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Messages - pc

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76
General Discussion / Re: MARGIN CALL
« on: April 29, 2019, 07:17:46 am »
That's the purpose of MSSR. Margin calls pay MSSR% more than the fair price for covering their debt.

77
This provides incentive for centralization - fewer witnesses means higher income per witness. Like @Thul3 said, nobody will vote new witness in, people will just vote for those that are active anyway.

It's the opposite of what we want.

78
General Discussion / Re: Developing a bitAsset research program
« on: April 27, 2019, 08:03:05 am »
Welcome back! :-)

79
General Discussion / Re: vote witness : ioex,Get dividends
« on: April 27, 2019, 07:57:59 am »
To increase your chances

* you should prove your technical competence by running a testnet witness before you try mainnet
* you should have a backup server running in hot standby
* you should run a public API node as well
* your feed price should accurately represent the fair value of BTS against the underlying asset

Trying to buy votes is frowned upon by many and will most likely lead to the big voters *not* voting for you.

80
BEOS / Re: BitShares EOS (BEOS) Launches - Get Yours
« on: April 26, 2019, 07:16:59 am »
You guys decreased the amount of active witnesses from 23 to 19 .Its a big harm to the bitshares network as it took ages to get us good witnesses.
I would like to ask to add some more witness votes to get us back more active witnesses so they won't leave us.

+1

81
General Discussion / Re: Mrs bitcrabiness / shut down the internet
« on: April 24, 2019, 07:47:08 am »
I think that's a bot. His posts are incomprehensible.

82
If the median is manipulated to 0.05 then a will update his feed when he checks next. That's why I said you should *check* frequently.

I admit that in your example the feed would be very much off for a short period of time, which could have catastrophic effects. It is an extreme example though, and I think that in practice such a situation would not occur.

Still, it makes sense to add another rule:

d) if your calculated feed price is off from your published feed price by more than 1-2%, you *should* publish the new price.

83
Then I do not understand where you see a problem.

If b feeds 0.1 and c feeds 0.101 then it doesn't matter if a feeds 0.06 or 0.09.

It is only important that a *checks* frequently what the price is. Then if b suddenly feeds 0.059, a can update quickly.

84
you are definitely wrong.
every witness should input the feed price without any dependence from other witness or median price.
this is what the meaning of "witness".

here is a possible result when follow your suggest:
suppose there are 3 witness, a gives price 0.059USD, b gives 0.06 USD, c gives 0.061 USD
when the price rise, b change to 0.061, c change to 0.062, a get a new price at 0.06, so he don't need to update feed price.
when b and c goes to 0.062, 0.063, a still keep unchange.
...
when b and c goes to 0.1, 0.101, a still keep unchange.
now b and c got a chance to control median price between 0.059 to 0.1.

for 21 witness, when there are 11 witness always get a little bit higher price, while other 10 always get a little bit lower, this could happen too.

Is that were we are trying to go with this? Provide frequent up to a minute feeds?

*Publishing* a feed every 2 minutes is normally not required.

*Checking* the feed often is a good idea though. Technically you need to publish only if
a) your feed is about to expire, or
b) if the new feed price would change your position relative to the median (i. e. old price was below median and new price is above, or vice versa), or
c) your feed price *is* the median

You may want to publish more often than that to avoid being accused of neglecting your duties. :-/

In your example a majority of witnesses collude to manipulate the feed price. That always works, independent from what the minority does.

85
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: [Worker Proposal] Cryptomate Listing
« on: April 23, 2019, 05:49:13 am »
24h volume reported through their API is less than 10k USD. Not sure if it is so low due to easter or if that's normal.

They seem to only trade against GBP.

Nevertheless, it's a fiat gateway. Might be worth it.

86
Is that were we are trying to go with this? Provide frequent up to a minute feeds?

*Publishing* a feed every 2 minutes is normally not required.

*Checking* the feed often is a good idea though. Technically you need to publish only if
a) your feed is about to expire, or
b) if the new feed price would change your position relative to the median (i. e. old price was below median and new price is above, or vice versa), or
c) your feed price *is* the median

You may want to publish more often than that to avoid being accused of neglecting your duties. :-/

87
So if the witness can get the "fair" price from the CEX? half of the witness give the lower feed price than the real price, the witnees think they give the "fair" price, can they prove it?

You cannot prove something to be "fair" because "fair" is subjective. Witnesses can explain how they calculate their feeds. Some will find the result fair, some won't.

premium is not a fixed value, 1.8% is the value in these 2 days, 4 days before, the premium is about 0.5%. you can only get this value in the market.

MSSR has impact on premium but it does not determine the premium.

The effect I described applies only when BTS price is going down relative to CNY. If the BTS price fluctuates, the premium will fluctuate as well and can vanish completely if BTS is in an uptrend.

88
If I were a trader and saw that margin calls happen regularly, I would place my sell orders 2% above the price at which the least collateralized short position is margin called, for an instant 2% profit. If I wanted to buy CNY on the DEX I would place my order 2% above that price, because otherwise I have no chance of getting it filled.

Thus, margin calls and feed price and MSSR all interact with each other. The DEX price is driven by margin calls, which are in turn driven by the feed price and MSSR.

If you reduce the MSSR to 1% the premium will also go down to 1%. Does changing MSSR change the "fair" price of bitCNY? I think not, but according to your logic the fair price would then be 1% higher than it is now, not 2%.

On an external exchange you don't have that effect, because the external exchange is not influenced by margin calls in the way that the DEX is. The result is that the external trade price is much more natural than the DEX price, and so can more reasonably be called a "fair" price.

89
I don't care what cause the premium, the fact is the premium is there.

You can't repair it if you don't find out why it's broken.

And IMO it is quite obvious why it's broken: https://wallet.bitshares.org/#/asset/CNY lists over 200 short positions with a CR of less than 1.8. Whenever BTS goes down a tiny bit in relation to CNY, all of these get margin called, which eats all orders up to MSSR from the market.

Also, almost all of them have set a target CR of 1.75, so it's clear that these short positions are *deliberately* kept at such a low collateralization.

Fiddling with the feed price is not going to change any of this. Effectively you are trying to re-apply BSIP-42, with the same reasoning, the same justification and probably also the same outcome.

If they can't find the “fair” feed price, they should be blamed as they accepted the work.

Like I said, in the presence of skewed external markets there is no such thing as *the correct price*. What you call fair may be unfair on others.

90
The reason for the premium is that (once again) shorters are deliberately keeping their positions in margin call territory, which means all orders below MSSR get eaten up by margin calls. Using the DEX price as the feed in this situation would be completely wrong, because the margin calls *define* the DEX price in terms of feed price and MSSR. There is your feedback loop.

Blaming this on the witnesses is short-sighted and unfair IMO.

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