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Messages - luckybit

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301
General Discussion / Re: Is so called "kill switch" a DPOS vulnerability?
« on: November 09, 2015, 01:00:06 am »
According to the forum user named Huntercrafterminers , "kill switch": an ability of the genesis block generator to erase the whole chain and restart it. To the rest of I3 team , is this possible? or the guy is only spreading FUD?

Is this still possible?

302
What use case do you want to support, an exchange or a currency?
Exchange!

I totally agree wit BM. If we can charge the "network fee" of 0.1~0.15% on traders, referrers will get much more money.
BitShares first should be the trader's heaven, no counterparty risks, decent trading speed (1~3sec), honest orderbook, and lower fees (slightly maybe).
If our system is attractive, bots and traders will come and generate money.

Looking forward to reading the worker proposal!

It's much more complicated than that. Without the bond market and prediction market, or margin trading, what is the liquidity supposed to come from? Traders need loans to keep trading. There has to be profit taking from somewhere.

The referral market is a great idea and I support any plans to expand or continue the growth of it, but it's not enough. We need a loan market. People who for example make money from the referrals might benefit form margin trading. Other people who make money from referrals might want a place to park their wealth and might decide loaning for a safe 1-5% in interest is best. Another person might launch a UIA of a decentralized market fund and let everyone who holds it collect dividends.

We need as many different opportunities for profit making as we can generate. We then need to advertise the opportunities to take a profit. If the UI/UX is sufficient, and the profit opportunities are ubiquitous, there will be an endless supply of profit takers and then Bitshares will be flooded with liquidity.

Profit opportunity acts as the bait which attracts everyone to Bitshares. If there isn't any known way to make a profit we will not do much trading. Right now it's too hard to use the interface or to make a profit. I'm unable to figure Bitshares 2.0 out well enough to know how to take a profit and it seems most everyone is losing money trying to trade right now.

There aren't any blogs set up to show people how to trade. How do you expect to attract traders when you don't have a network of blogs showing people your trading schemes and spreadsheets examining how much money you made? There isn't even a troll box so people who are making money can discuss it while they are making money.

As a result, it looks like Bitshares isn't being used at all. If anyone is using it to make money they seem to prefer to keep everything a secret. Keeping it a secret is not going to market the platform. The way to market the platform is to bring profit making opportunities to regular people.

Prediction markets, bond markets, margin trading, referral markets, crowd funding, and as soon as legal, equity crowd funding. Do that and you'll have plenty of advertising not coming from the forum, but from people launching crowd fund campaigns on the Bitshares platform, or from people making lots of money trading on the Bitshares platform, the sort of people who make a living trading on the Bitshares platform are the best possible marketing to professional traders. Show it's possible to be a professional trader and you'll attract more people who want to be professional traders.

I am about 90% sure the worker proposal includes margin trading. ...prediction market just needs a gui.

The priority of the community should be to get margin trading and prediction markets into Bitshares 2.0 as quickly as possible. If you want to see the share price go back up, if you want to have an easier time marketing Bitshares, add these two features. Fund the worker proposals ASAP.

The GUI for the prediction market can be done simultaneously with adding margin trading. The loan interface in addition should also allow people to borrow to buy UIAs. This way if there is a crowd fund situation a person could take a loan to buy as much as they can during the crowd fund, effectively giving them a sort of margin capability for that as well.


303
What is the use case of Bitshares for average user at moment? Buy and Hold. Buy and Hold doesn't generate a lot of fees which doesn't generate alot of income for referrers.There is anything for them to use it for yet. The only thing for the average user to do is refer other users. What is the average user using bitshares for at the moment?. The infrastructure is still being built. Currently there is use case for traders. They have  an immediate use for Bitshares. They can trade between other assets/uia and use bitusd to hedge. Traders are the immediate customer for Bitshares. They will generate the most fees for referrers. Until an average user can buy groceries or pay bills with bitusd they wont be generating fees because they wont be transferring BitAssets anyway.

 +5%, referral programme has limited value atm

The referral program won't work without a product to sell.

The core product is BitAssets, but without a credible plan for liquidity/incentives for market makers it will be very slow going to attract regular customers.

If you're struggling to artificially create BitAsset liquidity then you have to look at introducing other key sellable products that will bring  users in and who will slowly create that liquidity over time. But paying more people to promote BTS but with nothing users want to buy when they get here is not the answer imo. 


We can see from the recent LTC and BTC pyramid ponzi schemes that when people are incentivised to promote crypto related products they can quickly go viral.

So combine a legitimate referral programme with an innovative and useful crypto product  & you do have the recipe for great results.

I think the referral program is the most attractive and valuable feature of Bitshares at the moment. The main reason people use any exchange or get involved with Bitcoin is to make money. One way or another it's about making money.

If you're offering products and or services for Bitcoin it's because you would like to acquire Bitcoin. If you're mining Bitcoin it's because you would like to acquire Bitcoin. You would not care to acquire Bitcoin if Bitcoin were not worth significant USD/fiat.

People trade to make money, people market and evangelize to make money.  Bitshares is the first and so far only network which has no barrier to entry in profit making. With Bitcoin you can't get paid to evangalize and if you can't mine it with your CPU anymore you cannot say the barrier to entry is low anymore. You don't have a lot of simple easy ways to earn Bitcoins which is why it's slow to catch on.

On the other hand if Bitshares is something anyone can earn with time and effort it will spread like a wild fire. Traders who make a profit on an exchange tend to keep trading on that exchange. So if there are many opportunities for profit on an exchange they might favor that exchange by giving their liquidity to it. Nice GUI and features do help, but ultimately it's just either a profit making activity or not. If traders are on the losing end of the trade then the ecosystem has to profit them with ways to earn enough BTS to keep trading.

The bond market is probably the best way to create a strong ecosystem for traders. Anyone can loan and earn interest. The interest could then be used as part of their personal trading fund. So the main issue Bitshares seems to be having is lack of a closed loop economy.

Programmers and the inner circle of witnesses make plenty of money in the current economy, but these are too few people to properly bring Bitshares to the masses. A prediction market would allow the masses to make money, and when they make money they can evolve into traders. Minebitshares was supposed to be a way to bring the masses in because the masses typically earn money from mining and then trade what they earn. Prediction markets would be even better than mining if it were to catch on, and winners could go and trade.
What is the use case of Bitshares for average user at moment? Buy and Hold. Buy and Hold doesn't generate a lot of fees which doesn't generate alot of income for referrers.There is anything for them to use it for yet. The only thing for the average user to do is refer other users. What is the average user using bitshares for at the moment?. The infrastructure is still being built. Currently there is use case for traders. They have  an immediate use for Bitshares. They can trade between other assets/uia and use bitusd to hedge. Traders are the immediate customer for Bitshares. They will generate the most fees for referrers. Until an average user can buy groceries or pay bills with bitusd they wont be generating fees because they wont be transferring BitAssets anyway.

This is exactly it. The average user needs an entry point into the Bitshares economy. EarnBitShares, MineBitShares, Prediction Market, Bond Market, Crowd Funding, and whatever else. The current community is going to have to take advantage of UIAs and private assets to create the age of opportunity for new entrants. A new person seeing Bitshares for the first time should be overwhelmed with all the ways people are making money off the blockchain and it should look like easy money.

Bitcoin looked like easy money at first. Anyone could just download the client, mine, and start generating money. When it was GPU mining, even after Bitcoin mining had died down, there was a long period from 2013-2014 where anyone with a GPU or CPU could mine and there were coins along the way like Primecoin, Protoshares, and many many others, where people were able to earn hundreds or thousands of dollars a month, and then they could trade with it.

So the money from trading which grew Poloneix and similar centralized exchanges came from the mining culture which backed it.  Because Bitshares has no mining culture, it will require that a new culture form in order to allow people to work within the ecosystem. We cannot tell people to work a day job and then buy Bitshares to trade on the exchange because that isn't how professional traders do things and isn't the culture. They will probably not buy lifetime accounts unless they somehow earned the money to buy those accounts from the Bitshares ecosystem.

It becomes easy to sell lifetime accounts to people who already make money from Bitshares prediction markets for example.

304
What use case do you want to support, an exchange or a currency?
Exchange!

I totally agree wit BM. If we can charge the "network fee" of 0.1~0.15% on traders, referrers will get much more money.
BitShares first should be the trader's heaven, no counterparty risks, decent trading speed (1~3sec), honest orderbook, and lower fees (slightly maybe).
If our system is attractive, bots and traders will come and generate money.

Looking forward to reading the worker proposal!

It's much more complicated than that. Without the bond market and prediction market, or margin trading, what is the liquidity supposed to come from? Traders need loans to keep trading. There has to be profit taking from somewhere.

The referral market is a great idea and I support any plans to expand or continue the growth of it, but it's not enough. We need a loan market. People who for example make money from the referrals might benefit form margin trading. Other people who make money from referrals might want a place to park their wealth and might decide loaning for a safe 1-5% in interest is best. Another person might launch a UIA of a decentralized market fund and let everyone who holds it collect dividends.

We need as many different opportunities for profit making as we can generate. We then need to advertise the opportunities to take a profit. If the UI/UX is sufficient, and the profit opportunities are ubiquitous, there will be an endless supply of profit takers and then Bitshares will be flooded with liquidity.

Profit opportunity acts as the bait which attracts everyone to Bitshares. If there isn't any known way to make a profit we will not do much trading. Right now it's too hard to use the interface or to make a profit. I'm unable to figure Bitshares 2.0 out well enough to know how to take a profit and it seems most everyone is losing money trying to trade right now.

There aren't any blogs set up to show people how to trade. How do you expect to attract traders when you don't have a network of blogs showing people your trading schemes and spreadsheets examining how much money you made? There isn't even a troll box so people who are making money can discuss it while they are making money.

As a result, it looks like Bitshares isn't being used at all. If anyone is using it to make money they seem to prefer to keep everything a secret. Keeping it a secret is not going to market the platform. The way to market the platform is to bring profit making opportunities to regular people.

Prediction markets, bond markets, margin trading, referral markets, crowd funding, and as soon as legal, equity crowd funding. Do that and you'll have plenty of advertising not coming from the forum, but from people launching crowd fund campaigns on the Bitshares platform, or from people making lots of money trading on the Bitshares platform, the sort of people who make a living trading on the Bitshares platform are the best possible marketing to professional traders. Show it's possible to be a professional trader and you'll attract more people who want to be professional traders.


305
From a referrer perspective, which is going to generate you more money:  referring 100 people each of which does a few transfers per year  or referring one person who does day trading?

If we can get the day traders then we make money.   Much easier and much more profitable.   I am thinking that the lifetime value of a day trader is much higher than the LTV of a regular user.  This means that the LTM fees should be much higher.

This is very speculative. Sure in the short term a day trader is more valuable but not in the long term.

Also the regular users become day traders. Bitcoin miners became day traders. Referral markets could take their profits and then be day traders as a second job.

I do think if regular users are signing up but not actually using Bitshares that could be a problem but it's so early we don't have much data to work with. There isn't a lot of opportunities which Bitshares is offering and ultimately opportunities to make money will bring in regular people and make them into day traders.

I think the main issue is lack of liquidity, and the bond market can bring the liquidity along with prediction markets.

*** NOT CANCELING THE REFERRAL PROGRAM **

You should not believe everything you read on these forums ;)

 +5% Excellent.

306
I'd like to get a definitive answer.

Perhaps my goal is to make BitShares successful and indirectly I benefit. Besides, there's more to a business than just getting some referral income, which according to your numbers (so far at least) doesn't look sustainable as a profitable business, especially if you consider what it would cost to obtain a CNX license before you signed up 42 new users for a 2500 BTS reward.

And that is the secret to the success or failure of Bitshares. Developers have to create as many technical ways for us to make BitShares successful while allowing us to indirectly benefit. The more we can align the two the better the ecosystem will get.

The referral program is just the beginning of course. There is also the Brownie.PTS, the crowd funding opportunities, the potential bond market, the potential prediction market, so we have to basically bootstrap an industry and attract people to the community with mutually benefiting profit opportunities.
If his stats show 42 users / 2500 bts reward figures, then that means none of his referred users upgraded to annual/lifetime accounts, otherwise it would reflect a much higher reward.

currently it's ~10 LT per 1000 sign-ups. this is a numbers game, don't bother looking at my 44 users.

anyways, if BM makes true what he said in today's mumble there's no need to talk about referral program or earning money here anymore. since that will be dead
Can you explain please, I wasn't in the mumble and this sounds like something I want to hear.

there will be a proposal by him, basically nulling all fees except for trading fees.

sounds good at the beginning, but there's absolutely no need for regular users to upgrade their accounts. that makes 10 LT per 1000 to MAYBE 1 (an active trader) per 1000. there's no way a marketer can sustain at that level.

While I wasn't at the mumble today, if he's going to cancel the referral program then I do not support it. The referral program needs to be active for a few months before there are any proposals to cancel any fees.

Whether a marketer can sustain or not is not important. What is important is that it's possible to earn money, it's a job, and if you cut that job away you'll have less of an ecosystem and even less people will want to be involved.

307
I'd like to get a definitive answer.

Perhaps my goal is to make BitShares successful and indirectly I benefit. Besides, there's more to a business than just getting some referral income, which according to your numbers (so far at least) doesn't look sustainable as a profitable business, especially if you consider what it would cost to obtain a CNX license before you signed up 42 new users for a 2500 BTS reward.

And that is the secret to the success or failure of Bitshares. Developers have to create as many technical ways for us to make BitShares successful while allowing us to indirectly benefit. The more we can align the two the better the ecosystem will get.

The referral program is just the beginning of course. There is also the Brownie.PTS, the crowd funding opportunities, the potential bond market, the potential prediction market, so we have to basically bootstrap an industry and attract people to the community with mutually benefiting profit opportunities.

308
Chinese friends, please translate this thread and help your neighbors to adopt Bitshares.

309
Let's create a thread of best practices for referral marketing, and for buzz marketing.

Experts who can prove they've made a lot of referrals can step up and share what works.

Chinese friends, please translate all posts on the referral program into Chinese. It is of my opinion that the Chinese marketing campaigns will be the most important.

310
General Discussion / Re: Bitshares price discussion
« on: November 06, 2015, 04:16:51 pm »
You can margin call with your own BTS, this is what I did just now.

For example, make a 100 000 BTS deposit and you can margin call (long in my case). Just be very careful to have a large marge (Est. Liquidation Price 175 in my case).

This is the way I found to buy BTS with no money. If you do it cleverly (say buy 10 000 BTS for a deposit of 100 000 BTS), it should be ok. If every BTS holder do it margin dumpers are dead.

This is exactly what everyone of us including BM should have been doing..The level of comfort depends to each of us..Since I didn't have much BTS and I wanted to support the price, I got margin long with my bts as collateral but unfortunately not having a lot of comfort I played a very risky game and lost big time..Someone with millions BTS may support the price by creating walls and have a lot of comfort not to get margin called since he would use for 1 mil BTS to buy 300k BTS and not 2.5 mil BTS..
We all want to trade eventually in our platform but until this is ready we could have supported the price in Polo, BTS become expensive, people want to learn what is BTS and gradually we move on from Polo to our DEX..

Instead of that even people preaching about BTS in here all the time, when they show the dumping started to dump as well and once the dumping starts it never ends..Even at this level and with BTC retracing there is no buy support in Polo..Hence in the future we will end up with a great product, "worthless" BTS and desperate hodlers who for the last two years have supported the project losing their money..

Anyway...

This is interesting...to hear strategies that BTS holders can use not just to HODL BTS...but take active steps to support BTS price with varies levels of risk.

Bytemaster should put it step by step in his blog then.

311
General Discussion / Re: Best Exchange Website
« on: November 05, 2015, 08:00:32 pm »
Yes lets get away from trying to reinvent everything, and instead try to take what is already proven to work, and adapt it into the blockchain.

But you don't want an exact clone. You start with a template based on whatever is the best out there but you have to add your own magic to it. If it's exact clone they'll use the original.

They all have strengths and weaknesses. Autosell for example is a strong feature, very popular.

312
General Discussion / Re: Best Exchange Website
« on: November 05, 2015, 07:59:08 pm »
Minebitshares and other miners can use the autosell feature. It's a very useful feature.

313
General Discussion / Re: Best Exchange Website
« on: November 05, 2015, 07:53:46 pm »
I keep telling people that Mintpal was the most successful altcoin exchange not because it had groundbreaking features or support, but because it had the cleanest interface of them all. It's a shame that nobody is using that UI anymore. Poloniex looks nice, but it became successful  because Mintpal disappeared.

https://web.archive.org/web/20140315230829/https://www.mintpal.com/

Here you have the complete front-end. The exchange came into life 1 year after Cryptsy and 1 month after Poloniex and managed to capture both user bases pretty fast.

BTC-E seems to be the most successful, but there are others.

Well, BTC-e was founded in 2011 and it also stopped being an altcoin exchange a long time ago as everyone is focused on BTC/LTC nowadays. BTC-e is to Bitcoin exchanges what Polo was to altcoin exchanges in 2014. Old and lacking of tools for serious trading. It is successful because it was founded many years ago and managed to build a solid user base without having to deal with a lot of competition along the way. With Mintpal, the story was different. A new altcoin platform that became 1st after a few weeks, stealing the clients from all the other exchanges. Reason ? The sleek, simple to use GUI.

LIST OF THE BEST AND WORST CRYPTOCURRENCY EXCHANGES in 2014
http://www.usacryptocoins.com/thecryptocurrencytimes/uncategorized/list-of-the-best-and-worst-cryptocurrency-exchanges/

Too bad i cannot find that screen with the top exchanges sorted by volume. Mintpal had so much volume in early 2014 that it was being compared with Bitstamp and Bitfinex.
________________________________________________________________________________________

Speaking about MetaTrader, i think it looks absolutely horrendous and its success had to do more with the fact that it was released in 2002-2005 and also that it had a great marketing campaign behind it. I remember that before adblock existed, i was receiving hundreds of pop-ups per day about the MetaTrader platform.
Another reason could be:

Why is MT4 monopolizing the Forex Biz?
http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/community/threads/why-is-mt4-monopolizing-the-forex-biz.23937/

________________________________________________________________________________________

There are some elements that you can take from Bitstamp and implement in graphene, but i'm afraid that "Tradeview" would be the last. It looks great, but it's clunky and it hangs often when you are dealing with great volume.
I agree with copying Poloniex too. Their last UI update made a night-and-day difference.

https://www.reddit.com/r/dogemining/comments/1xmddm/cryptsy_autosell_how_does_it_work/

Cryptsy was pretty good. One reason is miners could automatically have their mined funds deposit and sell. Copy that feature from Cryptsy at least.

I don't think any exchange should be copied 100%. Take the best features from each exchange and use science to figure out what those features are.

Bytemaster, try apply the design for experiments approach. DOE will allow you to figure out exactly the best features and cut away the rest. This requires a lot of feedback so maybe allow for feedback to be given directly from the interface itself so participants can make notes for developers.

314
General Discussion / Re: Best Exchange Website
« on: November 05, 2015, 06:27:44 pm »
A "Best Exchange Poll" already effectively exists and it constantly updated: just look at volume.  People trade at their preferred exchange and "vote" with their dollars and satoshis.

The interface can be improved to standard but that isn't the issue. The reason certain exchanges got popular was there are certain exclusive assets on them combined with a sufficient interface.

Poloniex isn't the best interface ever, it falls far behind many others, but it's sufficient and it has a lot of coins to trade.

And fees are something only the bots care about usually because when people make a successful trade they dont think about fees.

315
General Discussion / Re: Best Exchange Website
« on: November 05, 2015, 06:25:31 pm »
I keep telling people that Mintpal was the most successful altcoin exchange not because it had groundbreaking features or support, but because it had the cleanest interface of them all. It's a shame that nobody is using that UI anymore. Poloniex looks nice, but it became successful  because Mintpal disappeared.

https://web.archive.org/web/20140315230829/https://www.mintpal.com/

Here you have the complete front-end. The exchange came into life 1 year after Cryptsy and 1 month after Poloniex and managed to capture both user bases pretty fast.

BTC-E seems to be the most successful, but there are others.

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