Notes are the collateral required for the BitUSD used on the music blockchain.
So if we manage to displace a billion dollar music industry (meaning tons of BitUSD now trading around on the BitShares Music blockchain) that means a LOT of demand for Notes since they are needed as collateral for each an every BitUSD.
Does that make sense?
cob, i know this is the intuition of many people, but I don't think it's right as I explain in this thread here for bitUSD at BTSX...
https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=10690.0If I could explain this in the most intuitive way I can, demand for the unit of account (lets call it NoteUSD) encourages arbitragers to move the Notes they have on hand into the collateral pool by shorting NoteUSD at a favourable price. It creates a shift in where people hold their Notes, but not in the total demand people have for Notes.
The demand people have for Notes is determined by the return potential people see for the Notes themselves. That will depend on how demand for the NoteUSD translates into actual sales of music or other sources or revenue. If this is too little to justify an increase in the demand for Notes then Notes valuation will not rise as an automatic consequence of demand for NoteUSD. Further if Notes valuation does not rise as fast as NoteUSD market cap, the Notes valuation places a ceiling on how much NoteUSD can be issued (NoteUSD demands at least 3x that value be stored in the collateral pool).
So the business model for Notes needs to rely on music sales (or other sources of revenue), not just growth in holdings of NoteUSD.
For various arguments for and against this view, it is best to refer to the thread rather than repeat them here. Although I can't call it a proof, I'm fairly comfortable with the conclusions.