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Messages - GaltReport

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286
General Discussion / Re: NuBits
« on: September 24, 2014, 05:11:17 pm »
If NuShares placed their Shares as collateral against NuBits then you would have BitShares assuming NuShares were a freely traded crypto and the interest rate voted on by NuShare holders was the interest rate PAID by the shorts to the longs.   

What happens if the collateral loses value? This approach introduces a serious default risk. As it is, the viability of NuBits does not depend on maintaining the value of NuShares.

I think if their is no collateral their is no value to maintain. :)

287
General Discussion / Re: Patrick Byrne - Bitcoin Conference Announcements
« on: September 23, 2014, 01:24:52 am »

I suspect that Overstock is going to fork the code and announce their own platform. This would explain why they are querying the community about how to build one. There is a clue I found where they were seeking to hire an expert programmer with a resume a lot like Dan.

This isn't to say that Dan is involved but that Overstock is seeking someone with a skillset which is remarkable in similarity. It leads me to believe they are going to build their own platform and why not? They have the money to do it.

You and (if toast is serious too)  think that own blockchain belonging to a huge company is good idea and the best solution. And while I understand how this will be better then the current state of affairs in a lot of ways; I fail too see how in the long run it will be better for them to use their own centralized solution instead of a public/decentralized one, when such decentralized platforms are readily available.

It's cheaper and better for their shareholders. It's not a matter of long term necessarily in the business world.

I don't know how Overstock is run but most corporations just want to profit.

It is cheaper and better but stock holders usually have investments in tens and even hundreds of different entities - each of them having its own system is not most convenient and  most likely not the cheapest solution for the investor. When exchanges  do become available offering the same benefits as those in-house solutions as the Overstock/IBM ones, it will be hard justifying using only their in house exchange.

 +5%

288
KeyID / Re: Agent86 wins again
« on: September 22, 2014, 04:12:08 pm »
I'm also against this. Unless I'm missing something critical, what's preventing my competitor from getting into bidding wars with me just to rack up my costs? What if my website has massive authority in the eyes of Google but is non-profit; a wealthy individual can come by and buy up the domain to utilize its authority. I definitely wouldn't want to register a .p2p domain knowing that some rich competitor could take my domain, destroying the branding and mindshare I've accumulated.
+5%

289
General Discussion / Re: 0.4.16 - the good , the bad and the ugly
« on: September 21, 2014, 11:27:59 pm »
What are these shortwalls?

Is it something temporary?

yea whats up with this?

I took it to just be a visual marker of where the shorts start, price wise.

290
General Discussion / Re: Open Transactions Promise
« on: September 21, 2014, 03:28:12 pm »
IMO Open Transactions is a centralized solution disguised as a decentralized one.

I'm not even sure how disguised it is...but wondering if the functionality/api can be leveraged for a decentralized use on blockchain.

291
General Discussion / Re: Open Transactions Promise
« on: September 21, 2014, 01:37:37 pm »
As I've pointed out in a dev mumble talk before, I believe that the OT federated servers will run on top of most if not all BTSX delegates in the future.

Open Transaction's biggest problem is how one can trust any of the federated servers. By trusting the BTSX delegates you know that they are trustworthy, as they have much to lose. It might even be that at some point BTSX delegates make more income by being Open Transactions servers and oracles than by ding actual delegate work.

Interesting ideas...wondering what BM thinks about OT.

292
Technical Support / Re: 0.4.16-RC2 BitSharesX crash on startup, Ubuntu 14.04
« on: September 20, 2014, 10:12:26 pm »
Looks like we put a malformed key into the source code.  You can work around it by removing line 15 of programs/qt_wallet/WebUpdates.hpp so that it reads:

Code: [Select]
const static std::unordered_set<bts::blockchain::address>   WEB_UPDATES_SIGNING_KEYS ({
    // bts::blockchain::address( std::string( "BTSX5gc28hpz1U2BvuCaAtDEUZMFxouH9nwsR9bNaTzqTb1G3gBK4F" ) )
});

In no universe I'll comment a line looking like that unless I do manual review what exactly is going to be changed by this.
I would rather wait for a fix in the official repository.

10-4 !!  You have passed the audit pen test.  (just kidding. AFAIK).

293
General Discussion / Re: Proposal - Significant Enhancement to Market Engine
« on: September 19, 2014, 12:51:52 pm »
While not understanding this stuff, it seems the last solution price fixed collateral (Sub-optimal)  but this one price fixes fee/interest. (Sub-optimal)

This solution makes it better for market makers but decreases genuine BitAsset demand as it offers interest rates that are 300%+ lower probably??

Isn't the best system one that encourages market makers and genuine BitAsset holders, Optimal interest + optimal collateral?

I don't know how to implement this & haven't shorted before, but thoughts..

1. Simplicity

Regardless of shorting system,  perhaps the main BitUSD market page should maybe just show & allow buying and selling to keep it very simple for users.

Then have a separate tab - 'Short BitUSD (Advanced)'

2. For the long term shorts it should be made simple. They just choose short and compete on fee/interest. (The system automatically places/keeps their order at 1-1 whatever that rate happens to be.)

For the market makers they enter shorts as per this proposal.

50% of new BitUSD is awarded to highest collateral and 50% to highest fee/interest when demand is at or above feed.

Then we have a system with more collateral and attractive interest that encourages market makers and genuine BitAsset demand (who will also appreciate more collateral & tighter range)

 +5% for #1

294
General Discussion / Re: Food For Thought
« on: September 19, 2014, 11:05:49 am »
We've seen a lot of examples where automated traders drive the price significantly upwards/downwards.
This is more likely to happen in shallow markets like BTSX bitAsset markets.
And it is even more troublesome when you can flash-lose collateral due to margin calls.
I think providing open source bots that might be similarly configured will only make such scenarios more likely.
Regardless of that anyone with sufficient capital could drive prices upwards and downwards as he pleases in order to harvest as much collateral as possible. Note this is not fault of BitsharesX but is due to the shallow market.
Furthermore anyone with lower capital and some knowledge about the configuration of the automated traders could also try to exploit this.

I'm not saying that the system is flawed in any way. It is just young and market needs more depth.

BTW: about the depth part I'm sure crosschain trading BTC<->BTSX will do miracles. You can see my proposals about this here: https://bitsharestalk.org/index.php?topic=9075.0

I've been reading your posts.  Sounds very interesting.  Has BM weighed in on it yet?  I'm curious what his thoughts are on that. 

295
General Discussion / Re: Proposal - Significant Enhancement to Market Engine
« on: September 18, 2014, 03:30:45 pm »
I haven't had a chance to post, but here is a shorthand for basic rules I was going to post earlier, the exact implementation may be slightly different, but this is the principle:

When orders are matched and there is a spread the order is executed giving the max BTSX per bUSD (the bUSD seller gets the advantage of any spread rather than the network).  Standard sell orders are always prioritized above shorts and are matched by price priority.  All eligible shorts are matched with buy orders prioritized by collateral rather than price (the bUSD buy order determines the price).

A short is eligible to be matched if
   1) it offers the bitUSD for sale at a price lower than the buy bUSD order
   2) buy order must be above the median price feed.
   3) Short must contain at least 2x collateral at the order execution price

I don't think these rules are particularly complicated and most people buying/selling bitUSD will just see a standard order book they are familiar with.

Interest rates are not needed for the peg to hold.  Interest rates are useful as a separate implementation in the form of a bond market. I'm confident we will be happy and see that it works and it can be demonstrated in practice.

Understanding the role of the price feed:
The price feed does not make anybody do anything.  Any time someone places or executes an order to buy, sell, or short a bitAsset they do so at the price they have voluntarily agreed to.  The price feed can't make you buy sell or short at a price you didn't agree to.  None of the changes make the price feed into some ultra-critical thing that has to be super precise.

Generally the price feed's role is only to limit what people can do: You are not permitted to print undervalued bUSD.

Thanks, this is a bit easier explanation. I do hope that the gui will be updated so that it visually makes sense to user...what they see and/or don't see makes sense without having to review all the forum posts.

296
General Discussion / Re: Proposal - Significant Enhancement to Market Engine
« on: September 18, 2014, 12:17:25 am »
So let's reason from first principals:

1) We want btsx to be valuable.
2) We want bitUSD to be worth $1.

Given these two desires, we need to create self reinforcing incentives that drive people towards both of those goals. If a minority of actors defect from those goals, they should be "punished" by losing value, whether they are holding bitAssets or btsx.

Some other truths:

1) the value of btsx relative to actual $ has been volatile
2) the value of bitUSD relative to actual $ has been volatile
3) bitUSD is (obviously) only priced in btsx.
4) we need shorts and longs in equal supply, because only when someone goes short can someone else go long and create bitUSD.
5) paying longs to hold bitUSD with transaction fees is good for them, and creates incentives for them to hold it.
6) forcing shorts to put up collateral btsx is good for them collectively, because it sequesters btsx and drives up the value of btsx. This enables shorts to make money.
  6a) forcing shorts to put up collateral btsx is bad for them individually, because buying btsx is hard and a short doesn't have an infinite supply of btsx.
  6b) Therefore, we have what in economics is called a collective action problem. The more shorts that short and the more collateral they put up, the better it is for them as a group, but each short wants to defect and let the OTHER shorts put up the collateral. Of course, since we demand a fix amount of collateral now by protocol, they can't defect. They can just choose to sit out.
7) If the peg isn't holding, it is because the short demand and the long demand are imbalanced. Therefore, we want to add longs when there are lots of shorts, and add shorts when there are lots of longs.

The obvious solution to pay the group that is insufficiently supplied. Any other solution will simply cause the smaller group to sit out. Since we are already tapping transaction fees to pay longs already, and they still seem to be in insufficient supply, where can we get more cash? They answer is from the group that is in larger supply. Just add a fee paid from shorts to longs (or longs to shorts, depending on the market). The fee should be something that is part of their bid.

Let the market decide the fees, and the peg will hold. No feed from delegates required.

Based on my limited understanding, this makes sense.  I'm guessing BM's proposal attempts to accomplish this in some similar way (that is harder for me to understand :) )

297
General Discussion / Re: [DAC Proposal] Future Tech Farm
« on: September 17, 2014, 01:21:56 am »
What about a more "efficient" robot wife and/or mistress?  How about more obedient manufactured children? 

Do you want to re-engineer just food or people as well?  Oh, I forgot, soylent green is made from PEOPLE!! LOL

You joke, but there will almost certainly be sex robots and robotic pets in the future (and lots of demand for them). But those tools aren't going to replace the love of a real family, just like efficient nutrient delivery won't replace the desire for humans to at least have some of their meals be natural foods (caveat: that is not necessarily true but let's just pretend that is the case to avoid getting too sci-fi). These technologies only create more options for people not less.

I think I will stop continuing the discussion along this path at the risk of derailing this topic as well. I don't even want to get into topics of transhumanism and artificial intelligence. If you are this bothered by Soylent, I can only imagine your reaction to those topics.

I'm not against all such things as it might sound.  I'm a sucker for tech...(that's how they'll lure me into the camps I'm sure...promises of high-speed internet, big screen tv, personal robot...lol).  I just know it can be  a slippery slope and can be used to serve malevolent agendas....so I'm cautious. :) 

In a way you could say I already take a version of "soylent".  I'm a big supplement taker and belong to the Life Extension Foundation.  I'm half way there!!  ;D

For a maybe contrary view on transhumanism this is an interesting article someone wrote on my site sometime ago.  He was very concerned about the roots of and potential misuses of this technology:

http://www.galtreport.com/index.php/politics/commentary/item/653-you-will-be-assimilated

Okay, I'm out for now. 

298
General Discussion / Re: [DAC Proposal] Future Tech Farm
« on: September 17, 2014, 12:54:38 am »
This is a joke right?  You will have to pry my grass fed steak from my cold dead hands!!

Well, this is all voluntary. No one is going to grab it from your cold dead hands. You can keep eating the grass fed steak as long as you can afford it. In fact, I would imagine more people would afford to switch from the cheaper steaks they eat today to grass fed steaks since the cost of the rest of their meals could drop significantly.

Oh, that's good.  It's always voluntary...in the begining...:) 

299
General Discussion / Re: [DAC Proposal] Future Tech Farm
« on: September 17, 2014, 12:51:59 am »
What about a more "efficient" robot wife and/or mistress?  How about more obedient manufactured children? 

Do you want to re-engineer just food or people as well?  Oh, I forgot, soylent green is made from PEOPLE!! LOL


300
General Discussion / Re: [DAC Proposal] Future Tech Farm
« on: September 17, 2014, 12:31:07 am »
... still big farms have a WAY higher *efficiency* .. just consider the big machines they can use .. and efficiency is an important issue when it comes to energy supply and the second law of thermodynamics (i.e. global warming)

Good point Xeroc - I agree energy supply is an important factor, but I don't believe its isolated on just the farms.  In the U.S. food is shipped, on average, about 1900 miles from the source of production. 

Going off on a tangent here, but there are also a lot of REALLY big issues I have with the sheer volume of pesticides, insecticides, and fungicides being dumped over the plants that are inevitably accelerating climate change and damaging ecosystems.  I don't have issues with GMO's (again, technologically objective perspective); what I do have an issue with is why GMO's are developed, enabling monopolies to force the ever increasing usage of harmful chemicals.

I also believe this goes beyond efficiencies.  I was catching drinks with my boss last night and he brought up a really good point; do we really know what we're putting into our bodies?  Like really??  I would love to know 100% exactly what inorganic materials and what ratios of those materials make up the plant matter I'm ingesting.  I would also like to have the assurance that I'm not ingesting chemicals "known to the state of California" to cause cancer.  And I'd like fresh strawberries when there's a foot of snow outside.  Or heirloom tomatoes.  Or arugula where the flavor profile is dialed in just right.

This is just the tip of the ice berg with what's possible and I say we bring back the flavor first and foremost. :-D

My intention is not at all to diminish what you are doing. It sounds really cool. But I am interested to see what your thoughts are on something like Soylent? I mean in some sense it is a very depressing way forward for humanity. People enjoy eating fresh natural food. But there is a lot of efficiency to be gained by taking advantage of economies of scale to farm nutrients and then convert the nutrition into a form that can travel really well over long distances without spoiling. And I don't even think it would need to travel that far. Someday in the future, it could be possible to grow the nutrients in well-controlled, large bio-factories powered by nuclear power located not too far away from major population centers.

And I am confident there will always be ample demand for fresh, natural foods for the purpose of luxury and pleasure. But if that becomes something more like a twice a week thing, people could afford to pay higher prices for the better-quality (compared to what most people eat today that is) natural foods. And it is still not clear to me why the economies of scale provided by centralization wouldn't make the high quality foods cheaper than the decentralized alternative. Or is the case that the decentralization is worth the cost for the security it provides families, since food is essential to living? But then you also need to decentralize the other dependencies necessary to grow the food and keep people alive and satisfied: power, water, waste management, mesh networks. Otherwise, not being dependent on centralized institutions for food is kind of meaningless when you are still dependent on them for your electricity/gas and water supply.

Arhag, that's a very good question - I really like the concept and execution of Soylent!  My first hypothesis would be perhaps it could work supplementary to fresh food.  I believe there's a certain psychological connection people have developed with the form factor and tastes of particular foods.  I believe Soylent has the potential to replace meals for those who want, or aren't bother by, the user experience drinking all their nutrients.  Personally, I just love the first bite of a freshly picked spinach leaf - something I don't believe will be replicable in a way that would make sense to replace the real thing.

If somebody would like to fund it - I will publicly try Soylent for 30 days and comment on my own experience.

This is a joke right?  You will have to pry my grass fed steak from my cold dead hands!!

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