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Main => General Discussion => Topic started by: Empirical1.2 on February 23, 2016, 10:19:11 am

Title: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 23, 2016, 10:19:11 am
Terms
2% BTS dilution to BitAsset Yield for 6 months.  (At the current BTS valuation that would translate to circa $100 000 total over 6 months)

Cost to Shareholders
Low cost to you, if you yield harvest.  (Go long and short the BitAsset, so your BTS position stays the same but you get the yield)

Expected Benefits
- BitUSD would go from having the lowest Crypto USD market share to being the Market Leader
- BitUSD will offer more variable yield than you could get on a USD based savings account virtually anywhere
- BTS would be removed from centralized exchanges (Polo & BTC38 currently hold >300 million BTS I believe)
- BitUSD liquidity incentive operations may be cheaper once millions of BitUSD have been created
- BTS shareholders would become users of the DEX and holders of the Smartcoin product we are trying to bootstrap.

Conclusion
The cost to shareholders if they yield harvest is very low but the benefits are possibly very large.
It will be a 6 month trial and can be discontinued if shareholders are unhappy with the results.

Optional Variations
- The BitAsset Yield trial can either be applied to BitUSD only or BitUSD and BitCNY.
- 1% dilution could be used instead, the impact would be lower but so would the cost.
- Up to half the dilution can go to BitAsset shorts so that we bring them closer to the peg.   
 
Considerations
-Due to forced settlement at 100%, BitUSD already trades above the peg. It may be a good idea to reduce forced settlement to a lower amount if this was implemented.
- There will be probably be a coding cost to implement yield

The thread discussing the concept in more detail is here https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21547.0.html
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 23, 2016, 05:45:26 pm
Anyone who cares about the future of Bitshares should strongly consider getting behind this proposal.  The cost is low, and the benefits are great.  And we need something like this ASAP.  I would be in favor of focusing this effort fairly equally on BitUSD and BitCNY, perhaps a little less than proportional to the exchange rate.  The current exchange rate is about 6.5 to 1, so I'm thinking something like ~4 to 1.  I would also be in favor of directing a small amount to BitEUR from the start.  So maybe a breakdown of 75% BitUSD, 20% BitCNY, and 5% BitEUR.  Any thoughts?

My main question at this point is, what would the development cost be to add yield?  I'm guessing not too costly.  @bytemaster, can you please give a very rough estimate? 

Another question I have is, how does this proposal make it cheaper to incentivize liquidity?  Thanks in advance.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: JonnyB on February 23, 2016, 06:05:48 pm
I'm not sure I understand.

Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Akado on February 23, 2016, 06:11:07 pm
What this seems to create though is a higher premium on the BitAssets and shorts once again have less incentives? I guess people could "Go long and short the BitAsset, so your BTS position stays the same but you get the yield"? I'm not sure about this but it's what I've read a few times already about this.

Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tarantulaz on February 23, 2016, 07:02:36 pm
I think that 2% is more than enough. I would suggest a 4-5% APR to whoever qualifies depending on what BM and the community say. I liked BM's proposal and I could go with it. If we suppose that they get 4-5% per year, with 25% of the bitshares are traded on the DEX and with 50% of the traders qualifying for the rewards (i.e based on BM's proposal), the dilution would be 0.5%-0.625% per year.

The numbers are a rough estimate, but let's be honest. Not more than 25% of the shares are going to be traded constantly and not more than half of them are going to qualify for the rewards. We would need 50% and 100% respectively to go above the 2-2.5% per year.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on February 23, 2016, 07:20:27 pm
I'm not sure I understand.

Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?

i'd also like to know this answer, though it looks like the proposal is something like a 4% yield for borrowing bitUSD short?

What exactly do we mean by dilution anyway? I thought the blockchain specks set BTS supply up front and that can't be changed? I'm uncomfortable with thinking that anyone can vote on changing the supply. Why not recycle fees from the USD-BTS market into some sort of yield instead of diluting?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: ebit on February 24, 2016, 02:12:45 am
Zero interest rates are good enough in Japan,do not too greedy。
If you want to give Yield  ,you can donation 。
Interest come from business not from dilution .
Where do interest rates come from? (http://www.linkedin.com/pulse/where-do-interest-rates-come-from-sara-early)

If BTS is money ,dilution will damage BTS.
If BTS is shares, dilution is bluff.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: sudo on February 24, 2016, 02:23:46 am
Zero interest rates are good enough in Japan,do not too greedy。
If you want to give Yield  ,you can donation 。
Interest come from business not from dilution .
Where do interest rates come from? (http://www.linkedin.com/pulse/where-do-interest-rates-come-from-sara-early)

 +5% +5% +5% +5% +5% +5% +5% +5% +5%
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: sudo on February 24, 2016, 02:25:00 am
does bank ‘s Yield  come from dilution???????????
NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
who lend the money  support the  Yield !!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: sudo on February 24, 2016, 03:15:27 am
bitUSD still lack
you give bitUSD  bitasset?
are you  out of mind?????
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 04:04:21 am
I'm not sure I understand. Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?

You should get at least 4% yield p.a on your BitUSD for the 6 months of this trial. (However because you would have to be short BitUSD with half your stake if you wanted your original BTS stake to remain the same, then your effective yield would be at least 2% p.a overall for the duration of this trial. Which would at the very least compensate you for the 2% dilution.)

Explanation:
If we diluted  BTS at 2% a year, that would be $200 000 at the current $10 million CAP.
About $5 million BitUSD can be created at this CAP (because the other $5 million needs to be short BitUSD)

$200 000 on a maximum $5 million BitUSD is a minimum of 4% BitUSD yield per year.

So the dilution for yield is circular in that every shareholder can avoid being diluted by being long BitUSD and short BitUSD at the same time.  (Unless total BitUSD in circulation was > 1/2 the total value of BTS which is possible if millions of BitUSD were created and the BTS price declined. However we could create limits to avoid this & as many shareholders will not participate, the yield will more than likely over-compensate you.)

What this seems to create though is a higher premium on the BitAssets and shorts once again have less incentives? I guess people could "Go long and short the BitAsset, so your BTS position stays the same but you get the yield"? I'm not sure about this but it's what I've read a few times already about this.

Yes go long BitUSD with half your BTS position at 1-1 and short BitUSD with half your BTS stake at 1-1. Then your BTS stake would remain the same overall regardless whether BTS went up or down but provided total BitUSD in circulation is less than 1/2 the value of BTS in total then you would be receiving enough yield on the BitUSD to compensate you for the amount BTS was being diluted.

Regards the increased BitUSD premium. Yes, people would be attracted to become long only BitUSD thanks to yield, which is good as it would create demand for BTS. They would be buying $1 worth of BTS today to get a few cents yield  over the year so this should have a positive BTS price effect. (I would suggest though that we lower forced settlement so BitUSD doesn't trade too far above the peg and as tonyk suggests you could give some of the yield to the short side too to make it closer to 1-1 as opposed to new longs offering a large premium.)

I think that 2% is more than enough. I would suggest a 4-5% APR to whoever qualifies depending on what BM and the community say. I liked BM's proposal and I could go with it. If we suppose that they get 4-5% per year, with 25% of the bitshares are traded on the DEX and with 50% of the traders qualifying for the rewards (i.e based on BM's proposal), the dilution would be 0.5%-0.625% per year.
The numbers are a rough estimate, but let's be honest. Not more than 25% of the shares are going to be traded constantly and not more than half of them are going to qualify for the rewards. We would need 50% and 100% respectively to go above the 2-2.5% per year.

I haven't seen BM's proposal on this?

I'm not sure I understand. Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?
i'd also like to know this answer, though it looks like the proposal is something like a 4% yield for borrowing bitUSD short?
What exactly do we mean by dilution anyway? I thought the blockchain specks set BTS supply up front and that can't be changed? I'm uncomfortable with thinking that anyone can vote on changing the supply. Why not recycle fees from the USD-BTS market into some sort of yield instead of diluting?

BTS shareholders can currently vote for dilution up to 5BTS/sec under the current specs  https://bitshares.org/technology/stakeholder-approved-project-funding/

I'm personally against most forms of dilution however this one wouldn't effect me or you if you 'yield harvest', go long BitUSD with half your stake and short BitUSD with the other half. The yield you received on your BitUSD half would be equal too or overcompensate you for the amount BTS was being diluted. However the benefits of incentivizing all of us to remove our BTS from the centralized exchanges and become holders of BitUSD and use the DEX are very large as described in the OP. 

Zero interest rates are good enough in Japan,do not too greedy。
If you want to give Yield  ,you can donation 。
Interest come from business not from dilution .
Where do interest rates come from? (http://www.linkedin.com/pulse/where-do-interest-rates-come-from-sara-early)
If BTS is money ,dilution will damage BTS.
If BTS is shares, dilution is bluff.

Imagine if you had $100 and I took $2 but said you could have it back if you clapped your hands.
Then you haven't been diluted you still have $100, all I have made you do is clap your hands.

Imagine if we taxed BTS holders 2BTS per 100 BTS per year but then gave it back to them if they clicked a button.
On your account you would see 100 BTS - 2BTS = 98 BTS but then when you clicked a button you would get your 2 BTS back.
This 2BTS came from a tax/dilution but it didn't cost you anything because you just have to click a button to get it back.

Imagine if we taxed BTS holders 2BTS per 100 BTS per year but then gave it back to them if they yield harvested BitCNY. (Went long and short)
Your BTS Stake would be diluted by 2BTS a year but the yield you received on your long BitCNY position would return it to you.
This 2% dilution came from a tax but it didn't cost you anything because you just have to yield harvest BitCNY.

does bank ‘s Yield  come from dilution???????????
NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
who lend the money  support the  Yield !!!!!!!!!

A bank can't give you yield on your dollars without finding new dollars or taking the dollars from new people coming in. This is bad  :'(

However if a bank had 10 million shares and then they created 200 000 shares but gave it back to shareholders. Then every shareholder
would have 1.02 per 1 share. Nobody would lose.

If a bank had 10 million shares and then they created 200 000 shares but gave it back to shareholders who opened an account at the bank then every shareholder who opened a bank account would have at least 1.02 per 1 share and only people who didn't open an account would lose. However the bank would have turned all their shareholders into account holders.

So in BTS the yield comes from BTS shareholders, but gets paid back to BTS shareholders if they 'yield harvest' (Go long and short at the same time.)  By getting you to do this we create a lot of BitCNY/BitUSD with a lot of users and help bootstrap Smartcoins.
The BTS shareholders that lose are those that keep their BTS on the centralized exchanges and don't 'yield harvest'

What about yield harvesting?
Every time I say I support a proposal like this, Stan comes
along and says remember what we learned about yield harvesting and everyone says "oh yeah" and the thread dies

In 1.0, I believe BM was right that yield harvesting was bad, because shorts would offer yield to entice longs which went into a large pool but then BTS shareholders would yield harvest, thereby reducing the average yield and discouraging genuine longs.

In this example where we send dilution to the yield, yield harvesting is a great thing because it means shareholders aren't diluted as long as they yield harvest. However it acts as a behaviour incentive to get BTS holders to remove their BTS from the centralized exchanges (which is a big positive) and support Smartcoins by creating BitUSD with half their stake (Which is a big positive).


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Brekyrself on February 24, 2016, 05:13:11 am
Who exactly is the target of this proposal?

At a high level people with BTS on exchanges want to trade BTS along with other crypto.  One minute they hold BTS, the next something else they think will rise.  A few % may not be enough for them to be motivated to move their bts onto the internal exchange.

What would stop 3rd party exchanges from taking advantage of this?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 07:13:07 am
Who exactly is the target of this proposal?

At a high level people with BTS on exchanges want to trade BTS along with other crypto.  One minute they hold BTS, the next something else they think will rise.  A few % may not be enough for them to be motivated to move their bts onto the internal exchange.

What would stop 3rd party exchanges from taking advantage of this?

We claim to be a DEX that is not exposed to a Mt. GOX but with so much BTS on both Poloniex and BTC38 we are very exposed to a hack/default/voting/other of those particular exchanges. So incentivizing BTS off them will be a big positive. (Incentivizing that BTS to then create Smartcoins will be a further positive still.)

Quote
Who exactly is the target of this proposal?

- BTS shareholders who keep their BTS on the DEX but don't learn to use it or participate in SmartCoin creation as it's not worth the hassle.
- BTS shareholders who keep too much of their BTS on centralized exchanges as it's not worth the hassle to either move some of it to the DEX or participate in SmartCoin creation. (However yes there are % of crypto-speculators who will still find greater value in keeping most of their BTS on centralized exchanges even though they have an extremely high long term failure rate. In this blog BM lists some of the benefits of rewarding helpful investors over speculators http://bytemaster.github.io/article/2016/01/04/The-Benefits-of-Proof-of-Work/ )
- Potential BitUSD customers who might recognise the benefits of fully collateralized USD on a DEX but need the additional USP of yield to say hell yeah, this is better than NuBits/Uphold or even my regular bank and worth the effort.

Quote
What would stop 3rd party exchanges from taking advantage of this?

Nothing. AFAIK DASH offers Masternode rewards, PPC offers minting and other POS alts offer various fairly circular rewards to incentivise network beneficial behaviour but I'm not sure how many exchanges participate in these as it's not part of their business model. If exchanges chose to participate with BTS that couldn't be incentivised to be removed anyway, they would at least be helping to rapidly propel BitUSD to Crypto USD market leader.

Uphold  $2 million
Tether   $1.4 million
Nubits   $0.78 Million
BitUSD  $0.098 Million 

The other thing BTS is trying to do is encourage BitAsset liquidity however incentivising the creation of new BitUSD via a long meeting a short may be harder & more expensive than incentivising some of the millions of BitUSD that will have already been created via this initiative to participate in market making operations. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21547.msg281099.html#msg281099


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Samupaha on February 24, 2016, 08:22:56 am
I'm not sure I understand. Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?
i'd also like to know this answer, though it looks like the proposal is something like a 4% yield for borrowing bitUSD short?
What exactly do we mean by dilution anyway? I thought the blockchain specks set BTS supply up front and that can't be changed? I'm uncomfortable with thinking that anyone can vote on changing the supply. Why not recycle fees from the USD-BTS market into some sort of yield instead of diluting?

BTS shareholders can currently vote for dilution up to 5BTS/sec under the current specs  https://bitshares.org/technology/stakeholder-approved-project-funding/

I'm personally against most forms of dilution however this one wouldn't effect me or you if you 'yield harvest', go long BitUSD with half your stake and short BitUSD with the other half. The yield you received on your BitUSD half would be equal too or overcompensate you for the amount BTS was being diluted. However the benefits of incentivizing all of us to remove our BTS from the centralized exchanges and become holders of BitUSD and use the DEX are very large as described in the OP. 

I'd really really really like to people stop talking about dilution. If I understand your proposal right, you essentially mean that there would be a worker that distributes BTS for bitUSD-owners.

So the question isn't that should we dilute or not dilute, because we have 5 BTS/s to be used for workers anyway. The real question is about prioritizing. Is this proposal good when compared to other worker proposals? Is this really a profitable way of using development funds (aka reserve pool)?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 08:36:00 am
If a bank had 10 million shares and then they created 200 000 shares but gave it back to shareholders who opened an account at the bank then every shareholder who opened a bank account would have at least 1.02 per 1 share and only people who didn't open an account would lose. However the bank would have turned all their shareholders into account holders.

This is an excellent analogy and really helps demonstrate the basic mechanics of your proposal.  Like the bank shareholders in your example, all BTS holders have to do is move their BTS to the DEX and short BitAssets to themselves, and there will be zero cost to them. 

By the way, you mentioned the only people that "lose" are the bank shareholders that don't open an account, or in our case the BTS holders that don't participate in yield harvesting.  Although I would argue that it could easily be a net wash (or better) for them since this whole effort will ultimately add value to the entire network, which would accrue to all shareholders, even those with BTS on the exchanges.  Of course, they just wouldn't benefit as much as those who are yield harvesting.

The more I think about this idea, the more I like it.  And so far no one has poked any holes in it as far as I've seen.  I also love that this would position us to have a voluntary liquidity pool, which I assume could be plugged into the market maker rewards program being discussed on another thread.  In that case, I imagine such a liquidity pool could be used to provide liquidity not just for BitAssets, but for ANY asset.  Just imagine what it would mean to have such market making operations in terms of supporting/bootstrapping markets for promising new coins that aren't trading elsewhere.  The most recent one was Decred, which still isn't trading on Poloniex.  That could have been a good opportunity for us to gain attention and users, and may actually still be.  Also, there is another very promising ICO coming up and just imagine what it would mean if we could become the dominant exchange for that coin?

C'mon people, let's get behind this proposal.  It's low cost and we stand to bootstrap the heck out of our BitAssets product.  That alone will gain us a lot of attention.  But more importantly, it is INCREDIBLY crucial to jump start BitAssets ASAP, especially considering @kenCode's POS system will soon be ready and we should be in position to use that as a very powerful network effect generator.  Without bootstrapping BitAssets, we totally lose out on that and much more, and in that case we might as well just give up.  Seriously.     

So what are we waiting for? 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 08:47:46 am
I'm not sure I understand. Are you saying if I create bitusd and keep it I will get a 1% yeild on it?
i'd also like to know this answer, though it looks like the proposal is something like a 4% yield for borrowing bitUSD short?
What exactly do we mean by dilution anyway? I thought the blockchain specks set BTS supply up front and that can't be changed? I'm uncomfortable with thinking that anyone can vote on changing the supply. Why not recycle fees from the USD-BTS market into some sort of yield instead of diluting?

BTS shareholders can currently vote for dilution up to 5BTS/sec under the current specs  https://bitshares.org/technology/stakeholder-approved-project-funding/

I'm personally against most forms of dilution however this one wouldn't effect me or you if you 'yield harvest', go long BitUSD with half your stake and short BitUSD with the other half. The yield you received on your BitUSD half would be equal too or overcompensate you for the amount BTS was being diluted. However the benefits of incentivizing all of us to remove our BTS from the centralized exchanges and become holders of BitUSD and use the DEX are very large as described in the OP. 

I'd really really really like to people stop talking about dilution. If I understand your proposal right, you essentially mean that there would be a worker that distributes BTS for bitUSD-owners.

So the question isn't that should we dilute or not dilute, because we have 5 BTS/s to be used for workers anyway. The real question is about prioritizing. Is this proposal good when compared to other worker proposals? Is this really a profitable way of using development funds (aka reserve pool)?

Yip, it's a worker that distributes BTS for BitUSD owners which BTS owners can mitigate via yield harvesting.

I appreciate your POV, however personally I refer to any expansion of the current supply as dilution. (While you can argue the current supply includes the reserve pool, it's the act of bringing that supply to market which dilutes shareholders today in practical terms & often much more than the headline figure due to fairly thin speculative demand supporting current price levels.)

I agree though the question is whether it will increase revenue/profit/users/BTS demand enough to justify the cost and hopefully I've made a strong enough case in this thread why that will be the case. (Like many POS minting type rewards the majority of the cost is fairly neutral/circular and goes back to existing shareholders so is unlikely to create large sell pressure, while at the same time increasing new demand for BitUSD which creates net new demand for BTS as well as removing BTS from centralized exchanges, making BitUSD the market leader by CAP and holders and possibly making BitAsset liquidity operations cheaper, which should all be valuation positive for BTS.)
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 08:53:30 am
Whether we call it dilution or not, the reserve pool was created to be used and it would be foolish not to use it for something critical like this.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: abit on February 24, 2016, 10:15:37 am
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 10:46:51 am
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

In our case it may make liquidity cheaper.

The current liquidity proposal is suggesting spending about $1000 a day on liquidity https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21544.0.html

Quote
Assuming we implement this feature in the BTS / USD market and voters approve workers funding this at a rate of 2.5 BTS / sec (50% of allowed dilution) and the internal exchange had $100,000 of daily volume then users trading on the internal exchange would see a 1% more than they would get by trading off chain. If daily volume was $50,000 then they would see a 2% profit over doing the same trades off-chain.

However once we have incentivized the creation of millions of BitUSD with yield we may be able to incentivize that BitUSD to take part in liquidity operations very cheaply...

In fact we may be able to get BitUSD trading in close to a 1% spread probably slightly above the peg with $100 000 of liquidity a day for < $200.

There may be something I've misunderstood but if you have NuBits you can earn circa 0.25% per day participating in their liquidity pools.

The NuBits liquidity you see on Poloniex is achieved for an avg. of $100 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on Bittrex is achieved for an avg. of $25 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on bter (NBT/CNY and NBT/BTC) is achieved for an avg. of $40 a day http://nupond.net/
The liquidity you see on CCDEK is achieved for an avg. of $30 a day http://cybnate.github.io/index-liquidbits.html

This would be great as we would be the market leader with millions of USD, thousands of holders and lots of liquidity for less than the current liquidity proposal is suggesting using just for liquidity.

More importantly the money wouldn't just be going to professional market makers but mostly back to shareholders through yield harvesting and the little we spent on liquidity would go back to shareholders who wanted to participate in the liquidity pool.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: abit on February 24, 2016, 11:21:18 am
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

In our case it may make liquidity cheaper.

The current liquidity proposal is suggesting spending about $1000 a day on liquidity https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21544.0.html

Quote
Assuming we implement this feature in the BTS / USD market and voters approve workers funding this at a rate of 2.5 BTS / sec (50% of allowed dilution) and the internal exchange had $100,000 of daily volume then users trading on the internal exchange would see a 1% more than they would get by trading off chain. If daily volume was $50,000 then they would see a 2% profit over doing the same trades off-chain.
Your quoted text is either outdated or just an assumption/proposal. Final numbers would be decided by the committee (read: stake holders) at last. As a result, it's nonsense to compare the proposed cost between your proposal and the proposal in you link/quoted text. Instead, we need to analyse WHAT cost these proposals really need.

Quote
However once we have incentivized the creation of millions of BitUSD with yield we may be able to incentivize that BitUSD to take part in liquidity operations very cheaply...

In fact we may be able to get BitUSD trading in close to a 1% spread around the peg with $100 000 of liquidity a day for < $200.
MAY be able to? Just assumption, or any evidence and/or logical reasoning?

While we're incentivizing liquidity, there will be more bitUSD created to support the liquidity. But if we incentivize creation of bitUSD only, it's not sure that we'll get more liquidity, it's my logic.

Quote
There may be something I've misunderstood but if you have NuBits you can earn circa 0.25% per day participating in their liquidity pools.

The NuBits liquidity you see on Poloniex is achieved for an avg. of $100 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on Bittrex is achieved for an avg. of $25 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on bter (NBT/CNY and NBT/BTC) is achieved for an avg. of $40 a day http://nupond.net/
The liquidity you see on CCDEK is achieved for an avg. of $30 a day http://cybnate.github.io/index-liquidbits.html
I don't want to speak much about NBT. True it has more liquidity right now. But IMO they act like a ponzi schema so we can't just copy their ways to provide liquidity.

Quote
This would be great as we would be the market leader with millions of USD, thousands of holders and lots of liquidity for less than the current liquidity proposal is suggesting using just for liquidity.

More importantly the money wouldn't just be going to professional market makers but mostly back to shareholders through yield harvesting and the little we spent on liquidity would go back to shareholders who wanted to participate in the liquidity pool.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 11:52:08 am
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

In our case it may make liquidity cheaper.

The current liquidity proposal is suggesting spending about $1000 a day on liquidity https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21544.0.html

Quote
Assuming we implement this feature in the BTS / USD market and voters approve workers funding this at a rate of 2.5 BTS / sec (50% of allowed dilution) and the internal exchange had $100,000 of daily volume then users trading on the internal exchange would see a 1% more than they would get by trading off chain. If daily volume was $50,000 then they would see a 2% profit over doing the same trades off-chain.
Your quoted text is either outdated or just an assumption/proposal. Final numbers would be decided by the committee (read: stake holders) at last. As a result, it's nonsense to compare the proposed cost between your proposal and the proposal in you link/quoted text. Instead, we need to analyse WHAT cost these proposals really need.

The figures are taken from BM in his introduction to the liquidity proposal which was started 5 days ago. I understand the thread is still in progress which is why I clearly said it is a 'proposal' in which the OP is 'suggesting' that amount.

If BM has since updated that original suggestion amount I was unaware of it.

However once we have incentivized the creation of millions of BitUSD with yield we may be able to incentivize that BitUSD to take part in liquidity operations very cheaply...

In fact we may be able to get BitUSD trading in close to a 1% spread around the peg with $100 000 of liquidity a day for < $200.
MAY be able to? Just assumption, or any evidence and/or logical reasoning?

While we're incentivizing liquidity, there will be more bitUSD created to support the liquidity. But if we incentivize creation of bitUSD only, it's not sure that we'll get more liquidity, it's my logic.

The evidence and logical reasoning was based on the fact that NBT appears to be able to achieve that spread and that level of liquidity for those costs.

While the current proposal (which I understand isn't final and is still being evaluated and tweaked) seemed to be targeting wider spreads and higher costs.

Also given that there is only $98 000 BitUSD at the moment, it would seem that a liquidity incentive would have to pay people enough to both create some new BitUSD and use it in liquidity operations. So I thought that if yield had already incentivized the creation of lots of new BitUSD then the next step of incentivizing just liquidity would be cheaper by comparison. I don't know if this is true but that was part of my reasoning.

There may be something I've misunderstood but if you have NuBits you can earn circa 0.25% per day participating in their liquidity pools.

The NuBits liquidity you see on Poloniex is achieved for an avg. of $100 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on Bittrex is achieved for an avg. of $25 a day https://nupool.net/index.php/Current_rates
The liquidity you see on bter (NBT/CNY and NBT/BTC) is achieved for an avg. of $40 a day http://nupond.net/
The liquidity you see on CCDEK is achieved for an avg. of $30 a day http://cybnate.github.io/index-liquidbits.html
I don't want to speak much about NBT. True it has more liquidity right now. But IMO they act like a ponzi schema so we can't just copy their ways to provide liquidity.

I need someone to look at it more detail but as far as I can tell even though the way NBT are created is questionable, the way they provide buy and sell walls seems fairly straight-forward and can be replicated whether your USD was created the way NBT is or how BitUSD is but as I said someone more knowledgeable than me would have to evaluate it.
 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tarantulaz on February 24, 2016, 12:14:37 pm
I gave it a second thought and I am pro liquidity at the moment. Only liquidity. I am on abit's side.

I would agree with the yield, only in periods of crisis i.e big swings in currency markets and BTS. For example, NuShares holders can create park rates depending on market conditions (if any needed). Park rates = interest rates, where funds get locked for a certain period and the user can't use them. When it comes to interest rates, all we need is to have the delegates able to vote for specific interest rates, like the FED. Having fixed rates and people distributing the yield isn't good at all.

People that keep saying that dilution for the sake of BitAssets is bad, should think again. We keep refering to BitShares as Shares, but we don't actually have a viable product. So what is the point? As I said in my previous reply to this thread only one 1% is needed to achieve a 5%+ for BitAssets.

Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 12:21:20 pm
I gave it a second thought and I am pro liquidity at the moment. Only liquidity. I am on abit's side.

I would agree with the yield, only in periods of crisis i.e big swings in currency markets and BTS. For example, NuShares holders can create park rates depending on market conditions (if any needed). Park rates = interest rates, where funds get locked for a certain period and the user can't use them. When it comes to interest rates, all we need is to have the delegates able to vote for specific interest rates, like the FED. Having fixed rates and people distributing the yield isn't good at all.

People that keep saying that dilution for the sake of BitAssets is bad, should think again. We keep refering to BitShares as Shares, but we don't actually have a viable product. So what is the point? As I said in my previous reply to this thread only one 1% is needed to achieve a 5%+ for BitAssets.

NuShares need to offer parking rates in big swings because NBT are not properly backed so if there was a lot of selling pressure the peg would break, BitUSD is fully collateralized in all but black swan conditions so luckily this is not an issue for us. If we were to offer yield it would be for the benefits listed in the OP but for a fairly circular/neutral cost.

It's fine that you are more in favour of liquidity though, provided it is not too expensive that should also be a big benefit and increase the appeal of BitAssets. 

Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: sudo on February 24, 2016, 12:35:41 pm
no enough  active  users
no real  liquidity!!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on February 24, 2016, 02:03:44 pm
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

yield works through two channels: on the one hand, it provides incentive to simply sit on the yielding asset, which can decrease liquidity; the second channel is that yield increases demand for the asset in the first place, increasing liquidity. How these two forces play out isn't completely obvious. for our scarcely traded markets, the first force may dominate; for fully functioning, highly traded markets with lots of different types of participants, yield should unambiguously boost liquidity. going the former type of market to the latter isn't easy, but i firmly believe some sort of yield-producing assets are critical to pull in more market participants.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: BunkerChainLabs-DataSecurityNode on February 24, 2016, 02:33:25 pm
no enough  active  users
no real  liquidity!!!!!!!!!!!

OK... then get to work and send them here quick for free and stop the madness !!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: yvv on February 24, 2016, 03:35:15 pm
Don't experiment on bitUSD. Create testAsset or use testnet for such experiments.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 03:42:49 pm
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?


Your argument against this extremely beneficial and timely proposal hinges on this statement.  So please explain how offering a small yield will decentivize liquidity.  Thanks.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 03:56:36 pm
Don't experiment on bitUSD. Create testAsset or use testnet for such experiments.

We're talking about providing an incentive for people to do something we want them to do.  You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.  You have to try it out and see if it works.  Either it will or it won't.  If it doesn't, you discontinue it and try something else. 

C'mon people, does anyone have an actual, logical, reasonable argument against this extremely beneficial proposal??  The closest thing so far is abit's blanket statement that "yield decentivizes liquidity".  I seriously doubt that would be the case.  If abit cannot offer a reasonable explanation, then there is still no valid argument against this proposal and anyone blocking it should realize their obstructionism is harming Bitshares.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: yvv on February 24, 2016, 04:37:05 pm
Quote
You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.

Not sure about test net, but you definitely can test it on test asset. If it outcompetes bitUSD, go ahead and apply same rules to all other assets.

Edit: In fact, you can do this experiment without asking nobody. Create you private asset, peg it to usd, pay holders yield out of your pocket, and see if it works as you expect.

 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 05:10:08 pm
Quote
You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.

Not sure about test net, but you definitely can test it on test asset. If it outcompetes bitUSD, go ahead and apply same rules to all other assets.

Edit: In fact, you can do this experiment without asking nobody. Create you private asset, peg it to usd, pay holders yield out of your pocket, and see if it works as you expect.

Imagine a bank wanting to offer its shareholders an incentive to open accounts with them.  Would they create test accounts to see if shareholders will open them?  No, they will set a budget and a time frame, offer the incentive, and see if the shareholders will open real accounts.  If it works, they may continue it and even ratchet it up.  If not, they will discontinue it and perhaps try something else. 

The kind of testing you're talking about would be fine to test any modifications to the mechanics of the backend system and the GUI before putting it into production.  But you don't test behavior like that. 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Thom on February 24, 2016, 05:30:47 pm
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

Your argument against this extremely beneficial and timely proposal hinges on this statement.  So please explain how offering a small yield will decentivize liquidity.  Thanks.

I'm no financial wizard, but that is easy even for me to answer: yield encourages people to buy and HOLD, which is the very opposite of liquidity, which is NOT holding but rather trading.

While I'm commenting, lets get one thing straight for the record. I also think you should amend the OP based on the answer to this:

By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool?

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: chryspano on February 24, 2016, 05:43:18 pm
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

Your argument against this extremely beneficial and timely proposal hinges on this statement.  So please explain how offering a small yield will decentivize liquidity.  Thanks.

I'm no financial wizard, but that is easy even for me to answer: yield encourages people to buy and HOLD, which is the very opposite of liquidity, which is NOT holding but rather trading.

While I'm commenting, lets get one thing straight for the record. I also think you should amend the OP based on the answer to this:

By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool?

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

Anyone that just mentions alteration to the hard cap of 3.7B bts should be shot on sight!  EDIT==> You and me included!
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: yvv on February 24, 2016, 05:47:01 pm
Quote
You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.

Not sure about test net, but you definitely can test it on test asset. If it outcompetes bitUSD, go ahead and apply same rules to all other assets.

Edit: In fact, you can do this experiment without asking nobody. Create you private asset, peg it to usd, pay holders yield out of your pocket, and see if it works as you expect.

Imagine a bank wanting to offer its shareholders an incentive to open accounts with them.  Would they create test accounts to see if shareholders will open them?  No, they will set a budget and a time frame, offer the incentive, and see if the shareholders will open real accounts.  If it works, they may continue it and even ratchet it up.  If not, they will discontinue it and perhaps try something else. 

The kind of testing you're talking about would be fine to test any modifications to the mechanics of the backend system and the GUI before putting it into production.  But you don't test behavior like that.

You are not a bank, and you don't manage accounts. If you want to play with different derivatives, create your own and play with it.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 05:57:12 pm
Yield decentivizes liquidity. So if we have yield, we need more incentives on liquidity. Do we have enough fund from the reserve pool to support both?

Your argument against this extremely beneficial and timely proposal hinges on this statement.  So please explain how offering a small yield will decentivize liquidity.  Thanks.

I'm no financial wizard, but that is easy even for me to answer: yield encourages people to buy and HOLD, which is the very opposite of liquidity, which is NOT holding but rather trading.

While I'm commenting, lets get one thing straight for the record. I also think you should amend the OP based on the answer to this:

By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool?

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

The OP is not mine.  But no, @Empirical1.2 is absolutely NOT talking about altering the 3.7B cap.  He is talking about funding the proposal out of the reserve pool. 

As for yield decentivizing liquidity, I think you are oversimplifying and overgeneralizing it.  Think about it.  If I have a bunch of BTS sitting on an exchange, even a small yield would entice me to move my BTS to the DEX and harvest that yield.  Now my BTS goes into my own Bitshares account and out of circulation, which is a good thing on multiple levels.  As far as the BitUSD I now hold, of course I'm not going to go and spend a large % of it...just like I wasn't going to spend a large % of the BTS I was holding on the exchange.  But I WILL spend some of it if there are places for me to spend it (thanks @kenCode!), and 2%, 3% or even 10% yield will not stop me from doing so.  As for the rest of the BitUSD I hold (or at least a good chunk of it) I would be eager to earn additional return by putting it into a liquidity pool, which of course will add major liquidity and tighten the peg.  So I think this idea that that yield will decentivie liquidity has no merit here.  But maybe @Empirical1.2 or someone else can explain it better than I can.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 06:01:28 pm
Quote
You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.

Not sure about test net, but you definitely can test it on test asset. If it outcompetes bitUSD, go ahead and apply same rules to all other assets.

Edit: In fact, you can do this experiment without asking nobody. Create you private asset, peg it to usd, pay holders yield out of your pocket, and see if it works as you expect.

Imagine a bank wanting to offer its shareholders an incentive to open accounts with them.  Would they create test accounts to see if shareholders will open them?  No, they will set a budget and a time frame, offer the incentive, and see if the shareholders will open real accounts.  If it works, they may continue it and even ratchet it up.  If not, they will discontinue it and perhaps try something else. 

The kind of testing you're talking about would be fine to test any modifications to the mechanics of the backend system and the GUI before putting it into production.  But you don't test behavior like that.

You are not a bank, and you don't manage accounts. If you want to play with different derivatives, create your own and play with it.

The bank metaphor was just that.  If you want to create a straw man argument rather than educating yourself and making an actual valid point, you're free to that but you will get called on it. 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Pheonike on February 24, 2016, 06:15:58 pm
Quote
You can't test that on a test net or with a test asset.

Not sure about test net, but you definitely can test it on test asset. If it outcompetes bitUSD, go ahead and apply same rules to all other assets.

Edit: In fact, you can do this experiment without asking nobody. Create you private asset, peg it to usd, pay holders yield out of your pocket, and see if it works as you expect.

Imagine a bank wanting to offer its shareholders an incentive to open accounts with them.  Would they create test accounts to see if shareholders will open them?  No, they will set a budget and a time frame, offer the incentive, and see if the shareholders will open real accounts.  If it works, they may continue it and even ratchet it up.  If not, they will discontinue it and perhaps try something else. 

The kind of testing you're talking about would be fine to test any modifications to the mechanics of the backend system and the GUI before putting it into production.  But you don't test behavior like that.

You are not a bank, and you don't manage accounts. If you want to play with different derivatives, create your own and play with it.

We need a sign on the the top of the forum that states that. People think we are talking total supply and we are not.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tarantulaz on February 24, 2016, 06:29:56 pm
I like both ideas (liquidity and yield), however liquidity is the one that has to come first. We can't experiment as much at the moment. We are even struggling to pay workers.

In the case of the assets, liquidity will stay in the BitAssets if we incentivise people to hold them. However, nothing flows to other assets like Obits. We need liquidity there too. Once people get on the DEX, the volume won't stay only on BitAssets because they have incentives. People will also check out other opportunities and help the asset exchange grow.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Thom on February 24, 2016, 07:16:36 pm
Anyone that just mentions alteration to the hard cap of 3.7B bts should be shot on sight!  EDIT==> You and me included!
Questions, especially those asking for clarification, should always be welcome and not ostracized. Whenever the term "Dilution" is used it triggers this reaction. That's why I called for the OP to be revised to be VERY CLEAR about this.

I'm no financial wizard, but that is easy even for me to answer: yield encourages people to buy and HOLD, which is the very opposite of liquidity, which is NOT holding but rather trading.

While I'm commenting, lets get one thing straight for the record. I also think you should amend the OP based on the answer to this:

By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool?

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

The OP is not mine.  But no, @Empirical1.2 is absolutely NOT talking about altering the 3.7B cap.  He is talking about funding the proposal out of the reserve pool. 

As for yield decentivizing liquidity, I think you are oversimplifying and overgeneralizing it.  Think about it.  If I have a bunch of BTS sitting on an exchange, even a small yield would entice me to move my BTS to the DEX and harvest that yield.  Now my BTS goes into my own Bitshares account and out of circulation, which is a good thing on multiple levels.

Perhaps it is a simple view, and I have thought about it. You said it, "out of circulation". Your assumption that people will opt to invest a significant portion of the BitUSD elsewhere to stimulate liquidity is not certain. They may prefer to maximize yield and not split it up as you think may happen.

As far as the BitUSD I now hold, of course I'm not going to go and spend a large % of it...just like I wasn't going to spend a large % of the BTS I was holding on the exchange. 

Why do you assume that those who hold BTS on an exchange aren't going to spend much of it? Perhaps that's WHY it's on an exchange in the first place!

But I WILL spend some of it if there are places for me to spend it (thanks @kenCode!), and 2%, 3% or even 10% yield will not stop me from doing so.  As for the rest of the BitUSD I hold (or at least a good chunk of it) I would be eager to earn additional return by putting it into a liquidity pool, which of course will add major liquidity and tighten the peg.  So I think this idea that that yield will decentivie liquidity has no merit here.  But maybe @Empirical1.2 or someone else can explain it better than I can.

Thanks tbone for your reply to my concerns & "simplistic" view, but I am still not convinced. There appear to be several assumptions in your analysis I think need to be addressed. You may be right, but I'm not seeing the hard evidence to convince me.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 07:20:00 pm
I like both ideas (liquidity and yield), however liquidity is the one that has to come first. We can't experiment as much at the moment. We are even struggling to pay workers.

In the case of the assets, liquidity will stay in the BitAssets if we incentivise people to hold them. However, nothing flows to other assets like Obits. We need liquidity there too. Once people get on the DEX, the volume won't stay only on BitAssets because they have incentives. People will also check out other opportunities and help the asset exchange grow.

In this case, yield gets us liquidity, in more ways than one.  And perhaps more cheaply and easily.  You say we want to get people on the DEX, well that's what this does.  If we also add market making operations to the mix - which this proposal can facilitate via a liquidity pool (separate proposal) - then people can trade while here. 

By the way, we are only struggling to pay workers to the extent that we're letting uneducated, anti "dilution" obstructionists prevent us from doing the work necessary to bootstrap our offering.  Many of these people have very little stake, and may even be plants.  I'll be damned if I'm going to idly by and let that happen.  The system was designed such that funds would be available to do what is necessary.  The question is not whether the funds should be used i.e. whether work should be done.  We KNOW work needs to be done.  So the logical, sensible debate at this stage can only about specifically what work will help us the most.  This proposal has substantial benefits.  It's the best I've seen to achieve what we need most right now.  Actually, we need it YESTERDAY.  This whole thing is slipping through our fingers, people.  Wake up.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 07:26:07 pm
By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool? [/b][/center]

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

Apologies if I wasn't clear, yeah I was suggesting using a worker proposal for 6 months that would NOT alter the hard cap but would use a portion of the current maximum 5BTS/sec rate.

On the subject of liquidity, I don't think liquidity is all that is required to bootstrap BitUSD when you look at exchange based crypto USD products, providing some liquidity, mostly only creates temporary crypto demand.

Personally I mostly look to use those USD products as a hedge when BTC is trending downwards. I think many people approach them the same way.  So demand for BitUSD if you only provided liquidity may be temporary and transient beyond a certain point. It also may be easier for people to use existing exchange based options for those short periods than BitUSD on the DEX.

By providing an incentive to hold BitUSD you are creating new demand for BitUSD in all market conditions. So people would have buy orders on the books regardless of the BTC/crypto general trending direction. (If you put some of the yield to the short side, which is an optional variation in the OP, suggested by tonyk, yield harvesting would remain the same but you would also create new shorting demand.) This would increase liquidity by increasing demand and do so in all market conditions.

Also similar to when you have an interest bearing savings account at a bank, even though you are sitting on a lot of it, you may still use it to make and receive payments as well as buy various products and services. This would be getting people to start using BitUSD in the same way. When businesses see thousands of potential customers with lots of price stable BitUSD in their account they can buy anything with in a few seconds then they will be attracted by that potential market and utility will increase.

A good example of this is BTC. a 2014 study showed that >70% of all BTC had not moved for >6 months.
http://www.ofnumbers.com/2014/11/22/approximately-70-of-all-bitcoins-have-not-moved-in-6-or-more-months/

So the majority of BTC was being hoarded and sat on but yet over 100 000 merchants were attracted to that large potential market and offered products and services in exchange for BTC which increased BTC utility thereby liquidity. So a combination of liquidity and holding incentives may be best suited to bootstrapping a BitUSD/SmartCoin economy imo.


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Thom on February 24, 2016, 07:43:37 pm
By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool? [/b][/center]

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

Apologies if I wasn't clear, yeah I was suggesting using a worker proposal for 6 months that would NOT alter the hard cap but would use a portion of the current maximum 5BTS/sec rate.

On the subject of liquidity, I don't think liquidity is all that is required to bootstrap BitUSD when you look at exchange based crypto USD products, providing some liquidity, mostly only creates temporary crypto demand.

Personally I mostly look to use those USD products as a hedge when BTC is trending downwards. I think many people approach them the same way.  So demand for BitUSD if you only provided liquidity may be temporary and transient beyond a certain point. It also may be easier for people to use existing exchange based options for those short periods than BitUSD on the DEX.

By providing an incentive to hold BitUSD you are creating new demand for BitUSD in all market conditions. So people would have buy orders on the books regardless of the BTC/crypto general trending direction. (If you put some of the yield to the short side, which is an optional variation in the OP, suggested by tonyk, yield harvesting would remain the same but you would also create new shorting demand.) This would increase liquidity by increasing demand and do so in all market conditions.

Similar to when you have an interest bearing savings account at a bank you may still use it to make and receive payments as well as buy various products and services. This would be getting people to start using BitUSD in the same way. When businesses see thousands of potential customers with lots of price stable BitUSD in their account they can buy anything with in a few seconds then they will be attracted by that potential market and utility will increase.

A good example of this is BTC. a 2014 study showed that >70% of all BTC had not moved for >6 months.
http://www.ofnumbers.com/2014/11/22/approximately-70-of-all-bitcoins-have-not-moved-in-6-or-more-months/

So the majority of BTC was being hoarded and sat on but yet because it was a large market with thousands of holders, over 100 000 merchants were attracted to that potential market and offered products and services in exchange for BTC which increased BTC utility thereby liquidity.

Well, if you agree your OP wasn't clear about the source of dilution why not go back and edit it?

Also, BM & Stan explained (https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21549.msg280648.html#msg280648) why they thought "yield harvesting" doesn't work, but in all of this discussion I don't see a strong case made for why their take is wrong. If anyone could explain that clearly and concisely or point to such an explanation that would be great.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 24, 2016, 07:44:56 pm
Anyone that just mentions alteration to the hard cap of 3.7B bts should be shot on sight!  EDIT==> You and me included!
Questions, especially those asking for clarification, should always be welcome and not ostracized. Whenever the term "Dilution" is used it triggers this reaction. That's why I called for the OP to be revised to be VERY CLEAR about this.

I'm no financial wizard, but that is easy even for me to answer: yield encourages people to buy and HOLD, which is the very opposite of liquidity, which is NOT holding but rather trading.

While I'm commenting, lets get one thing straight for the record. I also think you should amend the OP based on the answer to this:

By "dilution" do you mean to alter the hard cap of 3.7B BTS, or fund yield from the reserve pool?

I think it's a big mistake to not be clear on that point, and from what I've seen from various threads and my own reading of the OP of THIS thread I don't think the answer is well known.

The OP is not mine.  But no, @Empirical1.2 is absolutely NOT talking about altering the 3.7B cap.  He is talking about funding the proposal out of the reserve pool. 

As for yield decentivizing liquidity, I think you are oversimplifying and overgeneralizing it.  Think about it.  If I have a bunch of BTS sitting on an exchange, even a small yield would entice me to move my BTS to the DEX and harvest that yield.  Now my BTS goes into my own Bitshares account and out of circulation, which is a good thing on multiple levels.

Perhaps it is a simple view, and I have thought about it. You said it, "out of circulation". Your assumption that people will opt to invest a significant portion of the BitUSD elsewhere to stimulate liquidity is not certain. They may prefer to maximize yield and not split it up as you think may happen.

I was referring to getting BTS off the exchanges and out of circulation, which is obviously a good thing.  As for what people will do with their BitUSD, if they want to maximize their yield, then they will want to earn the additional returns from participating in the yield pool.  You actually made my point for me, thanks.

As far as the BitUSD I now hold, of course I'm not going to go and spend a large % of it...just like I wasn't going to spend a large % of the BTS I was holding on the exchange. 

Why do you assume that those who hold BTS on an exchange aren't going to spend much of it? Perhaps that's WHY it's on an exchange in the first place!

Thom, please rethink this statement.  You're using circular logic.  We're talking about whether yield will cause people to hoard BitUSD.  Someone looking to sell their BTS is not part of this equation because they are not going to get into BitUSD, let alone hoard it.  Actually, if someone like that decides not to sell because now they can get yield, then you just took some BTS out of circulation and now who cares what they do with the BitUSD?  Not to mention, if they like the yield so much, why wouldn't they earn additional returns by participating in the liquidity pool?  As for hoarding BitUSD to maximize yield, that's not going to stop people from spending a small fraction of their finds (assuming there's a place to spend them - thanks for POS @kenCode!), which is all we should expect.  How many people spend their entire holdings?

But I WILL spend some of it if there are places for me to spend it (thanks @kenCode!), and 2%, 3% or even 10% yield will not stop me from doing so.  As for the rest of the BitUSD I hold (or at least a good chunk of it) I would be eager to earn additional return by putting it into a liquidity pool, which of course will add major liquidity and tighten the peg.  So I think this idea that that yield will decentivie liquidity has no merit here.  But maybe @Empirical1.2 or someone else can explain it better than I can.

Thanks tbone for your reply to my concerns & "simplistic" view, but I am still not convinced. There appear to be several assumptions in your analysis I think need to be addressed. You may be right, but I'm not seeing the hard evidence to convince me.

Hard evidence?  There's no such thing as hard evidence.  You have to use common sense and do it on a trial basis.  Worst case scenario, people don't respond to the incentive and we stop it after 6 months or whatever the trial period is.  Best case scenario is we bootstrap the crap out of our BitAssets, create liquidity, and turn the DEX into a happening place.  This is a good proposal with tremendous upside and little downside.  Let's not sit on our hands.  We're running out of time.  Inaction is doom.  Mark my words.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 07:45:54 pm
Well, if you agree your OP wasn't clear about the source of dilution why not go back and edit it?

Also, BM & Stan explained (https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21549.msg280648.html#msg280648) why they thought "yield harvesting" doesn't work, but in all of this discussion I don't see a strong case made for why their take is wrong. If anyone could explain that clearly and concisely or point to such an explanation that would be great.

If it was just a topic I would but I'm personally not a fan of changing anything in a poll, once people have started voting on principle.

We've yet to hear BM & Stan's take on this but personally I think they were right that yield harvesting was a negative in 1.0 because of the way yield was derived (from shorts hoping to incentivize longs) I'm hoping they will see the merits of this approach in 2.0

In 1.0, I believe BM was right that yield harvesting was bad, because shorts would offer yield to entice longs which went into a large pool but then BTS shareholders would yield harvest, thereby reducing the average yield and discouraging genuine longs.

In this example where we send dilution to the yield, yield harvesting is a great thing because it means shareholders aren't diluted as long as they yield harvest. However it acts as a behaviour incentive to get BTS holders to remove their BTS from the centralized exchanges (which is a big positive) and support Smartcoins.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Thom on February 24, 2016, 08:00:02 pm
Well, if you agree your OP wasn't clear about the source of dilution why not go back and edit it?

Also, BM & Stan explained (https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21549.msg280648.html#msg280648) why they thought "yield harvesting" doesn't work, but in all of this discussion I don't see a strong case made for why their take is wrong. If anyone could explain that clearly and concisely or point to such an explanation that would be great.

If it was just a topic I would but I'm personally not a fan of changing anything in a poll, once people have started voting on principal.

We've yet to hear BM & Stan's take on this but personally I think they were right that yield harvesting was a negative in 1.0 because of the way yield was derived (from shorts hoping to incentivize longs) I'm hoping they will see the merits of this approach in 2.0

In 1.0, I believe BM was right that yield harvesting was bad, because shorts would offer yield to entice longs which went into a large pool but then BTS shareholders would yield harvest, thereby reducing the average yield and discouraging genuine longs.

In this example where we send dilution to the yield, yield harvesting is a great thing because it means shareholders aren't diluted as long as they yield harvest. However it acts as a behaviour incentive to get BTS holders to remove their BTS from the centralized exchanges (which is a big positive) and support Smartcoins.

+5% Thx for the answers Empirical. You're right about not editing the OP given this being a poll. Didn't think about that.

Quote
Hard evidence?  There's no such thing as hard evidence.  You have to use common sense and do it on a trial basis.  Worst case scenario, people don't respond to the incentive and we stop it after 6 months or whatever the trial period is.  Best case scenario is we bootstrap the crap out of our BitAssets, create liquidity, and turn the DEX into a happening place.  This is a good proposal with tremendous upside and little downside.  Let's not sit on our hands.  We're running out of time.  Inaction is doom.  Mark my words.

I'm starting to be convinced. Another concern is the length of the "experiment" and the impact it will have on the reserve pool. The committee needs to be ready to act to stop the experiment well in advance of it depleting the pool, not that I think that will happen at such a fast rate, but as you say we're dealing with a lack of hard evidence here and trying to predict what people will do. Last thing I want to see is the reserve pool drained by a "runaway incentive", again, not that I think it would be.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Thom on February 24, 2016, 08:06:25 pm
However, it's looking like the community is evenly split over whether to move forward on this idea or rather wait to see how other proposals will affect liquidity.

Having too many choices and too many levers to pull is not a good way to run an experiment. So how do we determine the best one to try first? We need a decision matrix with the pros & cons of each proposal that targets improving liquidity.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: yvv on February 24, 2016, 09:50:19 pm
However, it's looking like the community is evenly split over whether to move forward on this idea or rather wait to see how other proposals will affect liquidity.

Having too many choices and too many levers to pull is not a good way to run an experiment. So how do we determine the best one to try first? We need a decision matrix with the pros & cons of each proposal that targets improving liquidity.

Bitshares should be assessed by professional market maker, and (s)he should tell what would (s)he need the most for successful market making.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Ander on February 24, 2016, 10:18:08 pm
I think this is a terrible idea that does nothing but steal value from BTS bulls (people who hold BTS), and give it to BTS bears (people who hold bitUSD instead of BTS). 

This will not achieve the goals you want of encouraging bitasset adoption, rather it will reduce the incentive to hold BTS, reduce the value of BTS, take money away from bulls and give it to bears.

In addition, it goes against the free market principles that Bitshares claims to believe in.



What we need is to create a bond/margin trading market, and then allow people to loan BTS/bitAssets to others for margin trading purposes, like you can do at poloniex.  Then rather than the yield being a theft from one party to another, it is deriving from legitimate use and its rate is set by the free market.  This would increase the value and usefulness and liquidity of BTS and nitAssets, rather than reduce it.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Ander on February 24, 2016, 10:19:38 pm
Well, if you agree your OP wasn't clear about the source of dilution why not go back and edit it?

Also, BM & Stan explained (https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21549.msg280648.html#msg280648) why they thought "yield harvesting" doesn't work, but in all of this discussion I don't see a strong case made for why their take is wrong. If anyone could explain that clearly and concisely or point to such an explanation that would be great.

If it was just a topic I would but I'm personally not a fan of changing anything in a poll, once people have started voting on principle.

We've yet to hear BM & Stan's take on this but personally I think they were right that yield harvesting was a negative in 1.0 because of the way yield was derived (from shorts hoping to incentivize longs) I'm hoping they will see the merits of this approach in 2.0

In 1.0, I believe BM was right that yield harvesting was bad, because shorts would offer yield to entice longs which went into a large pool but then BTS shareholders would yield harvest, thereby reducing the average yield and discouraging genuine longs.

In this example where we send dilution to the yield, yield harvesting is a great thing because it means shareholders aren't diluted as long as they yield harvest. However it acts as a behaviour incentive to get BTS holders to remove their BTS from the centralized exchanges (which is a big positive) and support Smartcoins.

There is nothing different between this proposal and that one.  This proposal is still taking money from bitasset shorts and giving it to longs.  This resulted in no one wanting to create bitassets.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 10:22:07 pm
I think this is a terrible idea that does nothing but steal value from BTS bulls (people who hold BTS), and give it to BTS bears (people who hold bitUSD instead of BTS). 

This will not achieve the goals you want of encouraging bitasset adoption, rather it will reduce the incentive to hold BTS, reduce the value of BTS, take money away from bulls and give it to bears.

You can still maintain your current BTS position by yield harvesting. Being long BitUSD and short BitUSD at the same time.

So it doesn't take any value from BTS holders provided they yield harvest. However this would remove BTS from the centralized exchanges and make most shareholders owners of BitAssets while still maintaining their current overall BTS positons. 

(Provided total BitAssets in circulation < 1/2 of BTS market capitalization, then directing funds to yield can be mitigated by yield harvesting as far as I understand.)
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: abit on February 24, 2016, 10:25:52 pm
I'm tired of this endless arguments. Nobody can make sure that a not-did thing can be done, or not.

Just create a worker proposal and see WHETHER you can get enough votes.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 10:31:34 pm
I'm tired of this endless arguments. Nobody can make sure that a not-did thing can be done, or not.

Just create a worker proposal and see WHETHER you can get enough votes.

I'm sorry you are tired of the 'endless arguments'. This poll is only 2 days old... 

While it is only a 6 month trial, the cost is high and there is a lot to consider so it is natural that we should debate, discuss & challenge it. We would also need to ultimately see where BM/others weigh in on the subject & it would also require some coding.

After that point perhaps it can be transformed into a valid worker proposal.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Pheonike on February 24, 2016, 10:34:02 pm
Everybody is looking for a sure-thing. But there is no such thing as a sure-thing especially in crypto. The reason why we fail is because we are too scared too fail. That's why we need to try something see if fails then move on to the next thing to try if it does. Instead we try, fail, then sit on our hands pointing fingers instead on focusing on trying the next experiment.

That's the problem with being young, you think you have all the time in world.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Ander on February 24, 2016, 10:36:17 pm
I think this is a terrible idea that does nothing but steal value from BTS bulls (people who hold BTS), and give it to BTS bears (people who hold bitUSD instead of BTS). 

This will not achieve the goals you want of encouraging bitasset adoption, rather it will reduce the incentive to hold BTS, reduce the value of BTS, take money away from bulls and give it to bears.

You can still maintain your current BTS position by yield harvesting. Being long BitUSD and short BitUSD at the same time.

So it doesn't take any value from BTS holders provided they yield harvest. However this would remove BTS from the centralized exchanges and make most shareholders owners of BitAssets while still maintaining their current overall BTS positons. 

(Provided total BitAssets in circulation < 1/2 of BTS market capitalization, then directing funds to yield can be mitigated by yield harvesting as far as I understand.)


So you are forced to take a bunch of margin positions that are opposite each other in order to avoid having your money stolen from you? 

How is that the free market?    What happens if the price moves a bunch in one direction and one of your positions gets margin called, then it moves back where it started?

Build real utility that makes people want to use bitAssets, rather than introducing a tyrannical rule system that forces them to. 

If you implement this, the people you are trying to force to buy bitAssets will not buy bitAssets, they will sell all their BTS and leave the project.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 10:43:35 pm
I think this is a terrible idea that does nothing but steal value from BTS bulls (people who hold BTS), and give it to BTS bears (people who hold bitUSD instead of BTS). 

This will not achieve the goals you want of encouraging bitasset adoption, rather it will reduce the incentive to hold BTS, reduce the value of BTS, take money away from bulls and give it to bears.

You can still maintain your current BTS position by yield harvesting. Being long BitUSD and short BitUSD at the same time.

So it doesn't take any value from BTS holders provided they yield harvest. However this would remove BTS from the centralized exchanges and make most shareholders owners of BitAssets while still maintaining their current overall BTS positons. 

(Provided total BitAssets in circulation < 1/2 of BTS market capitalization, then directing funds to yield can be mitigated by yield harvesting as far as I understand.)
So you are forced to take a bunch of margin positions that are opposite each other in order to avoid having your money stolen from you? 

How is that the free market?    What happens if the price moves a bunch in one direction and one of your positions gets margin called, then it moves back where it started?

Build real utility that makes people want to use bitAssets, rather than introducing a tyrannical rule system that forces them to. 

If you implement this, the people you are trying to force to buy bitAssets will not buy bitAssets, they will sell all their BTS and leave the project.

On the contrary we have already had the opposite problem in practice. When yield was offered in 1.0 BTS holders created a million + USD to generate a very low risk return at the expense of interest paying shorts. 

Quote
Under BitShares the BitAsset holders receive a yield simply by holding BitUSD. This yield was between 1% and 5% APR on average. Unfortunately, yield harvesting can happen at any time by someone shorting to themselves to gain a very low risk return and undermining goal of encouraging people to buy and hold BitUSD.

https://bitshares.org/blog/2015/06/08/lessons-learned-from-bitshares-0.x/

So it stands to reason we would see shareholders making the effort to yield harvest for a very low risk return to mitigate the cost if they felt affected by it.

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.   

Also what's creates the most utility is merchants and third parties offering products and services for BitUSD but it would only be a lucrative market if there were thousands of holders with BitUSD in their accounts they could easily spend anywhere in the world in three seconds which is what this proposal incentivizes. At the current BitUSD CAP of $98 000 & probably less than 200 unique holders few third parties will be interested in offering products and services for BitUSD.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on February 24, 2016, 10:45:55 pm
What we need is to create a bond/margin trading market, and then allow people to loan BTS/bitAssets to others for margin trading purposes, like you can do at poloniex.  Then rather than the yield being a theft from one party to another, it is deriving from legitimate use and its rate is set by the free market.  This would increase the value and usefulness and liquidity of BTS and nitAssets, rather than reduce it.

Yes! we need a bond market, and even better if bonds are denominated in Smartcoins, which will boost demand for them. i'm loving 2.0 so far, but the bond market is the big missing item i'd love to see.

i like the idea of a Bitshares Treasury bond, either for just the BTS-USD market, or for others; something issued by the network that pays out some % of fees from that market. A bitUSD bond, for instance, would be denominated in bitUSD and pay out some % of fees generated in that market. As to where the borrowed funds go, that's up for debate. Initially, we might as well just park the bitUSD bonds on the ledger and simply use them as means for distributing fees to lenders. at some point maybe we can think of how to use the funds, likely to pay workers to build or maintain our infrastructure.

We should also have capability for UIB (user issued bonds), like small businesses that float bond offerings as means of raising capital in our markets.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Ander on February 24, 2016, 10:47:20 pm

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.

Well, DASH specifically is a scam. :P 

Regarding most PoS coins providing interest to forgers, this has a purpose of encouraging people to support the network. 
But BTS is DPoS so it doesnt need that.


This proposed inflation would encourage people to hold equal long and short positions in the DEX simultaneously in order to avoid dilution.  That doesnt sound like making bitAssets useful, it sounds like forcing BTS holders to take on risk and needlessly manage some positions just in order to not lose value.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Zapply on February 24, 2016, 10:50:04 pm
I think this is a terrible idea that does nothing but steal value from BTS bulls (people who hold BTS), and give it to BTS bears (people who hold bitUSD instead of BTS). 

This will not achieve the goals you want of encouraging bitasset adoption, rather it will reduce the incentive to hold BTS, reduce the value of BTS, take money away from bulls and give it to bears.

You can still maintain your current BTS position by yield harvesting. Being long BitUSD and short BitUSD at the same time.

So it doesn't take any value from BTS holders provided they yield harvest. However this would remove BTS from the centralized exchanges and make most shareholders owners of BitAssets while still maintaining their current overall BTS positons. 

(Provided total BitAssets in circulation < 1/2 of BTS market capitalization, then directing funds to yield can be mitigated by yield harvesting as far as I understand.)


So you are forced to take a bunch of margin positions that are opposite each other in order to avoid having your money stolen from you? 

How is that the free market?    What happens if the price moves a bunch in one direction and one of your positions gets margin called, then it moves back where it started?

Build real utility that makes people want to use bitAssets, rather than introducing a tyrannical rule system that forces them to. 

If you implement this, the people you are trying to force to buy bitAssets will not buy bitAssets, they will sell all their BTS and leave the project.
 +5% +5% +5%

The key is take something will grow value in time backed something Asset will lost value in time
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 10:59:41 pm

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.

Well, DASH specifically is a scam. :P 

Regarding most PoS coins providing interest to forgers, this has a purpose of encouraging people to support the network. 
But BTS is DPoS so it doesnt need that.

This proposed inflation would encourage people to hold equal long and short positions in the DEX simultaneously in order to avoid dilution.  That doesnt sound like making bitAssets useful, it sounds like forcing BTS holders to take on risk and needlessly manage some positions just in order to not lose value.

In doing so you would receive all the benefits listed in the OP and people who made the effort would likely receive value  in excess of the amount their BTS was affected (Provided BitAssets in circulation < 1/2 BTS market value.)

This would also hopefully create new demand for BitUSD which would increase new demand for BTS and so increase the value of BTS.

When compared to the high cost BTS shareholders are paying in other areas that they can't recoup, create direct selling pressure & isn't likely to increase product demand, I think this is very lucrative to at least attempt on a trial basis
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: giant middle finger on February 24, 2016, 11:00:42 pm
so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 11:04:38 pm
so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results. 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Ander on February 24, 2016, 11:16:03 pm
When compared to the high cost BTS shareholders are paying in other areas that they can't recoup, create direct selling pressure & isn't likely to increase product demand, I think this is very lucrative to at least attempt on a trial basis

Just because its not as big of a mistake as the merger dilution doesn't make it good.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 24, 2016, 11:21:05 pm
When compared to the high cost BTS shareholders are paying in other areas that they can't recoup, create direct selling pressure & isn't likely to increase product demand, I think this is very lucrative to at least attempt on a trial basis

Just because its not as big of a mistake as the merger dilution doesn't make it good.

Of course  :) But as this cost is largely circular in that it can be mitigated and mostly go back to existing shareholders, like other POS incentive schemes, the actual amount that would be lost/create selling pressure is very low while at the same time it would create new BitUSD demand and by extension BTS demand almost immediately and so hopefully increase the value of BTS. (Unlike other developments that make BTS more attractive and feature rich but don't directly increase demand enough to offset their cost in the short term especially when a lot of the BTS used to fund it must be sold to meet expenses.) So that combo I believe makes it BTS price positive very quickly as opposed to other initiatives which at least in the short term are not, was the point I was trying to make.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: yvv on February 25, 2016, 12:56:35 am
so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results.

How will you know, that "positive" results (if you will have them) were produced by this feature?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 25, 2016, 01:45:33 am
so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results.

How will you know, that "positive" results (if you will have them) were produced by this feature?

It's obviously hard to directly relate cause and effect. However I would say some of the positive results we may see and may mostly attribute to this initiative, if they happened within 8 weeks of starting it...

1. Poloniex & BTC38 BTS wallets decrease significantly. (This is positive as BTS is over-exposed to them.)

2. Much more BitUSD demand on the DEX (short demand too, if we implement tonyk's variation) This is positive as it increases liquidity in all market conditions not just when BTC/BTS is declining and people want a USD hedge.

3a) BTS price increasing due to new BitUSD demand increasing.
b) BTS price increasing due to rapidly increasing our USD SmartCoin market share from 2.4% to a Market Leader position by USD CAP and unique users giving the market confidence BTS can bootstrap SmartCoins and thus increase BTS's valuation based on forward estimates of SmartCoin adoption as we go from least to most likely to rule/dominate the SmartCoin market over competitors.

If there were no other major features released like the bond market but BTS rapidly increased in value, say above $20/$25 million, all else equal, shareholders might infer that this initiative played a significant role.

4. Hard to quantify but may see many new businesses saying 'Hi we accept BitUSD, want to spend some here?' Which may happen less if it wasn't worth millions of dollars with thousands of holders thanks to this.

5. Hard to quantify but we may see increased use of the DEX in general as passive BTS shareholders move their BTS off exchanges and become familiar with SmartCoins thanks to yield harvesting.

I have also recommended that this worker proposal should not be started the same time as an expensive liquidity proposal so we can also see better which is producing results. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21547.msg280724.html#msg280724

While cause and effect are hard to judge, we all know how BTS & the DEX has struggled for 18 months and if there were positive BTS results like the ones above it may be attributable to this and It will be up to shareholders to individually evaluate as best they can.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 03:05:46 am

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.

Well, DASH specifically is a scam. :P 

Regarding most PoS coins providing interest to forgers, this has a purpose of encouraging people to support the network. 
But BTS is DPoS so it doesnt need that.


You're using an overly narrow definition of what it means to support the network.  But the fact is that creation of BitAssets is critical, so incentivizing it DOES support the network.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 03:10:31 am

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.
This proposed inflation would encourage people to hold equal long and short positions in the DEX simultaneously in order to avoid dilution.  That doesnt sound like making bitAssets useful, it sounds like forcing BTS holders to take on risk and needlessly manage some positions just in order to not lose value.

I think this is one of the only potentially valid points you have made against the proposal.  @Empirical1.2, can you speak to the risk of having the simultaneously long and short positions advocated by your proposal?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 03:23:44 am
so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results.

@Empirical1.2:  How the yield harvesting fits in with a bond market is another good question and one that should be discussed further.  And I don't mean if the yield harvesting isn't working.  I mean if it IS working.  Do we continue it when the bond market is finally ready?   Do they complement each other?  Do they conflict?  Please walk me through that.

If there is no good reason to have both, then I would only be interested in the yield harvesting if it can be implemented a lot more quickly than a bond market (for instance, if it would take 1-2 months to implement yield harvesting, but 6+ months to implement bond market).   
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 25, 2016, 07:58:10 am

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.
This proposed inflation would encourage people to hold equal long and short positions in the DEX simultaneously in order to avoid dilution.  That doesnt sound like making bitAssets useful, it sounds like forcing BTS holders to take on risk and needlessly manage some positions just in order to not lose value.

I think this is one of the only potentially valid points you have made against the proposal.  @Empirical1.2, can you speak to the risk of having the simultaneously long and short positions advocated by your proposal?

Ander is right that if BTS declines you can be margin called or force settled. This would mean you either have to

A) Manage your overall position in a significant BTS decline

If you failed to do this and were force settled/margin called you'd have to sell some BitUSD and then re-short to rebalance your position. This process would add to liquidity though.

B) Short with more than 100% collateral. This is the lazy option, it reduces the effective yield you are getting but it makes it less likely you'll have to manage it. (However provided total BitUSD in circulation < 1/3 of BTS value, you could short with 200% collateral and not be affected by the yield worker proposal.)

This is a positive as BitAssets would become more collateralised/safe.

C) You could also apply tonyk's suggestion listed in the OP of giving some of the yield to shorts, so that shorting with more collateral incurs less of a loss and yield harvesting is made easier. This would also create some new shorting demand which adds to liquidity.

I'd be interested how risky others view it and how hard they feel it would be to manage that risk. Bytemaster for example describes yield harvesting as very low risk.

Quote
Under BitShares the BitAsset holders receive a yield simply by holding BitUSD. This yield was between 1% and 5% APR on average. Unfortunately, yield harvesting can happen at any time by someone shorting to themselves to gain a very low risk return... 

https://bitshares.org/blog/2015/06/08/lessons-learned-from-bitshares-0.x/#socialized-yield-is-broken

so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results.

@Empirical1.2:  How the yield harvesting fits in with a bond market is another good question and one that should be discussed further.  And I don't mean if the yield harvesting isn't working.  I mean if it IS working.  Do we continue it when the bond market is finally ready?   Do they complement each other?  Do they conflict?  Please walk me through that.

If there is no good reason to have both, then I would only be interested in the yield harvesting if it can be implemented a lot more quickly than a bond market (for instance, if it would take 1-2 months to implement yield harvesting, but 6+ months to implement bond market).   

The bond market would work similarly to lending at Poloniex I believe. So if you had BitUSD you may make a loan offer to someone who wanted gain BitUSD leverage. So this is how you could generate free market interest on your BitUSD.

So this would incentivise BitUSD demand (because people want interest) without any yield worker proposal.

Personally I still see a lot of value in having a little yield on BitAssets through the method stated in the OP so BitUSD still has an advertisable USP (Yield) for  less sophisticated BitUSD holders for a fairly neutral cost to shareholders. (However we could see by the market reaction to doing it how valuable it was/wasn't to BTS value in practice.)

Also yes I imagine this proposal could be implemented within 30 days of being approved (not that I know anything about coding) whereas the bond market is not currently under development AFAIK and is surely 6+ months away.

Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Samupaha on February 25, 2016, 08:15:18 am
Yip, it's a worker that distributes BTS for BitUSD owners which BTS owners can mitigate via yield harvesting.

I appreciate your POV, however personally I refer to any expansion of the current supply as dilution. (While you can argue the current supply includes the reserve pool, it's the act of bringing that supply to market which dilutes shareholders today in practical terms & often much more than the headline figure due to fairly thin speculative demand supporting current price levels.)

I agree though the question is whether it will increase revenue/profit/users/BTS demand enough to justify the cost and hopefully I've made a strong enough case in this thread why that will be the case. (Like many POS minting type rewards the majority of the cost is fairly neutral/circular and goes back to existing shareholders so is unlikely to create large sell pressure, while at the same time increasing new demand for BitUSD which creates net new demand for BTS as well as removing BTS from centralized exchanges, making BitUSD the market leader by CAP and holders and possibly making BitAsset liquidity operations cheaper, which should all be valuation positive for BTS.)

I just think it's probably very counterproductive to even mention the word "dilution". It will create instant gut reaction for some people: "no way I'm going to approve that!" But if you instead talk about for example "an effective way of using development funds" you might get a much better reaction.

Shareholders need to understand that we have a constant rate of development funds coming out from the reserve pool. So the question is: what's the most effective way of using them? What projects will raise the price of BTS and what are just waste of money? And then approve only the profitable ones.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: sudo on February 25, 2016, 11:49:06 am
how many  normal people would like to use bitUSD  ……?????????
is the mobile wallet  easy  enough??
is there more and more forum use bitUSD?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: xeroc on February 25, 2016, 12:38:08 pm
how many  normal people would like to use bitUSD  ……?????????
is the mobile wallet  easy  enough??
is there more and more forum use bitUSD?
Why don't you ask @alt, it seems he has a plan to fix everything by not having further development of the frontend.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 04:20:10 pm

Do you think DASH Masternodes or PPC minting rewards are anti-free market? Most POS alts these days offer various rewards which can be mitigated by holders if they engage in the network positive behaviour the reward is attempting to incentivize.
This proposed inflation would encourage people to hold equal long and short positions in the DEX simultaneously in order to avoid dilution.  That doesnt sound like making bitAssets useful, it sounds like forcing BTS holders to take on risk and needlessly manage some positions just in order to not lose value.

I think this is one of the only potentially valid points you have made against the proposal.  @Empirical1.2, can you speak to the risk of having the simultaneously long and short positions advocated by your proposal?

Ander is right that if BTS declines you can be margin called or force settled. This would mean you either have to

A) Manage your overall position in a significant BTS decline

If you failed to do this and were force settled/margin called you'd have to sell some BitUSD and then re-short to rebalance your position. This process would add to liquidity though.

B) Short with more than 100% collateral. This is the lazy option, it reduces the effective yield you are getting but it makes it less likely you'll have to manage it. (However provided total BitUSD in circulation < 1/3 of BTS value, you could short with 200% collateral and not be affected by the yield worker proposal.)

This is a positive as BitAssets would become more collateralised/safe.

C) You could also apply tonyk's suggestion listed in the OP of giving some of the yield to shorts, so that shorting with more collateral incurs less of a loss and yield harvesting is made easier. This would also create some new shorting demand which adds to liquidity.

I'd be interested how risky others view it and how hard they feel it would be to manage that risk. Bytemaster for example describes yield harvesting as very low risk.

If we were to implement this, I think yield harvesting should be made very easy for anyone to participate.  So it should not be necessary to explicitly go through the steps of borrowing BitUSD and shorting it to themselves.  It should be as easy as clicking a button.  Although in that case perhaps extra collateral should be required in order to avoid having to manage it.   And then if anyone wants to get more yield than is available via the "yield for dummies" way, they can do it the current way by actually going through the steps and then having to manage the position.  Although perhaps there can be alerts to warn users if they have a position that is getting close to becoming undercollateralized.  Does this make sense?



so this would be a "temporary" feature that would last only until the bond market was ready?

It could even be removed before then if it was not producing positive results.

@Empirical1.2:  How the yield harvesting fits in with a bond market is another good question and one that should be discussed further.  And I don't mean if the yield harvesting isn't working.  I mean if it IS working.  Do we continue it when the bond market is finally ready?   Do they complement each other?  Do they conflict?  Please walk me through that.

If there is no good reason to have both, then I would only be interested in the yield harvesting if it can be implemented a lot more quickly than a bond market (for instance, if it would take 1-2 months to implement yield harvesting, but 6+ months to implement bond market).   

The bond market would work similarly to lending at Poloniex I believe. So if you had BitUSD you may make a loan offer to someone who wanted gain BitUSD leverage. So this is how you could generate free market interest on your BitUSD.

So this would incentivise BitUSD demand (because people want interest) without any yield worker proposal.

Personally I still see a lot of value in having a little yield on BitAssets through the method stated in the OP so BitUSD still has an advertisable USP (Yield) for  less sophisticated BitUSD holders for a fairly neutral cost to shareholders. (However we could see by the market reaction to doing it how valuable it was/wasn't to BTS value in practice.)

Also yes I imagine this proposal could be implemented within 30 days of being approved (not that I know anything about coding) whereas the bond market is not currently under development AFAIK and is surely 6+ months away.

Yes, I'm 100% in favor of a Poloniex-style bond market, although with some modifications to fix any shortcomings including an issue that I believe prevents some people from using it as much as they might like to.

As far as bond market vs. yield harvesting, it sounds beneficial to have them both, although the yield harvesting can probably be tapered off once the DEX is bootstrapped.  Also, if it's true (as most seem to believe) that the bond market is at least 6 months off, then to me that really makes the case to move forward with your yield harvesting proposal ASAP. 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tonyk on February 25, 2016, 05:05:12 pm
Empirical regardless of merits this will never be tried. It takes 40% of the dev fund. And it cannot be stopped at 6 mo. if it is seen as working. cause the bootstrapping phase will have just begun. It will take years. I know you took one number from a post of bm's as an argument, but in fact the other (market maker) liquidity measure can run on much much less than that number. You took it at face value and run with it.

So, working or not this is untestable,imo.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 25, 2016, 05:18:58 pm
Empirical regardless of merits this will never be tried. It takes 40% of the dev fund. And it cannot be stopped at 6 mo. if it is seen as working. cause the bootstrapping phase will have just begun. It will take years. I know you took one number from a post of bm's as an argument, but in fact the other (market maker) liquidity measure can run on much much less than that number. You took it at face value and run with it.

So, working or not this is untestable,imo.

I personally prefer yield to a liquidity only solution, even if the liquidity can be achieved for a much lower cost than the figure I used.

A BitUSD liquidity incentive may only increase transient use of BitUSD. In other words when BTC/Crypto is falling people may look to hedge into BitUSD but then leave BTS again. This doesn't create so much net new long-term BTS demand but does incur the constant cost of liquidity provision.

Yield would incentivize new BTS demand which would be held for the medium to long term in order to receive the BitUSD yield. So it would hopefully increase BTS value for the duration net new demand exceeded yield cost.  A concept I've taken a stab at explaining here https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21641.0.html

 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: giant middle finger on February 25, 2016, 05:24:38 pm
It would be like moving toward a more traditional POS model where the "staking" rewards would be for holding anything but the core asset.

E
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 05:26:57 pm
Empirical regardless of merits this will never be tried. It takes 40% of the dev fund. And it cannot be stopped at 6 mo. if it is seen as working. cause the bootstrapping phase will have just begun. It will take years. I know you took one number from a post of bm's as an argument, but in fact the other (market maker) liquidity measure can run on much much less than that number. You took it at face value and run with it.

So, working or not this is untestable,imo.

This can also be done for less.  But you just took the one number at face value and ran with it.  Also, I love how you argue against this proposal because if it works, we won't stop it.  That's brilliant, tony.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tonyk on February 25, 2016, 05:28:56 pm
Empirical regardless of merits this will never be tried. It takes 40% of the dev fund. And it cannot be stopped at 6 mo. if it is seen as working. cause the bootstrapping phase will have just begun. It will take years. I know you took one number from a post of bm's as an argument, but in fact the other (market maker) liquidity measure can run on much much less than that number. You took it at face value and run with it.

So, working or not this is untestable,imo.

This can also be done for less.  But you just took the one number at face value and ran with it.  Also, I love how you argue against this proposal because if it works, we won't stop it.  That's brilliant, tony.

Are you gonna stop putting words in my mouth and twisting facts...like ever?
Where did  you see me arguing against the proposal?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: giant middle finger on February 25, 2016, 05:32:00 pm
After the bitcoin halving in July when the bitcoin price triples, and Ethereum's market cap hits $30 billion, we might just get enough ether dust speculated into BTS to raise our market cap to $30-$40 million and our dev pool funds will go much farther.

We don't need to go to the moon to be the first profitable DAC do we?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 25, 2016, 05:32:41 pm
Empirical regardless of merits this will never be tried. It takes 40% of the dev fund. And it cannot be stopped at 6 mo. if it is seen as working. cause the bootstrapping phase will have just begun. It will take years. I know you took one number from a post of bm's as an argument, but in fact the other (market maker) liquidity measure can run on much much less than that number. You took it at face value and run with it.

So, working or not this is untestable,imo.

This can also be done for less.  But you just took the one number at face value and ran with it.  Also, I love how you argue against this proposal because if it works, we won't stop it.  That's brilliant, tony.

Are you gonna stop putting words in my mouth...like ever?
Where did  you see me arguing against the proposal?

I stand corrected.  But you sure do have a funny way of showing your support for something.  I guess that's just part of your charm!
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Tuck Fheman on February 25, 2016, 06:12:32 pm
After the bitcoin halving in July when the bitcoin price triples, and Ethereum's market cap hits $30 billion

(http://i.imgur.com/nv3RpRr.jpg)

(https://theoriginaluber.files.wordpress.com/2015/10/vomit.gif)

 :P
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on February 25, 2016, 09:48:10 pm
If we were to implement this, I think yield harvesting should be made very easy for anyone to participate.  So it should not be necessary to explicitly go through the steps of borrowing BitUSD and shorting it to themselves.  It should be as easy as clicking a button.  Although in that case perhaps extra collateral should be required in order to avoid having to manage it.   And then if anyone wants to get more yield than is available via the "yield for dummies" way, they can do it the current way by actually going through the steps and then having to manage the position.  Although perhaps there can be alerts to warn users if they have a position that is getting close to becoming undercollateralized.  Does this make sense?

I agree, it would be good if the process could me made as simple as possible.

There is also some value in having shareholders go through the steps so that they become active/knowledgable vs. passive users of the DEX but I guess the incentive to do that would be the higher yield you could get with a more actively managed, lower collateral position.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on February 26, 2016, 12:35:41 am
If we were to implement this, I think yield harvesting should be made very easy for anyone to participate.  So it should not be necessary to explicitly go through the steps of borrowing BitUSD and shorting it to themselves.  It should be as easy as clicking a button.  Although in that case perhaps extra collateral should be required in order to avoid having to manage it.   And then if anyone wants to get more yield than is available via the "yield for dummies" way, they can do it the current way by actually going through the steps and then having to manage the position.  Although perhaps there can be alerts to warn users if they have a position that is getting close to becoming undercollateralized.  Does this make sense?

I agree, it would be good if the process could me made as simple as possible.

There is also some value in having shareholders go through the steps so that they become active/knowledgable vs. passive users of the DEX but I guess the incentive to do that would be the higher yield you could get with a more actively managed, lower collateral position.

Exactly.  Not to mention, there are certainly people that would be active on the DEX but wouldn't be comfortable explicitly going through the process of borrowing BitUSD and then shorting it to themselves. 

Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Zapply on March 07, 2016, 03:04:13 am
Any bank pay you interest for the money in your pocket?

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,15888.0.html

If I'm bad guy, and I have 1 million USD. I want BTS price keep falling down.
What I need to do is, change all my money to BITUSD, Then wait the monthly expire of short order. I'll hold all my BITUSD until we have no enough shorter, the expired short order have to get the BITUSD to cover. Shorter need to sell BTS to get BITUSD, while all the BITUSD is hold by me.This will keep the price falling. 

As a bad guy, I'll lose nothing, while earn some interesting.

I think the rule need be changed. The one hold BITUSD should pay people short for them.

In an bank I borrow money, and I can use the money to do more meaningful things, and I have to pay interesting.
In BTS, I short BTS and create BITUSD, but I can not use the BITUSD, other people get my BITUSD, and use BITUSD, and I have to pay the interesting to him. What a fuck???

BITUSD is for trade, not for people to hold. I'd like suggest people who short, set interesting to 0.
People who hold bitUSD can use the bitUSD to trade, to buy stuff, to hire people to work for them in the Internet, and can invest with bitUSD. bitUSD is like the money in your pocket. Any bank pay u interest while the money is in your pocket?
As a Shorter, yes, we can get more BTS. BUT, the BTS is locked, we can not use the BTS do any thing but hoping the BTS price goes up.

This is not how the world run!!
We need is real economist. Don't tell me BM is a economist..

We have already identified this problem and also the solution:

1) No interest on BitUSD
2) No expiration on Shorts unless USD request force settlement at a discount (profit to the short)
3) Bond market which locks up BitUSD like a CD and pays interest.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tonyk on March 07, 2016, 03:21:51 am
Any bank pay you interest for the money in your pocket?

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,15888.0.html

it is better Zapply... before we made the people providing  the product  pay the customer interest for having/using the product...

it is better now, cause we have found out we can pay you same or better interests... by printing new money...

I really cannot see how this could fail? 

Ohh and those are not actually new money... cause we told you at the beginning exactly how much we can print! So printing them does not count.

PS
now you have it tbone...now you can say I have stated I do not like the proposal...
PSS
The same problem applies to MKR btw...in somewhat greater sense. per their design payments from the shorters are essential for the value of their 'insurance' doa.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 07, 2016, 04:09:30 pm
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Rune on March 07, 2016, 04:53:10 pm
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 07, 2016, 05:04:02 pm
 
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

 +5% Exactly, a limited trial with perpetuation contingent on results.

I think it's a great time to start the trial/promotion as the increase in BitUSD CAP and adoption may take the wind out of a lot of competitor's sails. 

I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

Thanks for the recommendation & best of luck with the launch of MKR.




Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 07, 2016, 05:11:37 pm
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

what about economics makes you recommend against this experiment? i'm personally about indifferent on this hypothesis, but usually ere on the side of experimentation.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on March 07, 2016, 05:42:15 pm
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

I, too, am in favor of limiting this to a 6-month trial.  I propose targeting it 75% to BitUSD, 20% BitCNY and 5% BitEur, with a goal of creating the equivalent of at least $1M in total BitAssets.  Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

So we get people to move funds onto the DEX, they become more frequent users of the DEX, and create BitAssets propelling us to worldwide fiat-pegged leaders, which will garner greater overall attention for Bitshares in general and our smartcoins in particular.  Not to mention new users that might be attracted by the yield to buy and hold smartcoins.

On the liquidity front, we can launch this in conjunction with liquidity pools that any of these new users and new BitAsset creators/holders can voluntarily participate in.  This can be incentivized by the Nasdaq-style market maker liquidity rewards program (to be developed separately, discussed on another thread), which of course any liquidity provider can participate in (and which UIA issuers can use with their own funds to incentivize liquidity in the markets for their own assets). 

If we require generation of more liquidity, the rewards can be increased as necessary.  Conversely, as liquidity grows, the rewards can be diminished and directed to other BitAsset  markets such as BitGOLD, BitSILVER, BitOIL, BitAAPL, etc. 

These are just some suggestions and starting points for further discussion, including how some of the pieces of the puzzle might fit together.  Thoughts @Empirical1.2, @cylonmaker2053?  Anyone else with constructive input?


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 07, 2016, 06:02:54 pm
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

I, too, am in favor of limiting this to a 6-month trial.  I propose targeting it 75% to BitUSD, 20% BitCNY and 5% BitEur, with a goal of creating the equivalent of at least $1M in total BitAssets.  Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

So we get people to move funds onto the DEX, they become more frequent users of the DEX, and create BitAssets propelling us to worldwide fiat-pegged leaders, which will garner greater overall attention for Bitshares in general and our smartcoins in particular.  Not to mention new users that might be attracted by the yield to buy and hold smartcoins.

On the liquidity front, we can launch this in conjunction with liquidity pools that any of these new users and new BitAsset creators/holders can voluntarily participate in.  This can be incentivized by the Nasdaq-style market maker liquidity rewards program (to be developed separately, discussed on another thread), which of course any liquidity provider can participate in (and which UIA issuers can use with their own funds to incentivize liquidity in the markets for their own assets). 

If we require generation of more liquidity, the rewards can be increased as necessary.  Conversely, as liquidity grows, the rewards can be diminished and directed to other BitAsset  markets such as BitGOLD, BitSILVER, BitOIL, BitAAPL, etc. 

These are just some suggestions and starting points for further discussion, including how some of the pieces of the puzzle might fit together.  Thoughts @Empirical1.2, @cylonmaker2053?  Anyone else with constructive input?

I think with the yield the goal is to trial it & guage it's efficacy. So I wouldn't necessarily suggest spreading it out over 3 assets but just trying it on 1. If we think we can accurately measure the impact on BitUSD with 75% then we might be better off trialling BitUSD at a lower cost and only rolling out the additional amount of CNY/EUR if shareholders feel the results are sufficiently positive.

Also regards the 1 month lock up, I don't know. On the one hand I imagine interest accrued at <1 month wouldn't be a very strong motivating factor, so it might not be worth the restriction. Then again without it many people might buy BitUSD whenever BTS was falling and vice versa, thus removing/putting pressure on buy/sell side liquidity at those key times and so actually incentivizing people to hold in those turns may help.

As for the liquidity front yeah that sounds good, it's not my area but given the spreads we clearly need to subsidize it in some way and I believe increasing BitAsset adoption is incredibly valuable to BTS so I think it's worth it. It also makes sense that yes you'd decrease the incentive when you had sufficient liquidity and/or move it around to other markets you wanted to bootstrap.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 07, 2016, 06:04:09 pm
i voted YES purely on the condition that this is a LIMITED TRIAL with perpetuation of the policy contingent on results.

I, too, am in favor of limiting this to a 6-month trial.  I propose targeting it 75% to BitUSD, 20% BitCNY and 5% BitEur, with a goal of creating the equivalent of at least $1M in total BitAssets.  Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

So we get people to move funds onto the DEX, they become more frequent users of the DEX, and create BitAssets propelling us to worldwide fiat-pegged leaders, which will garner greater overall attention for Bitshares in general and our smartcoins in particular.  Not to mention new users that might be attracted by the yield to buy and hold smartcoins.

On the liquidity front, we can launch this in conjunction with liquidity pools that any of these new users and new BitAsset creators/holders can voluntarily participate in.  This can be incentivized by the Nasdaq-style market maker liquidity rewards program (to be developed separately, discussed on another thread), which of course any liquidity provider can participate in (and which UIA issuers can use with their own funds to incentivize liquidity in the markets for their own assets). 

If we require generation of more liquidity, the rewards can be increased as necessary.  Conversely, as liquidity grows, the rewards can be diminished and directed to other BitAsset  markets such as BitGOLD, BitSILVER, BitOIL, BitAAPL, etc. 

These are just some suggestions and starting points for further discussion, including how some of the pieces of the puzzle might fit together.  Thoughts @Empirical1.2, @cylonmaker2053?  Anyone else with constructive input?

all really good points. only other thing i'd add is that my gut tells me it'd be better to start with an experiment with one smartcoin, whichever has the highest 3-month moving average volume, or something like that.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 08, 2016, 06:45:52 am
Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

I personally like this idea more & could be in favour of it. This would make the advertisable variable yield higher. In terms of liquidity, you want to increase Makers at key times but also reduce liquidity takers at those key times. This may incentivise those who would probably be liquidity takers to not suck liquidity out of the market as much at key times. (Buying BitUSD when BTC/BTS is rapidly falling & selling BitUSD when BTC/BTS is rapidly rising) So besides all the other benefits of yield, this would be a way of using yield to improve liquidity imo.

Edit: At the same time once we have merchants accepting BitUSD this might be a negative in terms of getting the good liquidity in terms of people easily spending their BitUSD & creating the Pool to customer to merchant back to pool liquidity cycle.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Rune on March 08, 2016, 07:56:36 am
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

what about economics makes you recommend against this experiment? i'm personally about indifferent on this hypothesis, but usually ere on the side of experimentation.

This is in essence a bet against the market by a public agent. I don't think it can possibly be profitable in the long run.

I'm also just speculating, macroeconomics are  mostly guesswork. I don't think there's anything wrong with experimenting but I wouldn't do that on the main bitshares blockchain.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Erlich Bachman on March 08, 2016, 09:42:18 am
The short term goal is simply getting a critical mass of money into BTS so that we can charge a fee whenever the "depositors" choose to collect their accrued interest. Once we reach deflationary status (profitibility), then we can tweak economic incentives. Because currently, we are paying for a ton of unused bandwith (paying witnesses to watch 5 transactions per minute, when it costs us the same to process thousands).

The system is already costing us money to run, so we might as well offer a bunch of simple services (bank with us and we will give you interest like Masternodes) to get the fees rolling in.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: abit on March 08, 2016, 10:06:54 am
Generally I'm against using worker to fund any marketing experiments without proper market research. Marketing guys should know how market works and how to do market researches. We've through out too much in 0.x days just because.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: kokojie on March 08, 2016, 04:16:45 pm
In the US, some credit cards will give you $500 if you use them for 3 months and spend over $6000 on it. Incentives like these are ok for marketing I think.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 08, 2016, 04:36:35 pm
Also, to receive yield, perhaps it should be required to lock up funds for a month at a time.  So yield would be paid every month starting 1 month after lock-up (on an account by account basis), and early withdrawal means yield is forfeited. 

I personally like this idea more & could be in favour of it. This would make the advertisable variable yield higher. In terms of liquidity, you want to increase Makers at key times but also reduce liquidity takers at those key times. This may incentivise those who would probably be liquidity takers to not suck liquidity out of the market as much at key times. (Buying BitUSD when BTC/BTS is rapidly falling & selling BitUSD when BTC/BTS is rapidly rising) So besides all the other benefits of yield, this would be a way of using yield to improve liquidity imo.

Edit: At the same time once we have merchants accepting BitUSD this might be a negative in terms of getting the good liquidity in terms of people easily spending their BitUSD & creating the Pool to customer to merchant back to pool liquidity cycle.

or a hybrid approach that pays out daily yield with a monthly holding bonus. fundamentally, i prefer we start with short-term instruments, but i appreciate the lock-in concept for stability.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Samupaha on March 09, 2016, 10:02:44 am
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

what about economics makes you recommend against this experiment? i'm personally about indifferent on this hypothesis, but usually ere on the side of experimentation.

This is in essence a bet against the market by a public agent. I don't think it can possibly be profitable in the long run.

I'm also just speculating, macroeconomics are  mostly guesswork. I don't think there's anything wrong with experimenting but I wouldn't do that on the main bitshares blockchain.

I see this more like a kickstart project than a longterm solution. I'm also quite sure that this wouldn't be profitable in the long run, but this might be a good way to get liquid markets kickstarted. Although I'm still inclined to think that best way to pay yield is to pay it only for smartcoins that are in the orderbook.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 09, 2016, 10:13:10 am
I would recommend against this. I actually proposed something similar myself more than a year ago, but I have since then learned a lot more about economics.

what about economics makes you recommend against this experiment? i'm personally about indifferent on this hypothesis, but usually ere on the side of experimentation.

This is in essence a bet against the market by a public agent. I don't think it can possibly be profitable in the long run.

I'm also just speculating, macroeconomics are  mostly guesswork. I don't think there's anything wrong with experimenting but I wouldn't do that on the main bitshares blockchain.

I see this more like a kickstart project than a longterm solution. I'm also quite sure that this wouldn't be profitable in the long run, but this might be a good way to get liquid markets kickstarted. Although I'm still inclined to think that best way to pay yield is to pay it only for smartcoins that are in the orderbook.

+5% I agree that it's not profitable in the long, long run but I believe it is during the Smartcoin growth phase which could end up being as long as 5 years+ depending. Of course it can be removed or phased out if it's not creating more value than it's costing BTS shareholders at the time. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21541.msg283518.html#msg283518

(http://crackmba.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Product-Life-Cycle.jpg)

I'm also in favour of paying yield to orders on the books within a useful range around the peg as a liquidity measure & think this can be done cost effectively. Personally I've been impressed with NBT level liquidity which uses a similar approach and while most of us disagree with how NBT are created/collateralised their separate liquidity operations are fairly cost effective.  https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,21800.0.html

However yield for orders off the books is important in attracting man in the street money (who never want to see the exchange) into holding value in BTS collateralised BitAssets imo.  As BM said back in the day...

If the largest banks can achieve deposits of over $1 trillion dollars with no meaningful interest, how many deposits could BitShares attract and what would that mean for the value of the bank?

(Once the yield promotion is over in 6 months to 5 years+, banks will likely be in NIRP territory so at that point no yield will actually be the equivalent of yield - we cost less than banks.) The yield promotion described in this thread can also be mitigated by shareholders via yield harvesting, which also has a lot of positive side effects of it's own.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Erlich Bachman on March 09, 2016, 12:00:52 pm
Yes, it does appear that this "yield harvesting" is no different than what  DASH has successfully done with its "Masternode" incentive to lock up value on the blockchain creating scarcity on the open market and raising its share price. 

And since DASH has an enviable market cap from our perspective (one that would speed up our development funding), then I am on board.  Because after all, the one thing we need in order to achieve our dreams here is dev funding.  Imagine what we could do, and how fast we could do it if our market cap was around 30 million like DASH.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 09, 2016, 12:55:18 pm
Yes, it does appear that this "yield harvesting" is no different than what  DASH has successfully done with its "Masternode" incentive to lock up value on the blockchain creating scarcity on the open market and raising its share price. 

And since DASH has an enviable market cap from our perspective (one that would speed up our development funding), then I am on board.  Because after all, the one thing we need in order to achieve our dreams here is dev funding.  Imagine what we could do, and how fast we could do it if our market cap was around 30 million like DASH.

 +5% The higher the BTS valuation the more we potentially have in $ terms to spend on development.   

Offerings like DASH have to offer much higher POS rewards because the currency they're offering it on is very volatile. Whereas with BTS a very low amount directed to BitUSD will make it very attractive, due to USD's low volatility. So I believe thanks to Smartcoins we can attract higher BTS demand for a much lower cost. (However in both cases you can mitigate the individual cost by participating in the reward yourself.)

Decred is also interesting. (I own some but I'm generally not a fan as they have 150%+ year 1 inflation so their upside/ability to maintain a very high valuation is limited.) However in order to participate in their lock up POS rewards you need to buy a ticket which are limited to circa 40 000. (So these DCR tickets are a good proxy for a very limited BTS) While currently overvalued imo, you can see the DCR POS ticket price has increased over 1400% in 14 days (from 2-29) as demand for that limited gateway token increases to participate in their POS rewards. https://dcrstats.com/

Similarly we could expect demand for BitUSD rewards flowing through a very limited BTS to have a strong positive price effect on BTS. (& because BitUSD has low volatility, variable BitUSD yield will create constant new BTS demand unlike DCR who will see demand for their POS rewards fluctuate considerably.) 
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Akado on March 09, 2016, 03:28:33 pm
What happens when the trial ends? Won't people be disappointed? However, if we keep it going, what if there's a point where we can't dilute any more? People won't care about it any more
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 09, 2016, 03:40:50 pm
What happens when the trial ends? Won't people be disappointed? However, if we keep it going, what if there's a point where we can't dilute any more? People won't care about it any more

If you advertise it as a yield promotion then the market won't expect it to continue beyond the end date/indefinitely.

But yes there is a point where the cost of the reward in terms of BTS sell pressure it creates is more than the amount of corresponding new demand for BTS it brings in. So even if it did work well and was continued at some point in the future it would be phased out/removed. (In that growth stage of Smartcoins though, which could last many years you would have attracted BTS (For BitAsset) Demand at a much higher pace than the cost and so BTS value would grow in that time in the process bootstrapping SmartCoins.)

By becoming the Smartcoin market leader by CAP and number of holders we will be the most attractive to merchants and other services because of the size of our potential market much the same way 100 000+ offer products and services for BTC instead of a much smaller market/offering like BTS. This utility will add value & liquidity to BitAssets and so make them more attractive than competitors even without yield.

There are also expectations of widespread negative interest rates in the coming years well below -1%. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-10/something-very-disturbing-spotted-morgan-stanley-presentation-slide
So once BitAssets are bootstrapped most people may still rather keep them in BitUSD at 0% where they are also private, unseizable and free from capital controls etc. 

This other post discussing it may be of interest https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=21641.0


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 09, 2016, 04:21:00 pm
What happens when the trial ends? Won't people be disappointed? However, if we keep it going, what if there's a point where we can't dilute any more? People won't care about it any more

it'd be an experiment with the expectation of continuing if successful. i agree with @Empirical1.2 in that it shouldn't be advertised as a yield promotion event, but rather as a trial permanent feature. those who want it to remain a fixed feature have more incentive to participate up front.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on March 09, 2016, 05:02:31 pm
What happens when the trial ends? Won't people be disappointed? However, if we keep it going, what if there's a point where we can't dilute any more? People won't care about it any more

it'd be an experiment with the expectation of continuing if successful. i agree with @Empirical1.2 in that it shouldn't be advertised as a yield promotion event, but rather as a trial permanent feature. those who want it to remain a fixed feature have more incentive to participate up front.

Definitely agree that we should continue if the experiment is successful.  But I think what @Empircal1.2 was saying is that it SHOULD be advertised as a promotion.  That way it will be expected if/when it's discontinued.  Or if we continue it, people will be pleasantly surprised.  I agree it should be communicated as a promotion for these reasons.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 11, 2016, 11:27:40 am
The immediate overnight impact of a temporary yield promotion would be a rapid expansion of the BitUSD supply. Becoming the crypto USD, Smartcoin market leader will significantly impact the perception of the DEX and it's future potential at a time when we have received a lot of positive momentum and attention.

What we've seen though is the amount of BTS on Polo increasing, if we want all those people who are suddenly interested in BTS to move their BTS off the exchanges, learn about Smartcoins and participate in the DEX then we need to give them a reason/incentive and the yield promotion is a great way to do that.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: chono on March 11, 2016, 12:49:46 pm
The immediate overnight impact of a temporary yield promotion would be a rapid expansion of the BitUSD supply. Becoming the crypto USD, Smartcoin market leader will significantly impact the perception of the DEX and it's future potential at a time when we have received a lot of positive momentum and attention.

What we've seen though is the amount of BTS on Polo increasing, if we want all those people who are suddenly interested in BTS to move their BTS off the exchanges, learn about Smartcoins and participate in the DEX then we need to give them a reason/incentive and the yield promotion is a great way to do that.
+5%
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on March 12, 2016, 04:26:08 am
The immediate overnight impact of a temporary yield promotion would be a rapid expansion of the BitUSD supply. Becoming the crypto USD, Smartcoin market leader will significantly impact the perception of the DEX and it's future potential at a time when we have received a lot of positive momentum and attention.

What we've seen though is the amount of BTS on Polo increasing, if we want all those people who are suddenly interested in BTS to move their BTS off the exchanges, learn about Smartcoins and participate in the DEX then we need to give them a reason/incentive and the yield promotion is a great way to do that.

Now is definitely the time to do this.  Why don't you write up a draft proposal and start getting final inputs before putting it to a vote?
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: chono on March 12, 2016, 04:51:20 am
The immediate overnight impact of a temporary yield promotion would be a rapid expansion of the BitUSD supply. Becoming the crypto USD, Smartcoin market leader will significantly impact the perception of the DEX and it's future potential at a time when we have received a lot of positive momentum and attention.

What we've seen though is the amount of BTS on Polo increasing, if we want all those people who are suddenly interested in BTS to move their BTS off the exchanges, learn about Smartcoins and participate in the DEX then we need to give them a reason/incentive and the yield promotion is a great way to do that.

Now is definitely the time to do this.  Why don't you write up a draft proposal and start getting final inputs before putting it to a vote?
+5%
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 12, 2016, 09:28:48 am
The immediate overnight impact of a temporary yield promotion would be a rapid expansion of the BitUSD supply. Becoming the crypto USD, Smartcoin market leader will significantly impact the perception of the DEX and it's future potential at a time when we have received a lot of positive momentum and attention.

What we've seen though is the amount of BTS on Polo increasing, if we want all those people who are suddenly interested in BTS to move their BTS off the exchanges, learn about Smartcoins and participate in the DEX then we need to give them a reason/incentive and the yield promotion is a great way to do that.

Now is definitely the time to do this.  Why don't you write up a draft proposal and start getting final inputs before putting it to a vote?
+5%

https://github.com/bitshares/bsips

I looked at a BSIP outline here but I won't have time to do one this weekend but if someone wants to give it a go I would definitely support it otherwise I will try get one done next week.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 21, 2016, 03:45:39 pm
Work in progress...

I looked at the BSIP outline https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/blob/master/bsip-0001.md

Here is some stuff I have written for one, if anyone wants to turn it into a proper BSIP or suggest changes or create their own variation cool. My main goal is that BTS trials using some of the worker budget for SmartCoin yield in one form or another.

---------------------------

BitUSD Yield Promotion BSIP

100 000 BTS per day, 23% of BTS Worker Budget, for 6 months directed to a BitUSD yield promotion. (75% to going to BitUSD Yield and 25% going to BitUSD shorts)

Lower BitUSD forced settlement to 0.95

Motivation

SmartCoins are one of the great innovations & USP's of BitShares & bootstrapping SmartCoins is fundamental to BitShares future success.

However SmartCoins have struggled to gain traction or trade within a reasonable range around the peg. Attempts to offer yield by market participants in the past have failed because BTS shareholders engage in yield harvesting effectively driving the yield to zero.

Directing a small amount of BTS to SmartCoin rewards in a manner similar to POS minting offered by the majority of POS competitors solves this because yield harvesting becomes the method of receiving the reward whilst still incentivising additional SmartCoin adoption in a way that is able to offer lucrative yield.

Rationale

The promotion represents an increase in total BTS supply of 0.75% which is negligible when compared to others in the space & can be mitigated by yield harvesting. However this small, easy to mitigate cost is still the equivalent of +5% BitUSD interest on 500 million BTS worth of BitUSD which will tie up 1 Billion worth of BTS in total collateral. So it should remove a lot of BTS from centralized exchanges and increase demand for BTS (For BitUSD). 

Specification

....................


Discussion

Positive Impacts

This promotion should rapidly propel BitUSD from it's current 2% market share to market leader status which will...

Attract Businesses

Encourage a plethora of real world and blockchain based businesses that could benefit from providing real world products and services for price stable crypto USD to integrate BTS or even base themselves on the BTS blockchain.

Attract new customers

Attract people looking for a Swiss 'Bank' with interest on the blockchain. Switzerland is currently charging negative rates for bank deposits and is also sharing customer information with other jurisdictions. A more private BitUSD that pays yield will be extremely attractive.  As Bytmaster said...

If the largest banks can achieve deposits of over $1 trillion dollars with no meaningful interest, how many deposits could BitShares attract and what would that mean for the value of the bank?
 

Increase BTS valuation

Attracting new businesses, users and rapidly becoming SmartCoin leader in a space where many players are attempting to establish themselves, (Uphold, Maker, Nubits, Tether to name a few)  will change the valuation investors place on BTS because our future potential becomes much greater.

The reward will either be going to existing BTS holders in the form of yield harvesting and so be fairly neutral or to new BitUSD holders who will create much more BTS demand (For BitUSD) than the BTS that will be used to fund the promotion.

Removing BTS from Centralized Exchanges

A large percentage of BTS remains on centralized exchanges thereby exposing BTS to centralized exchange failure risk which is counter-productive to the primary goal of the BTS Decentralized Exchange. This proposal will see many BTS holders move to the DEX.

Create long term BitUSD customers

BitUSD has a lot of great advantages and once people can be incentivized to join BitShares and try it many will become long term supporters regardless of the promotion especially given traditional 'banks' pay no interest and many are already charging negative interest.
 
UK research on short term bonuses also suggests a large number join to receive the bonus but then don't move once it ends...
Quote
3.78 million savers over the past five years had money in accounts paying attractive short-term bonuses, but failed to move their cash once the deal ended.

Negative impact

If the demand for new BTS is less than the BTS sold to fund the promotion, it will be price negative.

It may create demand for BitUSD above the peg, lowering forced settlement to 0.95 and giving 25% of the yield to shorts should encourage trading closer to the peg. (This promotion should also increase the price of BTS thereby encouraging more people to short.) 

It's even possible that this may create healthy demand on both sides of the peg and thereby significantly reduce the need for other liquidity subsidies.

Summary for Shareholders

The proposal would direct 23% of the worker budget to BitUSD yield for a 6 month promotion in order to help bootstrap SmartCoins. This should increase BitUSD demand,  make BitUSD the Crypto Market leader, remove BTS from centralized exchanges and hopefully be price positive as a result for BTS. You can participate in the yield in a fairly low risk way by yield harvesting with your current BTS stake.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: cylonmaker2053 on March 22, 2016, 02:20:33 am
Work in progress...

I looked at the BSIP outline https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/blob/master/bsip-0001.md

Here is some stuff I have written for one, if anyone wants to turn it into a proper BSIP or suggest changes or create their own variation cool. My main goal is that BTS trials using some of the worker budget for SmartCoin yield in one form or another.

---------------------------

BitUSD Yield Promotion BSIP

100 000 BTS per day, 23% of BTS Worker Budget, for 6 months directed to a BitUSD yield promotion. (75% to going to BitUSD Yield and 25% going to BitUSD shorts)

Lower BitUSD forced settlement to 0.95

good cut at this experiment. i'd recommend flipping the split and making it 75% to shorts and 25% to yield on holding the asset. from my experience, those who borrow our smartcoins into existence are the real heroes. they're tying up a ton of collateral and our markets wouldn't exist without them. those who buy and hold the assets still do some good, but incentivizing buy-and-hold over shorting would likely reduce market liquidity by drying up the order book.

also, diverting 20% of worker funds for just bitUSD seems excessive. what happens if it is a success? we have no slack to start subsidizing other markets without changing the rules of the game for new investors/traders who bought in with those lavish conditions. personally, i think 20% of worker fund diversion for overall systemic trading support is great, but that'd include all subsidies to all smartcoins, not just one test case. we have to consider the impact of reducing dev/worker budget on our long term system health. personally, i'd start with something like 5%.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 22, 2016, 07:32:25 pm
Work in progress...

I looked at the BSIP outline https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/blob/master/bsip-0001.md

Here is some stuff I have written for one, if anyone wants to turn it into a proper BSIP or suggest changes or create their own variation cool. My main goal is that BTS trials using some of the worker budget for SmartCoin yield in one form or another.

---------------------------

BitUSD Yield Promotion BSIP

100 000 BTS per day, 23% of BTS Worker Budget, for 6 months directed to a BitUSD yield promotion. (75% to going to BitUSD Yield and 25% going to BitUSD shorts)

Lower BitUSD forced settlement to 0.95

good cut at this experiment. i'd recommend flipping the split and making it 75% to shorts and 25% to yield on holding the asset. from my experience, those who borrow our smartcoins into existence are the real heroes. they're tying up a ton of collateral and our markets wouldn't exist without them. those who buy and hold the assets still do some good, but incentivizing buy-and-hold over shorting would likely reduce market liquidity by drying up the order book.

also, diverting 20% of worker funds for just bitUSD seems excessive. what happens if it is a success? we have no slack to start subsidizing other markets without changing the rules of the game for new investors/traders who bought in with those lavish conditions. personally, i think 20% of worker fund diversion for overall systemic trading support is great, but that'd include all subsidies to all smartcoins, not just one test case. we have to consider the impact of reducing dev/worker budget on our long term system health. personally, i'd start with something like 5%.

Regards the 20% of worker funds with 75% to longs, that's because it will be the equivalent of +5% p.a. on 500 million BTS worth of BitUSD and tie up 1 Billion BTS. That's the kind of amount that will remove supply from the market, remove BTS from centralised exchanges & create BTS (For BitUSD demand) & so be extremely positive.

As it's just a 6 month promotion you can remove/curtail/mix it after among other SmartCoins without effecting the market too much.

Whereas using 5% with 75% going to Shorts would provide +5% p.a interest on just 45 million BTS. This amount could easily be met with BTS already on the DEX. So it would have very low/no impact on removing supply, BTS from exchanges and generating new BTS (For BitUSD) demand.
Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: tbone on March 22, 2016, 08:30:04 pm
Work in progress...

I looked at the BSIP outline https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/blob/master/bsip-0001.md

Here is some stuff I have written for one, if anyone wants to turn it into a proper BSIP or suggest changes or create their own variation cool. My main goal is that BTS trials using some of the worker budget for SmartCoin yield in one form or another.

---------------------------

BitUSD Yield Promotion BSIP

100 000 BTS per day, 23% of BTS Worker Budget, for 6 months directed to a BitUSD yield promotion. (75% to going to BitUSD Yield and 25% going to BitUSD shorts)

Lower BitUSD forced settlement to 0.95

good cut at this experiment. i'd recommend flipping the split and making it 75% to shorts and 25% to yield on holding the asset. from my experience, those who borrow our smartcoins into existence are the real heroes. they're tying up a ton of collateral and our markets wouldn't exist without them. those who buy and hold the assets still do some good, but incentivizing buy-and-hold over shorting would likely reduce market liquidity by drying up the order book.

also, diverting 20% of worker funds for just bitUSD seems excessive. what happens if it is a success? we have no slack to start subsidizing other markets without changing the rules of the game for new investors/traders who bought in with those lavish conditions. personally, i think 20% of worker fund diversion for overall systemic trading support is great, but that'd include all subsidies to all smartcoins, not just one test case. we have to consider the impact of reducing dev/worker budget on our long term system health. personally, i'd start with something like 5%.

Regards the 20% of worker funds with 75% to longs, that's because it will be the equivalent of +5% p.a. on 500 million BTS worth of BitUSD and tie up 1 Billion BTS. That's the kind of amount that will remove supply from the market, remove BTS from centralised exchanges & create BTS (For BitUSD demand) & so be extremely positive.

As it's just a 6 month promotion you can remove/curtail/mix it after among other SmartCoins without effecting the market too much.

Whereas using 5% with 75% going to Shorts would provide +5% p.a interest on just 45 million BTS. This amount could easily be met with BTS already on the DEX. So it would have very low/no impact on removing supply, BTS from exchanges and generating new BTS (For BitUSD) demand.

@Empirical1.2, what about leaving it at 75/25% for longs vs. shorts, but use only 8-10% of worker funds?  This way it's more politically palatable and doesn't crowd out development, but still ties up upwards of half a Billion BTS.  Also, you are assuming 5% APR will be required, but isn't it very possible that it might require a lower APR to achieve the same effect, therefore fewer funds utilized may still tie up the desired amount of BTS?


Title: Re: Would you support 2% dilution to BitAsset Yield for a 6 month limited trial?
Post by: Empirical1.2 on March 22, 2016, 08:48:52 pm
Work in progress...

I looked at the BSIP outline https://github.com/bitshares/bsips/blob/master/bsip-0001.md

Here is some stuff I have written for one, if anyone wants to turn it into a proper BSIP or suggest changes or create their own variation cool. My main goal is that BTS trials using some of the worker budget for SmartCoin yield in one form or another.

---------------------------

BitUSD Yield Promotion BSIP

100 000 BTS per day, 23% of BTS Worker Budget, for 6 months directed to a BitUSD yield promotion. (75% to going to BitUSD Yield and 25% going to BitUSD shorts)

Lower BitUSD forced settlement to 0.95

good cut at this experiment. i'd recommend flipping the split and making it 75% to shorts and 25% to yield on holding the asset. from my experience, those who borrow our smartcoins into existence are the real heroes. they're tying up a ton of collateral and our markets wouldn't exist without them. those who buy and hold the assets still do some good, but incentivizing buy-and-hold over shorting would likely reduce market liquidity by drying up the order book.

also, diverting 20% of worker funds for just bitUSD seems excessive. what happens if it is a success? we have no slack to start subsidizing other markets without changing the rules of the game for new investors/traders who bought in with those lavish conditions. personally, i think 20% of worker fund diversion for overall systemic trading support is great, but that'd include all subsidies to all smartcoins, not just one test case. we have to consider the impact of reducing dev/worker budget on our long term system health. personally, i'd start with something like 5%.

Regards the 20% of worker funds with 75% to longs, that's because it will be the equivalent of +5% p.a. on 500 million BTS worth of BitUSD and tie up 1 Billion BTS. That's the kind of amount that will remove supply from the market, remove BTS from centralised exchanges & create BTS (For BitUSD demand) & so be extremely positive.

As it's just a 6 month promotion you can remove/curtail/mix it after among other SmartCoins without effecting the market too much.

Whereas using 5% with 75% going to Shorts would provide +5% p.a interest on just 45 million BTS. This amount could easily be met with BTS already on the DEX. So it would have very low/no impact on removing supply, BTS from exchanges and generating new BTS (For BitUSD) demand.

@Empirical1.2, what about leaving it at 75/25% for longs vs. shorts, but use only 8-10% of worker funds?  This way it's more politically palatable and doesn't crowd out development, but still ties up upwards of half a Billion BTS.  Also, you are assuming 5% APR will be required, but isn't it very possible that it might require a lower APR to achieve the same effect, therefore fewer funds utilized may still tie up the desired amount of BTS?

Correct. It's possible a lower variable APR may also suck up a similar amount of BTS into BitUSD. 

The original poll though was for 2% dilution or 140 000 BTS per day, the BSIP outline already reduces that to 100 000. You could reduce it further still to make it more palpable. However as you can see from the example I gave cyclonmaker above, if it's too low it can achieve low/no positive results because it will only suck in BTS that is already active on the DEX. So my personal preference would be to keep it at the already reduced number which we can still be confident will very likely achieve the expected outcomes.