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Messages - Rune

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136
General Discussion / Re: [ANN] Cryptohedge Financial Services soft launch
« on: February 09, 2015, 04:35:51 pm »
Here is the article http://thevalueswan.com/cryptohedge-io-cfsassets-cfsgold-market-making-bots-20-to-50-yearly-return-maybe-black-swan-proof-maybe/

Really nice article, thanks! The 20 - 50 percent yearly return is a bit of an overstatement. I'd be happy if we can get a 1% monthly return on each CFS asset once the markets mature, but right the only real short term return from CFSGOLD will be the speculative future value of the CFSCOIN sharedrop that CFSGOLD holders will receive.

137
I like the idea that accounts can specify if they want to be sent titan or regular. If the update is rolled out simultaneously with the light wallet then there should be nothing wrong with interpreting blank as = titan.

138
General Discussion / Re: Bitshares African Initiative Part 2: Phase One
« on: February 09, 2015, 01:19:00 pm »
Using bitshares delegates is generally a terrible way to jumpstart a for-profit business. Voters are pretty good at determining whether a delegate is honest or not, but its extremely difficult to determine the expected return of a private startup and what kind of benefit it will give to bitshares. Bitshares stakeholders are not venture capitalists. If we go down this road we might end up with a system where the businesses that are unprofitable and thus cannot raise private capital on their own, but are good at politics and campaigning gets subsidized and run at a loss, paid for by bitshares stakeholders. It results in a less efficient system.

Delegates should be for public goods to the bitshares blockchain that cannot use another business model without seeing a serious reduction in their direct benefit to the blockchain, such as core development, open source development, and bitasset marketing. It's also fair that flagship businesses that have been long time members of the community and have made big contributions (before they ever campaigned for delegates), such as DACX and tradeBTS get subsidized. Similarly subsidizing metaexchange is fine since they are making their entire platform opensource (and cryptohedge is probably going to copy it, among others)

But if you want to raise money for your business as a newcomer, then you should make a UIA and raise funds from investors who are willing to take the risk of betting on your business model. It's not fair to socialize this risk and the cost of funding the business to all bitshares investors.

139
The most important innovation is pegging. And we need concentrate on the key function. Things like the wallet, the pegging, the gateway are most important. I do not think we should do everything at once. We just need be quick on important things.
We do not need many innovation and function until we make some succeed. I feel it is to heavy for us now.

This is totally true and in hindsight implementing TITAN from the beginning was probably an error similar to brian page. If bitshares had been DPOS + market pegged assets and then just used traditional bitcoin public keys from the beginning development would probably have been a lot faster, and things like trading in the light wallet would have been easier. Then registered names could have been added on top of the public key system after a couple of months (when the faucet came online), and then far into the future when anonymity becomes a real concern due to higher scrutiny stealth addresses or ring signature mixing could have been added.

However all that is easy to ask for in hindsight, just like knowing that all the raised funds should have been instantly dumped for fiat. At this point the important thing is that titan is getting disabled by default and that we're getting light wallets and web wallets with trading relatively soon.

In fact nathan hourt light wallet is coming out today?

140
General Discussion / Re: BitSquare Needs Funding? How about DPOS?
« on: February 08, 2015, 11:00:22 pm »
They'd lose all their funding from the bitcoin cult if they supported an altcoin though. local trade is a perfect match for bitassets though. They are perfect for easily on- and offramping.

141
Ethereum will have 12 second block times with PoW out of the box using something called GHOST which enables miners to mine uncle blocks (orphan blocks that still pay rewards).

We shouldn't expect bitassets on ethereum any time soon since a weakness in the schellingcoin system of getting price feeds was discovered. I'm thinking that CFS could could put our bonds on ethereum and add them to etherex, so they'll have fiat tracking instruments that are ultimately backed by bitshares at launch (but with counterparty risk from cryptohedge).

142
creating and covering bitUSD for BTS doesn't actually affect the market cap of BTS, it just moves the risk around among the economic actors.

I'm betting on good news from light wallet coming out tomorrow :)

143
General Discussion / Re: Light Wallet Question
« on: February 08, 2015, 10:13:30 pm »
After a month it will be possible to place orders, but it will not be possible to see the orderbook or the price history so you will have to look that up on bitsharesblocks.

After 2 months or so there will be full trading. This was according to BM in the dev hangout. We can probably assume that these are estimates that only apply if no issues whatsoever come up during that time. There'll likely be plenty of unforeseen stuff so we end up with doubling the estimated times.

Another interesting thing is that the web wallet might have trading out of the box. The yunbi web wallet is coming very soon and it might have trading right away. That would be completely amazing.

144
General Discussion / Re: bitUSD Mining is now live!
« on: February 08, 2015, 07:20:03 pm »
How do you source your bitUSD?

145
Looks like everything already got covered, crisis over folks :P

BitUSD supply is now at 500k, and 24 H volume is at 200k making it number 5 on CMC :D

146
Quote
Why? The point of expiration is to provide BitAsset holders with a guarantee that they can exit into BTS within 30 days at or above the price feed (in BitAsset/BTS). That is still true. They will eventually be able to put a relative BitUSD sell order at 0% offset from the price feed and then just wait. We can guarantee that their order will be matched within 30 days. There is no need to force expired orders to buy 10% below the price feed, unless of course their collateral ratio drops below 200% in which case they should then be margin called and buy any BitUSD sells at a price that is above the price 10% below the price feed (BTW, this is probably a good time to bring this comment to the attention of the developers).

Right this makes sense. As long as they'll get margin called if the collateral goes too low then there's nothing wrong with letting their order sit at the price feed. At first I thought it was unfair they wouldn't have to pay interest, but at high bitasset demand interest rate goes to 0 anyway.
Quote
There are good reasons why the price feed was first introduced. We don't want the short market to drive the growth of BTS priced in the underlying asset of the BitAsset, that should be done by the market between actual BitUSD holders and BTS (or actual USD holders and BTS on outside exchanges). Removing the limitation could instead break the peg and drive the value of the BitAsset to zero. Now that particular problem doesn't necessary limit us from changing the short limit to slightly above (in BitAsset/BTS) the price feed, say even 10% above (since if it does not reflect outside reality the price feed won't follow the shorts). But the worry I have with that is that it prevents existing BitAsset holders from having the guarantee to exit into BTS within 30 days by simply offering to sell at the price feed. If the shorts are very eager to short sell the BitAsset, the actual BitAsset holders may be forced to sell their BitAsset at a 10% discount from the peg.

When I say above the price feed i mean that the bitasset is overvalued (so feed is in BTS per bitasset). I get super confused when the feed is described the other way so this is how I have to think of it :P. If the feed is 100 BTS per bitUSD, then if there's a buy order at 115 BTS per bitUSD it should be possible to match that buy order and all other buy orders by shorting all the way down to the feed price for an instant expected profit (since you can expect bitasset price to tend towards the feed price). Then every time bitasset demand increases enough to make buy orders go above the feed, there will be an incentive to short the bitasset since you can be certain you will profit from the amount that the buy orders exceed the feed price. It should never be possible to short below the feed price (so short orders at 90 BTS per bitUSD should not be possible if the feed is at 100 BTS per bitUSD).

147
Shorts will be forced to cover 10% above the feed starting 2 hard forks from now. There was a discussion about this a few weeks ago when lots of CNY orders expired

Is it a bug that current short orders at the feed price are not getting matched with the forced covers? I can't figure out how to help get rid of this thing, it seems to me like I'd have to sell slightly below the feed in order to get matched with it, so it would cost me money to do.

Also is it intentional that shorts above the price feed do not show on the orderbook (in BTS per bitasset, so above the price feed means bitasset is overvalued)?

148
I think a good start would be to get rid of the TITAN name to make things simpler and more on point. Call it registered names and stealth transactions. You can have registered names without having to use stealth transactions, and you can also do stealth transactions without using a registered name. When sending to someone you'll either be sending to a registered name, or to an account key. When you've typed in the name or account key, you will then have the option of sending either a regular transaction or a stealth transaction. The stealth transaction should have a warning that tells people not to use it unless they understand how it works, and that only full nodes can see them.

149
I just did a bitUSD short at a pricelimit of 115 BTS per USD. It didn't get matched even though it's within 10% of the feed,

Why would your short get matched if its price limit is 115 BTS/BitUSD (or 0.008696 BitUSD/BTS)? The current price feed is 99.63 BTS/BitUSD or 0.010037 BitUSD/BTS. This means the expired shorts should buy any BitUSD sell orders at a price of 0.010037 BitUSD/BTS or above, which your order obviously is not.

Also, expired shorts do not buy 10% below the feed (you are confusing that with margin called shorts). In this case 10% below the feed is 0.9 * 0.010037 BitUSD/BTS = 0.009033 BitUSD/BTS. Your short order has a price limit that is even below that! But even if your price limit was 0.0099 BitUSD/BTS it would still not be matched because it is below the price feed.

It's a bit problematic that shorts aren't punished for expiring by getting forced to cover at a higher price, I'd assumed that would be the case to avoid situations like what we're currently seeing. But what I really don't understand is why my short at 115 BTS per bitUSD doesn't even show up on the orderbook. I'm really hoping this is a bug and not intentional.

 If we're not able to short bitassets at above the pricefeed (bitassets priced in BTS, so above the pricefeed == bitasset overvalued) then increased demand for bitassets will not result in increased demand for bitshares, because you will not be able to short into buy orders above the feed and thus can't profit from increasing bitasset supply by locking up BTS.

150
I just did a bitUSD short at a pricelimit of 115 BTS per USD. It didn't get matched even though it's within 10% of the feed, and it's not even showing up on the orderbook. Looks like there is a bug of some sort. It's pretty bad because it removes the automatic incentive there'd otherwise be to get rid of these expired calls, I have a feeling that if they stay on the books for too long it'll be a major sell signal.

Looks like normal orders that are up to 117 BTS per USD are not getting matched either. What can we do? We need to get rid of this ASAP.

Yes, the 30 day limit was a terrible idea.

I would like to know if this forced 30 day cover worked in the past?

It would work perfectly if we were able to sell or short bitUSD into the forced cover at 10% above the feed. People doing this would earn an instant 10% on their trade so you'd see people rushing in to remove this giant forced cover while making a nice profit. But it seems like a bug of some kind is preventing it from happening. They were probably planning to fix this in 0.7, the market update, so it's terribly bad luck that the giant cover happened now.

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