Recent Posts

Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10
31
中文(Chinese) / 喂价的本质是确定BTS的合理价格
« Last post by gghi on Today at 12:19:33 am »
 最近一直在研究BTS的问题,不断翻看论坛的帖子,不断思考,思路越来越清晰,渐渐的发现BTS的问题不是很大,其实也很简单,只是我们迷失了自己。

      喂价应该回答BTS的价格是多少比较合理,喂价的高低实际上应该根据bitcny的需求确定。bitcny的需求决定了BTS的价格,而不是BTS 的价格决定BITCNY的需求。理顺了这个关系,那么问题就好办了,只要根据市场上bitcny的需求来确定喂价就行了。


       事实上,未来的市场对bitcny的需求很很大的,因此我们只要根据需求不断的调整BTS的喂价就行了。怎么判断bitcny的需求呢,市场会给我们答案,鼓鼓的充值费率,交易所里bitcny的交易价格都可以参考。
 
       目前的问题就是bitcny的需求没有有效的传递到喂价,我们的喂价仅仅采集了交易所的价格而已,不是交易所控制了喂价,而是我们没有根据bitcny的需求及时确定合理的喂价。
32
中文(Chinese) / Re: 喂价的本质是确定BTS的合理价格
« Last post by gghi on Today at 12:18:14 am »
 最近一直在研究BTS的问题,不断翻看论坛的帖子,不断思考,思路越来越清晰,渐渐的发现BTS的问题不是很大,其实也很简单,只是我们迷失了自己。

      喂价应该回答BTS的价格是多少比较合理,喂价的高低实际上应该根据bitcny的需求确定。bitcny的需求决定了BTS的价格,而不是BTS 的价格决定BITCNY的需求。理顺了这个关系,那么问题就好办了,只要根据市场上bitcny的需求来确定喂价就行了。


       事实上,未来的市场对bitcny的需求很很大的,因此我们只要根据需求不断的调整BTS的喂价就行了。怎么判断bitcny的需求呢,市场会给我们答案,鼓鼓的充值费率,交易所里bitcny的交易价格都可以参考。
34
     


              I hope you can work hard for 1BITCNY=1cny.    and   work hard for  1bitusd=1usd
35
Stakeholder Proposals / Re: BSIP 40: Custom active permissions **discussion**
« Last post by Customminer on August 16, 2018, 05:08:16 pm »
I really like the idea of a price-feed only key, it would make running many price feed scripts on VPS far more secure!
36
Welcome on board!
37
锚定不成功主要表现为bitCNY的短缺和过剩,其实感觉跟这些参数关系不大,原因在于bitCNY的市场需求和BTS价格没有直接的决定关系,需求无法有效传导给供应。

BSIP38等改动意义很大,可以很有效地降低出现黑天鹅的风险,但对于调节bitCNY供给来说,个人认为还是要靠公开市场操作这样的方式。

这两个参数虽然是BM拍脑袋得出,但个人觉得还算比较合理,不象当初40BTS的转账费用,以及0清算补偿那样明显不合理。

如果改怎么改呢?比如现在的价格下,把1.75改为1.5?虽然增加了供应量,但也增大了黑天鹅的风险吧?不一定是个好主意。
同意巨蟹。多空博弈->bts价格->bitcny供应量->充值率,这是整个传导过程。BSIP38目前看确实起到了防止黑天鹅的作用。要提高bitcny的供应量还是要从根子上下手,就是提高多头的力量,可以从两各方面:1.增大公开市场操作的力量。2.调整规则使多空博弈更加公平。
38
I agree that the margin call as such is neither good nor bad. It is, however, an indication of a bad (read: dangerous) situation, i. e. short positions without sufficient collateral, which increases the likelyhood of a black swan.

The health of the system depends on shorters providing sufficient collateral. In bitCNY, shorters don't do that. They prefer being margin called. They even deliberately try to keep the collateral as low as possible, perhaps because only the least collateralized positions can profit from the 5% settlement offset.

IMO this is an indication of a very unhealthy situation. The settlement offset is an incentive for shorters to keep their collateral as low as possible, and the current MSSR isn't sufficient incentive for providing enough collateral. Your suggestion increases the likelyhood of a black swan, as you correctly pointed out above.

the "just 1.75" debt position is not relevant to 5% force settlement, as the latter seldom happen and are always in very little quantity.

they have their own logic, the logic is that "to be margin called as early as possible", this is one kind of policy of "stop loss", this logic does not always works well, some time they lose because of this.

anyway, they do not do harm to the system, actually they provide more liquidity. so just let them play like this if they like. in bitUSD market there is no such players, do you think bitUSD market more healthy than bitCNY market?

it's hard or impossible to tell what collateral is enough, when the market price is 1.05CNY do you think it enough to set the margin call price = 0.67?

maybe it's safe enough to set call price=0.2, but what sense does this make?

increasing MSSR really increase the likelihood of black swan, however at the same time it lower the shorting incentive, we need a balance here. for bitCNY thanks to the help of target CR and good market depth, I feel bitCNY has very very little chance to reach black swan even with MSSR = 1.05. I hope we can try this after sufficient discussion.
 

 
39
我用python-bitshares
40
General Discussion / Re: BitShares Companion and Interactive Voting
« Last post by sschiessl on August 16, 2018, 03:40:16 pm »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10