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Messages - Rune

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1006
As a BTSX holder:

Before going in to the mumble session, while I liked the idea of merging all DACs into a singular brand, I was quite scared/confused about what exactly the plan was. BM's writing in the proposal thread was very sparse, and after that he just disappeared completely from the forums. I must admit I kinda panicked, but at least I didn't sell anything at the bottom.

After hearing him and Stan explain everything meticously and with nice analogies to ensure people were able to grasp the main reasons for why merging all DACs into a single DAC is extremely beneficial, I am now more excited than ever for BTS! This is going to be really huge, and these next few months will be absolutely amazing once we can start to get a roadmap up for a unified branding and eventually unified functionality.

One of the main reasons a unified DAC is so great is that there are many synergies amongst the different DAC functionalities. e.g. the DNS dac can support the bazaar dac, which support the exchange dac. Implementing all three things in the same client will greatly increase user experience and reduce transaction costs and spread.

1007
Around 20 bitshares stakeholders just finished an "emergency" mumble session with bytemaster about the new proposal. Before he joined us the atmosphere was very panicky because people really didn't understood what was going on regarding the merger of all DAC.

To help other stakeholders and community members to understand that there is no need to panic, we will all post our thoughts regarding the proposal before and after hearing BM's explanation.

The mumble recording will be posted in this thread as soon as its ready, I urge everyone to listen to it as it has all the explanation.

Edit: Mumble recording posted here: https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10181.msg133232#msg133232

My TL;DR of the situation is that Bytemaster was too quick to jump the gun and didn't manage to communicate his proposal properly. It is an incredible good idea but many stakeholders panicked because they thought he was doing a 360 on decentralization or that I3 was running out of funding, or some other crisis.

1008
Once BTSX becomes BTS, it simply makes no sense to have PTS and AGS anymore. They should simple get a one time compensation in BTS, that slowly becomes available over the next year, and then all future I3 efforts should go towards improving BTS.

DACs that want to experiment with the bitshares toolkit can then snapshot BTS directly, or snapshot the PTS "last snapshot" + AGS.

In the end having several competing chains simply makes little sense for the community. Chains will inevitably compete for value, and that means as a developer you either have to pick a side, or you will constantly be attacked for "helping the competitor too much"/"not giving enough to our BTSZ chain".

You can always rename GENESIS to BTS (non-dillutable).

The dilutable/non dilutable share idea will not work with a DAC. I'd like it if it was possible, but the mechanism simply cannot be implemented or applies to our case. If standard BTS tokens are widespread and the "non dilutable" BTS tokens are not, then standard BTS will be valued higher because they have a larger network effect. There is no underlying asset to distribute, as is the case with normal stock dilution.

1009
Once BTSX becomes BTS, it simply makes no sense to have PTS and AGS anymore. They should simple get a one time compensation in BTS, that slowly becomes available over the next year, and then all future I3 efforts should go towards improving BTS.

DACs that want to experiment with the bitshares toolkit can then snapshot BTS directly, or snapshot the PTS "last snapshot" + AGS.

In the end having several competing chains simply makes little sense for the community. Chains will inevitably compete for value, and that means as a developer you either have to pick a side, or you will constantly be attacked for "helping the competitor too much"/"not giving enough to our BTSZ chain".

1011
The damage from the inflation proposal has been massive, despite it being an overall extremely positive development. Far worse is the damage from the extreme uncertainty that is now going through the community. Noone has any idea what is actually going to and if inflation will or will not be implemented.

I dont think there is any going back on the singular bitshare DAC proposal. Even if everything was retracted, the damage to BTSX would already be done, seen from the perspective of the people who fear inflation.

What is now needed is reassurance that the PTS/AGS consolidation will be fair, and that the advantage from implementing inflation and all profitable DAC features into the singular blockchain will be positive in the long term.

Investors are in panic mode, the faster we get reassurance the better, every second of uncertainty hurts.

I agree with this. Inflation right now is not a good idea unless you want to make everyone panic and either completely cash out or go into BitGLD. No one in their right mind is going to sit back holding BTSX.

While nothing has been decided the market is showing that the ideas are so bad that it's not even worth attempting.

Inflation *right now* is not a good idea, but putting inflation on the table, and having it as a strong tool for delegates and developers to upgrade and market bitshares, is absolutely crucial. The ability to issue new shares to bootstrap and amplify consumer adoption will be a gargantuan advantage that no other blockchain will be able to match. When other chains try to implement it to compete with us, they will run into this same problem of market panic and will perhaps be set back even more than we currently have.

I don't even really consider what has happened now as a real sell off, but it is pretty important that the price doesnt fall any further in the short term. If market cap gets below 40 million there would be some quite significant long term confidence issues. That's why good (DA)corporate communication is crucial right now, and I'm talking every minute counts, the sooner we get a strong positive message from BM the sooner markets will calm, consolidate, bottom out and claw back some of the lost market cap.

It would be bad in the long term to have the announcement of these incredibly good news be mostly remembered as the catalyst of a "black friday" like sell off.

That is the key point. Inflation RIGHT NOW is not a good idea.

So why should Bytemaster present a plan as if he's going to do it now? Strategically I cannot think of a worse time to do it when the holiday season is near and the market cap of all coins are shrinking.

What's done is done. I think it's quite obvious that the team doesn't have a lot of PR and corporate communication experience, but that is to be expected from a crypto-anarcho start up. Honestly, even with the mistakes that have been made in the drama of the past few days, the end result and the proposal that has been made is such a ridiculously good thing for bitshares in the long term, that the short term mistakes that came with it are acceptable. Combining all profitable DACs under the BTS brand will be so much easier to sell, and will have significantly better network effect than DACs that are split.

The reality is that "superDACs" are inevitable no matter what, because stakeholders will always vote to increase their own profit and thus intrude into the market of other DACs and steal any and all of the innovations that they have that are profitable. People that are afraid of scaling issues need to realize that DPOS already scales incredibly well, and in the long run some sort of side-chain or multiblock/subblock system can be created that enables one giant network to behave as if it was several smaller, with specialized "semi-nodes" that only handle the portion of the traffic that they are concerned with.

1012
clarification: the 'announcement' was a PROPOSAL!

nothing has been decided ..
nothing has been implemented
nothing will happen 'soonish'

act accordingly ..

Markets dont think this way. For the people who fear inflation or DAC consolidation the mere open discussion of the idea is enough to send them running. Even if it was retracted those investors will not return.

Which is as it should be.  99% of our investors a year from now haven't even heard of us yet.  :)

I agree, but i think it is absolutely crucial to present a strong message of reassurance to those of us who remain. Short term panic and uncertainty can have tremendous consequences in the long run and i really dont think it is wise for BM to not be present on the forums during this market crisis. I realize that he didnt anticipate such a volatile reaction so he probably hasnt got a full proposal/plan ready yet, but I would really love to see a sort of "official statement to investors" that can reassure everyone that you guys know what you are doing and that anyone who trusts your judgement should have no reason to panic.

Perhaps now would also be a good time to reveal some new info about thw coming marketing push and other information that will help calm and reassure investors.

If, as you claim, the damage has already been done from inflation, what would be the benefit in hastily revealing the "secret sauce" and strategic marketing plans?

Yeah absolutely the "secret sauce" should not be revealed. Besides, I'm pretty sure it's not actually a fully fledged plan yet, it's probably just some vague ideas that wouldn't really inspire much confidence for investors. I'm talking about the roadmap for the debit/credit cards and the marketing push that Stan has been talking about for so long. Almost zero detail has been revealed about it, and I don't really buy that it will be bad competition-wise to reveal just some of it. At least considering that Investors would really love to hear something that will make them medium term confident and prevent the excessive uncertainty we are currently in. From a corporate communication standpoint the stakeholder dialogue has been really bad so far, and I'd love to see it get turned around.

Had there been put more thought into how to communicate this whole debacle, starting from the VOTE 2.0 thread Dan made, I think the sell off could have been avoided entirely, or at least mitigated considerably. I just hope the team will learn from their mistakes, and if they ever need input on stakeholder communication I'd be glad to volunteer.

1013
The damage from the inflation proposal has been massive, despite it being an overall extremely positive development. Far worse is the damage from the extreme uncertainty that is now going through the community. Noone has any idea what is actually going to and if inflation will or will not be implemented.

I dont think there is any going back on the singular bitshare DAC proposal. Even if everything was retracted, the damage to BTSX would already be done, seen from the perspective of the people who fear inflation.

What is now needed is reassurance that the PTS/AGS consolidation will be fair, and that the advantage from implementing inflation and all profitable DAC features into the singular blockchain will be positive in the long term.

Investors are in panic mode, the faster we get reassurance the better, every second of uncertainty hurts.

I agree with this. Inflation right now is not a good idea unless you want to make everyone panic and either completely cash out or go into BitGLD. No one in their right mind is going to sit back holding BTSX.

While nothing has been decided the market is showing that the ideas are so bad that it's not even worth attempting.

Inflation *right now* is not a good idea, but putting inflation on the table, and having it as a strong tool for delegates and developers to upgrade and market bitshares, is absolutely crucial. The ability to issue new shares to bootstrap and amplify consumer adoption will be a gargantuan advantage that no other blockchain will be able to match. When other chains try to implement it to compete with us, they will run into this same problem of market panic and will perhaps be set back even more than we currently have.

I don't even really consider what has happened now as a real sell off, but it is pretty important that the price doesnt fall any further in the short term. If market cap gets below 40 million there would be some quite significant long term confidence issues. That's why good (DA)corporate communication is crucial right now, and I'm talking every minute counts, the sooner we get a strong positive message from BM the sooner markets will calm, consolidate, bottom out and claw back some of the lost market cap.

It would be bad in the long term to have the announcement of these incredibly good news be mostly remembered as the catalyst of a "black friday" like sell off.

1014
clarification: the 'announcement' was a PROPOSAL!

nothing has been decided ..
nothing has been implemented
nothing will happen 'soonish'

act accordingly ..

Markets dont think this way. For the people who fear inflation or DAC consolidation the mere open discussion of the idea is enough to send them running. Even if it was retracted those investors will not return.

Which is as it should be.  99% of our investors a year from now haven't even heard of us yet.  :)

I agree, but i think it is absolutely crucial to present a strong message of reassurance to those of us who remain. Short term panic and uncertainty can have tremendous consequences in the long run and i really dont think it is wise for BM to not be present on the forums during this market crisis. I realize that he didnt anticipate such a volatile reaction so he probably hasnt got a full proposal/plan ready yet, but I would really love to see a sort of "official statement to investors" that can reassure everyone that you guys know what you are doing and that anyone who trusts your judgement should have no reason to panic.

Perhaps now would also be a good time to reveal some new info about thw coming marketing push and other information that will help calm and reassure investors.


1015
clarification: the 'announcement' was a PROPOSAL!

nothing has been decided ..
nothing has been implemented
nothing will happen 'soonish'

act accordingly ..

Markets dont think this way. For the people who fear inflation or DAC consolidation the mere open discussion of the idea is enough to send them running. Even if it was retracted those investors will not return.

1016
The damage from the inflation proposal has been massive, despite it being an overall extremely positive development. Far worse is the damage from the extreme uncertainty that is now going through the community. Noone has any idea what is actually going to and if inflation will or will not be implemented.

I dont think there is any going back on the singular bitshare DAC proposal. Even if everything was retracted, the damage to BTSX would already be done, seen from the perspective of the people who fear inflation.

What is now needed is reassurance that the PTS/AGS consolidation will be fair, and that the advantage from implementing inflation and all profitable DAC features into the singular blockchain will be positive in the long term.

Investors are in panic mode, the faster we get reassurance the better, every second of uncertainty hurts.

1017
General Discussion / Re: Proposal to Resolve a Million Issues at Once
« on: October 19, 2014, 04:21:40 pm »
1. Reducing the Complexity of the BitShares Ecosystem

Collapse AGS and PTS into Genesis, and Genesis into BitShares X.
Collapse BitShares X, Y, Z, .. into BitShares X, and simply call it "BitShares."

2. Funding the BitShares Ecosystem

Vote in BitShares for the issuance of new shares going to elected Delegates.
New DACs can be birthed with ICOs, giving samples to Genesis / BTS holders.

3. Marketing the BitShares Ecosystem

Elected Delegates can propose marketing and raise funds for their projects.
Embedded referral program giving new users 10% back on buying bitUSD
Issue new shares to subsidize YIELD for various bitAssets in the first x months.

Questions

What DACs specifically will, or could be, collapsed into BitShares?
--Would there be different wallets, and if not would it not clutter?
--Wouldn't it be difficult to scale, and if so what is the long term plan?

I agree with this. With the bitshares superDAC it makes no sense to continue to have PTS and AGS though, so they should just be compensated with with BTSX shares equal to their current market valuation. The compensation should be done with a slow trickle over the next year or so.

People are panicking and I really hope to see a bytemaster post outlining something like this as soon as possible. Investors needs to get a message that makes them calm down. Like ive already written the damage from inflation has already been done through this current selloff, so there is really nothing that should prevent it from being implemented.

The important thing is for BM to communicate clearly to all stakeholders why this is in their own interest, and that it will be profitable for them in the long run. Preferably as soon as possible as every moment of uncertainty damages investor confidence.

1018
General Discussion / Re: Proposal to Resolve a Million Issues at Once
« on: October 19, 2014, 03:55:43 pm »
The damage re: inflation has already been done. There is no turning back, we simply have to implement inflation because that is the only way to have the bitshares superDAC be competitive in the long run. Remember that shares will only ever be issued to fund endevours that are long term profitable and result in a net gain for the shareholders. This will only be positive unless you dont trust the developers and delegates. The only negative coming from implementing inflation is the selloff we are seeing right now, which means the damage has already been done.

1019
General Discussion / Re: What is going on??
« on: October 19, 2014, 03:42:32 pm »
Many people are frightened by the prospect of inflation. If you dislike inflation now is the time to sell, if you believe the ability to issue new shares to fund development is an advantage, then now is the time to buy.

1020
General Discussion / Re: Be still, young Jedi
« on: October 19, 2014, 03:32:10 pm »
Once the superDAC BitShares has been made manifest, AGS and PTS loses their purpose. The simple economics of metcalfes law states that it will never make any economic sense to make a seperate decentralized DAC that competes with the main one since each user in the new one will be much less valuable than if they simple were added to the main network. New DACs can be created as test runs, but their features should/will eventually be rolled into the relatively large network/userbase of BTS, once they have proven to be stable and profitable.

I agree there should be a one time "buyout" of PTS and AGS, but I don't think it should be done exactly at market evaluation. BTSX holders should be compensated for the fact that they had to suffer the "inflation shock" we've seen now, and should be allowed to buy PTS and AGS at a slightly discounted rate. In the end all shareholders will benefit massively from this consolidation.

Rune, I know you are fond of referencing Metacalfe’s law  :) but my understanding is that this applies only to networks of like kind. How are you defining the “value” of the PTS/AGS network? AGS and PTS are not even really a DAC, but more like a digital asset, a commodity with relative scarcity, whose value in the marketplace is backed by an “ethical” social contract. BTSX will never be a direct competitor to AGS or PTS, because one is a commodity and the other more akin to a stock. My argument was that it would be detrimental to betray the “trust” in that agreement by attempting to re-issue AGS and PTS into an arrangement that reduces their future-value proposition by a factor of 6!  If I owned physical gold that I intended to use to build a circuit board, and the trustee of my gold (vault owner, or whatever) decided to betray my contract and force me to withdraw in cash, that would be an ethical (not to mention contractual) breach.  Sure, I could just take the cash and buy some gold, but what if my gold was a unique and irreplaceable alloy of gold that would replicate itself under certain conditions….you get my point. Same value, different value proposition.

I guess the prospect of the core development team launching a new DAC to compete with the existing one kinda made me snap and begin spamming metcalfe everywhere since :p

I think the value of PTS is determined by the market, it would make sense for BTSX to buy it at that rate. From the beginning buying PTS and AGS has meant trusting dan to do whatever is in your interest. If he deems the buyout to be in the interest of PTS holders then I think they basically have to go with it. If they dont trust him they should divest now.

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