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General Discussion / Re: What will happen when bitcoins reward halves to 12.5 BTC?
« on: September 23, 2014, 04:03:13 pm »Just wanted to get some thoughts on bitcoins 2016 reward halving.
Right now, bitcoin is paying 25 BTC per ~10 minutes in the form of inflation to keep its network secure. When the reward halves to 12.5 BTC in 2016, the price has to increase dramatically to maintain the same level of security. If the price doesn't continue up, hashing is likely to decrease significantly. It's possible that 95% of mining hardware will be rendered obsolete, causing hash rate to plummet and difficulty to readjust.
Seems like a really big unknown. What will happen?
I guess its just economics, i mean, depends what the price of bitcoin, asic's and electricity are. It would be nice to think that at some point in the future there is the possibility of more decentralisation. For example If you imagine a company making asic products that heat your house or water and are available in store (last winter my house was heated by ltc mining, not profitable now). This then stops the farms having an advantage of scale as they waste all that expensive heat.
I say this because its hard to see what's round the corner when everything is already new and experimental. My personal guess is that there will be room for many crypto products all with there own market. No reason why you couldn't have btc, bitshares, maidsafe, etherium and even doge still around and prospering in 10 or 20 years. What will be interesting is their order in market cap and what new products join them.