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Offline biophil

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DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« on: October 08, 2014, 02:51:21 PM »

Looks like at the moment only 800M DNS have been claimed from genesis (out of 5B total). That means DNS is currently trading with a low float - relatively few outstanding shares. An additional 1M of sales on Bter would push the price down below 190 satoshi; the first significant buy wall (on Bter) is at 162, and it only has 2M DNS. Of course, Bter isn't the only exchange and just because the orders aren't there doesn't mean the demand isn't there. So these numbers only give us a lower bound on demand.

Anyway, I've a hunch that the price will slide downward pretty steadily until features are launched. Some of this will be people waking up and saying "hey! I have cash sitting there from the snapshot that I can pay my credit card bill with!" And some of it will be people gambling, like I am, that the price has not hit the bottom yet.

Thoughts?


Offline Akado

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2014, 04:32:54 PM »
the lower, the better  :D

Btw, could we have KeyID price on top of the forums like we have for btsx?
« Last Edit: October 08, 2014, 05:09:07 PM by Akado »
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Offline speedy

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2014, 10:24:30 PM »
Do we know when kick-off is for the DNS genesis block?

Offline Riverhead

Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2014, 11:00:20 PM »
It's already been cast.

Offline liondani

Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2014, 11:06:32 PM »
if the marketing boost for bitshares begins and the unclaimed stakes for DNS are still remaining on these levels, prepare to meet our friends from outer-space....



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Offline TruthTaco

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2014, 04:25:34 PM »
How do you tell how many have been claimed?

Tuck Fheman

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2014, 04:37:21 PM »
Anyway, I've a hunch that the price will slide downward pretty steadily until features are launched. Some of this will be people waking up and saying "hey! I have cash sitting there from the snapshot that I can pay my credit card bill with!" And some of it will be people gambling, like I am, that the price has not hit the bottom yet.

Thoughts?

Agreed.

Offline ripplexiaoshan

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2014, 04:41:20 PM »
How do you tell how many have been claimed?
http://104.131.241.162/home

it tells everything
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Offline cass

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2014, 07:11:48 PM »
I follow the very same strategy I use with bitshares. wait and get rich eventually... :)

Hehe welcome back favdesu. Sry didn't noticed you before! But saw you just came back in august :)! Great you're back again…just said…
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Offline theoretical

Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2014, 09:30:22 PM »
My guess is that the low float also has something to do with re-branding as KeyID.  I've stayed far away from Keyhotee stuff because I'm not really enthusiastic about their business model for a variety of reasons.  So a lot of people probably just skip this subforum in the list.  I'm kind of a forum regular and I didn't know about the re-branding or the launch until Toast told me directly in a private conversation.

The point is, I think the float is so low because people just don't know about the DNS launch.  There has been so little marketing that even people like me, who follow the forum closely, weren't aware of it!



« Last Edit: October 15, 2014, 09:32:21 PM by drltc »
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Offline biophil

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2014, 09:52:30 PM »
My guess is that the low float also has something to do with re-branding as KeyID.  I've stayed far away from Keyhotee stuff because I'm not really enthusiastic about their business model for a variety of reasons.  So a lot of people probably just skip this subforum in the list.  I'm kind of a forum regular and I didn't know about the re-branding or the launch until Toast told me directly in a private conversation.

The point is, I think the float is so low because people just don't know about the DNS launch.  There has been so little marketing that even people like me, who follow the forum closely, weren't aware of it!

Yes, and from what I'm gathering around the forums, the lack of marketing/awareness is intentional; they're not hyping a product that has no implemented features yet.

Offline liondani

Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2014, 10:11:11 PM »
worst case scenario for a "product" that is better or will be better than namecoin very soon...
... is to reach namecoins current marketcap... So I think the price will double before next year  ;)
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Offline Stan

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Re: DNS price likely to fall in the short term?
« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2014, 10:11:42 PM »
My guess is that the low float also has something to do with re-branding as KeyID.  I've stayed far away from Keyhotee stuff because I'm not really enthusiastic about their business model for a variety of reasons.  So a lot of people probably just skip this subforum in the list.  I'm kind of a forum regular and I didn't know about the re-branding or the launch until Toast told me directly in a private conversation.

The point is, I think the float is so low because people just don't know about the DNS launch.  There has been so little marketing that even people like me, who follow the forum closely, weren't aware of it!

Yes, and from what I'm gathering around the forums, the lack of marketing/awareness is intentional; they're not hyping a product that has no implemented features yet.

DAC's go through two phases:

1.  The investment phase where speculators are able to trade stakes in the DAC while they watch it being developed and assess the progress of the development team. 

2.  The operational phase where the end customers are introduced to it and expect it to be a polished end product or service.  No point in attracting these people until those conditions have been met.

We assume speculators are smart enough to find us during the investment phase without mass marketing.  Why spend money to attract more speculators to raise the price at which we are all still buying?

 ;)
Anything said on these forums does not constitute an intent to create a legal obligation or contract of any kind.   These are merely my opinions which I reserve the right to change at any time.

 

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