Author Topic: Trustless, Decentralized Bond Market Draft  (Read 11578 times)

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Offline morpheus

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Is this SWAN price the same SWAN price that is used now?

Offline abit

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BM in the last mumble actually said that we should focus on the liquidity proosal and the rate limited fee features next simply because the bond market will take months and you know how long an initial esimate of "a few months" really takes.

He also mentioned that running Ethereum VM on our chain is possible, but I think it might be a better idea to wait until more dapps are made, or not?
EVM is the next BIG thing. We should put in into long term road map. @jakub?
« Last Edit: February 29, 2016, 10:49:37 am by abit »
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Offline abit

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Sidechain should be implemented first, before Bond market.

Bond market is feature which will be used by tiny fraction of bitshares users. Sidechain is something which could actually bring thousands of new users which will not have to worry any longer about security of traiding their REAL bitcoins on exchange.

With 100% bitcoin collateral, this will instantly boost all BTC:XYZ markets.

Moreover... there are other exchanges which has bondmarkers. There are none exchange/cryptocurrency which has such feature like sidechain. This should be our top priority which will move Bitshares to all frontpages of services about bitcoin.

Yeah I totally agree with this. Bond market isn't a priority and Bytemaster even said in the previous hangout it is unviable until we have deep liquid markets. Sidechain for BTC would help this alot.

I really think our only focus as a community right now should be liquidity.
Technically the side chain thing requires a totally different skill set. To be simple, if you can describe how the bond market would work in detail, I can implement it within an estimated time. But I have no idea how many efforts are needed to implement the side chain feature.
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Offline xeroc

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Quote
TNSTAAFL.

First off, I think describing this as a "Bond Market" is the wrong choice. As far as I know, there's no such thing as a "margin call" in bonds. Instead, this functions most like a margin account with a stockbroker: you can borrow on top of securities you hold with them as collateral, and if the price drops, you are sold out of your position.

The claim of 100% protection is false as well. There can be no guarantee or defense against a black swan event where the market evaporates in the underlying asset. Whether or not this event is considered likely is irrelevant: the claim of perfect security is false and is hidden by a lot of hand waving which ignores the fact that no calculations you do now can tell you what you'll be able to sell something for in the next moment with a guarantee.

Presenting this as a "bond" skips over the major disadvantage to the borrow compared to a real bond market: In a real bond market, if you make your payments, everything is fine. In this proposal, everything must be fully backed by collateral and the payments are irrelevant to being able to prevent the collateral from being sold.

This may be useful technology for allowing people to trade on margin more securely, but I believe it will also tend to increase volatility to the extent it's adopted since it creates exposure to cascading margin calls.

This basic misnomer led to a fair amount of confusion of purpose in that thread as a direct result. It makes no sense to call this a bond because it does not behave at all like a bond.
https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/484cwz/trustless_decentralized_bond_market_draft/d0hcblb?context=3

Offline JonnyB

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Sidechain should be implemented first, before Bond market.

Bond market is feature which will be used by tiny fraction of bitshares users. Sidechain is something which could actually bring thousands of new users which will not have to worry any longer about security of traiding their REAL bitcoins on exchange.

With 100% bitcoin collateral, this will instantly boost all BTC:XYZ markets.

Moreover... there are other exchanges which has bondmarkers. There are none exchange/cryptocurrency which has such feature like sidechain. This should be our top priority which will move Bitshares to all frontpages of services about bitcoin.

Yeah I totally agree with this. Bond market isn't a priority and Bytemaster even said in the previous hangout it is unviable until we have deep liquid markets. Sidechain for BTC would help this alot.

I really think our only focus as a community right now should be liquidity.
I run the @bitshares twitter handle
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Offline Empirical1.2

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 +5% It's pretty impressive that you can create a model with no risk to lenders.

The only thing I wonder is whether we would be better off introducing the widely popular, currently used model but with more conservative initial and maintenance collateral settings? (Rather than a more complex, unfamiliar and also perhaps less favourable/uncertain for borrowers model.)

The lending prices you see on Poloniex and BitFinex are probably taking into account an exchange failure risk of >20% per annum. So while our Black Swan risk to lenders might be higher, our DEX failure rate is much lower so prices may end up being fairly similar to exchanges.

They do bear risk of leaving an order on the book.  No different than a bank taking risk of you mailing in the keys rather than payment. 

If even one person is left holding the bag for a default it makes the entire block chain look bad. Block chains must have higher standards.

It appears to be setting higher standards for one party in the trade at the expense of the other (poorer terms for borrowers) which might make it hard to create a successful market.

Similar to BitAssets forced settlement at 1-1. While great for providing 100% certainty for the longs, the burden & uncertainty this creates to shorts is part of the reason we see such a high BitAsset premium? Lowering forced settlement considerably and introducing a maintenance collateral requirement level above which you couldn't be force settled would still provide the majority of the benefits but create a more successful, active market imo. (The current setting also allows longs to profit when the market moves slightly in their favour at the expense of shorts or even gain a few % by manipulating BTS price fairly cheaply at forced settlement time.)
« Last Edit: February 29, 2016, 05:59:20 am by Empirical1.2 »
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Offline emailtooaj

Sidechain should be implemented first, before Bond market.

Bond market is feature which will be used by tiny fraction of bitshares users. Sidechain is something which could actually bring thousands of new users which will not have to worry any longer about security of traiding their REAL bitcoins on exchange.

With 100% bitcoin collateral, this will instantly boost all BTC:XYZ markets.

Moreover... there are other exchanges which has bondmarkers. There are none exchange/cryptocurrency which has such feature like sidechain. This should be our top priority which will move Bitshares to all frontpages of services about bitcoin.
This^^^ times One billion trillion!
We really need to get our think tanks together and collaborate on this. 
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Offline noisy

Sidechain should be implemented first, before Bond market.

Bond market is feature which will be used by tiny fraction of bitshares users. Sidechain is something which could actually bring thousands of new users which will not have to worry any longer about security of traiding their REAL bitcoins on exchange.

With 100% bitcoin collateral, this will instantly boost all BTC:XYZ markets.

Moreover... there are other exchanges which has bondmarkers. There are none exchange/cryptocurrency which has such feature like sidechain. This should be our top priority which will move Bitshares to all frontpages of services about bitcoin.
Take a look on: https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php/topic,19625.msg251894.html - I have a crazy idea - lets convince cryptonomex developers to use livecoding.tv

Offline tonyk

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Lack of arbitrage is the problem, isn't it. And this 'should' solves it.

Offline onceuponatime

does bts have enough users to support Bond Market?

Bytemaster has said that liquidity needs to come first. I think he is just planning ahead so that it is a drop and play once liquidity is achieved.

Offline sudo

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does bts have enough users to support Bond Market?

Offline lil_jay890

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Calling this a bond market is misleading...  It doesn't have any of the charactertics of a bond.

There's no call date and no coupon.  Also the collateralization of this doesn't fit the description of a traditional bond market.

To properly do a bond market, there needs to be some sort of reputation system in place so that investors can evaluate risk.  Lending to an anonymous person you no nothing about is a non-starter.


Offline Pheonike

I think there should be two styles of bonds. One treasury style dedicated to smartcoins and a general bond for users to lend to each other. Not sure if they can  have the exact same mechanics because the risk profiles are different in my opinion

Offline JonnyB

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This is to enable collateralized margin trading, not unsecured debt.

I suppose this is a new type of debt:

Unsecured debt

Secured debt.

And now.....Cryptographically secured debt
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Offline sittingduck

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This is to enable collateralized margin trading, not unsecured debt.