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Messages - bitcrab

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466
Before talking about this worker, please wrap up the DevCon worker by itself. It is not clear how this deficit came to be since the funds of the DevCon worker are not accounted for, or at least I don't understand how yet.

Now on this worker:
It is a good example of reporting and escrow intent gone wrong.

There is no public information available how much funds have been spent on what. Just looking on the blockchain, BTS with an equivalent value (at the time of transfers) of 130k bitUSD have been paid out, which exceeds the asked for budget. This has been done with no clarification on the increased spendings whatsoever, or even reporting what the money has been spent on. On top of that, the escrow that was publicly communicated was only for show. The worker owner still had access to the owner key of the escrow account, and made use of it.

I don't see at the moment how funds of this worker can be re-used without calling a vote of the community. If funds are to be returned, return it by burning and not to committee.

I feel there is some misunderstanding, the above account table is for the 1st DevCon in 2018, there is no worker for it, there is a worker for the 2rd DevCon in 2019.

467
although it is already late, we have to settle and close this worker proposal.

several weeks ago, jademont and I has discussed this issue with callmeluc, his opinion is that he has already quitted BTS and do not want to touch this worker proposal anymore, all the left issues can be handled by the escrows.

at May 2018, the preparation time of the 1st Global Graphene DEVCON, DEVCON official and callmeluc has agreed that BTS Greater China Representative will join in the organization of DEVCON, BTS Greater China Representative will pay to cover the deficit of DEVCON, and DEVCON will also be titled as the marketing activities organized by BTS Greater China Representative.

below is the accounts of payments and earnings of the 1st DEVCON, 147092 CNY deficit is there, not covered yet.



now about 900K BTS is left in the escrow account of this worker proposal - worker63fundholder, I suggest to pay the 147092 CNY deficit to DEVCON organizer and transfer the left to committee-account for further usage.

469
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: Proxy: dls.cipher
« on: July 29, 2019, 09:35:54 am »
GDEX is a gateway, magicwallet is a mobile wallet, I am the founder of GDEX, but just one of the investors of magicwallet.

in my view, one key factor on whether to support one witness is to check how well the price feeding is done. currently this differenciate witnesses.

the income of BTS witness is not so big.

470
TOP! I'll correct myself and real apology goes to Jerry (bitcrab). Thank you for finally hearing me out.

no need for apology, if you can I'd like to see you lobby more big proxies to support 1.5 as bitUSD MSSR. :)

471
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: July 29, 2019, 09:07:15 am »
I would be supporting 1.5 as the final low MCR for bitUSD.

bitcrab

a) You should start voting on anything else apart your own workers as a whale who is crying why other whales don't support yours one. E.g. If you ever took time to read University Colorado research worker on BitUSD assets, you would be able to understand - THERE ARE MORE PEOPLE WHO THINK LIKE YOU.

https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=28542.msg332738#msg332738 - biophil explains in details why from economical and liquidity reasons bitUSD should have MCR 1.5. You - not voting on that worker. Shame.

b) "now my team advices not to vote, sorry." - Sounds like OL.

c) "I am conservative, not tend to support this" - Sounds like a core dev that was here from the birth of chain and respect that "minimum 180% collateral" as a letter in Bible. Should respect that - devs usually have no backgrounds in economics or trading to understand these efforts.

d) "some whales tend to accumulate bitUSD, they benefit from the scarcity of bitUSD and do not like the growing of supply." - George BitSpark for instance.


There is no need for some this, some that - we are here for transparency, right ?

So, since you all proxies are total mess when it comes to unity for the benefits for the blockchain, please exit that nugshell of yours and start voting AND PARTICIPATING other workers around.

I do support 1.5 as LOWEST MCR for bitUSD, but no more.

Chee®s

Thanks  for reminding.

actually this is not a worker - no BTS income for this, this is just a poll voting to get community consensus.

to support a worker with BTS income always need more powerful reason.

I paid attention to biophil's worker for long time, I have hesitated on whether to support that, now I decided to support that project.

472

The main message of this paper will be that the specific choice of MCR and MSSR can have some strong and surprising effects on the risky behavior of BitAsset shorts (collateral holders), and that a small change in MCR can have a massive effect on the likelihood of a short position becoming undercollateralized. For example, I have one set of simulations that shows that changing the MCR from 1.6 to 1.5 can make undercollateralization 134 times more likely. Now, I'll point out that this doesn't mean I'm going to panic and immediately write a BSIP to argue for MCRs of 1.6; instead, it motivates me to look deeper into this phenomenon and start to understand how we can protect against it without harming liquidity and pegging. As many will be quick to point out, there is certainly a tradeoff involved here: reducing MCR from 1.6 to 1.5 may make the BitAsset less risky, but it will also make people more willing to provide collateral for it, which should improve price pegging. Understanding how to balance these tradeoffs wisely is a major focus of this project.


voted, very interested in how the simulation is done and what further conclusion is reached.

473
中文 (Chinese) / 重启OMO的想法
« on: July 29, 2019, 08:41:14 am »
生搬硬套是兵家大忌,对BTS做回购销毁真的是生搬硬套。

对总量固定的币种,销毁可以减少流通量,提升升值预期,但具体能有什么效果还得看具体指标。

GXC回购很有效果,因为黄老板有钱啊,确实能拿出大笔资金回购啊。

BNB销毁也很有效果,因为销毁的比例不小啊。

但YOYO,NAS前面也跟风搞回购,有效果吗?可能有几天效果,但很快被打回原形,本来就没啥钱啊,纯粹搞噱头,市场会被你这么忽悠吗?

回到BTS这边,BTS的特点是什么?

1.worker这边不断在增发,一年通胀大约4%。
2.自带做多杠杆。
3.能用来回购的资金有限,一天的收入大约2000-5000CNY,年化万八到千二。

回购的资金与通胀比不值一提,做销毁最多也就给韭菜一点心理安慰,等韭菜明白过来,照样骂你骗炮。

但BTS自带杠杆的属性是大有文章可做的,这种属性决定了BTS的价格和这个指标很有关系:

负债率:系统内所有智能货币价值/BTS市值

BTS系统现在的负债率大约是10%。

这个数值偏低,而且负债结构不尽合理,既有大量的的低抵押率债仓,也有大量的完全不抵押的的大账户。

拓展BTS生态,提升BTS价格预期,需要提升这个负债率,并且优化负债结构。

OMO当初失败的重要原因之一,是当时还是1.1的MSSR,规则对做空攻击没什么抵抗力。

但现在MSSR改为1.01之后,规则对做空攻击的抵抗力提升了很多对吧?

现在理事会账户有392万BTS。

如果用来抵押借出bitUSD,以当前的GS price 0.0385为爆仓价,可以借出9.4万bitUSD

在当前的低价位,用这些钱再去回购BTS,不好吗?

既提高了偏低的负债率,也优化了债务结构,向市场释放了紧缺的bitUSD。

为什么非要销毁呢?那些本来都可以看成是锁仓状态的BTS,你烧不烧毁,有多大区别?

要有金融工程的头脑啊小伙伴们。

现在这个时候,重启OMO正当其时。

我想象中的新的OMO操作规则

1.不再从worker中获取BTS来操作,而是基于现在理事会账户中的BTS,以及以后理事会账户中积累的market fee。

2.OMO账户应适当借债,确保债仓的爆仓价不高于当前全局清算价,当爆仓价高于全局清算价时,新入的资金只能用来提升抵押率。

3.基于当前BTS的价位来决定操作策略,价格低估是策略是买入,价格正常时不操作,价格高估时策略是卖出。

当前由于CNY市场流动性良好,基金应该重点操作USD市场。

如何?

474
General Discussion / Re: how market fee is sharing?
« on: July 28, 2019, 02:39:52 pm »
OK, seems I was wrong.

475
General Discussion / Re: Thoughts on new OMO fund
« on: July 28, 2019, 09:28:04 am »
1. Do not creater worker to get more BTS, just use the current accumulated BTS in committee-account and the smartcoin market fees which is generated everyday.

2.maintain a USD debt position.
A.the margin call price should always be under GS price, otherwise, the coming funds can only be used to increase the CR of the debt position.
B.if BTS price is underestimated, "borrow and buy", if BTS is common, do nothhing, if BTS price is overestimated, sell.
operaters need to reach consensus on whether the BTS is understimated, common or overstimated.

in my view, currently we can adopt below prices as merits:
<0.05USD: underestimated.
0.05-0.075USD: common.
>0.075USD, overestimated.




476
General Discussion / Re: how market fee is sharing?
« on: July 26, 2019, 01:05:00 am »
OpenLedger registrar takes 0%.

no, it's also 50%

477
General Discussion / Re: Thoughts on new OMO fund
« on: July 25, 2019, 08:01:40 am »
I think the several million BTS in committee-account and the accumulated market fee can be put in fund, I don't think it's good idea to get fund via worker.

478
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Poll] BSIP59:Reduce MCR of bitUSD to 1.5
« on: July 25, 2019, 05:19:19 am »
I don't understand why it's so difficult to persuade big proxies to support this proposal.

some said"now my team advices not to vote, sorry."

some said"I am conservative, not tend to support this"

some whales tend to accumulate bitUSD, they benefit from the scarcity of bitUSD and do not like the growing of supply.

but the community suffer the scarcity of bitUSD, can't you support encourging more bitUSD which benefit the whole ecosystem?

as MCR 1.5 is high enough, and bitUSD is under GS protection, really no need to worry!

479
General Discussion / Re: Thoughts on new OMO fund
« on: July 25, 2019, 03:35:20 am »
A proposal is there to burn 1M BTS. and at the same time we get BTS from worker for a fund?

don't you think that's reluctant?

why not just get the 1M BTS for the fund? why?

now there are 3.9M BTS in committee-account, with setting margin call price at the GS price, 94K bitUSD can be borrowed, why not borrow bitUSD and release to the market but burn these BTS?

480
General Discussion / how market fee is sharing?
« on: July 24, 2019, 10:15:40 am »
I tested this with new created account vesting-tester.

the member stats is like this

Fee Allocation

Network   20%
Lifetime Referrer   (bitcrab)   30%
Registrar   (gdex-faucet)   25%
Affiliate Referrer   (bitcrab)   25%
Membership Expiration   N/A

then I use this account to buy 10000 GDP, GDP has a 0.1% market fee, and 50% market fee sharing. which means in this trade there are totally 5 GDP shared.

I saw bitcrab get 2.5 GDP, gdex-faucet get 2.5GDP

what's the rule in this fee sharing? registrar get 50% and referrer get another 50%?

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