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Messages - pendragon3

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46
I doubt the community can help all that much with ideas and suggestions right now, seeing as how the website and blockchain aren't launched yet. Better to wait to do a mumble until next month, after the soft launch. Besides, cob, Eddie, et al are probably super busy now.

47
General Discussion / Re: Our New Website Is Live!
« on: February 01, 2015, 05:15:18 pm »
1. Under "Get started", shouldn't the user be told/shown that syncing with the blockchain the 1st time after installing can take a while, so that they are patient and don't give up in frustration? Another picture of what the wallet screen looks like while syncing would be helpful here.

2. What is the source for the BitUSD price info at the top of the welcome page? It seems to be off compared to coinmarketcap.com.

48
General Discussion / Re: Our New Website Is Live!
« on: February 01, 2015, 04:23:29 pm »
Nice job.

What about a link for Merchants? Wasn't uptake by merchants supposed to be one of the keys to getting widespread adoption by the masses?

49
General Discussion / Re: Do we need a new logo?
« on: January 19, 2015, 03:42:58 am »
The proposed alternative icon in the op looks a lot like what Hyperledger already has.

50
General Discussion / Re: Full Pay Delegates for Gateways
« on: December 28, 2014, 10:31:23 pm »
First of all, it depends on what type of gateways we're talking about. Gateways for BTC, BTS are well and good, but what we really need most of all is on- and off-ramps between BitUSD and fiat. I can't think of anything else (except for perhaps a stable client and good user experience) that is more important for BitShares' success. It's the BitUSD/USD ramps that BitShares desperately needs to tap into the mass market, appeal to merchants, and achieve a huge network effect. Marketing is also important, but marketing by itself doesn't guarantee victory--just look at Bitcoin, which, despite receiving a ton of mainstream media attention (e.g., the recent Bitcoin Bowl) is still only used by a tiny fraction of the population. But good marketing + robust fiat on/off ramps? That would be an awesome combination that would be a nearly sufficient condition for BitShares' success, IMO.

Overall, I'm in favor of establishing gateway-focused delegate positions because it's easy to underestimate the risks, costs, and time involved in setting up a strong fiat gateway. It's not just a matter of technology development; there are KYC and regulatory issues as well. This is clearly hard stuff. If it weren't, no doubt Bp and others would've announced multiple deals and partnerships by now. So, sufficient incentives need to be in place for exchanges or other entities to take the plunge and be the first to develop the types of gateways we need. We could always try asking the Coinbases and BitStamps of the world nicely, but I doubt that by itself will be very effective.

Gateway-centric delegate positions could (1) serve as a reward for creating and maintaining BitUSD/USD gateways or (2) provide a mechanism for funding a pool of free samples that can help encourage exchanges to try BitUSD. IIRC, that's how Ripple got BitStamp to become a XRP gateway--they gave them a bulk amount of XRP upfront.

This area of infrastructure development should be made a key focus of BitShares NOW given the substantial time lag that will be needed to develop a robust system of ramps and gateways.

51
General Discussion / Re: You guys don't understand devshares.
« on: December 27, 2014, 05:26:05 pm »
I respectfully disagree. If the goal of Devshares is to enable rigorous testing, and the testers will be mostly devs or large BTS holders, it makes little sense to sharedrop 100% to them. It would give testers a perverse incentive to not do any really revealing tests in the wild that could break things and jeopardize the value of their Devshares.
Having said that, I think a nonzero allocation to BTS would be reasonable. The balanced sharedrop originally proposed (1/3 to each of BTS, PTS, AGS) keeps things simple and makes sense to me.



52
General Discussion / Re: You guys don't understand devshares.
« on: December 26, 2014, 05:19:02 am »
"Sharedropping to" PTS is different from "working for" PTS, is it not?

53
General Discussion / Re: BitUSD onramp
« on: December 26, 2014, 05:07:35 am »
A lot of these features and services will come to fruition around the end of 2016 I would think.

That would be way too late, I think. Getting a good set of on- and off-ramps for BitUSD soon should be THE top priority for BitShares (once a stable, user-friendly client is ready). Working towards that goal in a leisurely fashion would be a huge mistake, IMO. BitShares really could use a group of people working on gateways and on- and off-ramps 'round the clock, much like what we thought Bp was or should have been doing.

Make no mistake, the market-pegged BitUSD is BitShares' most important vehicle for achieving rapid worldwide adoption and network effect. In this respect, BitUSD constitutes a key strategic advantage that no competitor currently has. I'd even argue that BitGold, for example, isn't as important to BitShares right now as BitUSD is. Many other cryptocurrencies and protocols could come up with a legitimate competitor to gold and BitGold. All that is required is a relatively fixed supply of coins or shares. In some future economic environment, a solid non-inflationary currency could be almost on par with gold in terms of protecting against the value loss from holding fiat currencies.

For the time being, the USD is relatively strong and stable, so that gives BitShares an unique advantage over other cryptos and a tremendous opportunity to quickly grow its user base. But that advantage won't last forever. BitUSD can be copied by others, and its appeal to the masses is predicated on the perception that USD is a stable, safe store of value.

We must strike while the iron is hot. That means getting BitUSD gateways/ramps ASAP.


54
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 18, 2014, 03:43:48 pm »
Quote
Ok, I misunderstood your answer. I thought you were saying swift only transferred $22M / day! So, what is the true daily volume?

I don't know that answer but still... even if it is trillions a swift message will  cost you $20 irrespective of how much money you transfer..

The whole argument here is I am trying to compare "swift" as a company with "ripple" as a company (which obviously will provide a better and much cheaper service than swift in the future) and Bitshares company..

So if "swift" as a company is worth now $20 - $40 bil then "ripple" as a company worthing $2.5 bil is overvalued..
BTS as a company worth anything below $500 mil is way undervalued... Now which one of these have the most upside potential with the least risk? that is the question to be answered and i think the answer is obvious...

I think that's over complicating matters; to get a ballpark idea of the relative valuations, just using transaction volume alone will give you some idea. Then you can use the same metric to compare bitshares current valuation to what it would be if it replaced n% of the transaction volume of swift/ripple.

I don't think ripple XRP will replace Swift anytime soon, if ever. Swift is evolving and adapting, and the shareholders of Swift are the very institutions that use it. And if the value of replacing Swift with ripple ever grew large enough to make it worthwhile, institutions would just create their own fork rather than give up all the value.

55
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 17, 2014, 05:15:24 pm »
Another +18% today, it's now at ~$2.4 billion market cap and over half of Bitcoin if you count the full supply... Really blows my mind..

Wouldn't it be much lower than that if there wasn't a few huge whales that don't sell? (read here the devs that have the majority of XRP "available" on the market).

I mean a little buying pressure and you're through the roof in market cap if less than 10% of the coins are really in circulation (I speculate on the % value in circulation, no hard fact). And the fact is that the pump is continuous, no major correction and its up 500% this fall... I don't see regular crypto market behavior here, as there's always a correction after a steep increase in market cap...

???

Yes, a simple explanation could be that since the supply is so extremely centralized it could just be a case of one of the big whales withholding supply, but on the other hand there's been huge and sustained volumes for a long time now. As you say it's normal crypto behaviour since we haven't had a correction yet, if this is a pump and dump it's the biggest one the (crypto) world has ever seen..

Actually, it wouldn't be too hard to engineer a P&D. Prices on the front page of coinmarketcap are volume-weighted averages of prices at individual exchanges, if I understand correctly. The volumes, and hence the weights, are based on a time average (24 hrs?) and are relatively stable. But the prices on individual exchanges (eg, BTC38) are most recent prices and easy to move.

So, it's possible to target the high-volume exchanges like BTC38 and disproportionately increase or support the market cap with small amounts.

Thus, if you wanted to, you could use a relatively small amount of funds to manipulate and support the overall market cap on Coinmarketcap. Then, other retail sheep investors or momentum investors would be drawn in, inadvertently supporting the price (at least for a while).

I'm not saying this is necessarily what's been happening with Ripple XRP, but the price disparity between BTC38 and other exchanges seems consistent with the possibility of an intentional effort to cause a price rise.



56
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 17, 2014, 05:23:12 am »
agree with Rune, Ripple rise would be rather positive for BitShares.
Both because it draws serious institutional attention into crypto 2.0 projects, and because BitShares is complementary to Ripple.

Ripple  is targeting to replace SWIFT etc. for the existing banking system, with the nodes will likely be controlled by some interbanking network. So not exactly centralised, but definitely not as decentralised and democratic as BTS!

Much higher XRP market cap is reflective in my view of rather mature system. As far as I understand, Ripple Labs had certain time advance versus Invictus with regards to product design, team building, development, marketing. BTS is much more "work in progress with moving targets" which will imo a fundamentally new type of economic organization and will prove its strength over time due to its inherent flexibility.

Still, just a few months ago, Ripple had major issues with dev team stability and initial stakes distributions, suffering huge declines in market cap (from $10bn peak for all 100bn xrp in Dec 2013 to some $400m a few months ago). The possible reversal of the fortunes now provides a good example for BitShares to stick in and continue to work on improvements, resolving issues, and keeping enthusiasm independently of price action...

I'm thinking that the recent upward surge in Ripple XRP might be driven largely by Chinese investors, which is reminiscent of what happened to BTC last Nov. Interestingly, when you click on the price details of XRP on Coinmarketcap, you see that the BTC38 price (XRP/CNY in $ terms) is way higher than prices on the other high-volume ripple exchanges. This price gap has been persistent for a while, suggesting that Chinese traders have been leading the price upwards.

The same pattern is also apparent for Stellar, Jed McCaleb's offshoot of Ripple.



57
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 16, 2014, 03:08:22 pm »
So all those smart people at Ripple forums who said that Ripple is the next big thing were right after all... so much for it being centralized to fail...
Price rallies and its next big thing?? really?


Sometimes, perceptions can become reality. If ripple manages to overtake btc in market cap, they will be a more formidable competitor for BitShares, without some of the key weaknesses of Bitcoin: slow confirmation time, wasteful mining, and changing supply. They will then get a lot of attention from the community. They will also have a really big war chest in terms of XRP that they can spend to fund development.

Be afraid. Be very afraid.

Which all points to the importance for BitShares of getting to a stable Client 1.0 as soon as possible. Every day that goes by without that further reduces our chances of success.

Ripple surpassing bitcoin is a huge opportunity for bitshares, not a threat. It will signal the beginning of the altcoin era and many bitcoin investors will finally begin taking a serious look at the altcoins. Everyone who believes in privacy and decentralization will go with bitshares rather than ripple, and goldbug/prepper/libertarian types will be especially attracted to it because it has the same antifragile and decentralized properties that people originally thought bitcoin possessed.

You may be right for the longer term, but the market doesn't seem to agree currently.

Right now, the vast majority of people don't care that much about decentralization and extra privacy--if they did, crypto would've already had much faster and broader uptake among the general populous.

58
General Discussion / Re: ripple rally
« on: December 16, 2014, 02:43:58 pm »
So all those smart people at Ripple forums who said that Ripple is the next big thing were right after all... so much for it being centralized to fail...
Price rallies and its next big thing?? really?


Sometimes, perceptions can become reality. If ripple manages to overtake btc in market cap, they will be a more formidable competitor for BitShares, without some of the key weaknesses of Bitcoin: slow confirmation time, wasteful mining, and changing supply. They will then get a lot of attention from the community. They will also have a really big war chest in terms of XRP that they can spend to fund development.

Be afraid. Be very afraid.

Which all points to the importance for BitShares of getting to a stable Client 1.0 as soon as possible. Every day that goes by without that further reduces our chances of success.

59
What's done is done. We should not cause more distractions by insisting that official marketing divulge any strategic plans that may already be in motion, lest we lose a competitive advantage. Fortunately, the most recent incentives for Bp's team were contingent in nature, so no deliverable means little additional cost. There may have been an opportunity cost, but again that's in the past, and insisting on an audit or disclosure of the past will not help recover that sunk cost. Keep in mind that some of the work that Bp was doing might involve discussions with on ramp/off ramp partners and might not be things they can talk about for now. Transparency is important, but demanding transparency about the past is not productive at this stage.

Besides, it sounds as if Adam is already reaching out to those doing community marketing. And who knows--the past official marketing efforts may yet deliver something.

Better to focus on other, more productive endeavors, like getting us to Client 1.0 and building awareness of BTS among the BTC and altcoin communities.

60
General Discussion / Ripple approaching $2 billion mkt cap
« on: December 16, 2014, 05:04:26 am »
Anyone who is even a casual observer of Coinmarketcap has seen that Ripple has been on a very strong uptrend over the past month or so, even as Bitcoin and nearly all other cryptos have languished.

If you consider all of the XRP ripple currency units (most are not necessarily freely traded, but they are outstanding), the market cap is nearing $2 billion. That's almost fifty times (50x) the market capitalization of BitShares.  :o

Maybe Ripple is on a trajectory to displace Bitcoin as #1. Maybe BTSers should be alarmed and just a little worried. Thoughts?

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