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Topics - luckybit

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122
General Discussion / Truthy
« on: November 05, 2014, 08:55:00 am »
Quote
Truthy is a research project to study how memes spread on social media. A meme is a transmissible unit of information, such as a hashtag, phrase, or link.
This website highlights some of the research coming from this effort and showcases some visualizations, tools, and data resources demonstrating broader impacts of the project.
Explore Demos & ToolsBrowse Research Highlights

Quote
More Tweets, More Votes


Truthy team members Karissa McKelvey and Johan Bollen collaborated with IU Department of Sociology members Joseph DiGrazia and Fabio Rojas on the paper More Tweets, More Votes: Social Media as a Quantitative Indicator of Political Behavior published in PLoS ONE. The paper aimed to see if the share of social media attention garnered by political candidates is significantly and reliably correlated with electoral performance. Their research suggests that indeed, holding other factors constant, candidates who received a larger share of attention on Twitter were more likely to win than their opponents.

Popular news outlets including Wall Street Journal, NPR and Washington Post picked up the story, many focusing in particular on potential ramifications the research will have on the current methods of political polling. More press links for this paper can be found at Karissa's website.


Reference
http://truthy.indiana.edu/
http://truthy.indiana.edu/highlights/

123
Quote
We investigate the predictability of successful memes using their early spreading patterns in the underlying social networks. We propose and analyze a comprehensive set of features and develop an accurate model to predict future popularity of a meme given its early spreading patterns. Our paper provides the first comprehensive comparison of existing predictive frameworks. We categorize our features into three groups: influence of early adopters, community concentration, and characteristics of adoption time series. We find that features based on community structure are the most powerful predictors of future success. We also find that early popularity of a meme is not a good predictor of its future popularity, contrary to common belief. Our methods outperform other approaches, particularly in the task of detecting very popular or unpopular memes.
Reference
http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.6199
http://cnets.indiana.edu/groups/nan/truthy/
http://www.computerworld.com/article/2843572/computer-scientists-say-meme-research-doesnt-threaten-free-speech.html

124
General Discussion / NXT scripting language "Jinn"
« on: November 03, 2014, 11:57:51 am »
https://nxtforum.org/pub-crawl/rfc-project-'jinn'-(processor)/
https://nxtforum.org/jinn/jinn-distributed-computing/
https://github.com/Come-from-Beyond/Jiniri/tree/master/Java/src/cfb/jiniri
Looks like they are working on scripting and distributed computing. Interesting for anyone who owns NXT and I wonder what Bytemaster thinks of this?

125
General Discussion / Brandi Veil on the gift economy
« on: November 03, 2014, 05:29:54 am »
Brandi Veil explores the way-too-free market

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-eBSV3aXI8

Brandi Veil on spending less money using SHARED communities!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDGCnzyJgdI

Fuzzy, maybe you should contact Brandi Veil and invite her speak on on Mumble this topic? She seems to know a lot about gift economies.



126
General Discussion / Marketing Bitshares through random acts of kindness
« on: November 03, 2014, 04:36:52 am »
In a previous thread I mentioned the idea of using Twitter to gift BitAssets to celebrities.
https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10927.0

Let me go into detail about the strategy of how to kickstart a gift economy.

1) We need to introduce people to BitAssets and the quickest way to do that is to give it away for free.
2) We can track who gave to this gift pot and award non-transferable reputation credits to these people. A good deed need not go unrewarded at some point in the future if people want to honor those who contributed to acts of kindness.
3) We should randomly tip people with different BitAssets to market them.

Now when I say random I don't mean random. In every social network there are key players in critical demographics. It makes sense to give to those key players in key demographics first and ask them to pay it forward. If they pay it forward they get reputation credits, Patronage Points or whatever.

Social network analysis can reveal who the key players are. These key players are the people who communicate to the masses.

Reference
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2l3fju/tipping_even_internally_may_prove_to_expand_usage/
ChangeTip
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_AnfKpypMNw

127
Someone needs to code the Twitter bot and functionality to make it possible for us to gift BitAssets over Twitter.
This should work with all DACs, Bitshares, Bitshares Music, Bitshares VOTE etc.

Otherwise Bitshares cannot go viral.

Reference
http://solarcoin.org/buy-bitcoin-solarcoin-without-exchanges-using-175-currencies-and-19-clearing-mechanisms-globally/

128
What would it take to accomplish building a trade network over Twitter?

Software agents could communicate over Twitter, it should be possible in theory for trades to execute over Twitter, so why shouldn't marketing focus on Twitter?

Suppose I want to give a gift to all my 50,000 Twitter followers so I give them all some BitGLD?
This could kickstart the gift economy via Twitter.

129
BitGold is what Bytemaster and others recommended.
Bytemaster to be fair warned me and others to take shelter into BitAssets. The problem is most people don't see enough hype around BitGold.

So next time an announcement is made it should also be accompanied with a guide for speculators to take shelter in BitGold. People are posting about the price but they could be making money in BitGold?

And we saw this before back at $100,000,000 market cap when people cashed out. They didn't rush to save in BitUSD and it seems very irrational because they could have possibly increased their money or at least saved it.

Anyone who truly believes, buy BitUSD or BitGold.  Maybe push for BitGold to be accepted instead of BitUSD.

130
I think algorithmic voting is the direction that DACs will go for achieving consensus through Delegated Proof of Stake. My thoughts on some of the possibilities of algorithmic voting can be seen in these threads: https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10804.msg142243#msg142243

Let me try to simplify it into core concept points.

1) Algorithmic hiring via smart contracts: This means the shareholders define a "policy" and this "policy" has an objective which must be met in order for an entity matching the "attributes" to receive the "automatic votes" to be made a delegate.

2) Attributes: This includes the criteria that the policy is looking for. So if the criteria is referrals as part of a marketing smart contract then the contract will only say the attributes are met when and if they surpass a certain amount of referrals to win the votes as a reward.

3) Hired: This is what occurs whenever the attributes are reached and the terms of the contract are met. This means any random person could refer a bunch of people and the moment they pass the threshold within a specific time period (or unlimited time period) then they are approved by the contract. Once this happens the contract gives them all the automatic votes necessary to make them into a delegate.


I hope these concept points are enough to make it understood what I mean. The result of these ideas should be a system where we give out votes to smart contracts instead of delegates. The smart contracts would then give out votes to whichever delegates match our criteria and automatically fire those delegates by removing votes when they don't meet the terms of the contract.

Conditional preference networks become possible once you have a voting language and other mechanisms to elicit the preferences of voters. Artificial intelligence can play a role here because it can suggest or recommend voting decisions based upon their known preference just as Google or Chrome can suggest websites as you type it in.

This would allow artificial intelligence to help voters improve the quality of their decision making. This would also allow voters to precisely define their preferences in a conditional manner so that their votes are shaped by events. For example if you have oracles which give feedback to the voting script then the feedback from these oracles
could determine the choice of the script which determines where the votes go.


References

"Computational Voting Theory: Game-Theoretic and Combinatorial Aspects" (CRCS Lunch Seminar)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKLy8uSy2SQ

CP-nets: A Tool for Representing and Reasoning with Conditional Ceteris Paribus Preference Statements
Quote
Abstract
Information about user preferences plays a key role in automated decision making. In
many domains it is desirable to assess such preferences in a qualitative rather than quanti-
tative way. In this paper, we propose a qualitative graphical representation of preferences
that reflects conditional dependence and independence of preference statements under a
ceteris paribus (all else being equal) interpretation. Such a representation is often compact
and arguably quite natural in many circumstances. We provide a formal semantics for this
model, and describe how the structure of the network can be exploited in several inference
tasks, such as determining whether one outcome dominates (is preferred to) another, order-
ing a set outcomes according to the preference relation, and constructing the best outcome
subject to available evidence.
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1107.0023.pdf

Making CP-Nets (More) Useful
Quote
Preferences have been studied in philosophy, economics,
psychology, and computer science and have a wide range
of applications, such as e-commerce, recommender systems,
decision support systems, and control of automated systems.
A variety of methods have been proposed for modeling pref-
erences. The one that I consider here is that of conditional
preference networks (CP-nets). First studied by Boutilier et
al. (2004), CP-nets exploit the power of conditional ceteris
paribus preference rules to enable (in many cases) a compact
representation of human preferences.
http://www.aaai.org/ocs/index.php/AAAI/AAAI14/paper/viewFile/8641/8743

131
General Discussion / Adaptability vs consistency
« on: October 31, 2014, 10:03:13 pm »
The majority of posts I see which are complaining about the quick changes are the result of rapid adaptations that the community must make in order to survive. These adaptations may not always be comfortable but in many cases if they are not made there will not be a community to back the product. Community building is extremely important for these sorts of products and it's more difficult to build a community than it is to build a product.

The community builder has to come up with an ecosystem which is future proof. This means it has to grow and be able to adapt to the new incoming members without alienating different factions of current members. What I see now with Bitshares is a lot of speculators are getting hurt by the price movements but the truth is that in the big picture Bitshares was never supposed to be just another pump and dump altcoin.

In order for Bitshares to survive as a community it must be able to adapt quickly. I think we can criticize the decision making process and a lot can be improved on that front. I think once we have Bitshares VOTE so that we can vote on new proposals we can have better processes for our distributed decision making functionality. One of the key differences between Bitshares and Bitcoin is the fact that Bitshares can make decisions, adapt quickly, and as a result it will be able to survive in the long term.

Difficult decisions have to be made in a competitive environment. Not everyone will understand how important Bitshares VOTE is but I do. Not everyone understands how important Turing complete scripting will be but I do. The people who can see the brilliance in these designs can see that the DAC itself will be able to adapt to our feedback. The DACs which adapt the quickest, most effectively, to the preferences of the community of users, will be the DACs which survive the competitive market environment.

Whether or not I agree with every decision of the community I'm on the side of advancing adaptability, flexibility, and innovation. This will allow the community to adjust, adapt, and change with the times to become future proof. This means if we have to change language, change source code, improve processes, that is the whole point because it evolves that way.

132
General Discussion / Algorithmic voting theory
« on: October 31, 2014, 04:57:39 am »
A continuation from this thread: Automatic algorithmically delegated voting, delegates and smart contracts https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10745.msg141289#msg141289


Quote
Some voting procedures can be controlled by the authority conducting the elec-
tion (hereinafter, the chairman) to achieve strategic results. For example, it
might be possible to influence the outcome of an election by specifying the se-
quence in which alternatives will be considered, or by specifying the composition
of subcommittees that nominate candidates. We study whether the chairman
can easily or only with great difficulty determine how to control a specific elec-
tion, and conclude that voting procedures can differ significantly in the effort
1required to control them. This suggests that some voting procedures can be in-
herently resistant to abuse, while others are vulnerable. We base this distinction
on a measure that is new to voting theory—computational complexity.


Some thoughts to share:
1) Voters should be allowed to represent their preferences in a voting language. This could be a Turing complete scripting language so that the preference of the voter can be precisely and algorithmically defined (such as if X then do Y else do Z) or (do X until Y unless Z).
2) Flexibility in voting may be extremely important because it will determine how effectively DACs can adapt to the preferences of users. Decision making capability is what determines the adaptability of the DAC and voting may become something people don't want to constantly think about as conditions change. This flexibility may be obtainable through conditional preference networks.
References
http://www2.isye.gatech.edu/~jjb/papers/agenda.pdf
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKLy8uSy2SQ
http://mat.tepper.cmu.edu/blog/?p=920
https://www.jair.org/media/1234/live-1234-2225-jair.pdf

133
What do you think? are whale miners selling their coins by the thousands to buy new mining equipment to compete with each other?

I expect the Bitcoin price to keep going down until it's below $200 due to greed of miners combined with stolen MtGox coins.

Luckly we have BitUSD.

134
If anyone can become a delegate, and if we have automatic voting, smart contracts, etc, built in, could we use something like Ciphertext-Policy Attribute-Based Encryption or maybe something else where a proposal is presented with a "hire" or "don't hire" choice? If voters choose to hire then could the smart contract automatically hire whomever fits the attributes that the smart contract is looking for?

All of the votes would be given to the smart contract itself and then the smart contract would handle the rest. The smart contract would automatically vote on shareholders behalf whenever someone who matching the attributes defined in the smart contract comes forward to accept the contract. The smart contract would then use human attention to check the work of the employee before payment is confirmed?

I may not be good at always explaining the ideas I put on this forum but if anyone else can get what I'm trying to say and clarify that would be helpful. Essentially it should be hiring and firing by algorithmic processes where votes are given to the smart contract which hires based around criteria the shareholders want. So if we want referral contracts then anyone who meets the criteria of the smart contract who can be proven to have referred unique users to Bitshares can be made into a delegate based on how many members they bring in.



135
As a category of what to describe this income we have active and passive income.

Dividends, yield and delegate fees definitely would fit into the category of passive income.

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/passiveincome.asp

But this kind of passive income is algorithmic. Can we think of a phrase we could call this new kind of income?

My suggestions:
1) Automatic passive income (API)
2) Algorithmic passive income (API)

Do either of these phrases make sense? Can we think of better explanations for how to answer the question if we are asked "What do you do for a living?" and "Where is the source of your income?".

I think delegates will have a difficult time explaining it because there isn't an agreed upon set of words to explain it. I think Bitshares X does provide some kind of income which means there is likely to be an income tax, barter tax, at least somewhere, but since the industry is so new no one really even knows what it is.

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