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Messages - 天籁

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691
bts可以看作3I的杀手锏,前期先把招式练熟。实战中,不能先出杀招,出杀招要必胜。此外,作为DAC家族,在当前市场外部环境下,BTS太过光彩夺目,在整个生态环境不成熟条件下,贸然出手,有可能适得其反。平庸之道实乃取胜之道。

692
长期投资者会支持3I的不懈努力。短线投机者不看好,欢迎离开。

693
The 10x margin is all well and good in preventing attacks discussed but it leads (in my opinion) to exposing system problems already existing in the proposed market – in particular small (and known/pre-determined) money supply. Adding to this small money supply a strongly unbalanced voting/price determination power is dangerous (and that is what the 10x margin does). What I mean is in order for the shorts to cast a vote (to say generally that the BitUSD is overvalued they need 9-10 times the resources/money  the counter party needs to say the BitUSD is undervalued). This misbalance will in itself  stay in the way of the market determining the fair price of the Bitassets but in the context of this discussion here is an example of market manipulation/attack that this misbalance facilitates.

One (the attacker) will need no more than 10% of the all BTXs to have full control over the demand for all BitAssets. That is to say he can match all asks in all assets even if everybody else is 1. Participating/actually placing orders in the market 2. everybody else is of the opinion that the BitUSD is overvalued (i.e. is placing a sell/short sale orders). In practice the attack will be possible with probably 1-3% of all BTXs to attack just one particular BitAsset.


Here is a very rough form of the attack (refining it is not that hard)
Having 10.01% of the all BTXs
1. Buy some arbitrary amount of all offered BitUSD (Let say 5%-10%) at the very beginning of the market at say price p1.
2.Place an ask order for the Bitasset bought in step#1 at let’s say 130.01% the purchase price p1.
3.Place big enough ask bid/s (as of quantity BTX offered up to 10% of all BTXs, but in practice you will need most of the time much smaller amount)  @ price sliding from 101% to  130% the p1 price. Effectively matching/swallowing all asks coming to the market.
The important thing here is that your demand for BitUSD is so big that you can ‘swallow’/match any possible ask coming to the market so you will inevitable drive the price to the desired level.
4. Keep a ‘hard bottom’ (placing a bid order/s @ 130% p1, for amount of BitUSD unsurpassable by any and all potential ask orders) until you have sold sufficient percent of the initial BitUSD (bought @100% p1and sold for 130.01% p1)
5. At your leisure push the price slowly from 130% p1 to let say 160% p1, as in step 3.
And cash in some more BitUSD @160.01% p the same way as in step 4.

If you asked me name the attack  -‘Unbalanced Forces Attack” (‘Unbalanced forces are forces that produce a non-zero net force, which changes an object's motion’)

This is a very solid consideration and worthy a tip for simply suggesting it.  I am going to think through this one a bit more. 

I am going to call this attack the BitUSD Monopoly Attack rather than Unbalanced Forces Attack because the premise is that once you monopolize a BitAsset you can set any price for it you want and thus trigger a margin call on the shorts and steal their money.   This attack is made possible by reducing the percentage of BTS required to buy all short positions.   

In the initial design it would require 50% of the BTS to pull of this attack.   Going to 10000x margin would allow almost anyone to pull of this attack.  And like you said, a 10x margin allows anyone with 5% to pull off this attack.      If I reduce it to 4x margin then the amount required to pull of this attack is 10-20%.   Now the assumption here is that someone who owns 10-20% couldn't actually profit by this move because it would entirely undermine his huge investment and while he may end up doubling his percentage ownership he would cause it to be worth 10% of the original value.   

Perfectly balanced (original design) is actually not quite perfectly balanced because the shorts can be squeezed.  I suspect there is a balance between various attacks.   We must assume intent to profit by the attack and I don't see how someone can profit in real terms with this attack.

I don't think tonyk’s attack is possible. As one continually asks more Bitasset which pushes the price from 100 to 130, he must buy  much much more than he could have sold in 130. So,he lost more BTS than he may get, the amount of his BTS will reduce,the attack fails.

694
都想山寨骗点钱,2014山寨必死!

695
国人干的?为BTS宣传做贡献。

696
中文 (Chinese) / 寄语3I
« on: March 02, 2014, 02:08:05 pm »
2014山寨归西,市场死寂。市场给了3I崛起的寂静外部环境,静下心来,踏踏实实,做好该做的。阿门!

697
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 3i你的后招呢?还有140天的ags任务!
« on: March 02, 2014, 12:26:59 am »
2758PTS真不如昨天投划算。昨天投1pts得0.9AGS+3bts。今天投1PTS得1.81AGS+1.28BTS。相当于昨天1.72BTS等于今天0.91AGS。

698
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 3i你的后招呢?还有140天的ags任务!
« on: March 01, 2014, 08:10:52 am »
有没有同学算过现在捐赠PTS一天多少以下值得?我按照两个月日均3680PTS分5000AGS,平均兑换率1.36,BTS权益比3.33/1.28=2.6,得出获得BTS的PTS/AGS价格比值为3.53。今后DAC权益比取1,则每天捐赠5000/3.53=1420以下较为可取。是否如此,拭目以待。

699
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 成立BTS基金会的提议
« on: February 26, 2014, 03:17:21 am »
PTS 和 BTC 的所有权,依 3i 声明,依然是整个社区。成立基金会,索回这些 PTS 和 AGS 理由上可以成立。但是那些 PTS 所换得的 BTS 是归 3i 所有的,这是 3i 事前明说的,任何投 AGS 的人都被认为自动同意这一条款。
既然PTS 和 BTC 的所有权归社区,其衍生的BTS亦归社区,否则原来的PTS和BTC就被除权了。

700
中文 (Chinese) / 成立BTS基金会的提议
« on: February 25, 2014, 06:30:27 am »
看了回复,有些误解,现进一步明确、修改如下:

人员组成:3I公司2人,社区3人。
基金构成:
        1、发行AGS接受捐赠所得现存在3I账户上的PTS与BTC余额所获得的BTS全部归于本基金。
        2、募捐个人BTS(自愿,享有基金收益分红、可三年分三期按自愿原则退回)。
责任义务:
        1、维护BTSX系统正常运行,对恶意攻击实施反击,为新生的BTSXT保驾护航,使其顺利成长【目前看来,技术手段未必能胜任】。
        2、组织第三方DAC投资事宜和BTSX系统升级。
        3、负责BTS基金运作。

未尽事宜,欢迎补充!

701
中文 (Chinese) / 可否在BTSX系统里面内嵌赌大小合约
« on: February 24, 2014, 02:05:42 pm »
根据新生成区块参数计算哈希值,确定区块奇、偶。奇数为大,偶数为小。每生成一个区块,成一次赌约。赢者获利95%,5%留作红利。最简单的赌约,大妈最爱。

702
Agree with keeping BitBTC,BitUSD and BitGold:

1  Gold,USD and BTC are three generations of the main used currency.
2  Represnt three kinds of price variation[Gold,USD:slow and reverse;BTC:dramatic].

704
直接定义XTS=0.001BTS,XTS做交易单位。譬如,过年送晚辈1个BTS,太少了,拿不出手。现在送888个XTS,不错,吉利,出手真大方。花钱少,别人还高兴,何乐而不为呢。另外,你要用现在的单位,再涨100倍,过万了,会各种板砖砸过来。但从1到100没人说什么,做人要低调。

705
中文 (Chinese) / Re: 有人能详解一下TaPoS吗?
« on: February 22, 2014, 07:39:26 am »
我的理解是在权益证明基础上,限定了是参与交易的权益。因为有的权益不参与交易(像钱包没了,币就死在那里了),如果这种权益多了,让他们证明就有问题。

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