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General Discussion / Re: Why there is so little trading volume on the DEX
« on: February 09, 2016, 01:53:27 am »How can you judge a certain fee level makes referral program "useless"? Do you think $10 fee per transfer is more useful for referral program?Bottom line: There is still a fairly reasonable risk that the referral program is either removed or altered in the future. This would have large effects on implementing mt4 in hopes of using the referral program to generate income.
For both alter or remove the referral program there would be need the shareholders approval.
Both in the case of a committee proposal trying to change some parameters, or for a deeper action involving an hardfork.
So, even if something happens on the referral program, in the end is all due to shareholders voting.
Please stop give the impression that the committee members could change things just because.
If I'm not mistaken, transfer fee's could be lowered enough to make the referral program useless. Those fee's are controlled by the committee. Committee members have directly expressed the desire to lower the transfer fee's to knock out the referral program because it is not popular or accepted in China. Even BM has expressed, in mumble, an interest in lowering transfer fee's enough to make the referral program useless.
I'm not doing this just to spread fud... Building a plugin for mt4 will be expensive. Just the license will cost 50k-100k. Plus probably another 50k in development time. The referral program being left in it's current state would be absolutely critical for this to work and be profitable. That's a lot of resources and a lot of risk to be left hanging at the whim of what seems like a fairly polarized committee.
Can you provide a number how reduced fee kills referral program?
You really wan't me to explain how lowering the transfer fee's to 1 bts kills the referall program??
Ok... say mt4 integration cost $100k. Profit from this is based on referrals from people who create a wallet that is used in the mt4 terminal. Right now there are approximately 100k retail trading account in the US. Lets just say on average a trader makes 3 round trip trades a day. Say bts captures 1% of this market. 1,000 traders making 6 trades a day = 6,000 trades. 6,000 * 1bts = $21/day... The time to pay off the 100k dollar debt to implement mt4 would take 4,761 days or 13 years. This makes mt4 integration a non-starter as maintenance costs would probably add another 6 years onto the time it takes to get profitable.
Now lets say that the trader generates 30bts... take 80% of that (24bts) as the return for a trade. 6,000 * 24bts = $504/day. Time to pay off the debt is 198 days. Investors are back in the black in less than 10% of the time all while squishing spreads, adding liquidity and generating real profit for the blockchain. The transfer fee is $0.10, substantially less than what traders currently pay. Why have a race to 0 fee's when there is no reason to do it???