It has been a good day for BTC donations. Now I wonder if it is due to the price creeping up (PTS has been going up too), or a few investors thought it was a slow day as our 10 BTC donor (mentioned above) was late.
Good to see people not waiting till the last minute to donate. Only one transaction got stuck (it was sent without fee).
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
as long as you send it away before time runs out it's ok right?
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
as long as you send it away before time runs out it's ok right?
It has to have 1 confirm (unless I am massively mistaken, in which case the explorers are giving out wrong info).
The block generated time is taken as the time of donation.
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
as long as you send it away before time runs out it's ok right?
It has to have 1 confirm (unless I am massively mistaken, in which case the explorers are giving out wrong info).
The block generated time is taken as the time of donation.
So at which time do the pts have been sent? 1 minute before is enough?
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
as long as you send it away before time runs out it's ok right?
It has to have 1 confirm (unless I am massively mistaken, in which case the explorers are giving out wrong info).
The block generated time is taken as the time of donation.
So at which time do the pts have been sent? 1 minute before is enough?
At bad times it may go upto 20-30 minutes between blocks, so send at least 30 minutes in advance, maybe even more.
-
Looks like the same last minute donation syndrome struck PTS today. Donation was 2.7k - way below the average - and within 8 minutes of the clock striking midnight 520 PTS donations cleared.
Folks - give 40 minutes for donations to clear.
as long as you send it away before time runs out it's ok right?
It has to have 1 confirm (unless I am massively mistaken, in which case the explorers are giving out wrong info).
The block generated time is taken as the time of donation.
So at which time do the pts have been sent? 1 minute before is enough?
At bad times it may go upto 20-30 minutes between blocks, so send at least 30 minutes in advance, maybe even more.
how high are the chances that the funds are received on time if pts/btc are sent in say 2 minutes before deadline?
-
very LOW... expected time to find a block is 10 minutes and all mining operations are independent. You would be way out on the bell curve if you want 2 minute window. So it is just as likely to take 2 minutes as it is to take 18 minutes and I have seen it take 40 minutes.
I would always put my money in an 1hr before the deadline unless you are OK with your contribution missing one day and falling into the next.
-
are these time recommendations the same for btc and pts?
-
are these time recommendations the same for btc and pts?
Yes.
The starting post was partly motivated by the failure of almost 10 BTCs to clear in 37 minutes.
-
Based on the mining speed can we predict when AGS and PTS supply will be equal?
Is there any reason why 3rd Party developers would honor ASG less than PTS in the future?
-
Based on the mining speed can we predict when AGS and PTS supply will be equal?
Is there any reason why 3rd Party developers would honor ASG less than PTS in the future?
The misunderstanding that AGS somehow belongs to Invictus could cause some developers to rationalize that they can skip honoring the owners of AGS. We think that would be a mistake.
Invictus is only a servant of AGS donors. A temporary agent trusted to build an ecosystem for everybody to live in. Once 100% of the donations have been used to build up the industry, infrastructure, toolkits, and even incubate other developers, Invictus will have done its duty and will become just another ordinary player with an obligation to honor AGS and PTS holders.
The product of that development and promotional effort belongs collectively to AGS holders, not Invictus. They can decide how they want to enforce their ownership rights as documented in the BitShares Social Consensus License. Perhaps peer pressure and market forces will be enough. Perhaps some will feel justified in cloning AGS-derived DACs that fail to honor the license into competing DACs that do. If so, it will be up to AGS and PTS holders to decide which pedigree of DACs they will support.
That, and only that, will determine the effectiveness of the AGS social contract.
-
You can send from a blockchain.info wallet, right?
-
You can send from a blockchain.info wallet, right?
yes, make sure you know how to get the private keys out
-
Looks like a lot of BTC missed the deadline today because the bitcoin network took 30+ minutes to find a block.
-
Looks like a lot of BTC missed the deadline today because the bitcoin network took 30+ minutes to find a block.
You would think people would have learned by now to send at least 40 minutes in advance *sigh*
-
7.5 BTC missed the deadline. People never learn :D
-
7.5 BTC missed the deadline. People never learn :D
Perhaps people know what they are doing and are playing 'heads I win'.... 'tails, I don't lose'
-
7.5 BTC missed the deadline. People never learn :D
Perhaps people know what they are doing and are playing 'heads I win'.... 'tails, I don't lose'
Guess so. I know at least Delulo has a similar idea.
-
Anybody make a list of top donating addresses?
-
7.5 BTC missed the deadline. People never learn :D
Perhaps people know what they are doing and are playing 'heads I win'.... 'tails, I don't lose'
Guess so. I know at least Delulo has a similar idea.
You cant predict the amount that is donated in the last hour anyway. The closer you get to the time limit the better the prediction. At worst the donation is received for the next day which is as good as donation an hour before.
-
Hi
AGS donations have reached more than 2000000 cap. Does this mean the donations beyond 2M will not be honored as BTS?
thank you.
-
Hi
AGS donations have reached more than 2000000 cap. Does this mean the donations beyond 2M will not be honored as BTS?
thank you.
AGS donations are ongoing until 2,000,000 AGS have been distributed, not until 2M PTS or BTC or USD have been donated.
Currently only about 500,000 AGS have been created, so we're only about 1/4th of the way through the AGS process.
-
Ok what is the data being shown in i3 website ? Is that the total PTS and BTC donations combined? It is confusing because the unit states it is on AGS.
-
Ok what is the data being shown in i3 website ? Is that the total PTS and BTC donations combined? It is confusing because the unit states it is on AGS.
I'm not sure what you're referring to, can you post the address? I didn't see anything on invictus-innovations.com or invictus.io about AGS with a quick glance.
For what it's worth, I use AngelShares Explorer (http://www1.agsexplorer.com/) for my AGS info.
-
Pardon me for misunderstanding , I have realized that I3 representation of donated amount in Bitshare AGS is in USD . (http://invictus.io/bitsharesx.php)