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Messages - Agent86

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16
I think 3% delegates are making about $15 per month right now so I wouldn't expect more from them then signing blocks and keeping their version up to date.

17
General Discussion / Re: BitAsset 2.0 Requirements & Implied Design
« on: May 04, 2015, 10:55:35 pm »
Remember this thread? https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,12724.msg167490.html#msg167490

Bitshares are slowly moving in right direction. I could provide you few months ago with design even better than bitasset 2.0. You might have avoided loosing over $20 mil in market cap.
BTW: With current proposal bts is still overpriced imo.
aaaxn,
Dan has tended to take a pretty hard line against the value of an idea/design in the past.  I disagree with this view and I think it is totally reasonable to compensate you for a unique/unobvious and useful idea that's implemented.  I'm far from convinced that you had / have thought of anything really interesting as there are lots of ideas tossed around and that's why people react with skepticism but I would 110% support you to be well compensated for a good idea that's implemented.  I think if we claim to promote innovation and reward community contribution it should be backed by precedent, and results should be rewarded.  I'm not in a position to personally offer a bounty but I would support you being compensated via delegates who often contribute to things that bring value.  Let us know if you'd like to share.

Ideas have NO MARKET VALUE without ability to execute. 

18
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 2.0 (formally 3.0)
« on: May 03, 2015, 07:50:02 pm »
Yea, forced conversion at 99% seems random to me, may as well just make it convertible at 100% if you are going to do it, although I'm generally not a big fan of bitAssets 2.0 formally (formerly?) 3.0.

Should we let people who are force settling at the feed place a limit on what price feed they would accept at the time of settlement?  i.e.  Some news is announced and someone with bitUSD decides BTS is cheap and they request force settlement but by the time 24hrs is over the price has moved so much they don't want to settle at that price.  Or maybe just preventing someone from being completely screwed by a momentary price feed error like a script goes awry.

The main floor on the value of BitAssets is formed by the value to shorters of freeing their collateral.  Forced settling by either expiration or other systems forms another floor at the value in BTS at which the longs expect to be able to force settlement.  With sufficient liquidity, this secondary floor should be unnecessary, but if it is considered necessary it should be at the targeted peg value, not an offset from that.

If the longs are able to cancel settlement, that defeats the purpose of the 24 hour delay I think.  In that case they might as well constantly request settlement and constantly cancel unless settlement is going to occur on a spike in their favour.  If price feed volatility is an issue, they could trigger 24 hour delayed settlement at the average feed price over those 24 hours.  Again, I think forced settling is less than ideal anyway.  The real floor should be the value that BitAssets have to shorters who need them in order to recover their collateral.
Sure, but Dan is essentially doing away with the main floor on the value of BitAssets by doing away with the rule: no shorting below the feed.  So the only floor left in bitAssets 3.0 is the forced settling.  I also wasn't suggesting allowing longs to cancel settlement; only allow them to specify a floor to the settlement up front at the time they request settlement.  Anyway, I think I'm generally on the same page as you here and I didn't say this is my preferred way of doing things.

19
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 2.0 (formally 3.0)
« on: May 03, 2015, 07:13:04 pm »
What I mean is you are saying that "$1.00/bitUSD should be the floor, and fail in explaining why it will be the floor. [Actually I believe that about $0.99 will be the floor and that if you set the settlement at 0.99 and all (not only 5% or whatever % can settle in 24h]

Here is one of the main points where it all goes wrong.
The real underlying demand that drives BitUSD:USD to 1:1 is from arbitrage bots and speculators buying BitUSD first as a means to buy the BTS more cheaply than via alternative channels.    This means that buying 1 BitUSD for $1.00 should always be the most cost effective means to purchase the underlying crypto-currency, BTS.   This realization has many implications for the design goals of BitAssets 2.0.
Actually it does not mean that   buying 1 BitUSD for $1.00 should always be the most cost effective means to purchase the underlying crypto-currency, BTS.  That means that buying for as little as possible should be the best price for them! So buying for $0.95 will be better!

Now we come to the next point - is there gonna be conditions at which there will be sellers at $0.95?

The answer is generally 'Yes' - At bull market times it is feasible to short below 1:1 and still profit [*1]

The question then becomes how much below $1.00/bitUSD will such shorting  still be profitable?
In the proposed system "0.99*feed price settlement with no restriction on the % of bitUSD longs that can request a settlement" the answer is about 0.99 adjusted for 1day volatility.


So in other words the bitAsset 2.0 will effectively put the floor on bitUSD on a number directly proportional to the chosen settlement price compared to the feed price [other factors such as - margin requirements, % of all longs that can request settlement, as well as all other market rules that shift the risks for the short/longs - will also influence the exact floor of the bitUSD]

[*1] There is a very simple  explanation why it is so. Will try to explain if anybody interested.
Yea, forced conversion at 99% seems random to me, may as well just make it convertible at 100% if you are going to do it, although I'm generally not a big fan of bitAssets 2.0 formally (formerly?) 3.0.

Should we let people who are force settling at the feed place a limit on what price feed they would accept at the time of settlement?  i.e.  Some news is announced and someone with bitUSD decides BTS is cheap and they request force settlement but by the time 24hrs is over the price has moved so much they don't want to settle at that price.  Or maybe just preventing someone from being completely screwed by a momentary price feed error like a script goes awry.

20
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 3.0 - For Community Review
« on: May 01, 2015, 06:53:04 pm »
Low liquidity is the issue .
If BTA demands more premium , then it'll lose attractiveness at this early age . If no premium , even with the bug fix , the high demand for BTA brings covering pressure will still makes shorts not wanting to continue anymore . Without liquidity , BTA is useless for the outside world .
Ok, I just think getting rid of bugs in the current system would give shorts more confidence

do you think one of them is the ability to use existing collateral to cover?
I think being able to cover with collateral would help things, I know there are people that forget to separate their balances or keep enough BTS to cover so they just wait it out until their short expires.

21
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 3.0 - For Community Review
« on: May 01, 2015, 05:49:36 pm »
Low liquidity is the issue .
If BTA demands more premium , then it'll lose attractiveness at this early age . If no premium , even with the bug fix , the high demand for BTA brings covering pressure will still makes shorts not wanting to continue anymore . Without liquidity , BTA is useless for the outside world .
Ok, I just think getting rid of bugs in the current system would give shorts more confidence

22
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 3.0 - For Community Review
« on: May 01, 2015, 04:09:31 pm »
I think I'm missing the crux of the problem solved by BitAssets 3.0.  I feel like bitAssets have tracked pretty well considering some nasty bugs that should just now be fixed in the upcoming hard fork, the drop in BTS, shorters not realizing they can't cover with their collateral etc.

Will this peg "hold", yes it will.   Will it always be worth at least $1 yes.   Will the cost to buy it sometimes be far more than $1, YES.   

So we can now say that BitUSD has a FLOOR of $1 and can go up from there.   As a merchant / consumer that is all you care about (the floor).  The presence of a floor means that people can trade USD for BitUSD and purchase things with BitUSD without having to think about whether it is worth $1.    The only people that actually have to think about whether to buy at $1.05 or not are traders... they take the risk that short demand will increase and push the price back down toward $1.00.  On the other hand, in a bear market short demand may decrease and push BitUSD up to $1.10. 

I generally disagree that the price will remain above $1 or generally trade around $1.05 when it's only convertible at 99%.   I think that bitAsset holders will need to use the force settle at 99% a lot to get their value and it won't be just a theoretical backstop.  Therefore I think the price feed will have more power in this system because the price feed specifically determines the price you pay when you convert.

I think the rule no shorting below the feed was a good rule because it protected the market without specifically forcing people to do something, just preventing people from doing something they shouldn't be doing anyway.  I don't know why the desire to get rid of this rule, not sure if it's just for easier implementation.

I also feel like when you add extra parameters it makes the system sound more complicated to me and I feel like people want to know why these are the right numbers:
Settle at 99% of the feed
with 24hrs notice
with a maximum of 5% of supply convertible per day.
Shorts can vote to force settle the market with 30day notice
giving USD holders a 10% premium.

23
General Discussion / Re: BitAssets 3.0 - For Community Review
« on: May 01, 2015, 02:41:32 pm »
So its doing away with the concept of margin calls and replacing it with forced settlement.  Unlike a margin call, which is triggered whenever the spot price (feed price in this case) moves beyond collateral amt, a forced settlement needs to meet two conditions: 1) authorization by a long holder and 2) being an account with least collateralize amt.
Are there automatic margin calls in BitAssets 3.0?

It isn't mentioned in the description of BitAssets 3.0 nor could I find any post that clarifies it.  Is the above quote a correct interpretation?

24
General Discussion / Re: Shuffle Bounty $200 BitUSD
« on: April 09, 2015, 04:57:14 pm »

Actually no matter how you shuffle, the average interval block between public hash of secret is 101 blocks , but cannot keep all interval per delegate is 101,
because there are must have some delegates less than 101,some delegates larger than 101
so it is not really "one delegate is honest ,the random is honest" but we can very very close it .  if we make the MIN interval is larger than 90 by good shuffle,I think it is very easy . the random is honest and enough for BTS
but maybe not for game, it is the reason I suggest use two round history

I might be misunderstanding you, but even though some delegates have interval more than 101 and some less than 101, the idea "one delegate is honest, the random is honest" is essentially true for the last random number of the round under the current system, because the interval for the last revealed number in the round is at least 101.

But yeah, it's a simplification and ignores intentionally not producing a block (this doesn't allow you to determine the random number but allows you to impact it).  It also ignores skipping honest delegate's blocks on purpose.... At least these things might raise red flags or be detectable.  Newly elected delegates would have to be handled right also.

I think if we want to use random No. to play game, ,maybe we should update DPOS a little to fit the short time wait game to void the attack that delegate refuse produce block when he know he does`t win in the block his turn .
I mean though we use two round history hash. or very good  shuffle, we also cannot defense this type attack
Yea I think for gambling it's best to look at the specific application and delegate provided random numbers are likely not the best option.  Maybe Dan has other things in mind.

25
General Discussion / Re: Shuffle Bounty $200 BitUSD
« on: April 09, 2015, 01:25:30 am »
IMO It's better to just have delegates reveal the number they hashed 2 rounds ago instead of prior round.  The shuffling isn't the problem.  You're just trying to have a random number each block to use for gambling.  This way the random number is more robust (1 honest delegate is always enough)… it's also less complicated.  Your way, collusion of a large number of delegates (but not all) could still be a problem and it would be very difficult to detect.  I think for most gambling applications, allowing the players to participate in the secret/reveal random number gen process is probably the way to go anyway.

A two round history would make the blockchain take more space and would be a much more involved change than simply changing the shuffle algorithm.     There are benefits beyond gambling too.
Why would a two round history take more blockchain space?  It's still only one hash and one reveal per block... You have to keep a rolling database of 303 hashes instead of 202, doesn't seem an issue.  What are the benefits beyond gambling?  Using prior round hash for shuffling is not an issue and the current shuffling should be more random than the proposed new shuffling.  The only issue with current system is that the random numbers from early in a round could possibly be manipulated... but if you're not using them for gambling then who cares?

26
General Discussion / Re: Shuffle Bounty $200 BitUSD
« on: April 09, 2015, 12:33:40 am »
IMO It's better to just have delegates reveal the number they hashed 2 rounds ago instead of prior round.  The shuffling isn't the problem.  You're just trying to have a random number each block to use for gambling.  This way the random number is more robust (1 honest delegate is always enough)… it's also less complicated.  Your way, collusion of a large number of delegates (but not all) could still be a problem and it would be very difficult to detect.  I think for most gambling applications, allowing the players to participate in the secret/reveal random number gen process is probably the way to go anyway.

27
I'm refusing to take any pay until we get a reasonable number of 0% delegates and use proposals to figure out how to direct inflation.
My interpretation of what Toast is saying is in part that the "governance" of the DAC isn't working as efficiently as it could be and that can hurt value.  For instance, he's been pushing the importance of "proposals" or other stake weighted polling for a while (https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=14043.0). I tend to agree and have argued that good stake polling is pretty crucial.

I think some people were turned off by the "merger" not so much because the idea of a merger was bad but simply because it appeared that Dan had the power to unilaterally change the rules and create more shares.  If the same decision was made after a fairly perceived stake weighted poll was conducted the whole thing may have been perceived differently.  Same goes for conflating delegates with workers; there is FUD in regards to how easily dilution happens.  I've tended to think having a high bar of 50% approval of active shares for dilution would be perceived better even if it took a lot of work to get there, especially because dilution was controversial and not in the original design.

28
General Discussion / Re: Price feed manipulation attack
« on: February 12, 2015, 08:07:08 pm »
In the old system (assuming it is correctly implemented) this type of manipulation is not a big concern because changing the feed shouldn't force anyone to transact at that price and and people will place their orders based on the expectation that the feed will correct.

In the new/other system proposed by BM today it's a disaster-  drop the feed price to close to zero and short yourself a few million BitUSD while posting very little collateral.  You don't get margin called because you are protected by the feed - which you control.  So you could sell those "free" bitUSD to any open buy orders.

29
General Discussion / Re: I suggest stop price feed and stop market engine
« on: January 14, 2015, 03:30:25 pm »
alt, you can get BitUSD here: https://bter.com/trade/btc_bitusd there are several hundred on orders not too far from the price feed.

I'm aware of here. But it's not enough. My cover order is due in 7 days, I'm worried if no one shorting situation lasts. And I think I'm not alone so to speak.
Why don't you place a good size buy order for bitUSD a bit above parity here: https://bter.com/trade/bitusd_usd   ($1.02/bitUSD?)
Then make an announcement; I suspect you will find takers for the amount you need.

I haven't formed a super strong opinion about the perfect system parameters, because it's not my decision how things get implemented.  But, I think you are generally lucky that you are protected as a short by the price feed.  I have thought 30day forced covering seems short, and maybe the 5% margin call penalty is not so nice.  But in my opinion you are lucky that you are not forced to buy above the feed; I think this is too generous to shorts and not good for the system.

30
With reversible transactions, if a hacker got your keys they could set up a script so even if you reverse the transaction to yourself they just keep sending it to themselves again and reverse any transactions you send to anyone else... so perhaps the result is pretty similar to just burning it and burning offers no incentive to the reverser to do it maliciously. 

An interesting point. I guess if we are talking about hacks and compromised wallets, it could well be that the attacker gains access to the account issuing reversible transactions... in this case the attacker could hold the coins in limbo by repeatedly sending to themselves, but not sure they can do anything to walk away with them? In the worst case this is equivalent to burning them, since they are forever in limbo... but does the attacker have this level of patience?
In short, yes the attacker has the patience.  The person being attacked is more likely to lose patience and give up then the attacker who is almost certainly technically capable of automating it.

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