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Messages - Empirical1.1

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616
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 12:31:45 pm »
I do not know all the details. It is clear there will be a big VOTE component.

I guess the question is whether VOTE will look more like BTSX + dilution.
From the last answer here -  https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10118.msg132066#msg132066 it seems people may be offered debit cards with BitUSD backed by VOTE. That sounds more like BTSX to me. (VOTE will also be able to offer greater incentives because of dilution.) But as I said we don't know all the details.
I am not an economics guy ... but from what I understand it doesn't make any difference for the bitUSD if it is backed by VOTE, DNS or BTSX .. the only difference is that the "market cap" of the bitUSD is split amongst the DACs.

It all breaks down to having different exchanges/DACs with different use-cases .. and DIFFERENT liquidity because of the use-cases.
If you are a trader and want to use bitGLD, you need to buy bitUSD via BTSX ... if you are interested in building a decentralized internet you should go to keyID ...

In the end, we will see a set of DACs which all trade the bitUSD ... with DIFFERENT spread and liquidity .. it's not that VOTE will reduce the 'value' of the BTSX DAC .. because it focuses on a completely different audience ..

In fact .. IMHO it will increase the usefulness of BTSX as people start reading about DACs and the bitUSD ...

</IMHO>

BitUSD backed by different DACs are not fungible.

It's more of a branding thing. BTSX introduced BitUSD and BitAssets. So currently BitUSD is the BTSX brand. NXT would have to call there's NXTUSD or NXTBitUSD as there's is different. However if VOTE corners the market on their version of BitUSD before we cement our brand then that will become 'BitUSD' and we will become something else like BTSXUSD. It would be like losing the brand name Bitcoin in my opinion.

617
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 12:03:18 pm »
What do you mean?
There was a VOTE snapshot ... to figure out initial distribution .. for what? if not VOTE!
if there was only bitUSD as asset on the "chain" .. then what's the snapshot good for?

I do not know all the details. It is clear there will be a big VOTE component.

I guess the question is whether VOTE will look more like BTSX + dilution.
From the last answer here -  https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10118.msg132066#msg132066 it seems people may be offered debit cards with BitUSD backed by VOTE. That sounds more like BTSX to me. (VOTE will also be able to offer greater incentives because of dilution.) But as I said we don't know all the details.

618
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 11:34:09 am »
You think VOTE won't add their own BitAssets if they corner BitUSD?
But what's the snapshot for then?

What do you mean?

619
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 11:08:56 am »
That will split demand for bitUSD to a couple of bitshares "coins"...

bitshares_music bitUSD
bitsharesx_ bitUSD
bitshares_vote bitUSD
etc...
etc...
...
each time a new bitUSD version comes out... the bitUSD will get weaker and weaker... Am I missing something?
Except there is a great plan in place that will provide liquidity/demand to all different bitUSDs.

The only BitUSD can trade with Bitgold\BitSilver\BitCNY\BitBTC...directly is BTSX_BitUSD.
Vote_USD can only trade with Vote_note.
Music_USD can only trade with Music_note.
That's the value of BTSX_BitUSD.

You think VOTE won't add their own BitAssets if they corner BitUSD?

(Also if it's as big as BM thinks then from a marketing POV, BTSX loses BitUSD and it becomes BTSX-USD & BTSX-Assets. There can be only one main 'BitUSD' in the market that is not tied to the DAC name, just like there can be only one Bitcoin.)

620
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 09:21:22 am »
It's not very encouraging when the leader of the project you've invested in says the project is "hamstrung" and "limited growth potential" and now reveals this vote dac he's working on instead (with some unknown amount of transferable tech) will a have its own bitUSD rather than using bitshare's X bitUSD, which, if this was really about a way to fund BTSX would be an obvious move surely, as that directly increases the value of BTSX.  Why does it need its own bitUSD?


The product you have donated to and the marketing strategy for it is being forked by the lead developer in a project not directly snapshotted off BTSX.

Now that's an idea, if the Vote Dac snapshotted BTSX holders a portion of the shares, that would be ok.

If you have faith then you'll believe that this move will add far more value to BTSX than it will take away. I'm keeping the vast majority of my position because I believe this is the intention and will 90%+ probably be the case.

It's not very encouraging when the leader of the project you've invested in says the project is "hamstrung" and "limited growth potential" and now reveals this vote dac he's working on instead (with some unknown amount of transferable tech) will a have its own bitUSD rather than using bitshare's X bitUSD, which, if this was really about a way to fund BTSX would be an obvious move surely, as that directly increases the value of BTSX.  Why does it need its own bitUSD? 

Also there have been numerous offers by btsx holders to raise funds for btsx. If more funds would be useful then lets do a fundraiser.

All Bitshares DACs features will be usable in any other DAC with any DACs token via "atomic cross chain trading" or w/e it's called. There will not be a separate bitUSD for Vote, it will use BTSX's bitUSD. Thus if it is popular (vote) it will do marketing for BTSX as fees will be earned by BTSX by the use of bitUSD, it will provide more volume in the bitUSD market, and by buying bitUSD via vote DAC more BTSX will be tied up in the form of collateral for the bitUSD.

No. My understanding is VOTE will have it's own competing BitUSD.

Read the two questions at the end.

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10118.msg132066#msg132066

621
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 09:09:33 am »
It's not very encouraging when the leader of the project you've invested in says the project is "hamstrung" and "limited growth potential" and now reveals this vote dac he's working on instead (with some unknown amount of transferable tech) will a have its own bitUSD rather than using bitshare's X bitUSD, which, if this was really about a way to fund BTSX would be an obvious move surely, as that directly increases the value of BTSX.  Why does it need its own bitUSD?


 I have been a buyer of BitShares and BTSX since day 1. This news is the first thing I've ever sold on.

It was really painful as BTSX has such a low valuation but I didn't hesitate.

The product you have donated to and the marketing strategy for it is being forked by the lead developer in a project not directly snapshotted off BTSX. So you are now in a position more than ever  of requiring to have faith that this new DAC is not designed to directly compete with BTSX in some markets and that the lead developers positions in other DACs won't cause them to favour them more.

I'm keeping the vast majority of my position because I have faith but as a poker player, I certainly can't let faith make me the sucker at a poker table. So it is with regret that I have sold some. I will adjust my position as more information is revealed but it's frustrating to have to sell at all as BitAssets are a $100 Billion baby.







622
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 05:05:55 am »
So bytemaster, when are you planning on letting us in on the details of this brilliant new way of doing the Voting DAC? The teasing is so painful.

I'm assuming the self-funding for the project will come through dilution of Vote shares? (something that could have been done with BTSX as well if we weren't so foolish to promise a 2 billion BTSX hard cap)

I'm still finding the fact that this could have larger (or even comparable) market cap than BTSX very hard to believe, but I guess I will have to wait for the details. I assume the market cap comes from the demand for BitUSD (I am surprised the only BitAsset planned for that chain is BitUSD). Not sure where the demand for BitUSD comes from though? I don't see how holding more BitUSD would (or even should) give one more voting power in elections. I'm assuming and hoping the Voting DAC is still going to be designed with the capability of supporting traditional elections where each unique human has one vote.

The other thing I want to mention (which may very well not be relevant at all) is that if the DAC's purpose has changed to not just be about voting but to also to act as a decentralized bank and exchange AND means of paying for goods/services in the real world (essentially making BitShares X obsolete), then in my opinion it is only fair for that DAC to snapshot off of BTSX instead of PTS/AGS. But if its purpose truly is only for voting and BitShares X is the DAC meant for a store of value and to hold the BitCurrencies that the world standardizes around to pay for goods/services in the physical world, then the current snapshot of Voting DAC is fair.

1) BTSX hard cap of 2 billion is going to limit its growth potential.
2) BTSX is multi-asset exchange and there will be many clones of it for many different assets... this VOTE DAC cannot support the transaction volume of all of those assets *AND* do everything else we want it to do... thus it will not be competing with BTSX as a store of wealth or exchange with derivatives. 
3) This new DAC will be funding features that will help BTSX holders... ie: my plan to fund BTSX growth without diluting BTSX.   BTSX is just swapping its tech for BitUSD for the tech funded by the other DAC and both sides win.   As a result BTSX development funds will mostly be used for "bug fixes" and "porting features" rather than developing new features.

1. Will the VOTE DAC have it's own BitUSD backed by shares of VOTE?

2. If so do you know if the BitUSD debit cards that have been mentioned will be launched and marketed using BitUSD backed by VOTE or BitUSD backed by BTSX?

1. Yes
2. Both

Ok thanks. That makes it seem a bit like BTSX + dilution except it doesn't snapshot off BTSX.

Be interested to see what the secret sauce is.

623
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 03:10:09 am »
So bytemaster, when are you planning on letting us in on the details of this brilliant new way of doing the Voting DAC? The teasing is so painful.

I'm assuming the self-funding for the project will come through dilution of Vote shares? (something that could have been done with BTSX as well if we weren't so foolish to promise a 2 billion BTSX hard cap)

I'm still finding the fact that this could have larger (or even comparable) market cap than BTSX very hard to believe, but I guess I will have to wait for the details. I assume the market cap comes from the demand for BitUSD (I am surprised the only BitAsset planned for that chain is BitUSD). Not sure where the demand for BitUSD comes from though? I don't see how holding more BitUSD would (or even should) give one more voting power in elections. I'm assuming and hoping the Voting DAC is still going to be designed with the capability of supporting traditional elections where each unique human has one vote.

The other thing I want to mention (which may very well not be relevant at all) is that if the DAC's purpose has changed to not just be about voting but to also to act as a decentralized bank and exchange AND means of paying for goods/services in the real world (essentially making BitShares X obsolete), then in my opinion it is only fair for that DAC to snapshot off of BTSX instead of PTS/AGS. But if its purpose truly is only for voting and BitShares X is the DAC meant for a store of value and to hold the BitCurrencies that the world standardizes around to pay for goods/services in the physical world, then the current snapshot of Voting DAC is fair.

1) BTSX hard cap of 2 billion is going to limit its growth potential.
2) BTSX is multi-asset exchange and there will be many clones of it for many different assets... this VOTE DAC cannot support the transaction volume of all of those assets *AND* do everything else we want it to do... thus it will not be competing with BTSX as a store of wealth or exchange with derivatives. 
3) This new DAC will be funding features that will help BTSX holders... ie: my plan to fund BTSX growth without diluting BTSX.   BTSX is just swapping its tech for BitUSD for the tech funded by the other DAC and both sides win.   As a result BTSX development funds will mostly be used for "bug fixes" and "porting features" rather than developing new features.

1. Will the VOTE DAC have it's own BitUSD backed by shares of VOTE?

2. If so do you know if the BitUSD debit cards that have been mentioned will be launched and marketed using BitUSD backed by VOTE or BitUSD backed by BTSX?


624
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 18, 2014, 12:30:42 am »
Bitsharesx is not even close to being a finished or useable product and the core developer focus now goes to a new project?

I think you are a wise man... I also doubt anybody will listen... :(

I think BitSharesX is amazing & looking pretty good especially after the next update where shorts compete on yield. BM has said he thinks this DAC could be as big as BTSX and Stan has said there may be some synergy between the two. Personally I'd probably recommend BM takes a bit of a break because I can't imagine all the work and time he must have put into BTSX in the last few months. However if he's passionate about getting stuck into another project that will probably also benefit BTSX, I say thanks and good luck! :)

But btsx is not useable. There's no mobile wallet, there's no ability to integrate it with a POS system. Shorts paying interest is not going to add any value on its own, it will only make a difference if there is a reason to either buy bitUSD or go long btsx and currently there is no such reason. There must be trade inside the system for it to create any value.

The vote DAC being as big as btsx means nothing, because currently btsx is nothing. It has no actual users, only Chinese speculators and western true believers.

BTSX has the potential to become what everyone has thought bitcoin would become, the system that liberates mankind. But that will only happen if it is made to happen, and currently there are some crucial pieces missing before it will be ready for lift off.

I realize that dan and the team have already done a tremendous lot, but if they finish what they started they will earn the right to rest for the rest of their lives. Right now is really not the time to rest.

Oh yeah, I believe all of those things you mentioned are happening & I presume BM will be as involved as he needs to be. Again as I said in another thread, BM came up with BTSX, he knows how big it can be & he's put loads into it to make it a reality from just an idea. If he's working on something else, I'm sure he's confident he can handle both & that there are reasons for it.

Dan is incredibly smart but that doesn't mean he cannot make mistakes. In this case starting a new project is a huge mistake. Btsx doesn't even have a mobile wallet or the capability for pos integration. Every single cent of the current market cap is entirely speculative, all based on future expectations. There is not a single actual user. If those expectations fail to appear in a reasonable timeframe, the entire market cap will evaporate. If it turns out that the main person behind the entire thing now has his heart set on other things then patience will turn to panic. Btsx will die, and every other bitshares DAC will die alongside it.

Saying "I'm sure [...] there are reasons for it" literally means that you are unable to think of any reasons for it.

The CAP is not entirely speculative. BitAssets work, the peg works. I am a user, I own BitAssets.
If the banks collapsed tomorrow my BitAssets would still be fine without all the add-ons. So there is a lot of genuine value included in the current CAP.

I also often react to things and write and will continue to write my fair share of 'The sky is falling down' posts but the sky is not falling down, every single cent of it is not speculative, every single BitShares DAC will not die... 

As for the reasons, yes you're right I'm not clear what they are, as not all has been revealed yet (& I'll probably disagree with some of them when they are) It took about 6 months but I have a lot of confidence in BM and so I don't always need to know all the details to be very comfortable about my position.

 

625
General Discussion / Re: What is the Coin Limit on BTSX now?
« on: October 18, 2014, 12:00:16 am »
The first paragraph you quoted is about Ripple.
They're the ones that changed their share numbers.

(Ripple has 100 Billion shares but as only 8% are actually on the market they have been valued by that. However when BitSharesX took the no.3 spot on coinmarketcap, Ripple decided that another 20 Billion or so XRP they had earmarked for investors/partners deserved to count towards their CAP. Something like that. But yeah BTSX would be no.3 if it wasn't for that re-jig. You can look at the Ripple graph and see the change on Aug 26 or something.)

Yea thanks for pointing that out, it was so obvious to me I didn't even realize the OP might be thinking that was actually done for BTSX! That kind of silly (deceitful even) behaviour is of course a Ripple thing, not Bitshares.

I wasn't trying to be deceitful.. I've been talking up Bitshares to friends, and they are sending me this stuff, and to be honest, I thought it was about Bitshares too...

Thanks for the clarification.  Maybe you guys can fix that on Bitcointalk! I have the link there, but here it is again:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=658541.msg9226591#msg9226591

maybe others are misinterpreting that too

[do you want me to delete/change to OP?]

I wouldn't worry about changing the OP and SVK wasn't saying that you were being deceitful, he was referring to Ripple. (Saying that them changing their CAP like that was silly and even deceitful.)

pointed it out to them!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=658541.msg9239906#msg9239906

---- thanks btw, for the link to your site: http://www.bitsharesblocks.com/home  ---------

quick questions: What if all the Unclaimed: 708,327,308 BTSX show up all of a sudden... ?

That could TANK the price... or is there a reason these have not been claimed?  are they being slowly released/claimed?

and have all the rest been actually disbursed?  are they all in circulation, the 1.3 billion?



BTSX was awarded 50/50 to AGS & PTS. Both of those are very well distributed, so there is no one person or small group that owns all that unclaimed stake.

The stake is being slowly claimed as BTSX becomes more stable but it's possible some of that stake might not be claimed. The people claiming are free to sell but are unlikely to dump as they were early donators in just an idea and now they have a piece of a DAC that is looking awesome & may overtake Bitcoin in less than a year.

626
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 17, 2014, 11:43:35 pm »
Bitsharesx is not even close to being a finished or useable product and the core developer focus now goes to a new project?

I think you are a wise man... I also doubt anybody will listen... :(

I think BitSharesX is amazing & looking pretty good especially after the next update where shorts compete on yield. BM has said he thinks this DAC could be as big as BTSX and Stan has said there may be some synergy between the two. Personally I'd probably recommend BM takes a bit of a break because I can't imagine all the work and time he must have put into BTSX in the last few months. However if he's passionate about getting stuck into another project that will probably also benefit BTSX, I say thanks and good luck! :)

But btsx is not useable. There's no mobile wallet, there's no ability to integrate it with a POS system. Shorts paying interest is not going to add any value on its own, it will only make a difference if there is a reason to either buy bitUSD or go long btsx and currently there is no such reason. There must be trade inside the system for it to create any value.

The vote DAC being as big as btsx means nothing, because currently btsx is nothing. It has no actual users, only Chinese speculators and western true believers.

BTSX has the potential to become what everyone has thought bitcoin would become, the system that liberates mankind. But that will only happen if it is made to happen, and currently there are some crucial pieces missing before it will be ready for lift off.

I realize that dan and the team have already done a tremendous lot, but if they finish what they started they will earn the right to rest for the rest of their lives. Right now is really not the time to rest.

Oh yeah, I believe all of those things you mentioned are happening & I presume BM will be as involved as he needs to be. Again as I said in another thread, BM came up with BTSX, he knows how big it can be & he's put loads into it to make it a reality from just an idea. If he's working on something else, I'm sure he's confident he can handle both & that there are reasons for it.

627
Migration of PTS to BTSX asset is what I think is called for.

That would be great. As long as anyone is still able to buy and sell it as desired.


Also, if we make PTS an asset inside BTSX, then instead of just being the #11 or so coin on coinmarketcap currency page, it can be #1-2 on the asset page.  We will have a something Bitshares related near the top of both lists! :)

 +5% Yeah it's a big decision and a short time frame. BM came up with the whole concept of PTS in the first place so I'm sure it's not something he's proposed lightly.

So I'm ok with it. Making PTS DPOS makes sense if we believe in DPOS and rather than having another 101 delegate system it makes sense to put it on BTSX. It would probably put it at no.2 on the coinmarketcap asset list which will become more important over time.

628
General Discussion / Re: VOTE DAC Just Got More Interesting 2.0
« on: October 17, 2014, 11:14:24 pm »
Bitsharesx is not even close to being a finished or useable product and the core developer focus now goes to a new project?

I think you are a wise man... I also doubt anybody will listen... :(

I think BitSharesX is amazing & looking pretty good especially after the next update where shorts compete on yield. BM has said he thinks this DAC could be as big as BTSX and Stan has said there may be some synergy between the two. Personally I'd probably recommend BM takes a bit of a break because I can't imagine all the work and time he must have put into BTSX in the last few months. However if he's passionate about getting stuck into another project that will probably also benefit BTSX, I say thanks and good luck! :)



629
General Discussion / Re: What if America isn't the best place for BitUSD?
« on: October 17, 2014, 09:20:12 pm »
I remember Max Keiser was all over it as well, I think that really helped, he has quite a platform.
I think his pump juice is much weaker now though, felt kind of sad watching him try do the same thing for MaxCoin.

Keiser is involved with Startcoin now though ;)

Keiser had no actual involvement with MaxCoin, other than to allow others use his name.  He's the anti-Kanye. Startcoin is his project, along with the Startjoin crowd funding platform.

I remember him doing what I would describe as 'pumping MaxCoin' a few times though.

I've seen him do a couple of things on Startcoin. I like him but I don't get to watch him as much these days though. I actually don't follow the alt-coin market much at all really atm as I'm so into BitShares.
BitAssets are the Sh*$! :)

630
General Discussion / Re: Argentina & Venezuela
« on: October 17, 2014, 09:11:50 pm »
Relavent article: http://www.coindesk.com/bitpagos-brings-bitcoin-8000-convenience-stores-ripio/

A BitPagos partnership would bring BitUSD to over 8000 convenience stores in Argentina.

 +5% definitely, I forgot about that, I've brought them up before

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=7683.msg102058#msg102058

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