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Messages - Empirical1

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286
General Discussion / Re: Update would be great please..
« on: August 04, 2014, 05:43:39 pm »
Hi guys,

I'm soo sorry to fire these questions but I keep falling behind of our new BTS world and I hope you guys can help me catch up.

2)   I'm excited to see the new wallet, however, I can't seem to make an account from inside the app?


Yes, this is a problem. The fact that you have to do this at all. And the fact you are obviously someone who's familiar with BTS but you can't find this information without asking for it, shows how poorly this part of the set up process has been communicated.

if you want, just find your public key. it looks like this BTSX7N3PmjQGAssnAJP31uxewW9tsJ2SuBRqQnKPZjArazmqgFWDns, post it, and i'll send you a tiny bit to get started.

Thanks rockstar :) I've got my account going nicely thanks and it actually wasn't that hard to figure out.

It's just creates a small barrier to entry when you can't just download the wallet and withdraw to it I feel.

On BTT the first thread on BitShares is on page 3 and it's someone asking how to fund the account - https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=723236.0

(So that's a problem when people's first experience is that problem and I also think it's negative that we're not maintaining any threads there that rank higher. I used to make an effort myself but I'm not 100% behind the sharedrops and 1st year equity release for the upcoming snapshot so I don't think I can personally promote them.)

287
KeyID / Re: Why inflation?
« on: August 04, 2014, 05:30:55 pm »
The inflation model of the DotP2P DAC has aroused antipathy in the Chinese community. And I found that many old BTS participants also can't answer to "why inflation".

The main accusation of this inflation model is, Big Mans can always stay to be delegates and win all the new minted coins / shares. And it's a positive feedback loop which can destroy whole economic balance.


Yes I feel this is a concern too. From BTSX we can see that in the early months of the DAC, overall shareholder participation will be low and the developer stake should be able to dictate the delegates. Which is a good thing in BTSX but given the huge year 1 equity release, this does seem like a potential recipe for the model you describe in the Namespaces DAC.

A better model may probably be a much lower year 1 equity release, with a pause for the first few months while average shareholders made their way into the voting pool.


288
General Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Magazine article
« on: August 04, 2014, 03:43:43 pm »
Bad publicity is not good publicity.  The author is presenting himself as an authority on the subject, has implied that his insight has come from personal conversations with Dan and has slandered Bitshares X without a single shred of factual evidence.  This FUD needs to be totally ripped to pieces and sent to the abyss from whence it came.....

 +5% Preaching to the choir here buddy  :)

289
General Discussion / Re: Update would be great please..
« on: August 04, 2014, 03:30:26 pm »
Hi guys,

I'm soo sorry to fire these questions but I keep falling behind of our new BTS world and I hope you guys can help me catch up.

2)   I'm excited to see the new wallet, however, I can't seem to make an account from inside the app?


Yes, this is a problem. The fact that you have to do this at all. And the fact you are obviously someone who's familiar with BTS but you can't find this information without asking for it, shows how poorly this part of the set up process has been communicated.


290
General Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Magazine article
« on: August 04, 2014, 01:25:42 pm »
Well, guess we better get used to the bucketshop article.

If you google DACsunlimited the article is now second only to the website itself...

291
General Discussion / Re: Rebrand
« on: August 04, 2014, 12:32:43 pm »
Ok, thought that was the case. Don't think it needs BitShares in the name though, but probably fine then.

292
General Discussion / Re: Rebrand
« on: August 04, 2014, 12:16:08 pm »
+1 for calling it a bank.

I think it makes sense to drop the BitShares but keep the X branding.

X-Bank or
X-Bank & Exchange

Or something more creative



293
Yeah I think the table here is pretty up to date - http://wiki.bitshares.org/index.php/Why_choose_Bitshares%3F

I think the table you posted is NXT's response to that table. Clout pointed out how innacurate NXT's response is on BTT -

Quote
BitShares X was released July 19th, 2014. The current network includes anonymous transactions, registered accounts, user issued assets, the effective equivalent of Nxt transparent forging and leased forging (deterministic block production, allowing for 10 second blocks and 1 block confirmations). The memo field in all transactions can be thought of as encrypted messaging but its purpose as of right now is just to provide a brief (19 character) description of the transaction. Public testing of market-pegged assets should begin tomorrow. Also voting and dns are in active development.

294
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 11:44:45 pm »
It's shareholders of a specific DAC deciding how best to dilute their own equity unlike holders of currency having the dilution decided for them by central bankers.  & it decreases sharply as the DAC should become more self-sufficient so for me it's fine.

You are also thinking BitShares thinks  'inflation stimulates growth' like keynesians do, but they don't. I think BitShares is only using the model to direct the activities of the DAC in a decentralised way, mainly until revenue is enough to covers the DAC's requirements.

(The large sharedrops in DNS affect my investment decisions more.)

295
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 10:59:37 pm »
Yes, but it's still predictable vs. unpredictable and I prefer predictable.

I share some of your concerns about high levels of inflation though.

Edit: Thanks for the numbers, I haven't looked at the DNS case yet.

296
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 10:34:41 pm »

What I do not like is that this suggestion is full with  twisted-logic as:
I hate that, I don't want to worry about shareholders diluting me by some amount in future I can't control.

But you are OK with being diluted all the time, as above not being able to control it?

I own gold, I know the supply inflates by a small fairly predictable % each year but  I'm 'OK with being diluted all the time' :P

But I try to keep as little in fiat money as possible because I have to worry about being diluted by some future amount I can't control.

There is no twisted logic there for me.

297
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 09:52:01 pm »
I hate inflation more than you, that's why I prefer a pre-determined equity/inflation model.

Possible off topic, but how you hate inflation more than me if:
I can not find anything useful in it, and you are OK with pre-determined inflation model?

Not to go into 'how pre-determined it is' if  one can voted in and out of it.

You found something useful in shareholders voting to create new shares for an opportunity.

How DAC B resolves the issue:- by Voting, increases the share supply with exactly what is needed, effectively taking as much as needed inflation, (possible all at once and not by a  long slow process, in the case of needing the whole amount at once).

I hate that, I don't want to worry about shareholders diluting me by some amount in future I can't control.
If they have some small inflation I can already see it will be treated like the revenue in BTSX where they vote to burn it most of the time, unless there is a good opportunity that is worthy of dilution that revenue doesn't cover. As it is pre-determined you can make some calculations about the future.

Like we know Bitcoin should have max 21 million units and a set rate of inflation. If I had to worry about people changing the model or it issuing new coins above the model they started with, I wouldn't want to own it.


Of course the other model is no inflation, give the developers the funds for 18 months development and hope the revenue is enough after that to meet the needs of the DAC and that the developers won't be targeted in those 18 months. It's not terrible but there are risks. Is that your preferred kind of model?

298
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 09:12:51 pm »

However some businesses take a few years to be positive so it could be useful in that period. Also occasionally a business might have to borrow for expansion or to respond to a competitor so having some form of equity release/inflation available, that is mostly being 100% burnt, (ergo no inflation) available to be directed to funding the business when needed could be good.


Removing ‘The central point of failure’  and seeing if this decentralization will actually work, is the first thing I see as a reason for trying this new scheme. (even though I am not optimistic that we will find anything better than  ‘Better decentralized solutions, to problems that are best solved by centralization’)

However, in the above quote,  I see one of the things that concerns me the most. The believe that in this new shares we have something actually more to sell than without them. Diluting the mixture and putting in more bottles is actually not ‘some form of equity’.
 In other words – you have the same income coming to the delegates as in the undiluted fees model. Hoping that somehow you will sell it for more than the undiluted fee (salt) contained in it, just not gonna happen. And you should not expect this as a result of your new model.

I don't believe these shares are something 'more' than without them. I realise it is not new value.

But having the equity accessible is a potential advantage over a DAC that does not have any of its equity available. 

DAC A has 10% inflation directed via DPOS,  DAC B does not have inflation. Both are worth $10 million and both are generating $1 000 000 revenue and $200 000 profit for shareholders per year.

Currently shareholders in DAC A burn all the inflation so they appear very similar. 

An opportunity comes up to buy a competitor for $1 000 000 or maybe  Bytemaster says I'm willing to give my time to that DAC for two years for $500 000 worth of equity.

How does DAC B get access to the equity to take advantage of either opportunity if they they think it's valuable? 

In DAC A shareholders can access some of the underlying equity, by re-directing the inflation from 100% burn (ergo no inflation) to taking advantage of the opportunity for growth that DAC B can't.

How DAC A decides that? – by voting (and waiting for the necessary fees to be collected; huge difference if it is buying a new company, not paying BM for N years).

How DAC B resolves the issue:- by Voting, increases the share supply with exactly what is needed, effectively taking as much as needed inflation, (possible all at once and not by a  long slow process, in the case of needing the whole amount at once).

Which one do you like better?



To say nothing that ‘Toast’ (the developer of DAC A) could  just have been awarded all the extra shares of DAC A to begin with, and he decides what to do with them even more efficiently. But let’s not go in circles here, talking about this scenario.

Yes let's not go in circles, I've already explained the solution you describe for Toast creates a centralised weak spot for a decentralised system.

As for your other examples I prefer DAC A myself. I hate inflation more than you, that's why I prefer a pre-determined equity/inflation model. If shareholders can vote to issue new shares like you are suggesting in DAC B, I think it will be negative for crypto-currency type DAC's but maybe OK for more specialised ones.

The answer I gave why I don't like canonisers idea of 'smart coins' is nearly the same so I will copy that -


" If you want to win the crypto-currency race as well as benefit humanity you will do best to give them a currency with pretty hard coded initial rules and no or low, unchangeable inflation. (Alternatives will result in coin holders damaging themselves through greed and short termism as well as the financially uneducated succumbing to supporting strategies promoted by a small smarter minority usually using instant gratification as the hook.)

This is why gold has maintained a stable value for thousands of years - because we can't mess with the initial rules (regarding it's inflation and production) too much.

Fiat money on the other hand I would say is the example of 'smart money'  -  coins where there is no hard-coded limit/backing and no guarantee/confidence they will maintain 'X' limit in the future with regard to inflation/production.  No pure fiat currency has lasted more than 50 years & in their collapse 'smart coins' have left the bottom 90% of their users much worse off. I suspect applied to crypto we will see the same events unfold, just on an accelerated time-scale.

I've seen BitShares propose a 10/10/80 model. Where 20% is awarded to AGS & PTS and the remaining 80% is distributed via delegates using a ten year equity release plan. I'm all for that (well I'd prefer 20/20/60). Provided whatever the equity release plan is, is clearly defined and pretty hard-coded somehow into the system. It should let us be extremely flexible to responding to the needs of the DAC.

So unlike you I would like the " inflation rate, or the amount of currency that is put into production at any point in time " to be hard coded. They can always fork if they don't like it, but a 'future inflation/production un-defined/uncertain blockchain' would immediately have less value I believe anyway.


299
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 08:39:58 pm »

However some businesses take a few years to be positive so it could be useful in that period. Also occasionally a business might have to borrow for expansion or to respond to a competitor so having some form of equity release/inflation available, that is mostly being 100% burnt, (ergo no inflation) available to be directed to funding the business when needed could be good.


Removing ‘The central point of failure’  and seeing if this decentralization will actually work, is the first thing I see as a reason for trying this new scheme. (even though I am not optimistic that we will find anything better than  ‘Better decentralized solutions, to problems that are best solved by centralization’)

However, in the above quote,  I see one of the things that concerns me the most. The believe that in this new shares we have something actually more to sell than without them. Diluting the mixture and putting in more bottles is actually not ‘some form of equity’.
 In other words – you have the same income coming to the delegates as in the undiluted fees model. Hoping that somehow you will sell it for more than the undiluted fee (salt) contained in it, just not gonna happen. And you should not expect this as a result of your new model.


I don't believe these shares are something 'more' than without them. I realise it is not new value.

But having the equity accessible is a potential advantage over a DAC that does not have any of its equity available. 

DAC A has 10% inflation directed via DPOS,  DAC B does not have inflation. Both are worth $10 million and both are generating $1 000 000 revenue and $200 000 profit for shareholders per year.

Currently shareholders in DAC A burn all the inflation so they appear very similar. 

An opportunity comes up to buy a competitor for $1 000 000 or maybe  Bytemaster says I'm willing to give my time to that DAC for two years for $500 000 worth of equity.

How does DAC B get access to the equity to take advantage of either opportunity if they they think it's valuable? 

In DAC A shareholders can access some of the underlying equity, by re-directing the inflation from 100% burn (ergo no inflation) to taking advantage of the opportunity for growth that DAC B can't.


300
General Discussion / Re: The need for change
« on: August 02, 2014, 07:32:33 pm »
Quote
economic fallacies, such as: by increasing the supply of ‘money’ one can actually stimulate growth, and growing economic systems depend on constant increase in such supply.
It is not predetermined that inflation to expand makes sense.
The question is: Can those that get the newly issued shares/coins/tokens (they are paid this way) increase the value of the network/coin/DAC/company more than shareholders/coinholders are diluted?  If the answer is yes, what reason is there not to do it.

Yes in theory, the way a business awards dividends if there aren't huge re-investment opportunities so too should the presence of inflation be moot, because shareholders should just choose to have it burned/paid back to themselves unless they can agree there is an opportunity to generate a greater return by doing something else with it.


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