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General Discussion / Re: Will Ethereum swallow us whole come March?
« on: February 15, 2015, 12:02:43 pm »
I'm don't really understand the question. BitShares and Ethereum aren't doing the same thing.
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very good idea!
It will certainly help the bitshares project to succeed !
I have already bought some CFSGOLD , but I have to make one question...
Why is the supply 20 CFSGOLD right now and not 10 CFSGOLD? Have you already found a big investor that bought 10 CFSGOLD? Am I missing something?
I had a buyer contact me who was interested in buying 10 bitgold. Since the supply of bitgold already on the books wasn't exhausted I just put up an extra 10 bitgold.Question: Why do you need outside money for this? I assume you've already designed the trading bots. Why not just run them yourselves and take 100% of the earnings instead of giving 70% to CFSGOLD holders? You're not going to need a million dollars to provide liquidity on BTC:bitGOLD.
You're launching with 10-20 CFSGOLD. That's not exactly big money.
Launching with the small amount of BitGold is just to test the funding system. We hope that once BitGold and other assets get started and our hedgebots begin providing a return we can scale CFSGOLD and other CFS assets as reliable, low risk financial products that will appeal to investors outside the bitshares community as well and drive attention and users to bitshares.
Regarding the expected return. I'm actually having a hard time figuring out the best way to model it, because it's impossible for us to predict how much demand there will be for actually trading bitgold on the exchange platforms themselves (rather than buy into bitgold to hold or maybe use it as an on ramp for BTS). Depending on the kind of trading people do we can accomodate it with smaller or larger pools of capital. I'm considering that a better way to offer CFS assets is with a fixed return rather than the current model, because with the current model all CFS asset holders will have their return reduced every time new CFSGOLD is issued.
I suppose that every bitUSD sold into existence represents bitshares being taken out of supply temporarily. "Frozen," if we're to stay with the chemistry metaphors. I think what trips people up, including myself, is that the profits are indirect. We're not getting profits in USD and distributing it amongst ourselves. We're manipulating the supply of the stock to pay stockholders. The share buyback analogy is complicated and sort of skirts around what's actually happening. This is the business plan as I understand it:
1) Bitshares pays shareholders by increasing shareholder equity.
2) Bitshares increases shareholder equity by increasing the price of BTS.
3) Bitshares increases the price of BTS by enticing people to remove BTS from supply (either burning or freezing it) in exchange for leverage, stability, betting, etc.
4) The more participation there is in these activities, the more BTS that will be removed from supply.
Yep. That's about how it works. Remember there's a finite amount of BTS available for these things -- only what people are willing to put into them, which is of course less than the full market cap because some people just want to sit on their BTS or have decent amounts of BTS readily available for trading, voting or whatever.
So if the demand for these activities exceeds supply, the people who want BitAssets or whatever will start a bidding war for BTS. If the price of BTS goes up and shorts start to win, in the long run they'll have incentive to re-short because their existing short can only win so much.
Real question is: how many years do we estimate it will take for us to become profitable and earn more income than what is being spent on payed delegates?
Well, in 4 years delegate pay will be half what it is today when measured in BTS.
Every BitUSD sold is also a "product sale" provided it is not "returned". After a certain period of time we can count the "minimum BitUSD supply over the past X period of time" as a sale. If it is returned after that we can book it as a "loss".
Burning BTS is equivalent to income under the assumption that there will be demand for the DAC's services in the future.
First imagine that Apple immediately took any profit from the sale of a macbook and used it to buy back stock.
Now imagine that Apple first pre-sold coupons redeemable for macbooks and bought back stock from the presale.
The key is that someone had to buy the BTS in the first place for it to be redeemable for a service.