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Messages - sfinder

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1111
BitShares AGS / Re: 1 AGS worth more than 1 PTS
« on: February 17, 2014, 09:00:32 pm »
I think the window for getting low price PTS only couple hours on 28th.  3I has controlled almost 2/3 PTS(1M) through AGS /mining and early buy in.   so you can not expect 3I can hand off on pts price dropping on and after 28th. 

Now that everybody seems to think that PTS will drop sharply in value on midnight 28/2 the illiquidity of AGS seems to become secondary.
I expect PTS donations to reach 10-12 k a day quite soon and then level off until the night of nights :)

1112
我的意思是3i控制了过半的pts,控制和拥有的概念不同。目前3i对ptS的控制和拥有几乎没有区别,目前能影响PTS价格的就只有3I了。 我挺喜欢你们这样的控制,我可以跟在你们背后赚点钱,做个小股东 +5%

AGS里面的PTS III没法随便动,账目都公开,多花了钱总会有人问。公司自己的PTS应该也有很大部分进了AGS。相当于这部分PTS进了保险柜,只用来发bounty和marketing。

1113
3i自己挖坑和低价购入PTS加上AGS捐赠的pts应该有快接近100万了。别忘了这是公司和散户在博弈,散户哪里知道股权的重要性,只要有利益就行。AGS部分目的就是专门收散户手上的pts。 应该承认3I对人的心理研究很透。当然3i的做法还是很人道的。

我相信3i目前控制了过半的流通原始股PTS。

哈哈哈 那个比喻太逗了。

现在已经17号勒,收到的PTS只有16万,28号达到100万是不太可能吧

1114
这段时间我把矿机都转来生产PTS,虽然折成BTC的价值不如其它山寨币来得多,大概会少10%-15%, 但我还是准备挖到27号。 我粗粗分析一下PTS,感觉它的目前价格被严重低估,我上周分别在52/58/60 买了3批的PTS,目前PTS的价格还是在60人民币上下波动。 比特币兑换也是在0.014-0.016之间波动。我认为被低估的理由有如下几个方面

1)作为纯粹山寨币,发行量仅200万,目前已经挖出150万,价格应该是多少?应该在 Novacoin,PPCoin或NAMEcoin 之间,就是30块人民币左右。
2)PTS是能生蛋的鸡。28号一个PTS能换1.33个BTS,这是3I最核心的产品。预期应该在0.03btc左右。那么28号这天一个PTS就能给你添1.33个BTS估价100人民币。
3)今后至少10%份额的DAC产品。这个里面的价值,我不好估计,但不会是负数把
4)PTS和AGS的最最主要的区别是,PTS是可以流通的。可以把你这部分投资在任何时候转让个其他人获利。而AGS不行,AGS只能用来生蛋,不可以以转让。有个不恰当的比方PTS就象涉薄周政变的“公共情妇”汤灿,而AGS就像薄周的老婆。“公共情妇”汤灿可以随便转让来牟利甚至政变但他们的老婆只能呆家里。
5)大家要清楚股权的含义,如果对3I今后的发展有信心,只有通过持有PTS才能分杯羹
AGS是被3I阉割的PTS,已经去势,想硬也硬不起来
。。。。

综上,我认为目前PTS的价格被严重低估,当然还有个原因可能是3i的投资者都弹尽粮绝了。

题外话,目前我有个感觉就是3I想通过AGS把大部分PTS收回公司控制,估计到28号3i控制的PTS将是100万以上达到对pts总量66%的持有。如果这个预计是正确的,3I的战略目标已经初步达成。3i将通过对pts的控制达到对BTS平台以及后续产品的控股。

PS:
看今天ags的投标情况,PTS28号前上 0.03btc应该问题不大。大家开始不淡定了。 今天的可能有90个btc投5000AGS 。 目前是1个pts换1.1个AGS。简单数学,就算出今天pts的价格了,目前交易所60人民币一个pts已经贱价出售了。。

1115
 :-* :-* :-* :-* +5%
目前PTS价格还是被明显低估,这样下去我会发财的。按照1:1.33 兑BTS的话,PTS目前的价格应该是在0.03btc以上。兑完BTS后PTS一定跌到个位数。

看今天ags的投标情况,PTS28号前上 0.03btc应该问题不大。大家开始不淡定了。 今天的可能有90个btc投5000AGS 。 目前是1个pts换0.9个AGS。简单数学,就算出今天pts的价格了,目前交易所60人民币一个pts已经贱价出售了。。

楼主能分享一下你怎么算出会跌到2块左右的? 把你两个帖子放一起就显得很奇怪,因为如果你真的这么认为,为什么不把你每天挖的70个抛掉,等降到2块再买进来,直接就35倍啊!何必等它上0.025呢?
不是,你没看懂。
楼主明显是希望228之前涨到0.025btc,他出掉一批,剩下一批获赠bts。
然后228之后,pts骤降到2块左右,他先前卖出得钱就可以大举买进pts。
嗯。好多的人和你你同一个梦想。但是想做和能做到是两回事。

1116
我投资的确是以盈利为目的。几个帖子是提醒大家要谨慎,3I很善变,不知道明天又会出什么新的方案。 PTS一定还是留着,我估计BTS按目前的分配方案价格至少能爬到0.03btc。 PTS如果现在卖了只能卖0.017BTC,一个PTS到时候可以换1.33个bts,预期价格是0.04BTC,所以目前把PTS抛了挺可惜的,而且PTS是3I公司DAC产品的唯一可以流动的股权,目前PTS的价格是被严重低估了

估计楼主对 3i 超级有信心,每天挖出 70 多个 pts 还嫌不够(据楼主自述),要把大家的 pts 吓出来一些,好低价买入。

可惜我那寥寥几个 pts 已经刻录成光碟到柜子里了,短时间内取不出,要不然也要被吓松手了,呵呵。

1117
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 请教PTS和NXT的异同点
« on: February 17, 2014, 05:31:35 pm »
1)ntx最多算1.5代币。理由自己去看NTX和BTS相关的白皮书

2)NTX是典型的传销
http://velaciela.ms/pos_vs_pow
POS币体系中,新入场的人来源只有一个——向上家买。从这点上看,POS是典型的传销。因为没有办法取得POS币(利息币必须先持有POS币),结果就是形成金字塔结构,股权的分散过程也是后续资金向前期资金支付溢价的过程。

在纯POS体系中,如NXT,因为原始股权结构是写入IPO的,而且第一次公开发行没有增发公众股,而是全部的存量发行,所以理论上说原始股东如果联合起来控制价格是很容易的。事实上如NXT这样原始股东只有20几个,也确实控制了价格,形成了传销式的结构。后面的人再想买NXT,就必须向持有人支付他们想要的溢价。这样市场机制没有均衡,卖单价格取决于大股东。

虽然NXT的发行机制遭人诟病,但是作为PTS的竞争对手来说,他的优点在什么地方,

1118
我认为BTS是在0.03btc以上价位,所以目前的pts还是去兑BTS更合算。PTS会在28号后跌到一位数,但如果DAC产品吸引人,价格会很快回升
PTS28号兑完bts后还可以用来投ags。 我准备28后大量买入pts。估计pts价格在2块左右和mmc看齐。

28号后估计ags每天捐赠5btc都有困难


现在60人民币随便买,怎么会没有货,我家地下室每天都有70多个币被挖出来。我看市场动向,如果上0.025btc我就出一批


楼主能分享一下你怎么算出会跌到2块左右的? 把你两个帖子放一起就显得很奇怪,因为如果你真的这么认为,为什么不把你每天挖的70个抛掉,等降到2块再买进来,直接就35倍啊!何必等它上0.025呢?

1119
现在60人民币随便买,怎么会没有货,我家地下室每天都有70多个币被挖出来。我看市场动向,如果上0.025btc我就出一批

更主要是的币都在钱包里等兑换,交易所根本没货,

1120

 这次被3I玩死了,原来DAN说的其它几条Bitshare链要等一年以后的事了。看下面红字。看来中国的土豪被忽悠进去的也很多,今天PTs都捐上5500了。

一年后,谁知道会是怎么回事,一年前比特币才20来块钱


Adam,
    We wanted to mitigate the confusion so it will be very simple.  BitShares XT will be a single chain and everyone interested in that chain is no longer concerned with AGS or PTS after the 28th.   

    We are unlikely to produce these other variants (interest, variable interest, consensus) in 2014 because it would confuse the market which will require time to learn about the mechanics of BitShares X in the simplified form.   When we do decide to launch an enhanced version of BitShares X with some of these other features it will honor BitShares XT rather than PTS and AGS under the grandfather clause in the original PTS social consensus.   This is designed to protect everyones investment in BitShares X and eliminate the potential that our future upgrades will harm their initial investment.

    So if it were up to us there would only be a single chain that users need to worry about for the next year. 

    We will be preparing information on some of our other DACs in the weeks ahead.  But for now we are focused on BitShares XT and executing on this simple version before rushing to add features and additional compleixity.

终于搞清楚了

看来大虾补天没说错,我看的不够仔细,中了机关 :'( :'( :'(

1121

 这次被3I玩死了,原来DAN说的其它几条Bitshare链要等一年以后的事了。看下面红字。看来中国的土豪被忽悠进去的也很多,今天PTs都捐上5500了。

Adam,
    We wanted to mitigate the confusion so it will be very simple.  BitShares XT will be a single chain and everyone interested in that chain is no longer concerned with AGS or PTS after the 28th.   

    We are unlikely to produce these other variants (interest, variable interest, consensus) in 2014 because it would confuse the market which will require time to learn about the mechanics of BitShares X in the simplified form.   When we do decide to launch an enhanced version of BitShares X with some of these other features it will honor BitShares XT rather than PTS and AGS under the grandfather clause in the original PTS social consensus.   This is designed to protect everyones investment in BitShares X and eliminate the potential that our future upgrades will harm their initial investment.

    So if it were up to us there would only be a single chain that users need to worry about for the next year. 

    We will be preparing information on some of our other DACs in the weeks ahead.  But for now we are focused on BitShares XT and executing on this simple version before rushing to add features and additional compleixity.

终于搞清楚了

看来大虾补天没说错,我看的不够仔细,中了机关 :'( :'( :'(

1122
我今天紧急投了6个BTC,刚才看到DAN的这个帖子差点把我气吐血。 这次被3I玩死了,原来DAN说的其它几条Bitshare链要等一年以后的事了。看下面红字。看来中国的土豪被忽悠进去的也很多,今天PTs都捐上5500了。

一年后,谁知道会是怎么回事,一年前比特币才20来块钱

Adam,
    We wanted to mitigate the confusion so it will be very simple.  BitShares XT will be a single chain and everyone interested in that chain is no longer concerned with AGS or PTS after the 28th.   

    We are unlikely to produce these other variants (interest, variable interest, consensus) in 2014 because it would confuse the market which will require time to learn about the mechanics of BitShares X in the simplified form.   When we do decide to launch an enhanced version of BitShares X with some of these other features it will honor BitShares XT rather than PTS and AGS under the grandfather clause in the original PTS social consensus.   This is designed to protect everyones investment in BitShares X and eliminate the potential that our future upgrades will harm their initial investment.

    So if it were up to us there would only be a single chain that users need to worry about for the next year. 

    We will be preparing information on some of our other DACs in the weeks ahead.  But for now we are focused on BitShares XT and executing on this simple version before rushing to add features and additional compleixity.

1123
PTS28号兑完bts后还可以用来投ags。 我准备28后大量买入pts。估计pts价格在2块左右和mmc看齐。

28号后估计ags每天捐赠5btc都有困难


228之后的pts价格会让大家大吃一惊~会比btc的过山车做的还刺激~

1124
AGS没有流动性,不可以转让,就这点价格就要打折

感觉3I终于想清楚了并回答了我的疑问。不过也看出来3i很善变。2月28号后AGS就是没有太大价值的东西了。今后只有PTS和BTS会唱主角了。2月28号之后的AGS就是鸡肋了,食之有味去之可惜。28号之后,只有BTS和PTS可以流通,下一个DAC不知道要猴年马月了。 大家现在多屯点PTS然后在28号前用比特币去换点AGS吧。

不,在3i的dac中,ags和pts分配权是相等的,都是10%以上。
由于ags的权益始终与pts近似,所以即使228之后仍旧会有人投。只是竞争没有228之前强。

1125
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 再问爆仓算法
« on: February 16, 2014, 09:02:35 pm »
这正是个很大的问题,但DAN好像没有考虑仔细,我真不知道28号的BTSXT会有多少类似的问题。 这是个几乎没有测试过的产品。。。。。很担心


Quote
current price is 1000usd/bts

here is the buy order:
buy 1000 usd with 1bts
buy 1001 usd with  1bts
buy 1002 usd with 1bts
.....
buy 1100 usd with 1bts

anytime I can give a buy order with
buy 1000000000 usd with 1bts
And I can give a short with
short 10000000000 usd with 1bts

So there is a line of people each wanting to buy about 1000 usd for 1 bts ....
And along comes someone who wants to sell 1000,0000 usd for 1 bts....

Assuming he actually had this usd (ie it was a long/long sale) then the market should match him against all of the buys (4103 usd), give the seller his .0001 bts and earn 3.999 bts in fees for the network because the seller was an idiot and sold way below market.   

Now in the event of a short position the result of this move should be...

Buyers get 4103 usd and the short seller ends up short -4103 with collateral of 4 bts (from buyers) + .0001 bts (from himself) which would seem to justify a margin call immediately... thus  I need to adjust the short-sell code to always use the price of the bids to determine required collateral (bts) or this kind of abuse could carry on.

Let me look into it a tad more and if it pans out I will send 25 PTS your way for finding this.

同意,我已经在更新贴里建议销毁无抵押品比特资产了

在系统刚运行,市场上没任何买单时,还是会有漏洞。
比如我自己做了唯一的买单是 1bts  1亿美金,唯一的 short 也是这个价。那我就是牺牲2个bts,拿到1亿美金。
程序可以限制 short 撮合算法必须在足够买单之后才能启动。
即使看起来有足够的市场深度,也可能被大户扫光后做同样的操作。

现在我看系统中就不应该有无抵押品的BTA存在,一旦BTS贬值过快导致平仓时抵押品不够,
应该以某种方式销毁那些无抵押品的BTA。持有BTA的人应该对此情形承担一定的“损失”,
与“爆仓”相反,持有BTA的人此时应该“吐利”以维护系统平衡。


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