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Messages - cylonmaker2053

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856
General Discussion / Re: BTer deposit issues, growing concern
« on: July 07, 2015, 03:05:15 pm »

Anyone contacted support yet? My guess is their wallet fell out of sync :P.

Yeah, 4 days ago. Their reply:

Quote
Dear Sir,
BTS withdrawal will be enabled later.

Please kindly keep an eye on the withdrawal page for update.


Best
bter.com

can you get anything out? if so, might be worth a quick trade to whatever that is and then withdraw.

857
Did you children sell your bitcoins a few years ago when they went down from $30 to less than $2?

I didn't.

I bought more.

And I sold them later at $800 each (to buy BTS)

And I am buying more BTS now.

awesome  +5% +5% +5%

858
very interesting perspective, thanks for sharing!

859
General Discussion / Re: Bitshares price discussion
« on: July 07, 2015, 01:57:39 pm »
People just randomly dumping everything to chase whatever already broke out.  They dump to buy LTC, now they dump LTC to buy NXT, and its up 40%.
They sold everything to buy NXT because of this news.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/rogeraitken/2015/07/05/greek-economic-crisis-is-a-parallel-currency-the-answer/

you sold all your BTS to buy NXT? i've been buying both steadily over the last year and will keep doing so. I actually sold a little NXT today to buy some more BTS to take advantage of the price differential.

in general, i think it a good idea to spread your bets around a few of the key crypto ventures since we don't know which will succeed in the end. BTS is definitely on my short list of innovative crypto ventures to keep loading up on every time i see a decent buy opportunity.

860
General Discussion / Re: Greek referendum
« on: July 07, 2015, 01:50:07 pm »
Interesting discussion! This is only my view today, which could change tomorrow!

Allow an ideal free system to evolve from any initial power or wealth distribution, and over time it will naturally approach a power law distribution, where most is in the hands of a minority. But as long as all agents are free and non-violent, this is a reasonable outcome, including the existence of monopolies, that still only survive in the private market as long as they satisfy the needs of other people. In principle, those at the top of the power/wealth distribution are those that have and continue to serve society's demands the best. The resulting spread comes down to differences in skill, effort and unavoidably, luck.

That's all in principle. The problem is that an element of those with the most power will always seek to cement that power through depriving the choices of those without it, and will bend and reform the system to meet this purpose. Thus even a theoretically sound system ends up being corrupted by human nature. You can alternatively set up a system where power is maintained more equally, but such a non-equilibrium can only then be sustained by the force of an authority (e.g. socialism), which is then a contradiction that will ultimately be exploited.

So power struggles are not a problem of which system, as all systems converge eventually toward abuse of power, which in the end is only corrected by a revolution, with a new optimism, beginning a cycle anew. The technology (e.g. block-chains) only allows different kinds of systems to be tried, but it does not offer any panacea to these basic problems. Different systems will come and go, and the debates over which labels are best will continue. Some systems are less corruptible for longer than others, which is about the best we can aim for.

As I see it, the only lasting solution left is not a system at all, but a very human characteristic -  learned wisdom.

the key problem as i see it that you mentioned is when those with early economic or other social successes use their newfound power to cement their positions--extracting wealth from others through coercive mechanisms and preventing future competition or challenges to their roles. this is typically the domain of governments and their crony business cartels. there's nothing inherently wrong with large wealth asymmetries, so long as they are derived by providing value in a nonviolent manner without forcefully restricting new competition.

one way i view orders of magnitude wealth asymmetries is that they provide lottery-type incentives to fuel dreams and induce somewhat irrational entrepreneurial activity (given that most startups fail, it's somewhat irrational to risk capital and time)...the asymmetric payoffs make this tradeoff interesting to people with the right risk-seeking profiles.  humanity benefits from irrational risk-seekers dreaming of massive payoffs, most of them failing, and some of them creating awesome new things that are wildly successful.

861
General Discussion / Re: BTer deposit issues, growing concern
« on: July 07, 2015, 01:41:35 pm »
centralized crypto exchanges are so risky--something like half of them shut down with customer funds--it's best to withdraw all funds at the first hint of fishy business. BTER seems like it crossed this fishy business line awhile back.

862
Bitcoin is trustless, bitshares is not.
That quote is IMHO not correct ...
BitShares makes a trade-off .. it reduces the trustlessness and gains efficiency ..
but when you compare the "trustlessness" of bitcoin you will notice that pooled mining killed it for bitcoin ..
if everyone was solo-mining bitcoin would be unbeatable in terms of trust ..

How many entities do you trust to sign half the blocks?

Bitcoin:                  3 self-appointed, CEO's for life
BitShares:           51 elected delegates you can fire in 10 seconds
BitShares 2.0       N elected witnesses you can fire in 1 second where voters choose N

Which is more trustless?

Interesting point...I hadn't thought of it that way before wrt the BTC cartel

863
BTS doesn't have to handle micro payments to be an unimaginable success. all we need is one export/import industry to start using bitUSD or any of the other bitassets for currency hedging and we're talking about potentially billions added to our market value. now imagine if financial institutions started using bitassets to park capital, or if people in financial repressed countries started using bitassets to protect themselves from domestic political risk? we don't need to fight the micro payments battle alongside BTC or the other crypto currencies to be overwhelmingly successful in our core function of providing decentralized p2p asset exchanges.

There is very much a use case for the transaction load that BTS can handle and the micropayment applications that everyone is looking to make. View it in the sense of applications. This infrastructure is very useful, but the only thing preventing micropayments are the fees.

then maybe BTS isn't the best crypto for micro payments. that's fine...i'd rather the network handle multimillion dollar valued transactions from large banks or international trade firms.

nonetheless, regardless of what i, or any of us, want, the market will figure out the best use for the network.

864
Bitshares is suffering from "developer uncertainty". Devs have a terrible history of manipulating supply, splitting and joining networks, wasting crowdfunded donations, attempting to pump the price on vague, empty promises, distancing themselves legally and financially from shareholders, taking the shareholders hostage with their proprietary, closed IP. Now the lead developer launches his own coin that is rumored to potentially be a target of some kind of future value infusion from Cryptonomex, instead of BTS. I'm not even saying that all of those points are valid, but that has to be the view from the outside.

ouch!

i'm not so sure the typical alt crypto speculator does that much research...i think the typical path is to scan coinmarketcap and pick something with a nice name.

865
BTS doesn't have to handle micro payments to be an unimaginable success. all we need is one export/import industry to start using bitUSD or any of the other bitassets for currency hedging and we're talking about potentially billions added to our market value. now imagine if financial institutions started using bitassets to park capital, or if people in financial repressed countries started using bitassets to protect themselves from domestic political risk? we don't need to fight the micro payments battle alongside BTC or the other crypto currencies to be overwhelmingly successful in our core function of providing decentralized p2p asset exchanges.

866
Shorting is simple.

If the buy wall is at 154 and the sell wall is at 156

Place a buy order for 500 BitUSD at 155 (don't hit confirm)

Place a short order for 500 BitUSD at 155 (don't hit confirm)

Now hit confirm on both orders and wait for them to fill each other

sell your BitUSD and you are now short.

Do this every 30 days to roll your position over.

Because so many people got burned on the 30 day rule expiring on them, they are gun shy.  But when the 2.0 launches, then everybody will be doing it, because it will be easier, so by then it will be too late to short at these prices.

i do this regularly and roll over shorts every couple weeks.

the voting buttons up top on this thread should include an option for 'Actively shorting bitUSD' so we could get a feel for what % of us are active in the market providing liquidity. i am and will keep shorting bc i am convinced BTS will rally hard at some point.

867
General Discussion / Re: Technical trading: Time frames
« on: July 06, 2015, 05:28:44 pm »
i've never seen validation for technical trading in the finance literature. it's generally considered the voodoo art of investing. still, it could be possible to find localized patterns that seem to work for certain asset classes at certain times...i just wouldn't put too much stock into it as anything but a data mining anomaly.

868
Our time will come. Short term price fluctuations don't mean much when we consider the long term potential for BTS. let's just keep focusing on getting bitUSD and bitCNY into general circulation and we'll all be very well rewarded in the end...

869
There was a Hangout last week with silverbug BrotherjohnF who discussed how silver is "the people's money" as the market is too small to manipulate compared to gold.

I'm not sure how a smaller market would make it less susceptible to manipulation? the opposite would seem to be the case.

A smaller market in the realm of physical silver coupled with high industrial demand makes it a market than is easier to break the manipulators' backs because if too many trading silver contracts want to call and choose physical delivery, then it creates a short squeeze.

The market of physical silver is so small compared to its real world demand that it can be used as leverage against high levels of naked shorting--one of the primary tools the money masters use to ensure gold and silver do not break the perceived value of the fiat in circulation. 

:)

interesting thought that there's more of a natural floor to silver bc of relative value in industrial use vs. financial...i can see that. that natural demand could have adverse effects on the long side, though, if manipulators intentionally pumped the price and ended up selling to industrial buyers who had no choice but to buy or halt production.

870
There was a Hangout last week with silverbug BrotherjohnF who discussed how silver is "the people's money" as the market is too small to manipulate compared to gold.

I'm not sure how a smaller market would make it less susceptible to manipulation? the opposite would seem to be the case.

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