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Messages - Empirical1.1

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76
General Discussion / Re: Is Fractional Reserve Banking a Ponzi Scheme?
« on: January 16, 2015, 06:57:39 pm »

I want all cryptos to uplift humanity and we are all walking this path together, learning and evolving in hopes of trying to make the Is it safe to say by this point that we could have a hangout with Jordan and Bytemaster to have a grown up, rational conversation about this?
world a better place overall for those here now and those in the future.  In light of this I think it would be valuable for all of us to consider having a hangout specifically on this topic where both viewpoints can be clearly and fairly represented. 

I would personally love to see this next hangout be one wherein Jordan visits our mumble server and brings any and all community members who would like to participate in an open discussion.  There is no reason why Nubits/NuShares couldn't find a way to fix these problems if in fact we come to a consensus that they are valid.

Please consider it.

NO!!! Absolutely not!

There is no point in BM arguing about a tone of nonsense every time some knucklehead comes around with his stupid ideas...

Hell, I can do a good enough job of arguing it Jordan... if you let me do so of course... I mean, if you decide that I am no longer the only person speaking on mumble worth cutting each time I open my mouth....


Saying that NuBits is like fractional reserve banking is a much better comparison than calling it a Ponzi. :)

I created a detailed post examining whether the notion of fractional reserve has any meaning within the Nu network eight hours ago. In short, because Nu is designed for zero counterparty risk and zero reserves, there can be no fractional reserve. There is, however, the related notion of a ratio of assets to liabilities:

https://discuss.nubits.com/t/regarding-reserves-and-fractional-reserve/1126

I hope you don't think it is inappropriate to post a link to our forum here, but where you are interested in fractional reserve in the context of NuBits right now, and where I just wrote about that, it seems appropriate to bring it to your attention.

Fist off I screamed for 1/2 hour before starting to write this...

You and all the rest must realize that if 20% reserves is 80% Ponzi, your system with 0% reserves  is 100% Ponzi...
Nu is designed for zero counterparty risk - Yes, there is 0% counterparty risk  :)...as the buyer has assumed 100% of the risk buying something backed by 0% value...
NuBits is not Ponzi...Nubits is a self appointed federal reserve that issues non-interest bearing bonds of a self appointed organization

In short if fractional reserve banking is 75-80-90% insolvent, the fed is 100% insolvent... but they at least have some power to claim themselves worth it... It is 'no-interest bearing bond/obligation of the government'...Nubits on the other hand is also 100% insolvent/100% no value backing it and only have the words of the totally lost and clueless  'JordanLee' to  collateralize Nubits value... And by definition:

' A NuBit is no obligation bearing instrument [no interest including], aka promise for nothing by nobody and/or ???[JordanLee???]'


[/end rant]

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77
For me the price decline, starting in early Oct, was the result of the market reacting to the news that I3 was in favour of diluting BTSX. https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=9603.0 The cost of dilution can be crudely observed with BTC trend lines, however the opportunity cost to BTSX of not having a much higher valuation when BTC was weak is unfathomable.

The creation of BitUSD removes BTS from circulation and therefore should ultimately have a price positive effect as new demand has to chase less supply.

Also think of all the people selling BTS everyday... Are they selling for Fiat/BTC or to pay their bills?
If they bought BitUSD or BitBTC instead, the money would stay inside BTS meaning less for sale on the open market, meaning less sell walls and therefore new demand would raise the price a lot quicker.

I'm personally in favour of kick-starting the markets more via delegates accumulating BitAssets which can be used at a later date for bounties/advertising/salaries.

78
General Discussion / Re: Project: BitUSD Liquidity
« on: January 16, 2015, 02:26:40 pm »
We will know they are in trouble when they start offering interest to park.

I expect that their system could collapse quickly at that point.

I didn't understand any of the equations Nubits used, I can only do A+B=C. But it seemed they gave both systems a similar failure risk, even though BitUSD is a heavily collateralised system and theirs has very little collateral and relies on a parking premium to incentivise demand. I expect their system will collapse with a significant rise in interest rates, because that signifies a significant fall in demand to the market and only then, do you have to worry about how much interest they can afford to pay and for how long they'll do it before giving up if the system is getting away from them.

Hmm. Well my description is wrong in that the interest rate incentivises parking which removes supply but I guess it also incentivises demand in that new demand might buy NuBits just to park and earn interest. I think.

79
General Discussion / Re: Let's show power of our community #8
« on: January 16, 2015, 12:14:45 pm »
I voted for precious metals too. 1 because they do make good collateral and 2 if the poll ends up looking like BitShares/Precious metals for collateral and everything else way behind that looks pretty good :)

80
Probably the Bitcoin ETF thing or secondmarkets investment trust thing

81
Last tweet from someone we all know, Charles Hoskinson

2hours ago:
Quote
@nprojectcharles: Major bitcoin news coming very soon. Hope you're long
Oh ... that changes the perspective completely ... i trust that guy

From what I've seen of him, I don't think it's psychologically plausible that he'd falsely pump/bluff that there is market moving news coming. My only concern is that he's more technology than market minded so it's possible he could misinterpret the impact 'X' news will have.

So I'm inclined to think there is reasonably significant news coming.

82
General Discussion / Re: Let's show power of our community #8
« on: January 16, 2015, 08:51:26 am »
Done.

84
Ok I understand what your thought process was now, but yes, I want all of those people to go to a decentralized exchange. It is not confusing. People understand what exchanges are. It's fine.

It's worse to try to split up one brand into five brands and get brand recognition for all of them. Be one thing and let people hear and fined out about that, it's much more powerful. I'm sure you've seen all the conversations about the network effect on these forums.

Maybe in the future, once you've reached high adoption/critical mass, you can branch out. No one starts out like that. We've had all of these conversations before, it's like half the reason we did the merger. A good example is Facebook. They started as Facebook, then added in messaging, then eventually branched out "Messenger" as its own separate app. That wouldn't have worked if they tried to get it going on its own in parallel with the original Facebook. Same thing with Google and all of its brands.

Cool yeah, we differ. I definitely don't want to send those customers to a decentralized exchange.

(I've heard about the network effect that would be gained from funnelling everything into one & it sounded plausible. However if you look at our forum stats you'll see topics, posts & new members have all been steadily declining for the past few months. Partly explained by the crypto-downturn I believe but also points to the fact that a single BitShares has quite a high learning curve & few even in the alt-coin market easily understand it.)

The decentralized exchange focus is good, because it breaks out one of the business models of the five so people can focus on just that instead of everything all at once.

But we may lose a lot of customers to others who are focused on building the future UBS's, Western Unions, BitGold.com's & PayPals of the future at our unfocused expense imo, so it's worth thinking about.

85
Please don't do this. It's fine as it is, an decentralized exchange for all different types of assets. People will understand that fine. Having 5 different websites that are all linked somehow will only confuse people MORE! Talk about causing the same problems with changing our image all over again. I'm getting confused just thinking about it. Even despite the image change I think this is a poor marketing tactic in general.

At most have a separate wallet/site for just bitUSD, but only do that once you're ready to focus on mass market adoption. At this point adopting bitUSD by itself is kind of stupid, because it is not useful anywhere, so you should still present the whole bitshares package until it is developed enough where bitUSD be its own product.

I can't believe everyone thinks splitting up into five different websites is such a good idea.

Your dad keeps gold in a vault he's heard about blockchain gold. Where do you want to send him? The decentralized exchange? Will he go with us or BitGold.com?

A guy in Argentina has heard about dollar stable assets & could be interested in BitUSD. Do you want to send him to the decentralized exchange? Will he go with us or NuBits?

A businessman has heard about currency stable accounts that are better than having a Swiss Bank account. Do you want to send him to the exchange? Will he go with us or a competitor that has branded themselves similar to a bank?

A taxi driver wants to send money home to his family. Do you want to send him to the exchange?
Will he go with us or a simple branded site set up specifically for remittance.

That was the idea behind it, that we actually make it simpler that way, but it's just an idea.

86
In the long term we definitely need to break up each part. In the beginning we should focus all our efforts on a single selling point, the excellent decentralized exchange.

Yes. I'm for that. It's too hard to market BitShares as all these things and creating sites for each business model right away is not feasible so BitShares should try be one thing at first and that's the decentralized exchange, I'm pretty much with that, I wouldn't mind if we gave the exchange a name like BDEX as Matt suggested so it can also become known as it's own thing eventually. (Ultimately looking like one of the major exchanges.)

Though we can try promote BitUSD & BitGold a bit separately already as Method suggests and is doing via whatisbitusd.com as there is a big market there and hopefully those will be the first to morph into their own sites that compete with the likes of NuBits and BitReserve respectively & don't require a huge understanding of everything else involved in BitShares.

88
My only problem with this is that because of the merger and now marketing 5 different business will have people think BitShares got divided again. At least it will probably get most people who aren't up to date confused again.

This is an internal idea, not something we would be trumpeting. Its not even a clear demarcation, more like refocus activities to push specific products rather than tell the folks 'Buy BitShares! the digital Onion!'

For instance, BitUSD is coming up with its own website. In future I hope we would get an wallet which only has BitUSD on the front and we would like to promote it without talking about the scaling of 101 delegates and what not. The only way any customer would know that its part of BitShares is a small *powered by BitShares logo.

Yeah exactly it's just more the idea of having a site, video & wallet targeted to specific markets but on BitShares.org it would be clear they're all 100% BitShares.

It's just if your mom needs a BitUSD wallet, you send her to a branded site with the BitUSD pitch, video and wallet. So she doesn't need to understand BitShares on the back-end that well at all. If your dad is interested in Bitgold & Silver we can send him to a branded site that competes with BitReserve & so on that was the idea.


89
General Discussion / Re: 2.2 mil vs. 36k, What is the problem?
« on: January 15, 2015, 04:06:26 pm »
NuBits is more easily accessible at low spreads on centralized exchanges. That's all there is to it.

In order to be competitive, we need to get market makers on exchanges.

Yes totally agree with this. I just asked some of my friends and they answered 1) accessible on exchanges 2) with small spread.
We need market makers who run bots on centralized exchanges. Maybe another opportunity for paid delegate?

Sounds like an opportunity for *anyone who wants to make money*. We don't need to PAY people to make money, and we don't need to support artificial walls which will disappear when we pull the plug but prevent real market makers in the meantime.

Another problem is that bitUSD/BTC is only trading on one exchange.

Clearly given the length of time BitUSD has been trading the opportunity/profit motive is not currently there to sufficiently incentivise market makers.

I'm in favour of getting the market ticking over if necessary so it looks more active on bter.

Having said that ther is 20 BTC volume on there today which isn't terrible.


90
General Discussion / Re: A New Perspective on NuBits [BLOG POST]
« on: January 15, 2015, 11:52:31 am »
http://bytemaster.bitshares.org/article/2015/01/14/A-New-Perspective-on-NuBits/

I couldn't resist one last blog post because I didn't want the "Ponzi Post" to be the last post for a while.  After discussions on this forum I have adopted a new view on NuBits that is much more friendly and will make a better top post and hopefully repair some damage the last post may have created.

In any event, I did get some coding done today and will do more tomorrow.

Your talent on coding and writing is stunning. We need both.

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